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Montagna S, Magno D, Ferretti S, Stelluti M, Gona A, Dionisi C, Simonazzi G, Martini S, Corvaglia L, Aceti A. Combining artificial intelligence and conventional statistics to predict bronchopulmonary dysplasia in very preterm infants using routinely collected clinical variables. Pediatr Pulmonol 2024. [PMID: 39150150 DOI: 10.1002/ppul.27216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2024] [Revised: 08/01/2024] [Accepted: 08/05/2024] [Indexed: 08/17/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Prematurity is the strongest predictor of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). Most previous studies investigated additional risk factors by conventional statistics, while the few studies applying artificial intelligence, and specifically machine learning (ML), for this purpose were mainly targeted to the predictive ability of specific interventions. This study aimed to apply ML to identify, among routinely collected data, variables predictive of BPD, and to compare these variables with those identified through conventional statistics. METHODS Very preterm infants were recruited; antenatal, perinatal, and postnatal clinical data were collected. A BPD prediction model was built using conventional statistics, and nine supervised ML algorithms were applied for the same purpose: the results of the best-performing model were described and compared with those of conventional statistics. RESULTS Both conventional statistics and ML identified the degree of immaturity (low gestational age and/or birth weight), need for mechanical ventilation, and absent or reversed end diastolic flow (AREDF) in the umbilical arteries as risk factors for BPD. Each of the two approaches also identified additional potentially predictive clinical variables. CONCLUSION ML algorithms might be useful to integrate conventional statistics in identifying novel risk factors, in addition to prematurity, for the development of BPD in very preterm infants. Specifically, the identification of AREDF status as an independent risk factor for BPD by both conventional statistics and ML highlights the opportunity to include detailed antenatal information in clinical predictive models for neonatal diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sara Montagna
- Department of Pure and Applied Sciences (DiSPeA), University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Urbino, Italy
| | - Dalila Magno
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, IRCCS AOU BO, Bologna, Italy
| | - Stefano Ferretti
- Department of Pure and Applied Sciences (DiSPeA), University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Urbino, Italy
| | - Michele Stelluti
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Andrea Gona
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Camilla Dionisi
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Obstetric Unit, IRCCS AOU BO, Bologna, Italy
| | - Giuliana Simonazzi
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Obstetric Unit, IRCCS AOU BO, Bologna, Italy
| | - Silvia Martini
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, IRCCS AOU BO, Bologna, Italy
| | - Luigi Corvaglia
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, IRCCS AOU BO, Bologna, Italy
| | - Arianna Aceti
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, IRCCS AOU BO, Bologna, Italy
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Malhotra A, Molloy EJ, Bearer CF, Mulkey SB. Emerging role of artificial intelligence, big data analysis and precision medicine in pediatrics. Pediatr Res 2023; 93:281-283. [PMID: 36807652 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-022-02422-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 02/19/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Atul Malhotra
- Department of Paediatrics, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. .,Monash Newborn, Monash Children's Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
| | - Eleanor J Molloy
- Paediatrics, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland.,Children's Hospital Ireland at Tallaght, Dublin, Ireland.,Neonatology, Coombe Women's and Infants University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Cynthia F Bearer
- Department of Pediatrics, Rainbow Babies & Children's Hospital, UH CMC, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Sarah B Mulkey
- Prenatal Pediatrics Institute, Children's National Hospital, Washington, DC, USA.,Department of Neurology, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA.,Department of Pediatrics, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
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