Impact of kidney function and kidney volume on intracranial aneurysms in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

Data driven approach to characterize rapid decline in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a genetic kidney disease with high phenotypic variability. Furthering insights into patients' ADPKD progression could lead to earlier detection, management, and alter the course to end stage kidney disease (ESKD). We sought to identify patients with rapid decline (RD) in kidney function and to determine clinical factors associated with RD using a data-driven approach. A retrospective cohort study was performed among patients with incident ADPKD (1/1/2002-12/31/2018). Latent class mixed models were used to identify RD patients using differences in eGFR trajectories over time. Predictors of RD were selected based on agreements among feature selection methods, including logistic, regularized, and random forest modeling. The final model was built on the selected predictors and clinically relevant covariates. Among 1,744 patients with incident ADPKD, 125 (7%) were identified as RD. Feature selection included 42 clinical measurements for adaptation with multiple imputations; mean (SD) eGFR was 85.2 (47.3) and 72.9 (34.4) in the RD and non-RD groups, respectively. Multiple imputed datasets identified variables as important features to distinguish RD and non-RD groups with the final prediction model determined as a balance between area under the curve (AUC) and clinical relevance which included 6 predictors: age, sex, hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, hemoglobin, and proteinuria. Results showed 72%-sensitivity, 70%-specificity, 70%-accuracy, and 0.77-AUC in identifying RD. 5-year ESKD rates were 38% and 7% among RD and non-RD groups, respectively. Using real-world routine clinical data among patients with incident ADPKD, we observed that six variables highly predicted RD in kidney function.

Factors associated with early-onset intracranial aneurysms in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Recently, the importance of attribute-based medicine has been emphasized. The effects of early-onset intracranial aneurysms on patients can be significant and long-lasting. Herein, we compared the factors associated with intracranial aneurysms in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) according to age categories (≥ 50 years, < 50 years).

METHODS

We included 519 ADPKD patients, with a median age of 44 years, estimated glomerular filtration rate of 54.5 mL/min/1.73 m2, and total follow-up duration of 3104 patient-years. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine factors associated with intracranial aneurysms.

RESULTS

Regarding the presence of intracranial aneurysm, significant interactions were identified between the age category (age ≥ 50 years), female sex (P = 0.0027 for the interaction) and hypertension (P = 0.0074 for the interaction). Female sex and hypertension were associated with intracranial aneurysm risk factors only in patients aged ≥ 50 years. The presence of intracranial aneurysm was significantly associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 4-5 (odds ratio [OR] = 3.87, P = 0.0007) and family history of intracranial aneurysm or subarachnoid hemorrhage (OR = 2.30, P = 0.0217) in patients aged < 50 years. For patients aged ≥ 50 years, in addition to the abovementioned factors [OR = 2.38, P = 0.0355 for CKD stages 4-5; OR = 3.49, P = 0.0094 for family history of intracranial aneurysm or subarachnoid hemorrhage], female sex (OR = 4.51, P = 0.0005), and hypertension (OR = 5.89, P = 0.0012) were also associated with intracranial aneurysm.

CONCLUSION

Kidney dysfunction and family history of intracranial aneurysm or subarachnoid hemorrhage are risk factors for early-onset intracranial aneurysm. Patients aged < 50 years with a family history of intracranial aneurysm or subarachnoid hemorrhage or with CKD stages 4-5 may be at an increased risk of early-onset intracranial aneurysm.

Cardiovascular Manifestations and Management in ADPKD

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the major cause of mortality in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) and contributes to significant burden of disease. The manifestations are varied, including left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), intracranial aneurysms (ICAs), valvular heart disease, and cardiomyopathies; however, the most common presentation and a major modifiable risk factor is hypertension. The aim of this review is to detail the complex pathogenesis of hypertension and other extrarenal cardiac and vascular conditions in ADPKD drawing on preclinical, clinical, and epidemiological evidence. The main drivers of disease are the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) and polycystin-related endothelial cell dysfunction, with the sympathetic nervous system (SNS), nitric oxide (NO), endothelin-1 (ET-1), and asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) likely playing key roles in different disease stages. The reported rates of some manifestations, such as LVH, have decreased likely due to the use of antihypertensive therapies; and others, such as ischemic cardiomyopathy, have been reported with increased prevalence likely due to longer survival and higher rates of chronic disease. ADPKD-specific screening and management guidelines exist for hypertension, LVH, and ICAs; and these are described in this review.

Public support for patients with intractable diseases in Japan: impact on clinical indicators from nationwide registries in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Clinical practice guidelines recommend antihypertensive and tolvaptan therapies for patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) in Japan. However, tolvaptan therapy may pose an economic burden. The Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare supports patients with intractable diseases. This study aimed to confirm the impact of the intractable disease system in Japan on the clinical treatment of ADPKD.

METHODS

We analyzed the data of 3768 patients with ADPKD having a medical subsidy certificate from the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare in 2015-2016. The following quality indicators were use: the adherence rate to the 2014 clinical practice guideline for polycystic kidney disease (prescription rates of antihypertensive agents and tolvaptan in this cohort) and the number of Japanese patients with ADPKD nationwide started on renal replacement therapy in 2014 and 2020.

RESULTS

Compared with new applications from 2015 to 2016, the prescription rates of antihypertensives and tolvaptan for the indicated patients at the 2017 renewal application increased by 2.0% (odds ratio = 1.41, p = 0.008) and 47.4% (odds ratio = 10.1, p > 0.001), respectively. These quality indicators improved with antihypertensive treatment, especially in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 1-2 (odds ratio = 1.79, p = 0.013) and in those aged < 50 years (odds ratio = 1.70, p = 0.003). The number of patients with ADPKD who were started on renal replacement therapy in Japan decreased from 999 in 2014 to 884 in 2020 in the nationwide database (odds ratio = 0.83, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The Japanese public intractable disease support system contributes to improvement of ADPKD treatment.

Vascular Complications in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease: Perspectives, Paradigms, and Current State of Play

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the leading cause of inherited kidney disease with significant contributions to CKD and end-stage kidney disease. The underlying polycystin proteins (PC1 and PC2) have widespread tissue expression and complex functional roles making ADPKD a systemic disease. Vascular complications, particularly intracranial aneurysms (ICA) are the most feared due to their potential for devastating neurological complications and sudden death. Intracranial aneurysms occur in 8-12% of all patients with ADPKD, but the risk is intensified 4-5-fold in those with a positive family history. The basis for this genetic risk is not well understood and could conceivably be due to features of the germline mutation with a significant contribution of other genetic modifiers and/or environmental factors. Here we review what is known about the natural history and genetics of unruptured ICA in ADPKD including the prevalence and risk factors for aneurysm formation and subarachnoid hemorrhage. We discuss two alternative screening strategies and recommend a practical algorithm that targets those at highest risk for ICA with a positive family history for screening.