Prognostic factors and outcomes of unplanned extubation

Factors that influence critical care nurses' management of sedation for ventilated patients in critical care: A qualitative study

BACKGROUND

Optimising sedation use is key to timely extubation. Whilst sedation protocols may be used to guide critical care nurses' management of sedation, sedation management and decision-making is complex, influenced by multiple factors related to patients' circumstances, intensive care unit design and the workforce.

AIM

To explore (i) critical care nurses' experiences managing sedation in mechanically ventilated patients and (ii) the factors that influence their sedation-related decision-making.

DESIGN

Qualitative descriptive study using semi-structured interviews. Data were analysed using Braun and Clarke's six-step thematic analysis.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

This study was conducted in a 26-bed level 3 accredited ICU, in a private hospital in Melbourne, Australia. The majority of patients are admitted following elective surgery. Critical care nurses, who were permanently employed as a registered nurse, worked at least 16 h per week, and cared for ventilated patients, were invited to participate.

FINDINGS

Thirteen critical care nurses participated. Initially, participants suggested their experiences managing sedation were linked to local unit policy and learning. Further exploration revealed that experiences were synonymous with descriptors of factors influencing sedation decision-making according to three themes: (i) Learning from past experiences, (ii) Situational awareness and (iii) Prioritising safety. Nurses relied on their cumulative knowledge from prior experiences to guide decision-making. Situational awareness about other emergent priorities in the unit, staffing and skill-mix were important factors in guiding sedation decision-making. Safety of patients and staff was essential, at times overriding goals to reduce sedation.

CONCLUSION

Sedation decision making cannot be considered in isolation. Rather, sedation decision making must take into account outcomes of patient assessment, emergent priorities, unit and staffing factors and safety concerns.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CLINICAL PRACTICE

Opportunities for ongoing education are essential to promote nurses' situational awareness of other emergent unit priorities, staffing and skill-mix, in addition to evidence-based sedation management and decision making.

Analytical Review of Unplanned Extubation in Intensive Care Units and Recommendation on Multidisciplinary Preventive Approaches

Unplanned extubations (UE) frequently occur in critical care units. These events are precipitated by many risk factors and are associated with adverse outcomes for patients. We reviewed the current literature to examine factors related to UE and presented the analysis of 41 articles critical to the topic. Our review has identified specific risk factors that we discuss in this review, such as sedation strategies, physical restraints, endotracheal tube position, and specific nursing care aspects associated with an increased incidence of UE. We recommend interventions to reduce the risk of UE. However, we recommend that bundled rather than a single intervention is likely to yield higher success, given the heterogeneity of factors contributing to increasing the risk of UE.

Development and testing of a questionnaire assessing knowledge, attitudes, and practices to prevent unplanned oral extubation

BACKGROUND

The prevention of unplanned endotracheal extubation (UEE) is significant for the critical care of intensive care unit (ICU) patients.

AIM

To develop a questionnaire to assess the knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) of the nurses regarding of the prevention of UEE in ICU patients with transoral endotracheal intubation (TEI) and to test the validity and reliability of the questionnaire.

STUDY DESIGN

Items relevant to KAP were prepared following a literature review, and then screened using a Delphi expert consultation, pre-test, and factor analysis. The nursing staffs in four tertiary hospitals in Qinghai, Jiangsu, Gansu, and Shandong provinces were surveyed to test the reliability and validity of the questionnaire.

RESULTS

The questionnaire contained 76 items, including 10, 37, and 29 in the dimensions of knowledge, attitude, and practice, respectively. The scale-level content validity index (S-CVI) of the questionnaire was 0.96. The results of exploratory factor analysis (EFA) showed that the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin value was 0.956, indicating that the sample was adequate and suitable for factor analysis. The result of the Bartlett spherical test was significant (p < .001), indicating that the questionnaire was suitable for further EFA. A total of six common factors were extracted by EFA with a cumulative variance interpretation rate of 85.52%, indicating that the questionnaire had good structural validity. The Cronbach's alpha was 0.981 for the whole questionnaire; and was 0.966, 0.996, and 0.981 for the dimensions of knowledge, attitude, and practice, respectively. The test-retest reliability for the questionnaire was 0.843.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed questionnaire has good reliability and validity and can be used as a scientific tool for the nursing leaders to prevent UEE in ICU patients with TEI.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

The instrument provides a theoretical reference for establishing preventive strategies and management programs in clinical practice.

Effect of hydrocolloid dressing on pressure ulcer in patients with non-invasive positive pressure ventilation: A meta-analysis

This study systematically evaluated the effect of hydrocolloid dressings on facial pressure ulcers in patients receiving non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV). The Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, CNKI, VIP, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database and Wanfang databases were searched for randomised controlled trials on the use of hydrocolloid dressings in patients receiving NIPPV published from the inception of each database to August 2023. The literature was independently screened, data were extracted by two authors based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, and the quality of the included literature was assessed. The meta-analysis was performed using Stata 17.0. Thirteen studies including 1248 patients were included, with 639 patients in the intervention group and 609 patients in the control group. Meta-analysis showed that the hydrocolloid dressing significantly reduced the incidence of facial pressure ulcers in patients with NIPPV (odds ratio = 0.16, 95% confidence intervals: 0.11-0.24, p < 0.001). Hydrocolloid dressings are effective in reducing the incidence of facial pressure ulcers in patients receiving NIPPV. However, because of the small number of included studies, this conclusion needs to be confirmed with larger samples and high-quality clinical studies.

Characteristics and risk factors of facial pressure injuries in acute inpatients using noninvasive positive pressure ventilation: A retrospective case control study

OBJECTIVE

To explore the characteristics and risk factors of facial pressure injuries in patients using noninvasive positive pressure ventilation.

SETTING AND SAMPLE

Patients who developed facial pressure injuries due to non-invasive positive pressure ventilation at a teaching hospital in Taiwan from January 2016 to December 2021 were selected, resulting in a total of 108 patients in our case group. A control group was formed by matching each case by age and gender to three acute inpatients who had used non-invasive ventilation but had not developed facial pressure injuries, resulting in 324 patients in the control group.

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

This study was a retrospective case-control study. The characteristics of the patients who developed pressure injuries at different stages in the case group were compared, and the risk factors of non-invasive ventilation-related facial pressure injuries were then determined.

RESULTS

Higher duration of non-invasive ventilation usage, higher length of hospital stay, lower Braden scale score, and lower albumin levels in the former group. The results of multivariate analysis from binary logistic regression involving the duration of non-invasive ventilation usage demonstrated that the patients who used this device for 4-9 days and 16 days were at greater risk of facial pressure injuries than those who used it for 3 days; in terms of the Braden scale score, higher Braden scale scores were correlated with a higher risk of facial pressure injuries. In addition, albumin levels lower than the normal range were correlated with a higher risk of facial pressure injuries.

CONCLUSION

Patients with pressure injuries at higher stages had a higher duration of non-invasive ventilation usage, higher length of hospital stay, lower Braden scale scores, and lower albumin levels. Thus, a longer duration of non-invasive ventilation use, lower Braden scale scores, and lower albumin levels were also risk factors for non-invasive ventilation-related facial pressure injuries.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CLINICAL PRACTICE

Our results serve as a useful reference for hospitals, both in creating training programs for their medical teams to prevent and treat facial pressure injuries and in drafting guidelines for assessing risk in order to prevent facial pressure injuries caused by non-invasive ventilation. The duration of device usage, Braden scale scores, and albumin levels in particular should be seriously monitored to reduce the occurrence of facial pressure injuries in acute inpatients treated with non-invasive ventilation.

Intraoperative Accidental Extubation during Thyroidectomy in a Known Difficult-Airway Patient: An Adult Simulation Case for Anesthesiology Residents

Intraoperative accidental extubation on a known difficult-airway patient requires prompt attention. A good understanding of the steps to re-establish the airway is critical, especially when the patient is known to have a difficult airway documented or discovered on induction or acquires a difficult airway secondary to intraoperative events. The situation becomes even more complicated if the case has been handed off to another anesthesiologist, where specific and detailed information may not have been conveyed. This simulation was designed to train first-year clinical anesthesia residents. It was a 50 min encounter that focused on the management of complete loss of an airway during a thyroidectomy on a known difficult-airway patient. The endotracheal tube dislodgement was simulated by deliberate tube manipulation through the cervical access window of the mannequin. Learners received a formative assessment of their performance during the debrief, and most of the residents met the educational objectives. Learners were asked to complete a survey of their experience, and the feedback was positive and constructive. The response rate was 68% (17/25). Our simulation program helped anesthesiology residents develop intraoperative emergency airway management skills in a safe environment, as well as foster communication skills among anesthesiologists and the surgery team.

The Early Dynamic Change in Cardiac Enzymes and Renal Function Is Associated with Mortality in Patients with Fulminant Myocarditis on Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation: Analysis of a Single Center's Experience

(1) Background: Fulminant myocarditis (FM) could result in hemodynamic derangement and fatal arrhythmia. Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A ECMO) is used to maintain organ perfusion in FM patients complicating cardiogenic shock. The present study aims to assess the static and dynamic factors in association with mortality in FM patients on V-A ECMO (2) Methods: Twenty-eight patients were enrolled between 2013 to 2019 for analysis (3) Results: In-hospital survival rate was 78.5%. There was no statistical difference in demographics and baseline laboratory data between survivors and non-survivors. However, within 24 h after ECMO support, CK-MB increased by 96.8% among non-survivors, but decreased by 23.7% among survivors (p = 0.022). Troponin I increased by 378% among non-survivors and 1.7% among survivors (p = 0.032). Serum creatinine increased by 108% among non-survivors, but decreased by 8.5% among survivors (p = 0.005). The receiver operating characteristic curve suggested an increase in serum creatinine by 68% within 24 h after ECMO support was associated with increased mortality with an area under the curve of 0.91. (4) Conclusions: V-A ECMO is an excellent tool to support FM patients with cardiogenic shock. The early dynamic change of renal function and cardiac enzymes may be useful for outcome assessment.

Superficial placement of endotracheal tubes associated with unplanned extubation: A case-control study

INTRODUCTION

Unplanned extubations (UEs) refer to the inadvertent removal of endotracheal tubes (ETTs). Superficially placed ETTs anecdotally increases the risk of UEs. This study aims to assess the impact of ETT position as well as other factors that could be associated with risk of UEs.

METHOD

A retrospective case-control study was conducted at NewYork-Presbyterian Queens Hospital from January 2017 to February 2020. All adults admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) who received mechanical ventilation (MV) through ETTs were screened to identify UEs. For each case with UE, two controls with planned extubation were identified. A multivariate logistic regression was conducted to identify risk factors associated with UEs.

RESULTS

1100 patients received MV through ETTs during the time period. The incidence of UE was 4.9%. 53 patients with UEs and 106 patients with planned extubation were included for statistical analysis. Overall, patients with UE had higher in-hospital mortality rates (26.4% versus 11.3%, P = 0.02) and reintubation rates (28.3% versus 6.6%, P < 0.001). Within the UE group, patients who required reintubation had significantly higher in-hospital mortality rates than those who did not require reintubation (53.3% versus 15.8%, P = 0.005). Multivariate logistic regression showed higher APACHE II scores (Odds ratios (OR) 1.07; 95% Confidence interval (CI), 1 to 1.13), distance of ETT tips to carina ≥6 cm (OR 6.41; 95% CI, 1.1 to 37.3), physical restraint use (OR 2.98; 95% CI, 1.28 to 6.95) and continuous infusions of sedatives and/or analgesics (OR 10.72, 95% CI, 4.19 to 27.43) were associated with UE.

CONCLUSION

UE and the need for reintubation is associated with worse outcomes. Distance of ETT tips to carina ≥6 cm may be associated with higher risks of UE. Further prospective studies are needed to establish the optimal position of ETT to prevent UE.

Relationship Between Delirium and Ventilatory Outcomes in the Medical Intensive Care Unit

BACKGROUND

Delirium is a common neuropsychiatric diagnosis in intensive care units and often leads to extended hospital stays and an increased rate of complications. Delirium can be classified as hypoactive, hyperactive, or mixed. Hyperactive delirium is often accompanied by agitation, which is a predictive factor for unplanned extubation. Hypoactive delirium does not include outward agitation; its incidence and relationship to ventilatory outcomes, specifically unplanned extubation and duration of mechanical ventilation, are relatively unexplored.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the occurrence rate of each delirium type in the first 7 days after intensive care unit admission and explore the relationship between delirium type and ventilatory outcomes.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study that enrolled adult patients consecutively admitted to a medical intensive care unit over 12 months. Data were abstracted on patient demographic variables, daily clinical variables (morning and evening delirium, coma, and sedation scores), and outcome variables (unplanned extubation, length of stay, and duration of mechanical ventilation).

RESULTS

We enrolled 171 patients in the study. Hypoactive delirium occurred in up to 44% of patients. Of 25 instances of unplanned extubation, up to 74% of patients had hypoactive delirium. Delirium was not a predictor of unplanned extubation; smoking history, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and failed breathing trials best predicted unplanned extubation (odds ratios = 3.2, 5.2, and 12.6, respectively; P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Hypoactive delirium is common among intensive care unit patients and may precede unplanned extubation. Patient history and comorbidities remain the strongest predictors of unplanned extubation.

Real-Time Optical Monitoring of Endotracheal Tube Displacement

Proper ventilation of a patient with an endotracheal tube (ETT) requires proper placement of the ETT. We present a sensitive, noninvasive, operator-free, and cost-effective optical sensor, called Opt-ETT, for the real-time assessment of ETT placement and alerting of the clinical care team should the ETT become displaced. The Opt-ETT uses a side-firing optical fiber, a near-infrared light-emitting diode, two photodetectors with an integrated amplifier, an Arduino board, and a computer loaded with a custom LabVIEW program to monitor the position of the endotracheal tube inside the windpipe. The Opt-ETT generates a visual and audible warning if the tube moves over a distance set by the operator. Displacement prediction is made using a second-order polynomial fit to the voltages measured from each detector. The system is tested on ex vivo porcine tissues, and the accuracy is determined to be better than 1.0 mm. In vivo experiments with a pig are conducted to test the performance and usability of the system.

The prognosis in extremely elderly patients receiving orotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation after planned extubation

The main objective of this study was to evaluate the outcomes of extremely elderly patients receiving orotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation after planned extubation. This retrospective cohort study included extremely elderly patients (>90 years) who received mechanical ventilation and passed planned extubation. We reviewed all intensive care unit patients in a medical center between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2017. There were 19,518 patients (aged between 20 and 105 years) during the study period. After application of the exclusion criteria, there were 213 patients who underwent planned extubation: 166 patients survived, and 47 patients died. Compared with the mortality group, the survival group had lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores and higher Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores, with scores of 19.7 ± 6.5 (mean ± standard deviation) vs 22.2 ± 6.0 (P = .015) and 9.5 ± 3.5 vs 8.0 ± 3.0 (P = .007), respectively. The laboratory data revealed no significant difference between the survival and mortality groups except for blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and hemoglobin. After multivariate logistic regression analysis, a lower GCS, a higher BUN level, weaning beginning 3 days after intubation and reintubation during hospitalization were associated with poor prognosis. In this cohort of extremely elderly patients undergoing planned extubation, a lower GCS, a higher BUN level, weaning beginning 3 days after intubation and reintubation during hospitalization were associated with mortality.

Outcomes of unplanned extubation in ordinary ward are similar to those in intensive care unit: A STROBE-compliant case-control study

Unplanned extubation (UE) may cause considerable adverse effects in patients receiving mechanical ventilation (MV). Previous literature showed inconsistent prognosis in patients with UE. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical implications and outcomes of UE.The intubated adult patients with MV support in our hospital were enrolled, and they were divided into the UE and non-UE groups. Demographic data, admission unit, MV duration, overall weaning rate, and mortality rates were compared. The outcomes of UE in ordinary ward and intensive care unit (ICU) were also assessed.Totally 9245 intubated adult patients were included. UE occurred in 303 (3.5%) patients, and the UE events were 0.27 times/100 MV days. Old age, nonoperation related MV cause, and admission out of the ICU were significant factors associated with UE events. UE patients showed a trend of better overall weaning rate (71.9% vs 66.7%, P = .054) than non-UE. However, the in-hospital mortality rate (25.7% vs 24.8%, P = .713) were similar between the UE and non-UE patients. The reintubation rate of UE patients was 44.1% (142/322). Successful UEs were associated with patients in weaning process (52.8% vs 38.7%, P = .012), and patients received non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV) support after UE (19.4% vs 3.5%, P < .001). Patients with successful UE had significantly shorter MV days, higher overall weaning rate, and lower mortality than those with unsuccessful UE. Outcomes of UE in ordinary ward and in ICU had similar MV duration, reintubation rate, overall weaning rate, and in-hospital mortality rate.The overall weaning rate and in-hospital mortality rates of the UE and non-UE patients were similar. UE occurred in ordinary ward had similar outcomes to those in ICU. Patients receiving MV should be assessed daily for weaning indications to reduce delayed extubation, and therefore, may decrease UE occurrence. Once the UE happened, NIPPV support may reduce the reintubation rate.

Unplanned extubations in an intensive care unit: Findings from a critical incident technique

BACKGROUND

Patients on mechanical ventilation are at risk of experiencing a potentially life-threatening unplanned extubation in the intensive care unit, which can lead to arrhythmias, bronchial aspiration, difficulty in reintubation or even sudden cardiac arrest. Although incidence and outcomes of the phenomenon have been documented in several quantitative studies, no studies have investigated the antecedents as experienced by critical care nurses.

OBJECTIVES

To gain a greater understanding of the antecedents of unplanned extubations.

METHODS

A qualitative study design involving the critical-incident technique. A total of 10 registered nurses who reported one or more episodes of unplanned extubations were involved in an in-depth interview.

FINDINGS

According to the nurses' experience, episodes of unplanned extubations are determined by predisposing, precipitating and mediating factors. The predisposing factors have been recognised in the (a) weaning programme (expected/unexpected decreased sedation) and in the (b) patient factors (increased needs due to discomfort, restlessness and desire to communicate). The precipitating factors have been divided into (a) organisational (failures in multi-professional communication), (b) environmental (excessive environmental chaos and barriers preventing direct surveillance) and (c) nursing care factors (ensuring privacy by creating barriers, avoiding disturbing other patients and poor nurse-to-patient ratio). Among the mediating factors, which are affected by the precipitating factors, decreased surveillance and mechanical restraints' use have been identified.

CONCLUSION

Identifying risk factors of unplanned extubation, specifically those that are modifiable, such as increasing interprofessional communication, reducing excessive environment chaos, implementing strategies aimed at overcoming barriers threatening direct surveillance and ensuring appropriate nurse-to-patient ratio, can prevent the occurrence of these events.

Unplanned extubations in general intensive care unit: A nine-year retrospective analysis

Background and aim: Unplanned extubation (UE) in Intensive Care Units (ICU) is an indicator of quality and safety of care. UEs are classified in: accidental extubations, if involuntarily caused during nursing care or medical procedures; self-extubation, if determined by the patient him/herself. In scientific literature, the cumulative incidence of UEs varies from 0.3% to 35.8%. The aim of this study is to explore the incidence of UEs in an Italian university general ICU adopting a well-established protocol of tracheal tube nursing management and fixation. Methods: retrospective observational study. We enrolled all patients undergone to invasive mechanical ventilation from 1^st January 2008 to 31^st December 2016. Results: in the studied period 3422 patients underwent to endotracheal intubation. The UEs were 35: 33 self extubations (94%) and 2 accidental extubations (6%). The incidence of UEs calculated on 1497 patients intubated for more than 24 hours was 2.34%. Instead, it was 1.02%, if we consider the whole number of intubated patients. Only in 9 (26%) cases out of 35 UEs the patient was re-intubated. No deaths consequent to UE were recorded. Conclusions: The incidence of UEs in this study showed rates according to the minimal values reported in scientific literature. A standardized program of endotracheal tube management (based on an effective and comfortable fixing system) seems to be a safe and a valid foundation in order to maintain the UE episodes at minimum rates.

Comparison of machine learning models for the prediction of mortality of patients with unplanned extubation in intensive care units

Unplanned extubation (UE) can be associated with fatal outcome; however, an accurate model for predicting the mortality of UE patients in intensive care units (ICU) is lacking. Therefore, we aim to compare the performances of various machine learning models and conventional parameters to predict the mortality of UE patients in the ICU. A total of 341 patients with UE in ICUs of Chi-Mei Medical Center between December 2008 and July 2017 were enrolled and their demographic features, clinical manifestations, and outcomes were collected for analysis. Four machine learning models including artificial neural networks, logistic regression models, random forest models, and support vector machines were constructed and their predictive performances were compared with each other and conventional parameters. Of the 341 UE patients included in the study, the ICU mortality rate is 17.6%. The random forest model is determined to be the most suitable model for this dataset with F₁ 0.860, precision 0.882, and recall 0.850 in the test set, and an area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.910 (SE: 0.022, 95% CI: 0.867–0.954). The area under ROC curves of the random forest model was significantly greater than that of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II (0.779, 95% CI: 0.716–0.841), Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS) (0.645, 95% CI: 0.564–0.726), and Glasgow Coma scales (0.577, 95%: CI 0.497–0.657). The results revealed that the random forest model was the best model to predict the mortality of UE patients in ICUs.

Factors associated with unplanned extubation in the Intensive Care Unit for adult patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To explore factors associated with unplanned extubation in Intensive Care Unit for adult patients.

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed of studies identified through Pubmed, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO and Web of Science published from initiation to September 2017. Only articles in English were included. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of the included articles.

RESULTS

Ten eligible studies were identified, encompassing a total of 2092 patients (457 in the unplanned extubation group; 1635 in the control group). The subsequent meta-analysis identified significant risk factors for unplanned extubation are male [odds ratio (OR) 1.54, 95% CI 1.12-2.12; P = 0.008], confusion [OR 0.10, 95% CI 0.05-0.17; P < 0.00001], physical restraint [OR 3.10, 95% CI 2.21-4.34; P < 0.00001], higher GCS scores [mean difference (MD) 1.06, 95% CI 0.59-1.52; P < 0.00001] and lower APACHE II scores [MD -2.26, 95% CI -3.35- -1.16; P < 0.0001]. Renal disease is a protective factor for unplanned extubation [OR 0.32, 95% CI 0.15-0.70; P = 0.004].

CONCLUSION

Patients were male, confused, having physical restraint, with higher GCS and lower APACHE II scores are significant risk factors for unplanned extubation in Intensive Care Unit adult patients.

Unplanned Extubations in Intensive Care Unit: evidences for risk factors. A literature review

Background and aim: Unplanned extubations (UE) are getting more and more relevant in Critical Care, becoming a quality and care safeness outcome. This happens because after an UE the patient can face some complications concerning the airway management, respiratory and hemodynamic problems, lengthen in the hospital stay and in the mechanical ventilation time. The aim of this review is identify and classify the factors that could increase UE risk. Methodology: A systematic review of scientific articles was performed consulting the databases PubMed, Cinahl, Medline, EBSCOhost and Google Scholar. Articles from 2006 to 2011 were included. Pediatric Care settings were excluded. Results: 21 articles were selected. From the results emerged that risk factors associated to the patient are widely controversial. Yet restlessness, a low level of sedation and a high level of consciousness seem to be highly related to UE. Organizational risk factors, as workload, nurse:patient ratio, and the use of interdisciplinary protocols seem to play an important role in UE. Conclusion: According the current literature, the research on UE still has to handle a wide uncertainty. There is the need for more studies developing conclusive evidences on the role of different risk factors. Anyway, literature highlights the importance of the nurse and of the healthcare system organization in reducing UE incidence.