High glycemic albumin representing prestroke glycemic variability is associated with hemorrhagic transformation in patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis

Pre-stroke glycemic variability estimated by glycated albumin predicts hematoma expansion and poor outcomes in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

Glycemic variability has been shown to be correlated more with oxidative stress than chronic hyperglycemia. We evaluated the impact of pre-stroke glycemic variability measured using glycated albumin (GA) on hematoma expansion and clinical outcomes following spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We consecutively enrolled 343 patients with ICH for 72 months using a single-center registry database. The primary outcome measure was hematoma expansion. The secondary outcome measures were early neurological deterioration (END), 1-month mortality, and 3-month poor functional outcomes (modified Rankin scale score of 4-6). The patients were divided into two groups based on pre-stroke glycemic variability: a higher GA group (GA ≥ 16.0%) and a lower GA group (GA < 16.0%). During the study period, there were 63 (18.4%) events of hematoma expansion, 61 (17.8%) of END, 45 (13.1%) of 1-month mortality, and 45 (13.1%) of 3-month poor functional outcomes after ICH. The higher GA group (36.4%) had higher rates of hematoma expansion, END, 1-month mortality, and 3-month poor functional outcomes than the lower GA group. Multivariate analysis showed that a higher GA level was significantly associated with increased hematoma expansion (adjusted odds ratio 5.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.58-13.19, p < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of GA (0.83; 95% CI 0.48-0.65) for predicting hematoma expansion was higher than that of glycated hemoglobin (0.57; 95% CI 0.48-0.65, p for DeLong's pairwise comparison < 0.001). Higher GA levels could be a reliable marker for predicting hematoma expansion and poor outcomes following ICH.

The SON2A2 score: A novel grading scale for predicting hemorrhage and outcomes after thrombolysis

Objectives

This study aimed to develop a score including novel putative predictors for predicting the risk of sICH and outcomes after thrombolytic therapy with intravenous (IV) recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (r-tPA) in acute ischemic stroke patients.

Methods

All patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with IV r-tPA at three university-based hospitals in Chongqing, China, from 2014 to 2019 were retrospectively studied. Potential risk factors associated with sICH (NINDS criteria) were determined with multivariate logistic regression, and we developed our score according to the magnitude of logistic regression coefficients. The score was validated in another independent cohort. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was used to assess the performance of the score. Calibration was evaluated using the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit method.

Results

The SON2A2 score (0 to 8 points) consisted of history of smoking (no = 1, yes = 0, β = 0.81), onset-to-needle time (≥3.5 = 1,&lt;3.5=0, β = 0.74), NIH Stroke Scale on admission (&gt;10 = 2, ≤10 = 0, β = 1.22), neutrophil percentage (≥80.0% = 1, &lt;80% = 0, β = 0.81), ASPECT score (≤11 = 2, &gt;11 = 0, β = 1.30), and age (&gt;65 years = 1, ≤65 years = 0, β = 0.89). The SON2A2 score was strongly associated with sICH (OR 1.98; 95%CI 1.675–2.34) and poor outcomes (OR 1.89; 95%CI 1.68–2.13). AUC-ROC in the derivation cohort was 0.82 (95%CI 0.77–0.86). Similar results were obtained in the validation cohort. The Hosmer–Lemeshow test revealed that predicted and observed event rates in derivation and validation cohorts were very close.

Conclusion

The SON2A2 score is a simple, efficient, quick, and easy-to-perform scale for predicting the risk of sICH and outcome after intravenous r-tPA thrombolysis within 4.5 h in patients with ischemic stroke, and risk assessment using this test has the potential for early and personalized management of this disease in high-risk patients.