Application of Extremely Randomised Trees for exploring influential factors on variant crash severity data

Interactive effects analysis of road, traffic, and weather characteristics on shared e-bike speeding risk: A data-driven approach

As electric bikes (e-bikes) rapidly develop in China, their traffic safety issues are becoming increasingly prominent. Accurately detecting risky riding behaviors and conducting mechanism analysis on the multiple risk factors are crucial in formulating and implementing precise management policies. The emergence of shared e-bikes and the advancements in interpretable machine learning present new opportunities for accurately analyzing the determinants of risky riding behaviors. The primary objective of this study is to examine and analyze the risk factors related to speeding behavior to aid urban management agencies in crafting necessary management policies. This study utilizes a large-scale dataset of shared e-bike trajectory data to establish a framework for detecting speeding behavior. Subsequently, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model is employed to identify the level of speeding risk by leveraging its excellent identification ability. Moreover, based on measuring the degree of interaction among road, traffic, and weather characteristics, the investigation of the complex interactive effects of these risk factors on high-risk speeding is conducted using bivariate partial dependence plots (PDP) by its superior parsing ability. Feature importance analysis results indicate that the top five ranked variables that significantly affect the identified results of speed risk levels are land use density, rainfall, road level, curbside parking density, and bike lane width. The interaction analysis results indicate that higher levels of road and bike lane width correspond to an increased possibility of high-risk speeding among riders. Land use density, curbside parking density, and rainfall display a nonlinear effect on high-risk speeding. Introducing road level, bike lane width, and time interval could change the patterns of nonlinear effects in land use density, curbside parking density, and rainfall. Finally, several policy recommendations are proposed to improve e-bike traffic safety by utilizing the extracted feature values associated with a higher probability of high-risk speeding.

Biomarker profiling and integrating heterogeneous models for enhanced multi-grade breast cancer prognostication

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer remains a leading cause of female mortality worldwide, exacerbated by limited awareness, inadequate screening resources, and treatment options. Accurate and early diagnosis is crucial for improving survival rates and effective treatment.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop an innovative artificial intelligence (AI) based model for predicting breast cancer and its various histopathological grades by integrating multiple biomarkers and subject age, thereby enhancing diagnostic accuracy and prognostication.

METHODS

A novel ensemble-based machine learning (ML) framework has been introduced that integrates three distinct biomarkers-beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG), Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1 (PD-L1), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-alongside subject age. Hyperparameter optimization was performed using the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm, and minority oversampling techniques were employed to mitigate overfitting. The model's performance was validated through rigorous five-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

The proposed model demonstrated superior performance, achieving a 97.93% accuracy and a 98.06% F1-score on meticulously labeled test data across diverse age groups. Comparative analysis showed that the model outperforms state-of-the-art approaches, highlighting its robustness and generalizability.

CONCLUSION

By providing a comprehensive analysis of multiple biomarkers and effectively predicting tumor grades, this study offers a significant advancement in breast cancer screening, particularly in regions with limited medical resources. The proposed framework has the potential to reduce breast cancer mortality rates and improve early intervention and personalized treatment strategies.

Geographic areas with the highest concentration of traffic accidents in San Salvador, El Salvador: a spatial analysis of the 2014-2018 period

OBJECTIVE.

This study aimed to identify the areas with the highest concentration of traffic accidents and injuries in the San Salvador Metropolitan Area (SSMA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS.

Traffic accidents were analyzed spatially by point location and by the sum of events in areas of 200 m2. The point location was analyzed by "nearest neighbor analysis", while the areas with the sum of traffic accidents were analyzed by Getis-Ord Gi* to obtain the hot spots. The resulting hot spots with the highest concentration of traffic accidents in the SSMA were evaluated in the field using an observation form to collect data on infrastructure and road safety characteristics.

RESULTS.

Five areas with the highest number of traffic accidents and injuries, mainly containing primary roads, were identified by analyzing 8191 traffic accidents reported between 2014-2018.

CONCLUSION.

The sites with the highest concentration of traffic accidents and injuries were characterized by considerably damaged road infrastructure and the lack of safety systems for drivers and pedestrians. The spatial analysis of traffic accidents and injuries can contribute to improve surveillance and road safety in the SSMA.

Machine learning algorithms for high-resolution prediction of spatiotemporal distribution of air pollution from meteorological and soil parameters

This study uses machine learning (ML) models for a high-resolution prediction (0.1°×0.1°) of air fine particular matter (PM_2.5) concentration, the most harmful to human health, from meteorological and soil data. Iraq was considered the study area to implement the method. Different lags and the changing patterns of four European Reanalysis (ERA5) meteorological variables, rainfall, mean temperature, wind speed and relative humidity, and one soil parameter, the soil moisture, were used to select the suitable set of predictors using a non-greedy algorithm known as simulated annealing (SA). The selected predictors were used to simulate the temporal and spatial variability of air PM_2.5 concentration over Iraq during the early summer (May-July), the most polluted months, using three advanced ML models, extremely randomized trees (ERT), stochastic gradient descent backpropagation (SGD-BP) and long short-term memory (LSTM) integrated with Bayesian optimizer. The spatial distribution of the annual average PM_2.5 revealed the population of the whole of Iraq is exposed to a pollution level above the standard limit. The changes in temperature and soil moisture and the mean wind speed and humidity of the month before the early summer can predict the temporal and spatial variability of PM_2.5 over Iraq during May-July. Results revealed the higher performance of LSTM with normalized root-mean-square error and Kling-Gupta efficiency of 13.4% and 0.89, compared to 16.02% and 0.81 for SDG-BP and 17.9% and 0.74 for ERT. The LSTM could also reconstruct the observed spatial distribution of PM_2.5 with MapCurve and Cramer's V values of 0.95 and 0.91, compared to 0.9 and 0.86 for SGD-BP and 0.83 and 0.76 for ERT. The study provided a methodology for forecasting spatial variability of PM_2.5 concentration at high resolution during the peak pollution months from freely available data, which can be replicated in other regions for generating high-resolution PM_2.5 forecasting maps.

AFP-SPTS: An Accurate Prediction of Antifreeze Proteins Using Sequential and Pseudo-Tri-Slicing Evolutionary Features with an Extremely Randomized Tree

The development of intracellular ice in the bodies of cold-blooded living organisms may cause them to die. These species yield antifreeze proteins (AFPs) to live in subzero temperature environments. Additionally, AFPs are implemented in biotechnological, industrial, agricultural, and medical fields. Machine learning-based predictors were presented for AFP identification. However, more accurate predictors are still highly desirable for boosting the AFP prediction. This work presents a novel approach, named AFP-SPTS, for the correct prediction of AFPs. We explored the discriminative features with four schemes, namely, dipeptide deviation from the expected mean (DDE), reduced amino acid alphabet (RAAA), grouped dipeptide composition (GDPC), and a novel representative method, called pseudo-position-specific scoring matrix tri-slicing (PseTS-PSSM). Considering the advantages of ensemble learning strategy, we fused each feature vector into different combinations and trained the models with five machine learning algorithms, i.e., multilayer perceptron (MLP), extremely randomized tree (ERT), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and AdaBoost. Among all models, PseTS-PSSM + RAAA with an extremely randomized tree attained the best outcomes. The proposed predictor (AFP-SPTS) boosted the accuracies of AFPs in the literature by 1.82 and 4.1%.