The optimal emergency decision-making method with incomplete probabilistic information

High-Discrimination Comparison Algorithm for the Comprehensive Evaluation of Innovation Ability in Colleges and Universities under Uncertain Information

The innovation ability of students is one of the most important objectives that need to be cultivated in colleges and universities. The comprehensive evaluation of innovation ability discussed in the study can be divided into two stages: the first stage can be called preliminary evaluation and its main target is to identify students with innovative potential; in the second stage, the target objects found in the previous stage will be evaluated quantitatively and ranked. However, it is always difficult to quantitatively evaluate the innovation ability by using traditional algorithms. Based on the above analysis, the study proposes an algorithm to quantitatively evaluate the innovation ability with the help of management thought and fuzzy mathematics. Data are the basis of evaluation, and the accuracy of the data directly determines the quality of the algorithm; the data structure of the incompletely probabilistic fuzzy set is proposed in the study; the data structure can fully consider the fuzziness of the problem and the hesitation in the decision-making process; it can save the original detailed data to the maximum extent. Certainly, certain information may be lost or only the value range can be determined; there are usually some unknowns in the evaluation data, and the consistency optimization model is proposed for solving the problem. Usually, there are certain contradictions among the evaluation data; the definition of the consistency degree is proposed in the study; the consistency can be verified in time after all the unknowns are obtained, and the automatic adjustment module will be activated immediately if the value of the consistency degree exceeds the warning threshold. Finally, after verifying the data consistency, the solution can be obtained by solving the optimization model. Several experiments have been carried out to verify the effectiveness and high-discrimination ability of the algorithm proposed in the study; meanwhile, the superiority of the algorithm is further verified through comparisons with other outstanding algorithms.

A Closed-Loop Method for Multiperiod Intelligent Information Processing with Cost Constraints under the Fuzzy Environment

From trivial matters in life to major scientific projects related to the fate of mankind, decision-making is everywhere. Whether high-quality decisions can be made often directly affects the development of affairs, especially when sudden disasters occur. As the basis of decision-making, data are crucial. The continuously probabilistic linguistic set, a data structure of the fuzzy mathematics, is selected in the paper to collect original data after careful comparisons, because this data structure can fully consider the hesitation of decision-makers and the fuzziness of complex problems. Although all alternatives are costly, the costs of different alternatives still vary greatly; obviously, the low-cost alternative is better than others when the same predetermined goal can be achieved, which is one of the research objectives and characteristics of this paper. Different from other researchers who only take the cost as one of the decision-making indicators, the algorithm proposed in the paper pays much more attention on the cost reduction. When dealing with an emergency, it is often difficult to solve the problem by taking measures only once; usually, multiple rounds of measures are needed. Each round of decision-making has both connections and differences, and the multiround decision-making model is proposed and built in the paper. Different from traditional linear structures, the model mainly adopts the closed-loop structure, which divides the whole process into multiple sub-decision-making points, the severities measured at the current time point will be compared with the values estimated at the latter time point, and then, the differences will be input into the system, the corresponding automatic adjustment modules will be activated immediately according to the values. The accuracy of the system can be verified and adjusted in time by the closed-loop control module. Finally, several experiments are carried out and the results show that the algorithm proposed in the paper is more effective and the cost is lower.