Implications of historical height loss for prevalent vertebral fracture, spinal osteoarthritis, and gastroesophageal reflux disease

Development and validation of risk prediction nomograms for acute respiratory failure in elderly patients with hip fracture

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures in the elderly often lead to acute respiratory failure, but there is currently no tool to assess the prognosis of such patients. This study aims to develop a risk prediction model for respiratory failure in these patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database, incorporating data from 3,266 patients with hip fractures aged over 55 years from 2008 to 2019. Data included demographic information, laboratory indicators, comorbidities, and treatment methods. Patients were divided into a training group (70%) and a validation group (30%). Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was applied to select prognostic predictors, and a visualized nomogram model was constructed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Model performance and clinical applicability were assessed. Statistical analyses were done using R4.2.2, with P < 0.05 deemed significant.

RESULTS

Seven key factors, including age, height, albumin, chloride, pneumonia, acute kidney injury (AKI), and heparin use, were associated with respiratory failure risk. The model demonstrated good performance with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.77 and 0.73 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration curve showed good agreement, and decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated the model's clinical benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

This risk prediction model can effectively predict respiratory failure in hip fracture patients, assisting clinicians in identifying high-risk individuals and providing evidence-based references for treatment strategies.

CHRONIC MULTIMORBIDITY OF LOW BACK PAIN OR OTHER CHRONIC BACK DISORDERS IN THE REPUBLIC OF CROATIA

The aim was to assess the prevalence of chronic multimorbidity in patients with chronic low back pain or other chronic back disorders (BD). We analyzed data from the population-based cross-sectional European Health Interview Survey (EHIS) performed in the Republic of Croatia 2014-2015 by the Croatian Institute of Public Health. Outcome was the point-prevalence of chronic multimorbidity defined as having ≥2 chronic illnesses out of 14 contained in the EHIS questionnaire, after adjustment for ten sociodemographic, anthropometric and lifestyle confounders. Amoung fourteen targeted illnesses were asthma, allergies, hypertension, urinary incontinence, kidney diseases, coronary heart disease or angina pectoris, neck disorder, arthrosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction, stroke, depression, and the common category "other". We analyzed data on 268 participants with BD and 511 without it. Participants with BD had a significantly higher relative risk of any chronic multimorbidity (RRadj=2.12; 95% CI 1.55, 2.99; p<0.001), as well as of non-musculoskeletal chronic multimorbidity (RRadj=2.29; 95% CI 1.70, 3.08; p=0.001) than participants without BD. All chronic comorbidities except for asthma and liver cirrhosis were significantly more prevalent in participants with BD than in participants without BD. In the population with BD, the participants with multimorbidity had three to four times higher odds for unfavorable self-reported health outcomes than the participants with no comorbid conditions, whereas the existence of only one comorbidity was not significantly associated with a worse outcome compared to the population with no comorbidities. In conclusion, the population suffering from BD has a higher prevalence of chronic multimorbidity than the population without BD and this multimorbidity is associated with unfavorable health outcomes.

MODERATING EFFECT OF BODY HEIGHT ON THE ASSOCIATION OF BODY WEIGHT AND DISABILITY CAUSED BY NON SPECIFIC CHRONIC LOW BACK PAIN IN WOMEN AND MEN

The aim of the study was testing the hypothesis that body height has a moderating effect on the association of weight and chronic low back pain (LBP) induced disability, and that this moderating effect is different in women and men. We performed a nested cross-sectional analysis using data collected at baseline in a prospective cohort study conducted in 2008-2009 at a special hospital for medical rehabilitation in Croatia. The outcome was the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score. The independent variable was body weight. The focal moderators were body height and sex. The moderation analysis was adjusted for seven sociodemographic and clinical covariates. We analyzed data on 72 patients with a median (interquartile range) age of 50 (43-55) years, 36 (50%) of whom were women, treated for nonspecific, chronic LBP. The interaction of sex, body weight and height was a significant predictor of the RMDQ score after adjustments for all covariates (increase of R2=0.13; p=0.001; false discovery rate <5%). In both sexes, the correlation between body weight and the RMDQ score was significantly moderated by body height but in opposite ways. In conclusion, the effects of body weight on physical disability are moderated by body height, but this moderation effect differs between women and men.

Associations of Homocysteine Metabolism With the Risk of Spinal Osteoarthritis Progression in Postmenopausal Women

CONTEXT

Although homocysteine accumulation is a reported risk factor for several age-related disorders, little is known about its relationship with osteoarthritis (OA).

OBJECTIVE

We investigated for associations of homocysteine and C677T polymorphism in methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR), which is involved in homocysteine clearance, with the development and progression of spinal OA through a combined cross-sectional and longitudinal cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 1306 Japanese postmenopausal outpatients participating in the Nagano Cohort Study were followed for a mean 9.7-year period. Cross-sectional multiple logistic regression for spinal OA prevalence at registration by serum homocysteine level was performed with adjustment for confounders. In addition to Kaplan-Meier analysis, multivariate Cox regression was employed to examine the independent risk of MTHFR C677T variant for spinal OA progression.

RESULTS

Multivariate regression analysis revealed a significant association between homocysteine and spinal OA prevalence (odds ratio 1.38; 95% CI 1.14-1.68). Kaplan-Meier curves showed a gene dosage effect of the T allele in MTHFR C677T polymorphism on the accelerated progression of spinal OA severity (P = 0.003). A statistically significant independent risk of the T allele for spinal OA advancement was validated by Cox regression analysis. Respective adjusted hazard ratios for the CT/TT and TT genotypes were 1.68 (95% CI, 1.16-2.42) and 1.67 (95% CI, 1.23-2.28).

CONCLUSION

Circulating homocysteine and C677T variant in MTHFR are associated with the prevalence rate and ensuing progression, respectively, of spinal OA. These factors may represent potential interventional targets to prevent OA development and improve clinical outcomes.