Validation of three predictive models for suboptimal cytoreductive surgery in advanced ovarian cancer

Assessment of Intraoperative Scoring Systems for Predicting Cytoreduction Outcome in Peritoneal Metastatic Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) is a widely acknowledged treatment approach for peritoneal metastasis, showing favorable prognosis and long-term survival. Intraoperative scoring systems quantify tumoral burden before CRS and may predict complete cytoreduction (CC). This study reviews the intraoperative scoring systems for predicting CC and optimal cytoreduction (OC) and evaluates the predictive performance of the Peritoneal Cancer Index (PCI) and Predictive Index Value (PIV).

METHODS

Systematic searches were conducted in Embase, MEDLINE, and Web of Science. Meta-analyses of extracted data were performed to compare the absolute predictive performances of PCI and PIV.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight studies (5834 patients) focusing on gynecological (n = 34; 89.5%), gastrointestinal (n = 2; 5.3%) malignancies, and on tumors of various origins (n = 2; 5.3%) were identified. Seventy-seven models assessing the predictive performance of scoring systems (54 for CC and 23 for OC) were identified with PCI (n = 39/77) and PIV (n = 16/77) being the most common. Twenty models (26.0%) reinterpreted previous scoring systems of which ten (13%) used a modified version of PIV (reclassification). Meta-analyses of models predicting CC based on PCI (n = 21) and PIV (n = 8) provided an AUC estimate of 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.86; Q = 119.6, p = 0.0001; I2 = 74.1%) and 0.74 (95% CI 0.68-0.81; Q = 7.2, p = 0.41; I2 = 11.0%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Peritoneal Cancer Index models demonstrate an excellent estimate of CC, while PIV shows an acceptable performance. There is a need for high-quality studies to address management differences, establish standardized cutoff values, and focus on non-gynecological malignancies.

A machine-learning-based prediction of non-home discharge among acute heart failure patients

BACKGROUND

Scarce data on factors related to discharge disposition in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) were available, and we sought to develop a parsimonious and simple predictive model for non-home discharge via machine learning.

METHODS

This observational cohort study using a Japanese national database included 128,068 patients admitted from home for AHF between April 2014 and March 2018. The candidate predictors for non-home discharge were patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment performed within 2 days after hospital admission. We used 80% of the population to develop a model using all 26 candidate variables and using the variable selected by 1 standard-error rule of Lasso regression, which enhances interpretability, and 20% to validate the predictive ability.

RESULTS

We analyzed 128,068 patients, and 22,330 patients were not discharged to home; 7,879 underwent in-hospital death and 14,451 were transferred to other facilities. The machine-learning-based model consisted of 11 predictors, showing a discrimination ability comparable to that using all the 26 variables (c-statistic: 0.760 [95% confidence interval, 0.752-0.767] vs. 0.761 [95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.769]). The common 1SE-selected variables identified throughout all analyses were low scores in activities of daily living, advanced age, absence of hypertension, impaired consciousness, failure to initiate enteral alimentation within 2 days and low body weight.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed machine learning model using 11 predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients at high risk for non-home discharge. Our findings would contribute to the effective care coordination in this era when HF is rapidly increasing in prevalence.

Neglected Anatomical Areas in Ovarian Cancer: Significance for Optimal Debulking Surgery

Ovarian cancer (OC), the most lethal gynecological malignancy, usually presents in advanced stages. Characterized by peritoneal and lymphatic dissemination, OC necessitates a complex surgical approach usually involving the upper abdomen with the aim of achieving optimal cytoreduction without visible macroscopic disease (R0). Failures in optimal cytoreduction, essential for prognosis, often stem from overlooking anatomical neglected sites that harbor residual tumor. Concealed OC metastases may be found in anatomical locations such as the omental bursa; Morison's pouch; the base of the round ligament and hepatic bridge; the splenic hilum; and suprarenal, retrocrural, cardiophrenic and inguinal lymph nodes. Hence, mastery of anatomy is crucial, given the necessity for maneuvers like liver mobilization, diaphragmatic peritonectomy and splenectomy, as well as dissection of suprarenal, celiac, and cardiophrenic lymph nodes in most cases. This article provides a meticulous anatomical description of neglected anatomical areas during OC surgery and describes surgical steps essential for the dissection of these "neglected" areas. This knowledge should equip clinicians with the tools needed for safe and complete cytoreduction in OC patients.

"Things Have Changed"-Laparoscopic Cytoreduction for Advanced and Recurrent Ovarian Cancer: The Experience of a Referral Center on 108 Patients

OBJECTIVE

To report the feasibility of laparoscopic cytoreduction surgery for primary and recurrent ovarian cancer in a select group of patients.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of patients with FIGO stage IIIA-IV advanced ovarian cancer who underwent laparoscopic primary debulking surgery (PDS), interval debulking surgery (IDS), or secondary debulking surgery (SDS) between June 2008 and January 2020. The primary endpoint was achieving optimal cytoreduction, defined as residual tumor less than 1 cm. Secondary endpoints included evaluating surgical complications and long-term survival, assessed at three-month intervals during the initial two years and then every six months.

RESULTS

This study included a total of 108 patients, among whom, 40 underwent PDS, 44 underwent IDS, and 24 underwent SDS. Optimal cytoreduction rates were found to be 95.0%, 97.7%, and 95.8% for the PDS, ISD, and SDS groups, respectively. Early postoperative complications (<30 days from surgery) occurred in 19.2% of cases, with 7.4% of these cases requiring reintervention. One patient died following postoperative respiratory failure. Late postoperative complications (<30 days from surgery) occurred in 9.3% of cases, and they required surgical reintervention only in one case. After laparoscopic optimal cytoreduction with a median follow-up time of 25 months, the overall recurrence rates were 45.7%, 38.5%, and 39.3% for PDS, ISD, and SDS, respectively. The three-year overall survival rates were 84%, 66%, and 63%, respectively, while the three-year disease-free survival rates were 48%, 51%, and 71%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Laparoscopic cytoreduction surgery is feasible for advanced ovarian cancer in carefully selected patients, resulting in high rates of optimal cytoreduction, satisfactory peri-operative morbidity, and encouraging survival outcomes. Future studies should focus on establishing standardized selection criteria and conducting well-designed investigations to further refine patient selection and evaluate long-term outcomes.

Should We Abandon Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy in the Treatment of Advanced Ovarian Cancer? A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Ovarian cancer is the gynaecological malignancy with the highest mortality and diagnosis often occurs in its advanced stages. Standard treatment in these cases is based on complete cytoreductive surgery with adjuvant intravenous chemotherapy. Other types of treatment are being evaluated to improve the prognosis of these patients, including intraperitoneal chemotherapy and antiangiogenic therapy. These may improve survival or time to relapse in addition to intravenous chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this meta-analysis is to determine whether treatment with intravenous chemotherapy remains the gold standard, or whether the addition of intraperitoneal chemotherapy has a benefit in overall survival (OS) and disease-free interval (DFS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A literature search was carried out in Pubmed and Cochrane, selecting clinical studies and systematic reviews published in the last 10 years. Statistical analysis was performed using the hazard ratio measure in the RevMan tool.

RESULTS

Intraperitoneal chemotherapy shows a benefit in OS and DFS compared with standard intravenous chemotherapy. The significant differences in OS (HR: 0.81 CI 95% 0.74-0.88) and in DFS (HR: 0.81 CI 95% 0.75-0.87) are statistically significant (p < 0.00001). There were no clinical differences in toxicity and side-effects.

CONCLUSION

Intraperitoneal chemotherapy is an option that improves OS and DFS without significant toxicity regarding the use of intravenous chemotherapy alone. However, prospective studies are needed to determine the optimal dose and treatment regimen that will maintain the benefits while minimising side effects and toxicity and the profile of patients who will benefit most from this treatment.

Surgery in Recurrent Ovarian Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background: The second cytoreductive surgery performed for a patient who has recurrent ovarian cancer remains controversial. Our study analyzes overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) for cytoreductive surgery in addition to chemotherapy in recurrent ovarian cancer instead of chemotherapy alone. Methods: A meta-analysis was conducted using PubMed and the Cochrane database of systematic reviews to select randomized controlled studies. In total, three randomized studies were used, employing a total of 1249 patients. Results: The results of our meta-analysis of these randomized controlled trials identified significant differences in OS (HR = 0.83, IC 95% 0.70-0.99, p < 0.04) and DFS (HR = 0.63, IC 95% 0.55-0.72, p < 0.000001). A subgroup analysis comparing complete cytoreductive surgery and surgery with residual tumor achieved better results for both OS (HR = 0.65, IC 95% 0.49-0.86, p = 0.002) and DFS (HR = 0.67, IC 95% 0.53-0.82, p = 0.0008), with statistical significance. Conclusions: A complete secondary cytoreductive surgery (SCS) in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC) demonstrates an improvement in the OS and DFS, and this benefit is most evident in cases where complete cytoreductive surgery is achieved. The challenge is the correct patient selection for secondary cytoreductive surgery to improve the results of this approach.

Validation of models in predicting residual disease in ovarian cancer: comparing CT urography with PET/CT

BACKGROUND

Many ovarian cancer (OC) residual-disease prediction models were not externally validated after being constructed, the clinical applicability needs to be evaluated.

PURPOSE

To compare computed tomography urography (CTU) with PET/CT in validating models for predicting residual disease in OC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 250 patients were included during 2018-2021. The CTU and PET/CT scans were analyzed, generating CT-Suidan, PET-Suidan, CT-Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMC), and PET-PUMC models. All imagings were evaluated by two readers independently, then compared to pathology. According to surgical outcomes, all patients were divided into the R0 group, with no visible residual disease, and the R1 group, with any visible residual disease. Logistic regression was used to assess the discrimination and calibration abilities of each model.

RESULTS

CTU and PET/CT showed good diagnostic performance in predicting OC peritoneal metastases based on the Suidan and PUMC model (all the accuracies >0.8). As for model evaluation, the value of correct classification of the CT-Suidan, PET-Suidan, CT-PUMC, and PET-PUMC models was 0.89, 0.84, 0.88, and 0.83, respectively, representing stable calibration. The areas under the curve (AUC) of these models were 0.95, 0.90, 0.91, and 0.90, respectively. Furthermore, the accuracy of these models at the optimal threshold value (score 3) was 0.75, 0.78, 0.80, and 0.80, respectively. All two-paired comparisons of the AUCs and accuracies did not show a significant difference (all P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

CT-Suidan, CT-PUMC, PET-Suidan, and PET-PUMC models had equal abilities in predicting the residual disease of OC. The CT-PUMC model was recommended for its economic and user-friendly characteristics.

Prediction of Surgical Outcome in Advanced Ovarian Cancer by Imaging and Laparoscopy: A Narrative Review

Maximal-effort upfront or interval debulking surgery is the recommended approach for advanced-stage ovarian cancer. The role of diagnostic imaging is to provide a systematic and structured report on tumour dissemination with emphasis on key sites for resectability. Imaging methods, such as pelvic and abdominal ultrasound, contrast-enhanced computed tomography, whole-body diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging and positron emission tomography, yield high diagnostic performance for diagnosing bulky disease, but they are less accurate for depicting small-volume carcinomatosis, which may lead to unnecessary explorative laparotomies. Diagnostic laparoscopy, on the other hand, may directly visualize intraperitoneal involvement but has limitations in detecting tumours beyond the gastrosplenic ligament, in the lesser sac, mesenteric root or in the retroperitoneum. Laparoscopy has its place in combination with imaging in cases where ima-ging results regarding resectability are unclear. Different imaging models predicting tumour resectability have been developed as an adjunctional objective tool. Incorporating results from tumour quantitative analyses (e.g., radiomics), preoperative biopsies and biomarkers into predictive models may allow for more precise selection of patients eligible for extensive surgery. This review will discuss the ability of imaging and laparoscopy to predict non-resectable disease in patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Laparoscopic selection for surgery in epithelial ovarian cancer. A short review

The role of laparoscopy as a treatment selection method in ovarian cancer patients is receiving growing attention in surgical practice in both early and advanced-stage disease. When the disease is confined to the ovary, intraoperative laparoscopic assessment of the tumour features is needed to select the best surgical approach in order to prevent intraoperative spillage of cancer cells which would negatively impact patient prognosis. The role of laparoscopy as a disease distribution assessment tool in cases of advanced-stage disease is now accepted by current guidelines as an effective treatment strategy selection. Indeed, a published and validated laparoscopic scoring system, based on laparoscopic assessed intra-abdominal disease dissemination features have been demonstrated to be a reliable predictor of optimal cytoreduction achievement. This subsequently reduces the exploratory laparotomy rate in both primary and interval debulking surgery setting. Furthermore, in cases of recurrent disease, the use of laparoscopy to predict whether complete tumour resection can be achieved is accepted by available guidelines. In this setting, the combination of laparoscopy and imaging techniques to manage platinum sensitive recurrent ovarian cancer cases showed a high accuracy in appropriately selected patients for secondary cytoreductive surgery. In this article we describe the role of laparoscopy in the treatment selection-process in ovarian cancer patients.

Effectiveness of Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy Associated with Cytoreductive Surgery in the Treatment of Advanced Ovarian Cancer: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

The use of hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) as a treatment for epithelial ovarian cancer remains controversial. Our study aims to analyze the overall survival and disease-free survival for the use of HIPEC as a treatment for advanced epithelial ovarian cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was carried out using PubMed, Cochrane, Web of Science, and ClinicalTrials.gov. A total of six studies were used, comprising a total of 674 patients.

RESULTS

The results of our meta-analysis of all studies analyzed together (observational and randomized controlled trials (RCT)) did not achieve significant results. Contrary to the OS (HR = 0.56, 95% IC = 0.33-0.95, p = 0.03) and DFS (HR = 0.61, 95% IC = 0.43-0.86, p < 0.01) of the RCT analyzed separately, a clear impact on survival was suggested. The subgroup analysis showed that studies making use of higher temperatures (≥42 °C) for a shorter period of time (≤60 min) achieved better results for both OS and DFS, as well as the use of cisplatin as the form of chemotherapy in HIPEC. Moreover, the use of HIPEC did not increase high-grade complications.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of HIPEC to cytoreductive surgery demonstrates an improvement in OS and DFS for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer in advanced stages, without an increase in the number of complications. The use of cisplatin as chemotherapy in HIPEC obtained better results.

Diagnostic and Therapeutic Pathway of Advanced Ovarian Cancer with Peritoneal Metastases

Over two thirds of ovarian cancer patients present with advanced stage disease at the time of diagnosis. In this scenario, standard treatment includes a combination of cytoreductive surgery and carboplatinum-paclitaxel-based chemotherapy. Despite the survival advantage of patients treated with upfront cytoreductive surgery compared to women undergoing neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) and interval debulking surgery (IDS) due to high tumor load or poor performance status has been demonstrated by multiple studies, this topic is still a matter of debate. As a consequence, selecting the adequate treatment through an appropriate diagnostic pathway represents a crucial step. Aiming to assess the likelihood of leaving no residual disease at the end of surgery, the role of the CT scan as a predictor of cytoreductive outcomes has shown controversial results. Similarly, CA 125 level as an expression of tumor load demonstrated limited applicability. On the contrary, laparoscopic assessment of disease distribution through a validated scoring system was able to identify, with the highest specificity, patients undergoing suboptimal cytoreduction and therefore best suitable for NACT-IDS. Against this background, with this article, we aim to provide a comprehensive review of available evidence on the diagnostic and treatment pathways of advanced ovarian cancer.

Diagnostic ability using fatty liver and metabolic markers for metabolic-associated fatty liver disease stratified by metabolic/glycemic abnormalities

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

Although several noninvasive predictive markers for fatty liver and metabolic markers have been used for fatty liver prediction, whether such markers can also predict metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) remains unclear. We aimed to examine the ability of existing fatty liver or metabolic markers to predict MAFLD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Participants in a high-volume center in Tokyo were classified into groups with and without MAFLD, based on the presence of metabolic abnormalities and fatty liver diagnosed through abdominal ultrasonography, between 2008 and 2018. The diagnostic abilities of three fatty liver markers: fatty liver index (FLI), hepatic steatosis index (HSI), and lipid accumulation product (LAP), and three common metabolic markers: waist-to-height ratio (WHR), body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference (WC), for predicting MAFLD, were evaluated. Analyses stratified by MAFLD subtypes were performed.

RESULTS

Of 92,374 individuals, 19,392 (36.1%) had MAFLD. The diagnostic performances for MAFLD prediction, measured as c-statistics, for FLI, HSI, LAP, WHR, BMI, and WC were 0.906, 0.892, 0.878, 0.844, 0.877, and 0.878, respectively. Optimal cutoff values for diagnosing MAFLD for FLI, HSI, LAP, WHR, BMI, and WC were 20.3, 32.7, 20.0, 0.49, 22.9, and 82.1, respectively. Analyses stratified by MAFLD subtypes, based on BMI and metabolic/glycemic abnormalities, suggested that FLI and HSI had acceptable (c-statistics >0.700) diagnostic abilities throughout all the analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

All six markers were excellent predictors of MAFLD in diagnosing among the general population, with FLI and HSI particularly useful among all sub-populations.

Predicting incomplete cytoreduction in patients with advanced ovarian cancer

Purpose

The most important prognostic factor for survival in ovarian cancer patients is complete cytoreduction. The preoperative prediction of suboptimal cytoreduction, considered as any residual disease at the end of surgery, could prevent futile surgery and morbidity. Here, we aimed to identify markers in the preoperative abdominal CT scans of an unselected cohort of patients with ovarian cancer that are predictive of incomplete cytoreduction.

Methods

This is a single-institution retrospective analysis of 105 epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) patients treated with surgical cytoreduction between 2010 and 2020. Twenty-two variables on preoperative abdominal CT scans were compared to the intraoperative macroscopic findings by Fisher's exact test. Parameters with a significant correlation between intraoperative findings and imaging were analyzed by multivariate binary logistic regression analysis regarding the surgical outcome of complete versus incomplete cytoreduction.

Results

Complete cytoreduction (CC), indicated by the absence of macroscopic residual disease, was achieved in 79 (75.2%) of 105 patients and 46 (63.9%) of 72 International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage III and IV patients. Twenty patients (19%) were incompletely cytoreduced due to miliary carcinomatosis of the small bowel, and six patients (5.7%) had various locations of residual disease. Thirteen variables showed a significant correlation between imaging and surgical findings. Large-volume ascites, absence of numerically increased small lymph nodes at the mesenteric root, and carcinomatosis of the transverse colon in FIGO stage III and IV patients decreased the rate of CC to 26.7% in the multivariate analysis.

Conclusion

Large-volume ascites, the absence of numerically increased small lymph nodes at the mesenteric root, and carcinomatosis of the transverse colon are markers in preoperative CT scans predicting a low chance for complete cytoreduction in unselected ovarian cancer patients in a real-world setting.

Surgery in Advanced Ovary Cancer: Primary versus Interval Cytoreduction

Primary debulking surgery (PDS) has remained the only treatment of ovarian cancer with survival advantage since its development in the 1970s. However, survival advantage is only observed in patients who are optimally resected. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) has emerged as an alternative for patients in whom optimal resection is unlikely and/or patients with comorbidities at high risk for perioperative complications. The purpose of this review is to summarize the evidence to date for PDS and NACT in the treatment of stage III/IV ovarian carcinoma. We systematically searched the PubMed database for relevant articles. Prior to 2010, NACT was reserved for non-surgical candidates. After publication of EORTC 55971, the first randomized trial demonstrating non-inferiority of NACT followed by interval debulking surgery, NACT was considered in a wider breadth of patients. Since EORTC 55971, 3 randomized trials-CHORUS, JCOG0602, and SCORPION-have studied NACT versus PDS. While CHORUS supported EORTC 55971, JCOG0602 failed to demonstrate non-inferiority and SCORPION failed to demonstrate superiority of NACT. Despite conflicting data, a subset of patients would benefit from NACT while preserving survival including poor surgical candidates and inoperable disease. Further randomized trials are needed to assess the role of NACT.

Overall Survival and Related Factors of Advanced-stage Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Patients Underwent Debulking Surgery in Jakarta, Indonesia: A Single-center Experience

AIM: The worrisome prognosis of advanced-stage epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) needs a new perspective from developing countries. Thus, we attempted to study the 5-year overall survival (OS) of advanced-stage EOC patients who underwent debulking surgery in an Indonesian tertiary hospital. METHODS: A retrospective study recruited forty-eight subjects between 2013 and 2015. We conducted multiple logistic regression analyses to predict risk factors leading to unwanted disease outcomes. The OS was evaluated through the Kaplan–Meier curve and Log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards regression examined prognostic factors of patients. RESULTS: Prominent characteristics of our patients were middle age (mean: 51.9 ± 8.9 years), obese, with normal menarche onset, multiparous, not using contraception, premenopausal, with serous EOC, and FIGO stage IIIC. The subjects mainly underwent primary debulking surgery (66.8%), with 47.9% of all individuals acquiring optimal results, 77.1% of patients treated had the residual disease (RD), and 52.1% got adjuvant chemotherapy. The risk factor for serous EOC was menopause (odds ratio [OR] = 4.82). The predictors of suboptimal surgery were serous EOC (OR = 8.25) and FIGO stage IV (OR = 11.13). The different OS and median survival were observed exclusively in RD, making it an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio = 3.50). 5-year A five year OS and median survival for patients with advanced-stage EOC who underwent debulking surgery was 37.5% and 32 months, respectively. Optimal versus suboptimal debulking surgery yielded OS 43.5% versus 32% and median survival of 39 versus 29 months. Both optimal and suboptimal debulking surgery followed with chemotherapy demonstrated an OS 40% lower than those not administered (46.2% and 20%, respectively). The highest 5-year OS was in serous EOC (50%). Meanwhile, the most extended median survival was with mucinous EOC (45 months). CONCLUSION: Chemotherapy following optimal and suboptimal debulking surgery has the best OS among approaches researched in this study. RD is a significant prognostic factor among advanced-stage EOC. Suboptimal surgery outcomes can be predicted by stage and histological subtype.

Upfront cytoreductive surgery versus neoadjuvant chemotherapy in advanced epithelial ovarian cancer in Indian patients

In cases of ovarian carcinoma, primary cytoreductive surgery (CRS) is the standard treatment up to stage IIIB, but patient selection for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) in selected cases is controversial. A total of 200 patients with advanced ovarian cancer were analyzed retrospectively, according to specific selection criteria. Primary CRS was performed in 95 patients (47.5%) and interval CRS after 3-6 cycles of NACT was performed in 105 patients (52.5%). After median follow-up of 35 months, 5-year overall survival was 53.7% in the upfront CRS group and 42.2% in the NACT group. Primary CRS is the standard in advanced stages of ovarian carcinoma, but in certain subset of patients, NACT is preferred. Identifying that group is challenging but feasible. Proper selection of patients is key to successful outcomes.