Optimizing whole-genomic prediction for autotetraploid blueberry breeding

To be or not to be tetraploid-the impact of marker ploidy on genomic prediction and GWAS of potato

Cultivated potato, Solanum tuberosum L., is considered an autotetraploid with 12 chromosomes with four homologous phases. However, recent evidence found that, due to frequent large phase deletions in the genome, gene ploidy is not constant across the genome. The elite cultivar "Otava" was found to have an average gene copy number of 3.2 across all loci. Breeding programs for elite potato cultivars rely increasingly on genomic prediction tools for selection breeding and elucidation of quantitative trait loci underpinning trait genetic variance. These are typically based on anonymous single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers, which are usually called from, for example, SNP array or sequencing data using a tetraploid model. In this study, we analyzed the impact of using whole genome markers genotyped as either tetraploid or observed allele frequencies from genotype-by-sequencing data on single-trait additive genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) genomic prediction (GP) models and single-marker regression genome-wide association studies of potato to evaluate the implications of capturing varying ploidy on the statistical models employed in genomic breeding. A panel of 762 offspring of a diallel cross of 18 parents of elite breeding material was used for modeling. These were genotyped by sequencing and phenotyped for five key performance traits: chipping quality, length/width ratio, senescence, dry matter content, and yield. We also estimated the read coverage required to confidently discriminate between a heterozygous triploid and tetraploid state from simulated data. It was found that using a tetraploid model neither impaired nor improved genomic predictions compared to using the observed allele frequencies that account for true marker ploidy. In genome-wide associations studies (GWAS), very minor variations of both signal amplitude and number of SNPs supporting both minor and major quantitative trait loci (QTLs) were observed between the two data sets. However, all major QTLs were reproducible using both data sets.

Variant calling in polyploids for population and quantitative genetics

Advancements in genome assembly and sequencing technology have made whole genome sequence (WGS) data and reference genomes accessible to study polyploid species. Compared to popular reduced-representation sequencing approaches, the genome-wide coverage and greater marker density provided by WGS data can greatly improve our understanding of polyploid species and polyploid biology. However, biological features that make polyploid species interesting also pose challenges in read mapping, variant identification, and genotype estimation. Accounting for characteristics in variant calling like allelic dosage uncertainty, homology between subgenomes, and variance in chromosome inheritance mode can reduce errors. Here, I discuss the challenges of variant calling in polyploid WGS data and discuss where potential solutions can be integrated into a standard variant calling pipeline.

Genomic selection in plant breeding: Key factors shaping two decades of progress

Genomic selection, the application of genomic prediction (GP) models to select candidate individuals, has significantly advanced in the past two decades, effectively accelerating genetic gains in plant breeding. This article provides a holistic overview of key factors that have influenced GP in plant breeding during this period. We delved into the pivotal roles of training population size and genetic diversity, and their relationship with the breeding population, in determining GP accuracy. Special emphasis was placed on optimizing training population size. We explored its benefits and the associated diminishing returns beyond an optimum size. This was done while considering the balance between resource allocation and maximizing prediction accuracy through current optimization algorithms. The density and distribution of single-nucleotide polymorphisms, level of linkage disequilibrium, genetic complexity, trait heritability, statistical machine-learning methods, and non-additive effects are the other vital factors. Using wheat, maize, and potato as examples, we summarize the effect of these factors on the accuracy of GP for various traits. The search for high accuracy in GP-theoretically reaching one when using the Pearson's correlation as a metric-is an active research area as yet far from optimal for various traits. We hypothesize that with ultra-high sizes of genotypic and phenotypic datasets, effective training population optimization methods and support from other omics approaches (transcriptomics, metabolomics and proteomics) coupled with deep-learning algorithms could overcome the boundaries of current limitations to achieve the highest possible prediction accuracy, making genomic selection an effective tool in plant breeding.

A marker weighting approach for enhancing within-family accuracy in genomic prediction

Genomic selection is revolutionizing plant breeding. However, its practical implementation is still very challenging, since predicted values do not necessarily have high correspondence to the observed phenotypic values. When the goal is to predict within-family, it is not always possible to obtain reasonable accuracies, which is of paramount importance to improve the selection process. For this reason, in this research, we propose the Adversaria-Boruta (AB) method, which combines the virtues of the adversarial validation (AV) method and the Boruta feature selection method. The AB method operates primarily by minimizing the disparity between training and testing distributions. This is accomplished by reducing the weight assigned to markers that display the most significant differences between the training and testing sets. Therefore, the AB method built a weighted genomic relationship matrix that is implemented with the genomic best linear unbiased predictor (GBLUP) model. The proposed AB method is compared using 12 real data sets with the GBLUP model that uses a nonweighted genomic relationship matrix. Our results show that the proposed AB method outperforms the GBLUP by 8.6, 19.7, and 9.8% in terms of Pearson's correlation, mean square error, and normalized root mean square error, respectively. Our results support that the proposed AB method is a useful tool to improve the prediction accuracy of a complete family, however, we encourage other investigators to evaluate the AB method to increase the empirical evidence of its potential.

polyGBLUP: a modified genomic best linear unbiased prediction improved the genomic prediction efficiency for autopolyploid species

Given the universality of autopolyploid species in nature, it is crucial to develop genomic selection methods that consider different allele dosages for autopolyploid breeding. However, no method has been developed to deal with autopolyploid data regardless of the ploidy level. In this study, we developed a modified genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) model (polyGBLUP) through constructing additive and dominant genomic relationship matrices based on different allele dosages. polyGBLUP could carry out genomic prediction for autopolyploid species regardless of the ploidy level. Through comprehensive simulations and analysis of real data of autotetraploid blueberry and guinea grass and autohexaploid sweet potato, the results showed that polyGBLUP achieved higher prediction accuracy than GBLUP and its superiority was more obvious when the ploidy level of autopolyploids is high. Furthermore, when the dominant effect was added to polyGBLUP (polyGDBLUP), the greater the dominance degree, the more obvious the advantages of polyGDBLUP over the diploid models in terms of prediction accuracy, bias, mean squared error and mean absolute error. For real data, the superiority of polyGBLUP over GBLUP appeared in blueberry and sweet potato populations and a part of the traits in guinea grass population due to the high correlation coefficients between diploid and polyploidy genomic relationship matrices. In addition, polyGDBLUP did not produce higher prediction accuracy than polyGBLUP for most traits of real data as dominant genetic variance was not captured for these traits. Our study will be a significant promising method for genomic prediction of autopolyploid species.

Using visual scores for genomic prediction of complex traits in breeding programs

KEY MESSAGE

An approach for handling visual scores with potential errors and subjectivity in scores was evaluated in simulated and blueberry recurrent selection breeding schemes to assist breeders in their decision-making. Most genomic prediction methods are based on assumptions of normality due to their simplicity and ease of implementation. However, in plant and animal breeding, continuous traits are often visually scored as categorical traits and analyzed as a Gaussian variable, thus violating the normality assumption, which could affect the prediction of breeding values and the estimation of genetic parameters. In this study, we examined the main challenges of visual scores for genomic prediction and genetic parameter estimation using mixed models, Bayesian, and machine learning methods. We evaluated these approaches using simulated and real breeding data sets. Our contribution in this study is a five-fold demonstration: (i) collecting data using an intermediate number of categories (1-3 and 1-5) is the best strategy, even considering errors associated with visual scores; (ii) Linear Mixed Models and Bayesian Linear Regression are robust to the normality violation, but marginal gains can be achieved when using Bayesian Ordinal Regression Models (BORM) and Random Forest Classification; (iii) genetic parameters are better estimated using BORM; (iv) our conclusions using simulated data are also applicable to real data in autotetraploid blueberry; and (v) a comparison of continuous and categorical phenotypes found that investing in the evaluation of 600-1000 categorical data points with low error, when it is not feasible to collect continuous phenotypes, is a strategy for improving predictive abilities. Our findings suggest the best approaches for effectively using visual scores traits to explore genetic information in breeding programs and highlight the importance of investing in the training of evaluator teams and in high-quality phenotyping.

Genome-wide family prediction unveils molecular mechanisms underlying the regulation of agronomic traits in Urochloa ruziziensis

Tropical forage grasses, particularly those belonging to the Urochloa genus, play a crucial role in cattle production and serve as the main food source for animals in tropical and subtropical regions. The majority of these species are apomictic and tetraploid, highlighting the significance of U. ruziziensis, a sexual diploid species that can be tetraploidized for use in interspecific crosses with apomictic species. As a means to support breeding programs, our study investigates the feasibility of genome-wide family prediction in U. ruziziensis families to predict agronomic traits. Fifty half-sibling families were assessed for green matter yield, dry matter yield, regrowth capacity, leaf dry matter, and stem dry matter across different clippings established in contrasting seasons with varying available water capacity. Genotyping was performed using a genotyping-by-sequencing approach based on DNA samples from family pools. In addition to conventional genomic prediction methods, machine learning and feature selection algorithms were employed to reduce the necessary number of markers for prediction and enhance predictive accuracy across phenotypes. To explore the regulation of agronomic traits, our study evaluated the significance of selected markers for prediction using a tree-based approach, potentially linking these regions to quantitative trait loci (QTLs). In a multiomic approach, genes from the species transcriptome were mapped and correlated to those markers. A gene coexpression network was modeled with gene expression estimates from a diverse set of U. ruziziensis genotypes, enabling a comprehensive investigation of molecular mechanisms associated with these regions. The heritabilities of the evaluated traits ranged from 0.44 to 0.92. A total of 28,106 filtered SNPs were used to predict phenotypic measurements, achieving a mean predictive ability of 0.762. By employing feature selection techniques, we could reduce the dimensionality of SNP datasets, revealing potential genotype-phenotype associations. The functional annotation of genes near these markers revealed associations with auxin transport and biosynthesis of lignin, flavonol, and folic acid. Further exploration with the gene coexpression network uncovered associations with DNA metabolism, stress response, and circadian rhythm. These genes and regions represent important targets for expanding our understanding of the metabolic regulation of agronomic traits and offer valuable insights applicable to species breeding. Our work represents an innovative contribution to molecular breeding techniques for tropical forages, presenting a viable marker-assisted breeding approach and identifying target regions for future molecular studies on these agronomic traits.

Boosting grapevine breeding for climate-smart viticulture: from genetic resources to predictive genomics

The multifaceted nature of climate change is increasing the urgency to select resilient grapevine varieties, or generate new, fitter cultivars, to withstand a multitude of new challenging conditions. The attainment of this goal is hindered by the limiting pace of traditional breeding approaches, which require decades to result in new selections. On the other hand, marker-assisted breeding has proved useful when it comes to traits governed by one or few genes with great effects on the phenotype, but its efficacy is still restricted for complex traits controlled by many loci. On these premises, innovative strategies are emerging which could help guide selection, taking advantage of the genetic diversity within the Vitis genus in its entirety. Multiple germplasm collections are also available as a source of genetic material for the introgression of alleles of interest via adapted and pioneering transformation protocols, which present themselves as promising tools for future applications on a notably recalcitrant species such as grapevine. Genome editing intersects both these strategies, not only by being an alternative to obtain focused changes in a relatively rapid way, but also by supporting a fine-tuning of new genotypes developed with other methods. A review on the state of the art concerning the available genetic resources and the possibilities of use of innovative techniques in aid of selection is presented here to support the production of climate-smart grapevine genotypes.

An Efficient Transformation System for Fast Production of VcCHS Transgenic Blueberry Callus and Its Expressional Analysis

The Agrobacterium tumefaciens-mediated transformation for blueberries remains less efficient than is desirable. A new leaf callus regeneration and genetic transformation system was investigated in blueberries in this study. The leaf explants of cv. 'Legacy' and 'Northland' were used to establish the stable callus induction system when placed on the woody plant medium (WPM) supplemented with 1.0 mg·L-1 2, 4-D, 0.4 mg·L-1 6-BA for 30 d; then, the callus was sub-cultured in the proliferation medium supplemented with 1.5 mg·L-1 2, 4-D, 0.4 mg·L-1 6-BA in the darkness at 25 °C every 30 days. The co-cultivation of callus with A. tumefaciens was operated on WPM plus 100 μM acetosyringone for 4 days; then, the transferred callus was grown in WPM supplemented with 1.5 mg·L-1 2,4-D, 0.4 mg·L-1 6-BA, 50 mg·L-1 hygromycin, and 200 mg·L-1 cefotaxime. The VcCHS transgenic blueberry callus with both GFP signal and Hyg resistance was obtained from the transformed callus of cv. 'Northland'. The rate of GFP signal detected in the transformed callus was as high as 49.02%, which was consistent with the PCR assay. Collectively, this study provides a highly efficient genetic transformation system in blueberry callus and a powerful approach for the molecular breeding of blueberries.

There and back again; historical perspective and future directions for Vaccinium breeding and research studies

The genus Vaccinium L. (Ericaceae) contains a wide diversity of culturally and economically important berry crop species. Consumer demand and scientific research in blueberry (Vaccinium spp.) and cranberry (Vaccinium macrocarpon) have increased worldwide over the crops' relatively short domestication history (~100 years). Other species, including bilberry (Vaccinium myrtillus), lingonberry (Vaccinium vitis-idaea), and ohelo berry (Vaccinium reticulatum) are largely still harvested from the wild but with crop improvement efforts underway. Here, we present a review article on these Vaccinium berry crops on topics that span taxonomy to genetics and genomics to breeding. We highlight the accomplishments made thus far for each of these crops, along their journey from the wild, and propose research areas and questions that will require investments by the community over the coming decades to guide future crop improvement efforts. New tools and resources are needed to underpin the development of superior cultivars that are not only more resilient to various environmental stresses and higher yielding, but also produce fruit that continue to meet a variety of consumer preferences, including fruit quality and health related traits.

When do autopolyploids need poly-sequencing data?

The sequencing depth required to genotype autopolyploid populations is a very controversial topic. Different studies have adopted variable depth values without a clear guide on the optimal sequencing depth value. Many studies suggest high depth thresholds for different ploidies that may not be practical and substantially increase the overall genotyping cost for different projects. However, such conservative thresholds may not be required to achieve the most common research goals. In fact, some recent reports in the field of quantitative genetics found that much lower sequencing depth thresholds could achieve the same accuracy as high depth thresholds. In this manuscript, I discuss when researchers need to use stringent sequencing depth thresholds and when they can use more relaxed ones. I support my argument by calculating the probabilities of sampling different homologues at a given sequencing depth. I also discuss the uses and the uncertainty in calculating a continuous allelic dosage as the proportion of sequencing reads that hold the alternative allele, which is becoming a common method now in quantitative genetics to replace discrete dosage estimation.

Strategies to Increase Prediction Accuracy in Genomic Selection of Complex Traits in Alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.)

Agronomic traits such as biomass yield and abiotic stress tolerance are genetically complex and challenging to improve through conventional breeding approaches. Genomic selection (GS) is an alternative approach in which genome-wide markers are used to determine the genomic estimated breeding value (GEBV) of individuals in a population. In alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.), previous results indicated that low to moderate prediction accuracy values (<70%) were obtained in complex traits, such as yield and abiotic stress resistance. There is a need to increase the prediction value in order to employ GS in breeding programs. In this paper we reviewed different statistic models and their applications in polyploid crops, such as alfalfa and potato. Specifically, we used empirical data affiliated with alfalfa yield under salt stress to investigate approaches that use DNA marker importance values derived from machine learning models, and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of marker-trait association scores based on different GWASpoly models, in weighted GBLUP analyses. This approach increased prediction accuracies from 50% to more than 80% for alfalfa yield under salt stress. Finally, we expended the weighted GBLUP approach to potato and analyzed 13 phenotypic traits and obtained similar results. This is the first report on alfalfa to use variable importance and GWAS-assisted approaches to increase the prediction accuracy of GS, thus helping to select superior alfalfa lines based on their GEBVs.

High-quality reference genome and annotation aids understanding of berry development for evergreen blueberry (Vaccinium darrowii)

Vaccinium darrowii Camp (2n = 2x = 24) is a native North American blueberry species and an important source of traits such as low chill requirement in commercial southern highbush blueberry breeding (Vaccinium corymbosum, 2n = 4x = 48). We present a chromosomal-scale genome of V. darrowii generated by the combination of PacBio sequencing and high throughput chromatin conformation capture (Hi-C) scaffolding technologies, yielding a total length of 1.06 Gigabases (Gb). Over 97.8% of the genome sequences are scaffolded into 24 chromosomes representing the two haplotypes. The primary haplotype assembly of V. darrowii contains 34,809 protein-coding genes. Comparison to a V. corymbosum haplotype assembly reveals high collinearity between the two genomes with small intrachromosomal rearrangements in eight chromosome pairs. With small RNA sequencing, the annotation was further expanded to include more than 200,000 small RNA loci and 638 microRNAs expressed in berry tissues. Transcriptome analysis across fruit development stages indicates that genes involved in photosynthesis are downregulated, while genes involved in flavonoid and anthocyanin biosynthesis are significantly increased at the late stage of berry ripening. A high-quality reference genome and accompanying annotation of V. darrowii is a significant new resource for assessing the evergreen blueberry contribution to the breeding of southern highbush blueberries.

Training Set Optimization for Sparse Phenotyping in Genomic Selection: A Conceptual Overview

Genomic selection (GS) is becoming an essential tool in breeding programs due to its role in increasing genetic gain per unit time. The design of the training set (TRS) in GS is one of the key steps in the implementation of GS in plant and animal breeding programs mainly because (i) TRS optimization is critical for the efficiency and effectiveness of GS, (ii) breeders test genotypes in multi-year and multi-location trials to select the best-performing ones. In this framework, TRS optimization can help to decrease the number of genotypes to be tested and, therefore, reduce phenotyping cost and time, and (iii) we can obtain better prediction accuracies from optimally selected TRS than an arbitrary TRS. Here, we concentrate the efforts on reviewing the lessons learned from TRS optimization studies and their impact on crop breeding and discuss important features for the success of TRS optimization under different scenarios. In this article, we review the lessons learned from training population optimization in plants and the major challenges associated with the optimization of GS including population size, the relationship between training and test set (TS), update of TRS, and the use of different packages and algorithms for TRS implementation in GS. Finally, we describe general guidelines to improving the rate of genetic improvement by maximizing the use of the TRS optimization in the GS framework.

Genomic prediction in family bulks using different traits and cross-validations in pine

Genomic prediction integrates statistical, genomic, and computational tools to improve the estimation of breeding values and increase genetic gain. Due to the broad diversity in mating systems, breeding schemes, propagation methods, and unit of selection, no universal genomic prediction approach can be applied in all crops. In a genome-wide family prediction (GWFP) approach, the family is the basic unit of selection. We tested GWFP in two loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) datasets: a breeding population composed of 63 full-sib families (5–20 individuals per family), and a simulated population with the same pedigree structure. In both populations, phenotypic and genomic data was pooled at the family level in silico. Marker effects were estimated to compute genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV) at the individual and family (GWFP) levels. Less than six individuals per family produced inaccurate estimates of family phenotypic performance and allele frequency. Tested across different scenarios, GWFP predictive ability was higher than those for GEBV in both populations. Validation sets composed of families with similar phenotypic mean and variance as the training population yielded predictions consistently higher and more accurate than other validation sets. Results revealed potential for applying GWFP in breeding programs whose selection unit are family, and for systems where family can serve as training sets. The GWFP approach is well suited for crops that are routinely genotyped and phenotyped at the plot-level, but it can be extended to other breeding programs. Higher predictive ability obtained with GWFP would motivate the application of genomic prediction in these situations.

Genomic Selection in an Outcrossing Autotetraploid Fruit Crop: Lessons From Blueberry Breeding

Blueberry (Vaccinium corymbosum and hybrids) is a specialty crop with expanding production and consumption worldwide. The blueberry breeding program at the University of Florida (UF) has greatly contributed to expanding production areas by developing low-chilling cultivars better adapted to subtropical and Mediterranean climates of the globe. The breeding program has historically focused on recurrent phenotypic selection. As an autopolyploid, outcrossing, perennial, long juvenile phase crop, blueberry breeding cycles are costly and time consuming, which results in low genetic gains per unit of time. Motivated by applying molecular markers for a more accurate selection in the early stages of breeding, we performed pioneering genomic selection studies and optimization for its implementation in the blueberry breeding program. We have also addressed some complexities of sequence-based genotyping and model parametrization for an autopolyploid crop, providing empirical contributions that can be extended to other polyploid species. We herein revisited some of our previous genomic selection studies and showed for the first time its application in an independent validation set. In this paper, our contribution is three-fold: (i) summarize previous results on the relevance of model parametrizations, such as diploid or polyploid methods, and inclusion of dominance effects; (ii) assess the importance of sequence depth of coverage and genotype dosage calling steps; (iii) demonstrate the real impact of genomic selection on leveraging breeding decisions by using an independent validation set. Altogether, we propose a strategy for using genomic selection in blueberry, with the potential to be applied to other polyploid species of a similar background.

TrainSel: An R Package for Selection of Training Populations

A major barrier to the wider use of supervised learning in emerging applications, such as genomic selection, is the lack of sufficient and representative labeled data to train prediction models. The amount and quality of labeled training data in many applications is usually limited and therefore careful selection of the training examples to be labeled can be useful for improving the accuracies in predictive learning tasks. In this paper, we present an R package, TrainSel, which provides flexible, efficient, and easy-to-use tools that can be used for the selection of training populations (STP). We illustrate its use, performance, and potentials in four different supervised learning applications within and outside of the plant breeding area.