An age-structured model of hepatitis B viral infection highlights the potential of different therapeutic strategies

A multiscale model of the action of a capsid assembly modulator for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is strongly associated with increased risk of liver cancer and cirrhosis. While existing treatments effectively inhibit the HBV life cycle, viral rebound occurs rapidly following treatment interruption. Consequently, functional cure rates of chronic HBV infection remain low and there is increased interest in a novel treatment modality, capsid assembly modulators (CAMs). Here, we develop a multiscale mathematical model of CAM treatment in chronic HBV infection. By fitting the model to participant data from a phase I trial of the first-generation CAM vebicorvir, we estimate the drug's dose-dependent effectiveness and identify the physiological mechanisms that drive the observed biphasic decline in HBV DNA and RNA, and mechanistic differences between HBeAg-positive and negative infection. Finally, we demonstrate analytically and numerically that HBV RNA is more sensitive than HBV DNA to increases in CAM effectiveness.

Multiscale modeling of HBV infection integrating intra- and intercellular viral propagation for analyzing extracellular viral markers

Chronic infection of hepatitis B virus (HBV) is caused by the persistence of closed circular DNA (cccDNA) in the nucleus of infected hepatocytes. Despite available therapeutic anti-HBV agents, eliminating the cccDNA remains challenging. The quantifying and understanding dynamics of cccDNA are essential for developing effective treatment strategies and new drugs. However, it requires a liver biopsy to measure the intrahepatic cccDNA, which is basically not accepted because of the ethical aspect. We here aimed to develop a non-invasive method for quantifying cccDNA in the liver using surrogate markers present in peripheral blood. We constructed a multiscale mathematical model that explicitly incorporates both intracellular and intercellular HBV infection processes. The model, based on age-structured partial differential equations (PDEs), integrates experimental data from in vitro and in vivo investigations. By applying this model, we successfully predicted the amount and dynamics of intrahepatic cccDNA using specific viral markers in serum samples, including HBV DNA, HBsAg, HBeAg, and HBcrAg. Our study represents a significant step towards advancing the understanding of chronic HBV infection. The non-invasive quantification of cccDNA using our proposed methodology holds promise for improving clinical analyses and treatment strategies. By comprehensively describing the interactions of all components involved in HBV infection, our multiscale mathematical model provides a valuable framework for further research and the development of targeted interventions.

A Semi-mechanistic Model to Characterize the Long-Term Dynamics of Hepatitis B Virus Markers During Treatment With Lamivudine and Pegylated Interferon

Antiviral treatments against hepatitis B virus (HBV) suppress viral replication but do not eradicate the virus, and need therefore to be taken lifelong to avoid relapse. Mathematical models can be useful to support the development of curative anti-HBV agents; however, they mostly focus on short-term HBV DNA data and neglect the complex host-pathogen interaction. This work aimed to characterize the effect of treatment with lamivudine and/or pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) in 1,300 patients (hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg)-positive and HBeAg-negative) treated for 1 year. A mathematical model was developed incorporating two populations of infected cells, namely I 1 , with a high transcriptional activity, that progressively evolve into I 2 , at a rate δ tr , representing cells with integrated HBV DNA that have a lower transcriptional activity. Parameters of the model were estimated in patients treated with lamivudine or Peg-IFN alone (N = 894), and the model was then validated in patients treated with lamivudine plus Peg-IFN (N = 436) to predict the virological response after a year of combination treatment. Lamivudine had a larger effect in blocking viral production than Peg-IFN (99.4-99.9% vs. 91.8-95.1%); however, Peg-IFN had a significant immunomodulatory effect, leading to an enhancement of the loss rates of I 1 (×1.7 in HBeAg-positive patients), I 2 (> ×7 irrespective of HBeAg status), and δ tr (×4.6 and ×2.0 in HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative patients, respectively). Using this model, we were able to describe the synergy of the different effects occurring during treatment with combination and predicted an effect of 99.99% on blocking viral production. This framework can therefore support the optimization of combination therapy with new anti-HBV agents.

Dysregulation of Hepatitis B Virus Nucleocapsid Assembly in vitro by RNA-binding Small Ligands

RNA sequences/motifs dispersed across the genome of Hepatitis B Virus regulate formation of nucleocapsid-like particles (NCPs) by core protein (Cp) in vitro, in an epsilon/polymerase-independent fashion. These multiple RNA Packaging Signals (PSs) can each form stem-loops encompassing a Cp-recognition motif, -RGAG-, in their loops. Drug-like molecules that bind the most important of these PS sites for NCP assembly regulation with nanomolar affinities, were identified by screening an immobilized ligand library with a fluorescently-labelled, RNA oligonucleotide encompassing this sequence. Sixty-six of these "hits", with affinities ranging from low nanomolar to high micromolar, were purchased as non-immobilized versions. Their affinities for PSs and effects on NCP assembly were determined in vitro by Surface Plasmon Resonance. High-affinity ligand binding is dependent on the presence of an -RGAG- motif within the loop of the PS, consistent with ligand cross-binding between PS sites. Simple structure-activity relationships show that it is also dependent on the presence of specific functional groups in these ligands. Some compounds are potent inhibitors of in vitro NCP assembly at nanomolar concentrations. Despite appropriate logP values, these ligands do not inhibit HBV replication in cell culture. However, modelling confirms the potential of using PS-binding ligands to target NCP assembly as a novel anti-viral strategy. This also allows for computational exploration of potential synergic effects between anti-viral ligands directed at distinct molecular targets in vivo. HBV PS-regulated assembly can be dysregulated by novel small molecule RNA-binding ligands opening a novel target for developing directly-acting anti-virals against this major pathogen.