A comparison of continuous and discrete time modeling of affective processes in terms of predictive accuracy

Chasing consistency: On the measurement error in self-reported affect in experiments

How feelings change over time is a central topic in emotion research. To study these affective fluctuations, researchers often ask participants to repeatedly indicate how they feel on a self-report rating scale. Despite widespread recognition that this kind of data is subject to measurement error, the extent of this error remains an open question. Complementing many daily-life studies, this study aimed to investigate this question in an experimental setting. In such a setting, multiple trials follow each other at a fast pace, forcing experimenters to use a limited number of questions to measure affect during each trial. A total of 1398 participants completed a probabilistic reward task in which they were unknowingly presented with the same string of outcomes multiple times throughout the study. This allowed us to assess the test-retest consistency of their affective responses to the rating scales under investigation. We then compared these consistencies across different types of rating scales in hopes of finding out whether a given type of scale led to a greater consistency of affective measurements. Overall, we found moderate to good consistency of the affective measurements. Surprisingly, however, we found no differences in consistency across rating scales, which suggests that the specific rating scale that is used does not influence the measurement consistency.

Deep Learning Approaches for Glioblastoma Prognosis in Resource-Limited Settings: A Study Using Basic Patient Demographic, Clinical, and Surgical Inputs

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common brain tumor in the United States, with an annual incidence rate of 3.21 per 100,000. It is the most aggressive type of diffuse glioma and has a median survival of months after treatment. This study aims to assess the accuracy of different novel deep learning models trained on a set of simple clinical, demographic, and surgical variables to assist in clinical practice, even in areas with constrained health care infrastructure.

METHODS

Our study included 37,095 patients with GBM from the SEER (Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results) database. All predictors were based on demographic, clinicopathologic, and treatment information of the cases. Our outcomes of interest were months of survival and vital status. Concordance index (C-index) and integrated Brier scores (IBS) were used to evaluate the performance of the models.

RESULTS

The patient characteristics and the statistical analyses were consistent with the epidemiologic literature. The models C-index and IBS ranged from 0.6743 to 0.6918 and from 0.0934 to 0.1034, respectively. Probabilistic matrix factorization (0.6918), multitask logistic regression (0.6916), and logistic hazard (0.6916) had the highest C-index scores. The models with the lowest IBS were the probabilistic matrix factorization (0.0934), multitask logistic regression (0.0935), and logistic hazard (0.0936). These models had an accuracy (1-IBS) of 90.66%; 90.65%, and 90.64%, respectively. The deep learning algorithms were deployed on an interactive Web-based tool for practical use available via https://glioblastoma-survanalysis.herokuapp.com/.

CONCLUSIONS

Novel deep learning algorithms can better predict GBM prognosis than do baseline methods and can lead to more personalized patient care regardless of extensive electronic health record availability.

Behavior Data Analysis of English Learners Based on Discrete Dynamic System Modeling Method

With the rapid development of computer science, there are more and more kinds of discrete dynamic systems. Computer integrated system CIMS, network communication database administrator system, and human behavior analysis system are all discrete dynamic systems. At present, many researchers have studied by adding human behavior data to discrete dynamic systems. This paper aims to study the behavior data of English learners by using the discrete dynamic modeling technology of complex systems and the discrete dynamic system modeling method of Petri nets. By adding the behavior data of learners to the discrete dynamic system of fuzzy Petri nets, the system is diagnosed and optimized. The experimental results show that the complex discrete dynamic system in this paper has achieved good experimental results according to the performance indicators selected in theory. Based on the combination of the above technologies and systems, the fuzzy Petri net discrete dynamic system studied in this paper improves the processing speed of English learners' behavior data.