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He H, Boehringer T, Schäfer B, Heppell K, Beck C. Analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of dissolved oxygen for the River Thames using superstatistical methods and machine learning. Sci Rep 2024; 14:21288. [PMID: 39266599 PMCID: PMC11393100 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-72084-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2024] [Accepted: 09/03/2024] [Indexed: 09/14/2024] Open
Abstract
By employing superstatistical methods and machine learning, we analyze time series data of water quality indicators for the River Thames (UK). The indicators analyzed include dissolved oxygen, temperature, electrical conductivity, pH, ammonium, turbidity, and rainfall, with a specific focus on the dynamics of dissolved oxygen. After detrending, the probability density functions of dissolved oxygen fluctuations exhibit heavy tails that are effectively modeled using q-Gaussian distributions. Our findings indicate that the multiplicative Empirical Mode Decomposition method stands out as the most effective detrending technique, yielding the highest log-likelihood in nearly all fittings. We also observe that the optimally fitted width parameter of the q-Gaussian shows a negative correlation with the distance to the sea, highlighting the influence of geographical factors on water quality dynamics. In the context of same-time prediction of dissolved oxygen, regression analysis incorporating various water quality indicators and temporal features identify the Light Gradient Boosting Machine as the best model. SHapley Additive exPlanations reveal that temperature, pH, and time of year play crucial roles in the predictions. Furthermore, we use the Transformer, a state-of-the-art machine learning model, to forecast dissolved oxygen concentrations. For long-term forecasting, the Informer model consistently delivers superior performance, achieving the lowest Mean Absolute Error (0.15) and Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (21.96%) with the 192 historical time steps that we used. This performance is attributed to the Informer's ProbSparse self-attention mechanism, which allows it to capture long-range dependencies in time-series data more effectively than other machine learning models. It effectively recognizes the half-life cycle of dissolved oxygen, with particular attention to critical periods such as morning to early afternoon, late evening to early morning, and key intervals between the 16th and 26th quarter-hours of the previous half-day. Our findings provide valuable insights for policymakers involved in ecological health assessments, aiding in accurate predictions of river water quality and the maintenance of healthy aquatic ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hankun He
- Centre for Complex Systems, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
| | | | - Benjamin Schäfer
- Institute for Automation and Applied Informatics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
| | - Kate Heppell
- Chilterns National Landscape, High Wycombe, UK
- School of Geography, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Christian Beck
- Centre for Complex Systems, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
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2
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Wilk G, Włodarczyk Z. Some Non-Obvious Consequences of Non-Extensiveness of Entropy. ENTROPY (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 25:474. [PMID: 36981362 PMCID: PMC10048379 DOI: 10.3390/e25030474] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2023] [Revised: 02/25/2023] [Accepted: 03/07/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Non-additive (or non-extensive) entropies have long been intensively studied and used in various fields of scientific research. This was due to the desire to describe the commonly observed quasi-power rather than the exponential nature of various distributions of the variables of interest when considered in the full available space of their variability. In this work we will concentrate on the example of high energy multiparticle production processes and will limit ourselves to only one form of non-extensive entropy, namely the Tsallis entropy. We will discuss some points not yet fully clarified and present some non-obvious consequences of non-extensiveness of entropy when applied to production processes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Grzegorz Wilk
- National Centre for Nuclear Research, Department of Fundamental Research, 02-093 Warsaw, Poland
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3
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Nonextensive Footprints in Dissipative and Conservative Dynamical Systems. Symmetry (Basel) 2023. [DOI: 10.3390/sym15020444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Despite its centennial successes in describing physical systems at thermal equilibrium, Boltzmann–Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics have exhibited, in the last several decades, several flaws in addressing out-of-equilibrium dynamics of many nonlinear complex systems. In such circumstances, it has been shown that an appropriate generalization of the BG theory, known as nonextensive statistical mechanics and based on nonadditive entropies, is able to satisfactorily handle wide classes of anomalous emerging features and violations of standard equilibrium prescriptions, such as ergodicity, mixing, breakdown of the symmetry of homogeneous occupancy of phase space, and related features. In the present study, we review various important results of nonextensive statistical mechanics for dissipative and conservative dynamical systems. In particular, we discuss applications to both discrete-time systems with a few degrees of freedom and continuous-time ones with many degrees of freedom, as well as to asymptotically scale-free networks and systems with diverse dimensionalities and ranges of interactions, of either classical or quantum nature.
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Luciano GG. Gravity and Cosmology in Kaniadakis Statistics: Current Status and Future Challenges. ENTROPY (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2022; 24:1712. [PMID: 36554117 PMCID: PMC9777509 DOI: 10.3390/e24121712] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2022] [Revised: 11/18/2022] [Accepted: 11/22/2022] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
Kaniadakis statistics is a widespread paradigm to describe complex systems in the relativistic realm. Recently, gravitational and cosmological scenarios based on Kaniadakis (κ-deformed) entropy have been considered, leading to generalized models that predict a richer phenomenology comparing to their standard Maxwell-Boltzmann counterparts. The purpose of the present effort is to explore recent advances and future challenges of Gravity and Cosmology in Kaniadakis statistics. More specifically, the first part of the work contains a review of κ-entropy implications on Holographic Dark Energy, Entropic Gravity, Black hole thermodynamics and Loop Quantum Gravity, among others. In the second part, we focus on the study of Big Bang Nucleosynthesis in Kaniadakis Cosmology. By demanding consistency between theoretical predictions of our model and observational measurements of freeze-out temperature fluctuations and primordial abundances of 4He and D, we constrain the free κ-parameter, discussing to what extent the Kaniadakis framework can provide a successful description of the observed Universe.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giuseppe Gaetano Luciano
- Applied Physics Section of Environmental Science Department, Universitat de Lleida, Av. Jaume II, 69, 25001 Lleida, Spain
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5
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Abstract
Generalized numbers, arithmetic operators, and derivative operators, grouped in four classes based on symmetry features, are introduced. Their building element is the pair of q-logarithm/q-exponential inverse functions. Some of the objects were previously described in the literature, while others are newly defined. Commutativity, associativity, and distributivity, and also a pair of linear/nonlinear derivatives, are observed within each class. Two entropic functionals emerge from the formalism, and one of them is the nonadditive Tsallis entropy.
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6
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Schäfer B, Heppell CM, Rhys H, Beck C. Fluctuations of water quality time series in rivers follow superstatistics. iScience 2021; 24:102881. [PMID: 34401665 PMCID: PMC8348929 DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2021.102881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2021] [Revised: 06/02/2021] [Accepted: 07/14/2021] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Superstatistics is a general method from nonequilibrium statistical physics which has been applied to a variety of complex systems, ranging from hydrodynamic turbulence to traffic delays and air pollution dynamics. Here, we investigate water quality time series (such as dissolved oxygen concentrations and electrical conductivity) as measured in rivers and provide evidence that they exhibit superstatistical behavior. Our main example is time series as recorded in the River Chess in South East England. Specifically, we use seasonal detrending and empirical mode decomposition to separate trends from fluctuations for the measured data. With either detrending method, we observe heavy-tailed fluctuation distributions, which are well described by log-normal superstatistics for dissolved oxygen. Contrarily, we find a double peaked non-standard superstatistics for the electrical conductivity data, which we model using two combinedχ 2 -distributions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Benjamin Schäfer
- School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London E1 4NS, UK
- Faculty of Science and Technology, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, 1432 Ås, Norway
| | - Catherine M. Heppell
- School of Geography, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, UK
| | - Hefin Rhys
- Flow Cytometry Science Technology Platform, The Francis Crick Institute, London, UK
| | - Christian Beck
- School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London E1 4NS, UK
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7
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Ourabah K. Fingerprints of nonequilibrium stationary distributions in dispersion relations. Sci Rep 2021; 11:12103. [PMID: 34103627 PMCID: PMC8187350 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-91455-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2021] [Accepted: 05/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
Distributions different from those predicted by equilibrium statistical mechanics are commonplace in a number of physical situations, such as plasmas and self-gravitating systems. The best strategy for probing these distributions and unavailing their origins consists in combining theoretical knowledge with experiments, involving both direct and indirect measurements, as those associated with dispersion relations. This paper addresses, in a quite general context, the signature of nonequilibrium distributions in dispersion relations. We consider the very general scenario of distributions corresponding to a superposition of equilibrium distributions, that are well-suited for systems exhibiting only local equilibrium, and discuss the general context of systems obeying the combination of the Schrödinger and Poisson equations, while allowing the Planck's constant to smoothly go to zero, yielding the classical kinetic regime. Examples of media where this approach is applicable are plasmas, gravitational systems, and optical molasses. We analyse in more depth the case of classical dispersion relations for a pair plasma. We also discuss a possible experimental setup, based on spectroscopic methods, to directly observe these classes of distributions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kamel Ourabah
- Theoretical Physics Laboratory, Faculty of Physics, University of Bab-Ezzouar, USTHB, Boite Postale 32, El Alia, Algiers, 16111, Algeria.
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de Oliveira RM, Brito S, da Silva LR, Tsallis C. Connecting complex networks to nonadditive entropies. Sci Rep 2021; 11:1130. [PMID: 33441951 PMCID: PMC7806741 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-80939-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2020] [Accepted: 12/29/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Boltzmann–Gibbs statistical mechanics applies satisfactorily to a plethora of systems. It fails however for complex systems generically involving nonlocal space–time entanglement. Its generalization based on nonadditive q-entropies adequately handles a wide class of such systems. We show here that scale-invariant networks belong to this class. We numerically study a d-dimensional geographically located network with weighted links and exhibit its ‘energy’ distribution per site at its quasi-stationary state. Our results strongly suggest a correspondence between the random geometric problem and a class of thermal problems within the generalised thermostatistics. The Boltzmann–Gibbs exponential factor is generically substituted by its q-generalisation, and is recovered in the \documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
\usepackage{amsmath}
\usepackage{wasysym}
\usepackage{amsfonts}
\usepackage{amssymb}
\usepackage{amsbsy}
\usepackage{mathrsfs}
\usepackage{upgreek}
\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}
\begin{document}$$q=1$$\end{document}q=1 limit when the nonlocal effects fade away. The present connection should cross-fertilise experiments in both research areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- R M de Oliveira
- Departamento de Física Teórica e Experimental, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, 59078-900, Brazil
| | - Samuraí Brito
- International Institute of Physics, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, 59070-405, Brazil.
| | - L R da Silva
- Departamento de Física Teórica e Experimental, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, 59078-900, Brazil.,National Institute of Science and Technology of Complex Systems, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Constantino Tsallis
- National Institute of Science and Technology of Complex Systems, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.,Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas, Rua Xavier Sigaud 150, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, 22290-180, Brazil.,Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, New Mexico, 87501, USA.,Complexity Science Hub Vienna, Josefstaedter Strasse 39, Vienna, 1080, Austria
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9
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Balogh SG, Palla G, Pollner P, Czégel D. Generalized entropies, density of states, and non-extensivity. Sci Rep 2020; 10:15516. [PMID: 32968150 PMCID: PMC7511985 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-72422-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2020] [Accepted: 08/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
The concept of entropy connects the number of possible configurations with the number of variables in large stochastic systems. Independent or weakly interacting variables render the number of configurations scale exponentially with the number of variables, making the Boltzmann–Gibbs–Shannon entropy extensive. In systems with strongly interacting variables, or with variables driven by history-dependent dynamics, this is no longer true. Here we show that contrary to the generally held belief, not only strong correlations or history-dependence, but skewed-enough distribution of visiting probabilities, that is, first-order statistics, also play a role in determining the relation between configuration space size and system size, or, equivalently, the extensive form of generalized entropy. We present a macroscopic formalism describing this interplay between first-order statistics, higher-order statistics, and configuration space growth. We demonstrate that knowing any two strongly restricts the possibilities of the third. We believe that this unified macroscopic picture of emergent degrees of freedom constraining mechanisms provides a step towards finding order in the zoo of strongly interacting complex systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sámuel G Balogh
- Department of Biological Physics, Eötvös University, 1117, Budapest, Hungary.
| | - Gergely Palla
- Department of Biological Physics, Eötvös University, 1117, Budapest, Hungary.,MTA-ELTE Statistical and Biological Physics Research Group, Eötvös University, 1117, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Péter Pollner
- Department of Biological Physics, Eötvös University, 1117, Budapest, Hungary.,MTA-ELTE Statistical and Biological Physics Research Group, Eötvös University, 1117, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Dániel Czégel
- Institute of Evolution, Centre for Ecological Research, 8237, Tihany, Hungary. .,Department of Plant Systematics, Ecology and Theoretical Biology, Eötvös University, 1117, Budapest, Hungary. .,Center for the Conceptual Foundations of Science, Parmenides Foundation, 82049, Pullach, Munich, Germany. .,Beyond Center for Fundamental Concepts in Science, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85287, USA.
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10
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Gazeau JP, Tsallis C. Möbius Transforms, Cycles and q-triplets in Statistical Mechanics. ENTROPY 2019. [PMCID: PMC7514500 DOI: 10.3390/e21121155] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
In the realm of Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics and its q-generalisation for complex systems, we analysed sequences of q-triplets, or q-doublets if one of them was the unity, in terms of cycles of successive Möbius transforms of the line preserving unity (q=1 corresponds to the BG theory). Such transforms have the form q↦(aq+1−a)/[(1+a)q−a], where a is a real number; the particular cases a=−1 and a=0 yield, respectively, q↦(2−q) and q↦1/q, currently known as additive and multiplicative dualities. This approach seemingly enables the organisation of various complex phenomena into different classes, named N-complete or incomplete. The classification that we propose here hopefully constitutes a useful guideline in the search, for non-BG systems whenever well described through q-indices, of new possibly observable physical properties.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean Pierre Gazeau
- Astroparticles and Cosmology (UMR 7164), Sorbonne Paris Cité, Univ Paris Diderot, 75205 Paris, France;
- Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas and National Institute of Science and Technology of Complex Systems, Rua Xavier Sigaud 150, Rio de Janeiro 22290-180, Brazil
| | - Constantino Tsallis
- Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas and National Institute of Science and Technology of Complex Systems, Rua Xavier Sigaud 150, Rio de Janeiro 22290-180, Brazil
- Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, NM 87501, USA
- Complexity Science Hub Vienna, Josefstädter Strasse 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria
- Correspondence:
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11
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Tsallis C. Beyond Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon in Physics and Elsewhere. ENTROPY 2019; 21:e21070696. [PMID: 33267410 PMCID: PMC7515208 DOI: 10.3390/e21070696] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2019] [Accepted: 06/28/2019] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
The pillars of contemporary theoretical physics are classical mechanics, Maxwell electromagnetism, relativity, quantum mechanics, and Boltzmann–Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics –including its connection with thermodynamics. The BG theory describes amazingly well the thermal equilibrium of a plethora of so-called simple systems. However, BG statistical mechanics and its basic additive entropy SBG started, in recent decades, to exhibit failures or inadequacies in an increasing number of complex systems. The emergence of such intriguing features became apparent in quantum systems as well, such as black holes and other area-law-like scenarios for the von Neumann entropy. In a different arena, the efficiency of the Shannon entropy—as the BG functional is currently called in engineering and communication theory—started to be perceived as not necessarily optimal in the processing of images (e.g., medical ones) and time series (e.g., economic ones). Such is the case in the presence of generic long-range space correlations, long memory, sub-exponential sensitivity to the initial conditions (hence vanishing largest Lyapunov exponents), and similar features. Finally, we witnessed, during the last two decades, an explosion of asymptotically scale-free complex networks. This wide range of important systems eventually gave support, since 1988, to the generalization of the BG theory. Nonadditive entropies generalizing the BG one and their consequences have been introduced and intensively studied worldwide. The present review focuses on these concepts and their predictions, verifications, and applications in physics and elsewhere. Some selected examples (in quantum information, high- and low-energy physics, low-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems, earthquakes, turbulence, long-range interacting systems, and scale-free networks) illustrate successful applications. The grounding thermodynamical framework is briefly described as well.
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Affiliation(s)
- Constantino Tsallis
- Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas and National Institute of Science and Technology for Complex Systems–Rua Dr. Xavier Sigaud 150, Rio de Janeiro 22290-180, Brazil;
- Santa Fe Institute–1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, NM 87501, USA
- Complexity Science Hub Vienna–Josefstädter Strasse 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria
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12
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Deppman A, Frederico T, Megías E, Menezes DP. Fractal Structure and Non-Extensive Statistics. ENTROPY 2018; 20:e20090633. [PMID: 33265722 PMCID: PMC7513158 DOI: 10.3390/e20090633] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2018] [Revised: 08/13/2018] [Accepted: 08/19/2018] [Indexed: 12/03/2022]
Abstract
The role played by non-extensive thermodynamics in physical systems has been under intense debate for the last decades. With many applications in several areas, the Tsallis statistics have been discussed in detail in many works and triggered an interesting discussion on the most deep meaning of entropy and its role in complex systems. Some possible mechanisms that could give rise to non-extensive statistics have been formulated over the last several years, in particular a fractal structure in thermodynamic functions was recently proposed as a possible origin for non-extensive statistics in physical systems. In the present work, we investigate the properties of such fractal thermodynamical system and propose a diagrammatic method for calculations of relevant quantities related to such a system. It is shown that a system with the fractal structure described here presents temperature fluctuation following an Euler Gamma Function, in accordance with previous works that provided evidence of the connections between those fluctuations and Tsallis statistics. Finally, the scale invariance of the fractal thermodynamical system is discussed in terms of the Callan–Symanzik equation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Airton Deppman
- Instituto de Física, Universidade de São Paulo, Rua do Matão Travessa R Nr.187, Cidade Universitária, CEP 05508-090 São Paulo, Brazil
- Correspondence:
| | - Tobias Frederico
- Instituto Tecnológico da Aeronáutica, 12228-900 São José dos Campos, Brazil
| | - Eugenio Megías
- Departamento de Física Teórica, Universidad del País Vasco UPV/EHU, Apartado 644, 48080 Bilbao, Spain
- Departamento de Física Atómica, Molecular y Nuclear and Instituto Carlos I de Física Teórica y Computacional, Universidad de Granada, Avenida de Fuente Nueva s/n, 18071 Granada, Spain
| | - Debora P. Menezes
- Departamento de Física, CFM, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, CP 476, CEP 88040-900 Florianópolis, Brazil
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13
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Cirto LJL, Rodríguez A, Nobre FD, Tsallis C. Validity and failure of the Boltzmann weight. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2018. [DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/123/30003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
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