Cost effectiveness of collagen crosslinking for progressive keratoconus in the UK NHS

Safety and Efficacy of Epithelium-Off Corneal Collagen Cross-Linking for the Treatment of Corneal Ectasia: A Report by the American Academy of Ophthalmology

PURPOSE

To review the evidence on the safety and effectiveness of epithelium-off corneal collagen cross-linking (CXL) for the treatment of progressive corneal ectasia.

METHODS

A literature search of the PubMed database was most recently conducted in March 2024 with no date restrictions and limited to studies published in English. The search identified 359 citations that were reviewed in abstract form, and 43 of these were reviewed in full text. High-quality randomized clinical trials comparing epithelium-off CXL with conservative treatment in patients who have keratoconus (KCN) and post-refractive surgery ectasia were included. The panel deemed 6 articles to be of sufficient relevance for inclusion, and these were assessed for quality by the panel methodologist; 5 were rated level I, and 1 was rated level II. There were no level III studies.

RESULTS

This analysis includes 6 prospective, randomized controlled trials that evaluated the use of epithelium-off CXL to treat progressive KCN (5 studies) and post-laser refractive surgery ectasia (1 study), with a mean postoperative follow-up of 2.4 years (range, 1-5 years). All studies showed a decreased progression rate in treated patients compared with controls. Improvement in the maximum keratometry (Kmax) value, corrected distance visual acuity (CDVA), and uncorrected distance visual acuity (UDVA) was observed in the treatment groups compared with control groups. A decrease in corneal thickness was observed in both groups but was greater in the CXL group. Complications were rare.

CONCLUSIONS

Epithelium-off CXL is effective in reducing the progression of KCN and post-laser refractive surgery ectasia in most treated patients with an acceptable safety profile.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

The Lifetime Expenditure in People with Keratoconus in Saudi Arabia

AIM

This study measured and evaluated the socioeconomic burden of people living with keratoconus in Saudi Arabia.

METHODS

This study employed a cross-sectional design, a Keratoconus Economic Burden Questionnaire, and a convenient sample of 89 keratoconus patients (58.4% male) drawn from multiple regions in Saudi Arabia. It was conducted using online surveys, and the data were analyzed using appropriate quantitative techniques.

RESULTS

The mean age and annual income of the participants were 33.24 (SD = 6.82) years and USD 9046.52 (SD = 16,866.48), respectively, with only 37% being employed for wages. Up to 94.4% needed glasses or contact lenses at least once a week, and 73.0% received care from optometrists. The condition forced 45.9% of the respondents to change careers or leisure activities, with a further 51.3% having to take time off work. The mean annual out-of-pocket expenses for buying and maintaining glasses or contact lenses, as well as traveling and accommodation for keratoconus-related treatment were USD 2341.76 (SD = 3053.09), with 48.32 incurring upwards of USD 3240 over the period. The treatment costs increased with disease duration, r(89) = 0.216, p < 0.05. Regression results showed that the existence of comorbid eye disease, changing glasses at least once a year, and wearing either glasses or contact lenses at least once a week individually had statistically significant negative effects on the total annual keratoconus treatment costs, while disease duration, utilization of optometrists, and taking time off had a statistically significant increase on the total cost (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

With a prevalence rate of 1 in 375, progressive debilitation, and the lifetime nature of the disease, keratoconus is a critical public health concern in Saudi Arabia. The resulting visual impairment and discomfort, as well as both direct and indirect economic burdens, have considerable impacts on the patient's quality of life.

Corneal Outcomes Following Cataract Surgery Using Ophthalmic Viscosurgical Devices Composed of Chondroitin Sulfate-Hyaluronic Acid: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Ophthalmic viscosurgical devices (OVDs) are commonly used during cataract surgery to protect the corneal endothelium. A systematic literature review and meta-analysis were conducted to assess the clinical evidence of OVDs composed of chondroitin sulfate-hyaluronic acid (CS-HA) versus other OVDs in maintaining endothelial cell density (ECD) and corneal thickness (CT).

Methods

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched from 2000 to 2020. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs, N ≥ 20 per group) comparing an OVD containing CS-HA (ie, VISCOAT^®, DuoVisc^® or DisCoVisc^®) to any other OVD were included. The identified comparators were limited to the OVDs found in the literature, which included those composed of HA-only or hydroxypropyl methylcellulose (HPMC). Outcomes of focus included changes in ECD (baseline to 3 months) and CT (baseline to 24 hours). Meta-analyses were performed using R software, to assess mean differences (MD) in ECD and CT change between CS-HA OVDs and HA-only or HPMC OVDs.

Results

A total of 966 abstracts were screened, and data were extracted from 12 RCTs. Meta-analyses using a random-effects model revealed significantly lower percent (%) decrease in ECD for CS-HA OVDs compared to both HA-only (MD: -4.10%; 95% CI: -5.81 to -2.40; p < 0.0001; 9 studies) and HPMC (MD: -6.47%; 95% CI: -10.41 to -2.52; p = 0.001; 2 studies) products. Similarly, % CT increase was significantly lower with CS-HA than with HA-only OVDs (MD: -3.22%; 95% CI: -6.24% to -0.20%; p = 0.04; 4 studies). However, there were no significant differences when comparing % CT change between CS-HA and HPMC OVDs (MD: 2.65%; 95% CI: -0.43% to 0.95%; p = 0.4; 2 studies).

Conclusion

CS-HA OVDs lead to less postoperative loss of endothelial cells and may better protect corneal endothelium during cataract surgery, relative to other OVDs. Future randomized studies may be needed to solidify these findings.

Pediatric Crosslinking: Current Protocols and Approach

Keratoconus (KC) is likely to be more aggressive in the pediatric population, with a higher risk of progression and visual loss. Several techniques have been proposed for corneal crosslinking (CXL) so far. The standard CXL (SCXL) technique, or the Dresden Protocol, originally developed by Wollensak et al., has been shown to be safe and effective in the pediatric KC group. With similar efficacy to the conventional method, the accelerated CXL (ACXL) protocols proposed a reduced UVA exposure time by increasing the intensity of UVA irradiation. Transepithelial CXL (TCXL), considered an "epithelium-on" method, emerged as a strategy to improve safety and reduce postoperative complications and discomfort. For thinner corneas, we can highlight the use of hypoosmolar riboflavin and new studies, such as contact lens-assisted CXL (CACXL), the epithelial-island CXL (EI-CXL), and the Sub400 protocol. In addition to the different protocols used, another factor that changes CXL results is the type of carrier used: dextran-based or hydroxypropyl methylcellulose-based (HPMC) riboflavin solutions. There are several ways to perform a CXL surgery, and it is still unclear which method is the safest and most effective in the pediatric group. This review of the literature in English, available in PubMed, provides an update on corneal CXL in the pediatric KC group, exploring the data on the techniques currently used and under investigation, including their advantages, efficacy, safety profiles, risks, and cost analyses.

Personalized Model to Predict Keratoconus Progression From Demographic, Topographic, and Genetic Data

PURPOSE

To generate a prognostic model to predict keratoconus progression to corneal crosslinking (CXL).

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

We recruited 5025 patients (9341 eyes) with early keratoconus between January 2011 and November 2020. Genetic data from 926 patients were available. We investigated both keratometry or CXL as end points for progression and used the Royston-Parmar method on the proportional hazards scale to generate a prognostic model. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) for each significant covariate, with explained variation and discrimination, and performed internal-external cross validation by geographic regions.

RESULTS

After exclusions, model fitting comprised 8701 eyes, of which 3232 underwent CXL. For early keratoconus, CXL provided a more robust prognostic model than keratometric progression. The final model explained 33% of the variation in time to event: age HR (95% CI) 0.9 (0.90-0.91), maximum anterior keratometry 1.08 (1.07-1.09), and minimum corneal thickness 0.95 (0.93-0.96) as significant covariates. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with keratoconus (n=28) did not significantly contribute to the model. The predicted time-to-event curves closely followed the observed curves during internal-external validation. Differences in discrimination between geographic regions was low, suggesting the model maintained its predictive ability.

CONCLUSIONS

A prognostic model to predict keratoconus progression could aid patient empowerment, triage, and service provision. Age at presentation is the most significant predictor of progression risk. Candidate SNPs associated with keratoconus do not contribute to progression risk.

The Safety Profile of FDA-Approved Epithelium-Off Corneal Cross-Linking in a US Community-Based Healthcare System

Purpose

To determine the occurrence of early post-operative complications following FDA-approved epithelium-off corneal cross-linking in the United States.

Materials and Methods

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study identified patients who underwent epithelium-off (epi-off) corneal cross-linking (CXL) for keratoconus and post-refractive keratectasia within the Kaiser Permanente Northern California healthcare system between 2016 and 2018. Post-operative complications including delayed epithelial healing, infection, and loss of visual acuity were recorded.

Results

The study included 878 eyes of 654 patients. The mean age was 27±9.4 years (range 7–71). Five hundred ninety-nine patients (91.6%) had keratoconus while 55 had post-refractive corneal ectasia (8.4%). Forty-seven eyes had prolonged follow-up because of the occurrence of complications in the early post-operative period. The respective rates of delayed epithelial healing, and keratitis were 3.9% (95% CI 2.7–5.3%), and 1.5% (95% CI 0.8–2.5%). Four approaches for management of delayed epithelial healing were compared; epithelium healing duration was the longest in the repeat bandage contact lens (BCL) group (23.8 days) and the shortest in the antibiotic ointment group (14.3 days), with statistically significant differences (p < 0.05) in the healing time between these 2 groups.

Conclusion

The concern for early clinical complications after epi-off CXL often leads to delayed CXL intervention and further keratoconus progression with increased economic burdens. A large retrospective review of 878 eyes found that FDA-approved epi-off CXL protocol appears to be safe with low occurrence rates of early post-operative complications. The recommended management for delayed epithelial healing is using antibiotic ophthalmic ointment.

Machine Learning Algorithms to Detect Subclinical Keratoconus: Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Keratoconus is a disorder characterized by progressive thinning and distortion of the cornea. If detected at an early stage, corneal collagen cross-linking can prevent disease progression and further visual loss. Although advanced forms are easily detected, reliable identification of subclinical disease can be problematic. Several different machine learning algorithms have been used to improve the detection of subclinical keratoconus based on the analysis of multiple types of clinical measures, such as corneal imaging, aberrometry, or biomechanical measurements.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to survey and critically evaluate the literature on the algorithmic detection of subclinical keratoconus and equivalent definitions.

METHODS

For this systematic review, we performed a structured search of the following databases: MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science and Cochrane Library from January 1, 2010, to October 31, 2020. We included all full-text studies that have used algorithms for the detection of subclinical keratoconus and excluded studies that did not perform validation. This systematic review followed the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) recommendations.

RESULTS

We compared the measured parameters and the design of the machine learning algorithms reported in 26 papers that met the inclusion criteria. All salient information required for detailed comparison, including diagnostic criteria, demographic data, sample size, acquisition system, validation details, parameter inputs, machine learning algorithm, and key results are reported in this study.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning has the potential to improve the detection of subclinical keratoconus or early keratoconus in routine ophthalmic practice. Currently, there is no consensus regarding the corneal parameters that should be included for assessment and the optimal design for the machine learning algorithm. We have identified avenues for further research to improve early detection and stratification of patients for early treatment to prevent disease progression.

Progressive corneal ectatic disease in pregnancy

Pregnancy influences ocular changes which may exacerbate existing or develop new pathology. This review summarises the existing evidence on the association between pregnancy and progressive keratoconus or iatrogenic keratectasia. Ten online databases were searched systematically. Eligible studies were published in English and reported objective ophthalmic outcomes for women with evidence of (i) a new diagnosis of keratoconus, (ii) keratoconus progression or (iii) iatrogenic keratectasia following refractive surgery; during or within one year of pregnancy. Strength of evidence was assessed using the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine levels of evidence. Seventeen articles have reported 33 peripartum women with new-onset or progressive ectasia, evident by signs of corneal hydrops or protrusion (n = 8); steepening on topography imaging (n = 20); a mean decline in best corrected visual acuity by +0.20 logMAR (95% CI -0.01 to +0.40, n = 23); a mean increase in maximum keratometry by 2.18 D (95% CI 1.44 to 2.91, n = 42); a mean decline in spherical equivalent refraction by -1.33 D (95% CI -1.73 to -0.93, n = 41); and a mean increase in astigmatism by -1.61 D (95% CI -2.46 to -0.75, n = 19). Pregnancy is associated with progressive ectasia in some women including those with previously stable keratoconus, or a history of laser-assisted in situ keratomileusis surgery or no history of corneal ectasia. This review highlights the heterogeneity in limited existing evidence, the need for a standardised definition of ectasia progression and further prospective studies for clinical guidelines. Closely monitoring women at risk may assist in early intervention with collagen cross-linking and prevent peripartum vision loss.

Effect of Corneal Cross-linking versus Standard Care on Keratoconus Progression in Young Patients: The KERALINK Randomized Controlled Trial

PURPOSE

To examine the efficacy and safety of corneal cross-linking (CXL) for stabilization of progressive keratoconus.

DESIGN

Observer-masked, randomized, controlled, parallel-group superiority trial.

PARTICIPANTS

Sixty participants 10 to 16 years of age with progressive keratoconus, one eye of each deemed the study eye.

METHODS

The study eye was randomized to either CXL plus standard care or standard care alone, with spectacle or contact lens correction as necessary for vision.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was steep keratometry (K2) in the study eye as a measure of the steepness of the cornea at 18 months. Secondary outcomes included keratoconus progression defined as a 1.5-diopter (D) increase in K2, visual acuity, keratoconus apex corneal thickness, and quality of life.

RESULTS

Of 60 participants, 30 were randomized to CXL and standard care groups. Of these, 30 patients in the CXL group and 28 patients in the standard care group were analyzed. Mean K2 in the study eye 18 months after randomization was 49.7 D (standard deviation [SD], 3.8 D) in the CXL group and 53.4 D (SD, 5.8 D) in the standard care group. The adjusted mean difference in K2 in the study eye was -3.0 D (95% confidence interval [CI], -4.9 to -1.1 D; P = 0.002), favoring CXL. Adjusted differences between groups in uncorrected and corrected vision favored eyes receiving CXL: -0.31 logarithm of the minimum angle of resolution (logMAR; 95% CI, -0.50 to -0.11 logMAR; P = 0.002) and -0.51 logMAR (95% CI, -1.37 to 0.35 logMAR; P = 0.002). Keratoconus progression in the study eye occurred in 2 patients (7%) randomized to CXL compared with 12 patients (43%) randomized to standard care. The unadjusted odds ratio suggests that on average, patients in the CXL arm had 90% (odds ratio, 0.1; 95% CI, 0.02-0.48; P = 0.004) lower odds of experiencing progression compared with those receiving standard care.

CONCLUSIONS

CXL arrests progression of keratoconus in the majority of young patients. CXL should be considered as a first-line treatment in progressive disease. If the arrest of keratoconus progression induced by CXL is sustained in longer follow-up, particular benefit may be derived from avoiding a later requirement for contact lens wear or corneal transplantation.

Corneal cross-linking versus conventional management for keratoconus: a lifetime economic model

AIMS

To assess the cost-effectiveness of corneal collagen cross-linking (CXL) versus no CXL for keratoconus in the United States (US).

METHODS

A discrete-event microsimulation was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of corneal cross-linking (CXL, Photrexa + KXL combination product) versus no CXL for patients with keratoconus. The lifetime model was conducted from a US payor perspective. The source for CXL efficacy and safety data was a 12-month randomized, open-label, sham-controlled, multi-center, pivotal trial comparing CXL versus no CXL. Other inputs were sourced from the literature. The primary outcome was the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year gained. Costs (2019 USD) and effects were discounted 3% annually. The impacts of underlying uncertainty were evaluated by scenario, univariate, and probabilistic analyses.

RESULTS

Starting at a mean baseline age of 31 years and considering a mixed population consisting of 80% slow-progressors and 20% fast-progressors, the CXL group was 25.9% less likely to undergo penetrating keratoplasty (PK) and spent 27.9 fewer years in advanced disease stages. CXL was dominant with lower total direct medical costs (-$8,677; $30,994 versus $39,671) and more QALYs (1.88; 21.80 versus 19.93) compared to no CXL. Considering the impact of reduced productivity loss in an exploratory scenario, CXL was associated with a lifetime cost-savings of $43,759 per patient. CXL was cost-effective within 2 years and cost-saving within 4.5 years.

LIMITATIONS

Limitations include those that are common to similar pharmacoeconomic models that rely on disparate sources for inputs and extrapolation on short-term outcomes to a long-term analytical horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

Keratoconus is a progressive and life-altering disease with substantial clinical, economic, and humanistic consequences. The economic value of cross-linking is maximized when applied earlier in the disease process and/or younger age, and extends to improved work productivity, out-of-pocket costs, and quality of life.

Keratoconus Screening Using Values Derived From Auto-Keratometer Measurements: A Multicenter Study

PURPOSE

Screening of early-stage keratoconus using auto-keratometer parameters.

DESIGN

Evaluation of a screening approach.

METHODS

At 5 major centers in Japan, we enrolled 123 eyes of 123 patients with Amsler-Krumeich classification stage 1 (<50 years of age [average 26.36 ± 8.68 years]; 84/39 male/female) and 205 eyes of 205 healthy subjects (average age 26.20 ± 7.34 years, 139/66 male/female). Participants were divided 2:1 into a prediction group and an application group. In the prediction group, multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed with keratoconus diagnosis as the dependent variable, and auto-keratometer parameters including average K, steep K, flat K, astigmatism, and astigmatic axis (no, with-the-rule, against-the-rule, and oblique) as independent variables. The diagnostic probability determined by regression analysis was defined as the keratometer keratoconus index. The cutoff value was determined from the receiver operating characteristic curve. This prediction equation was evaluated in the application group. Our primary outcome measure was the accuracy of the prediction equation for discriminating keratoconus from normal eyes.

RESULTS

The selected explanatory variables were steep K (partial regression coefficient [β] 1.284, odds ratio [OR] 3.610), flat K (β -0.618, OR 0.539), and with-the-rule astigmatism (β -3.163, OR 0.042). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of keratometer keratoconus index was 0.90, which was significantly better than individual parameters (P < .001). The sensitivity and specificity values in the application group were 85.0% and 86.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the sensitivity/specificity was not high, the new prediction equation using auto-keratometer-derived parameters enabled better discrimination of early-stage keratoconus than the isolated parameters.

Diagnostic patterns in keratoconus

PURPOSE

To investigate the current patterns of diagnosis and referral in keratoconus.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was performed of patients who had recently been diagnosed with keratoconus and attended dedicated clinics at Antwerp University Hospital, Belgium and Maria Middelares General Hospital, Ghent, Belgium between June 2013 and February 2018. Exclusion criteria included longstanding keratoconus diagnosis, reduced cognitive capabilities and prior surgical procedures (corneal crosslinking, penetrating keratoplasty or any type of refractive surgery).

RESULTS

Three-hundred and ninety-nine patients (722 eyes) were included in this study. The mean age was 24.7 ± 6.5 years and the average maximal keratometry was 51 ± 5.2 D for the better eye and 58.4 ± 9.6 D for the worse eye. Upon diagnosis, 233 eyes (32.2 %) and 51 eyes (7.1 %) had a thinnest pachymetry <450 and <400 μm, respectively. At 6-month follow-up, 58 % of patients had been fitted with specialty contact lenses. During follow-up, 199 eyes (27.6 %) underwent corneal crosslinking. One patient underwent corneal graft surgery of his worse eye due to contact lens intolerance and insufficient visual acuity.

CONCLUSION

Despite advances in diagnostic tools, keratoconus is often diagnosed at a relatively late stage. Earlier detection of keratoconus would increase the overall clinical benefit of corneal crosslinking. Further research into screening strategies is required to develop cost-effective screening programs.

KeratoDetect: Keratoconus Detection Algorithm Using Convolutional Neural Networks

Keratoconus (KTC) is a noninflammatory disorder characterized by progressive thinning, corneal deformation, and scarring of the cornea. The pathological mechanisms of this condition have been investigated for a long time. In recent years, this disease has come to the attention of many research centers because the number of people diagnosed with keratoconus is on the rise. In this context, solutions that facilitate both the diagnostic and treatment options are quickly needed. The main contribution of this paper is the implementation of an algorithm that is able to determine whether an eye is affected or not by keratoconus. The KeratoDetect algorithm analyzes the corneal topography of the eye using a convolutional neural network (CNN) that is able to extract and learn the features of a keratoconus eye. The results show that the KeratoDetect algorithm ensures a high level of performance, obtaining an accuracy of 99.33% on the data test set. KeratoDetect can assist the ophthalmologist in rapid screening of its patients, thus reducing diagnostic errors and facilitating treatment.

Corneal Cross-Linking for Pediatric Keratcoconus Review

PURPOSE

To comprehensively review the available published literature for cross-linking in the pediatric population.

METHODS

Review of the literature published in English in PubMed.

RESULTS

Two hundred ten publications were considered. One hundred fifteen were considered relevant to this review.

CONCLUSIONS

Studies of cross-linking in pediatric patients are sparse, with relatively short follow-up times, and mostly on small groups of patients. Treatment with cross-linking halts progression of keratoconus in the pediatric population, and early treatment seems to be cost-effective compared with later penetrating keratoplasty. Long-term effects and regression rates remain unclear, and further studies are needed in this population.

Customized Topography-Guided Corneal Collagen Cross-linking for Keratoconus

PURPOSE

To compare the efficacy and safety of topography-guided corneal collagen cross-linking (TG-CXL) to conventional corneal CXL (C-CXL) in progressive keratoconus.

METHODS

In this prospective, nonrandomized clinical trial, 60 eyes of 60 patients were scheduled to receive either TG-CXL (30 eyes with deepithelialization focused on the cone, riboflavin application for 10 minutes, and 30 mW/cm² pulsed ultraviolet-A irradiance pattern according to topography) or C-CXL (30 eyes treated in accordance with the Dresden protocol). Patients were observed for 1 year postoperatively. Maximum keratometry (Kmax), mean keratometry in the inferior part of the cornea (I index), corrected distance visual acuity (CDVA), demarcation line observed in optical coherence tomography, and nerves and cell densities analyzed by confocal microscopy were compared preoperatively and at 1 year postoperatively.

RESULTS

The difference was significant for both Kmax (P < .01) and I index (P < .01) between the two groups. CDVA improved significantly in the TG-CXL (0.2162 ± 0.2495 logMAR, P < .05) versus the C-CXL (0.2648 ± 0.2574 logMAR, P = .104) group. A stromal demarcation line was observed in both treatment groups, with similar depth at the top of the cone (P = .391), but it was shallower at the surrounding area in the TG-CXL group (P < .0001). Stromal evaluation by confocal microscopy showed less damage and faster healing in the surrounding area than on the cone area in the TG-CXL group.

CONCLUSIONS

At 1 year postoperatively, TG-CXL seems to be as safe as C-CXL with stronger flattening in Kmax and I index and better improvement in CDVA. TG-CXL induces a biological gradient between the cone and the surrounding area that facilitates nerve and cell recovery. [J Refract Surg. 2017;33(5):290-297.].

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Corneal Collagen Crosslinking for Progressive Keratoconus

PURPOSE

To evaluate the cost effectiveness of corneal collagen crosslinking (CXL) for progressive keratoconus from the healthcare payer's perspective.

DESIGN

A probabilistic Markov-type model using data from published clinical trials and cohort studies.

PARTICIPANTS

Two identical cohorts, each comprising 1000 virtual patients with progressive bilateral keratoconus, were modeled; one cohort underwent CXL and the other cohort received no intervention.

METHODS

Both cohorts were modeled and evaluated annually over a lifetime. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total cost, disease progression, and the probability of corneal transplantation, graft failure, or both were calculated based on data from published trials and cohort studies. These outcomes were compared between the 2 cohorts. In our base scenario, the stabilizing effect of CXL was assumed to be 10 years; however, longer durations also were analyzed. One-way sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the outcomes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), defined as euros per QALY.

RESULTS

Assuming a 10-year effect of CXL, the ICER was €54 384/QALY ($59 822/QALY). When we adjusted the effect of CXL to a lifelong stabilizing effect, the ICER decreased to €10 149/QALY ($11 163/QALY). Other sensitivity and scenario analyses that had a relevant impact on ICER included the discount rate, visual acuity before CXL, and healthcare costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Corneal collagen crosslinking for progressive keratoconus is cost effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of 3 times the current gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. Moreover, a longer stabilizing effect of CXL increases cost effectiveness. If CXL had a stabilizing effect on keratoconus of 15 years or longer, then the ICER would be less than the 1 × GDP per capita threshold and thus very cost effective.

Corneal Collagen Cross-Linking in the Management of Keratoconus in Canada: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

PURPOSE

To use patient-level microsimulation models to evaluate the comparative cost-effectiveness of early corneal cross-linking (CXL) and conventional management with penetrating keratoplasty (PKP) when indicated in managing keratoconus in Canada.

DESIGN

Cost-utility analysis using individual-based, state-transition microsimulation models.

PARTICIPANTS

Simulated cohorts of 100 000 individuals with keratoconus who entered each treatment arm at 25 years of age. Fellow eyes were modeled separately. Simulated individuals lived up to a maximum of 110 years.

METHODS

We developed 2 state-transition microsimulation models to reflect the natural history of keratoconus progression and the impact of conventional management with PKP versus CXL. We collected data from the published literature to inform model parameters. We used realistic parameters that maximized the potential costs and complications of CXL, while minimizing those associated with PKP. In each treatment arm, we allowed simulated individuals to move through health states in monthly cycles from diagnosis until death.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

For each treatment strategy, we calculated the total cost and number of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained. Costs were measured in Canadian dollars. Costs and QALYs were discounted at 5%, converting future costs and QALYs into present values. We used an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER = difference in lifetime costs/difference in lifetime health outcomes) to compare the cost-effectiveness of CXL versus conventional management with PKP.

RESULTS

Lifetime costs and QALYs for CXL were estimated to be Can$5530 (Can$4512, discounted) and 50.12 QALYs (16.42 QALYs, discounted). Lifetime costs and QALYs for conventional management with PKP were Can$2675 (Can$1508, discounted) and 48.93 QALYs (16.09 QALYs, discounted). The discounted ICER comparing CXL to conventional management was Can$9090/QALY gained. Sensitivity analyses revealed that in general, parameter variations did not influence the cost-effectiveness of CXL.

CONCLUSIONS

CXL is cost-effective compared with conventional management with PKP in the treatment of keratoconus. Our ICER of Can$9090/QALY falls well below the range of Can$20 000 to Can$100 000/QALY and below US$50 000/QALY, thresholds generally used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of health interventions in Canada and the United States. This study provides strong economic evidence for the cost-effectiveness of early CXL in keratoconus.