A new paradigm in modelling the evolution of a stand via the distribution of tree sizes

Symmetric and Asymmetric Diffusions through Age-Varying Mixed-Species Stand Parameters

(1) Background: This paper deals with unevenly aged, whole-stand models from mixed-effect parameters diffusion processes and Voronoi diagram points of view and concentrates on the mixed-species stands in Lithuania. We focus on the Voronoi diagram of potentially available areas to tree positions as the measure of the competition effect of individual trees and the tree diameter at breast height to relate their evolution through time. (2) Methods: We consider a bivariate hybrid mixed-effect parameters stochastic differential equation for the parameterization of the diameter and available polygon area at age to ensure a proper description of the link between them during the age (time) span of a forest stand. In this study, the Voronoi diagram was used as a mathematical tool for the quantitative characterization of inter-tree competition. (3) Results: The newly derived model considers bivariate correlated observations, tree diameter, and polygon area arising from a particular stand and enables defining equations for calculating diameter, polygon-area, and stand-density predictions and forecasts. (4) Conclusions: From a statistical point of view, the newly developed models produced acceptable statistical measures of predictions and forecasts. All the results were implemented in the Maple computer algebra system.

Stochastic Models to Qualify Stem Tapers

This study examines the performance of 11 tree taper models to predict the diameter of bark at any given height and the total stem volume of eight dominant tree species in the boreal forests of Lithuania. Here, we develop eight new models using stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The symmetrical Vasicek model and asymmetrical Gompertz model are used to describe tree taper evolution, as well as geometric-type diffusion processes. These models are compared with those traditionally used for four tree taper models by using performance statistics and residual analysis. The observed dataset consists of longitudinal measurements of 3703 trees, representing the eight dominant tree species in Lithuania (pine, spruce, oak, ash, birch, black alder, white alder, and aspen). Overall, the best goodness of fit statistics of diameter predictions produced the SDE taper models. All results have been implemented in the Maple computer algebra system using the “Statistics” and “VectorCalculus” packages.

Models for Tree Taper Form: The Gompertz and Vasicek Diffusion Processes Framework

In this work, we employ stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to model tree stem taper. SDE stem taper models have some theoretical advantages over the commonly employed regression-based stem taper modeling techniques, as SDE models have both simple analytic forms and a high level of accuracy. We perform fixed- and mixed-effect parameters estimation for the stem taper models by developing an approximated maximum likelihood procedure and using a data set of longitudinal measurements from 319 mountain pine trees. The symmetric Vasicek- and asymmetric Gompertz-type diffusion processes used adequately describe stem taper evolution. The proposed SDE stem taper models are compared to four regression stem taper equations and four volume equations. Overall, the best goodness-of-fit statistics are produced by the mixed-effect parameters SDEs stem taper models. All results are obtained in the Maple computer algebra system.