Prognostic indices in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: a population-based comparison and validation study of multiple models

Revisiting beta-2 microglobulin as a prognostic marker in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

BACKGROUND

Several clinical prognostic models for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) have been proposed, including the most commonly used International Prognostic Index (IPI), the National Comprehensive Cancer Network IPI (NCCN-IPI), and models incorporating beta-2 microglobulin (β2M). However, the role of β2M in DLBCL patients is not fully understood.

METHODS

We identified 6075 patients with newly diagnosed DLBCL treated with immunochemotherapy registered in the Danish Lymphoma Registry.

RESULTS

A total of 3232 patients had data available to calculate risk scores from each of the nine considered risk models for DLBCL, including a model developed from our population. Three of four models with β2M and NCCN-IPI performed better than the International Prognostic Indexes (IPI, age-adjusted IPI, and revised IPI). Five-year overall survival for high- and low-risk patients were 43.6% and 86.4% for IPI and 34.9% and 96.2% for NCCN-IPI. In univariate analysis, higher levels of β2M were associated with inferior survival, higher tumor burden (advanced clinical stage and bulky disease), previous malignancy and increased age, and creatinine levels. Furthermore, we developed a model (β2M-NCCN-IPI) by adding β2M to NCCN-IPI (c-index 0.708) with improved discriminatory ability compared to NCCN-IPI (c-index 0.698, p < 0.05) and 5-year OS of 33.1%, 56.2%, 82.4%, and 96.4% in the high, high-intermediate, low-intermediate and low-risk group, respectively.

CONCLUSION

International Prognostic Indices, except for NCCN-IPI, fail to accurately discriminate risk groups in the rituximab era. β2M, a readily available marker, could improve the discriminatory performance of NCCN-IPI and should be re-evaluated in the development setting of future models for DLBCL.

A Novel Inflammatory-Nutritional Prognostic Scoring System for Patients with Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma

Purpose

This study aimed to examine the predictive ability of inflammatory and nutritional markers and further establish a novel inflammatory nutritional prognostic scoring (INPS) system.

Patients and Methods

We collected clinicopathological and baseline laboratory data of 352 patients with DLBCL between April 2010 and January 2023 at the First affiliated hospital of Ningbo University. Eligible patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts (n = 281 and 71, respectively) in an 8:2 ratio. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model to determine the most important factors among the eight inflammatory-nutritional variables. The impact of INPS on OS was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier curve and the Log rank test. A prognostic nomogram was developed based on the multivariate Cox regression method. Then, we used the concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to evaluate the prognostic performance and predictive accuracy of the nomogram.

Results

Seven inflammatory-nutritional biomarkers, including neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), body mass index (BMI), monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), prealbumin, C reactive protein, and D-dimer were selected using the LASSO Cox analysis to construct INPS, In the multivariate analysis, IPI-High-intermediate group, IPI-High group, high INPS were independently associated with OS, respectively. The prognostic nomogram for overall survival consisting of the above two indicators showed excellent discrimination. The C-index for the nomogram was 0.94 and 0.95 in the training and validation cohorts. The time-dependent ROC curves showed that the predictive accuracy of the nomogram for OS was better than that of the NCCN-IPI system.

Conclusion

The INPS based on seven inflammatory-nutritional indexes was a reliable and convenient predictor of outcomes in DLBCL patients.