1
|
Kharazi Esfahani P, Mahdavi Basir H, Rabbani AR. A rigorous workflow and comparative analysis for accurate determination of vitrinite reflectance using data-driven approaches in the Persian Gulf region. Sci Rep 2024; 14:20366. [PMID: 39223239 PMCID: PMC11369181 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-71521-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2024] [Accepted: 08/28/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Vitrinite reflectance (VR) is a critical measure of source rock maturity in geochemistry. Although VR is a widely accepted measure of maturity, its accurate measurement often proves challenging and costly. Rock-Eval pyrolysis offers the advantages of being cost-effective, fast, and providing accurate data. Previous studies have employed empirical equations and traditional machine learning methods using T-max data for VR prediction, but these approaches often yielded subpar results. Therefore, the quest to develop a precise method for predicting vitrinite reflectance based on Rock-Eval data becomes particularly valuable. This study presents a novel approach to predicting VR using advanced machine learning models, namely ExtraTree and XGBoost, along with new ways to prepare the data, such as winsorization for outlier treatment and principal component analysis (PCA) for dimensionality reduction. The depth and three Rock-Eval parameters (T-max, S1/TOC, and HI) were used as input variables. Three model sets were examined: Set 1, which involved both Winsorization and PCA; Set 2, which only included Winsorization; and Set 3, which did not include either. The results indicate that the ExtraTree model in Set 1 demonstrated the highest level of predictive accuracy, whereas Set 3 exhibited the lowest level of accuracy, confirming the methodology's effectiveness. The ExtraTree model obtained an overall R2 score of 0.997, surpassing traditional methods by a significant margin. This approach improves the accuracy and dependability of virtual reality predictions, showing significant advancements compared to conventional empirical equations and traditional machine learning methods.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Parsa Kharazi Esfahani
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
| | - Hadi Mahdavi Basir
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran.
| | - Ahmad Reza Rabbani
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Yousefmarzi F, Haratian A, Mahdavi Kalatehno J, Keihani Kamal M. Machine learning approaches for estimating interfacial tension between oil/gas and oil/water systems: a performance analysis. Sci Rep 2024; 14:858. [PMID: 38195685 PMCID: PMC10776576 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-51597-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 01/07/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Interfacial tension (IFT) is a key physical property that affects various processes in the oil and gas industry, such as enhanced oil recovery, multiphase flow, and emulsion stability. Accurate prediction of IFT is essential for optimizing these processes and increasing their efficiency. This article compares the performance of six machine learning models, namely Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forests (RF), Decision Tree (DT), Gradient Boosting (GB), Catboosting (CB), and XGBoosting (XGB), in predicting IFT between oil/gas and oil/water systems. The models are trained and tested on a dataset that contains various input parameters that influence IFT, such as gas-oil ratio, gas formation volume factor, oil density, etc. The results show that SVR and Catboost models achieve the highest accuracy for oil/gas IFT prediction, with an R-squared value of 0.99, while SVR outperforms Catboost for Oil/Water IFT prediction, with an R-squared value of 0.99. The study demonstrates the potential of machine learning models as a reliable and resilient tool for predicting IFT in the oil and gas industry. The findings of this study can help improve the understanding and optimization of IFT forecasting and facilitate the development of more efficient reservoir management strategies.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Fatemeh Yousefmarzi
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Haratian
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Mostafa Keihani Kamal
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Kharazi Esfahani P, Akbari M, Khalili Y. A comparative study of fracture conductivity prediction using ensemble methods in the acid fracturing treatment in oil wells. Sci Rep 2024; 14:648. [PMID: 38182684 PMCID: PMC10770359 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-50731-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2023] [Accepted: 12/24/2023] [Indexed: 01/07/2024] Open
Abstract
The study of acid fracture conductivity stands as a pivotal aspect of petroleum engineering, offering a well-established technique to amplify production rates in carbonate reservoirs. This research delves into the intricate dynamics influencing the conductivity of acid fractures, particularly under varying closure stresses and in diverse rock formations. The conductivity of acid fractures is intricately interconnected with the dissolution of rock, etching patterns on fracture surfaces, rock strength, and closure stress. To accurately predict fracture conductivity under different closure stresses, a robust model is necessary. This model involves assessing both the baseline fracture conductivity under zero closure stress and the rate of conductivity variation as closure stress fluctuates. Key among the influential factors affecting fracture conductivity is the type of rock within the reservoir. Understanding and predicting the behavior of different formations under disparate closure stresses poses a significant challenge, as does deciphering the diverse effects of treatment parameters such as acid injection rate and strength on fracture conductivity. In this study, the predictive power of XGBoost, a machine learning algorithm, was explored in assessing acid fracture conductivity in dolomite and limestone formations. The findings revealed XGBoost's ability to outperform previous studies in predicting fracture conductivity in both types of formations. Notably, it exhibited superior accuracy in forecasting fracture conductivity under varying treatment conditions, underscoring its robustness and versatility. The research underscores the pivotal role of closure stress, dissolution rate of rock (DREC), and rock strength in influencing fracture conductivity. By integrating these parameters into the design of acid fracturing operations, accurate predictions can be achieved, allowing for the optimization of treatment designs. This study illuminates the potential of XGBoost in optimizing acid fracturing treatments, ultimately bolstering well productivity in carbonate reservoirs. Furthermore, it advocates for the essential nature of separate modeling and analysis based on rock types to comprehend and optimize fracturing processes. The comparison between dolomite and limestone formations unveiled distinct conductivity behaviors, underlining the significance of tailored analyses based on rock type for precise operational optimization.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Parsa Kharazi Esfahani
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
| | - Mohammadreza Akbari
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran.
| | - Yasin Khalili
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Kharazi Esfahani P, Peiro Ahmady Langeroudy K, Khorsand Movaghar MR. Enhanced machine learning-ensemble method for estimation of oil formation volume factor at reservoir conditions. Sci Rep 2023; 13:15199. [PMID: 37709847 PMCID: PMC10502101 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42469-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2023] [Accepted: 09/11/2023] [Indexed: 09/16/2023] Open
Abstract
Since the oil formation volume factor (Bo) is crucial for various calculations in petroleum engineering, such as estimating original oil in place, fluid flow in the porous reservoir medium, and production from wells, this parameter is predicted using conventional methods including experimental tests, correlations, Equations of State, and artificial intelligence models. As a substitute to conventional black oil methods, the compositional oil method has been recently used for accurately predicting the oil formation volume factor. Although oil composition is essential for estimating this parameter, it is time-consuming and cost-intensive to obtain through laboratory analysis. Therefore, the input parameter of dissolved gas in oil has been used as a representative of the amount of light components in oil, which is an effective factor in determining oil volume changes, along with other parameters, including pressure, API gravity, and reservoir temperature. This study created machine learning models utilizing Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) techniques, which also incorporated Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), GradientBoosting, and CatBoost. A comparison of the results with recent correlations and machine learning methods adopting a compositional approach by implementing tree-based bagging methods: Extra Trees (ETs), Random Forest (RF), and Decision Trees (DTs), is then performed. Statistical and graphical indicators demonstrate that the XGBoost model outperforms the other models in estimating the Bo parameter across the reservoir pressure region (above and below bubble point pressure); the new method has significantly improved the accuracy of the compositional method, as the average absolute relative deviation is now only 0.2598%, which is four times lower than the previous (compositional approach) error rate. The findings of this study can be used for precise prediction of the volumetric properties of hydrocarbon reservoir fluids without the need for conducting routine laboratory analyses by only employing wellhead data.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Parsa Kharazi Esfahani
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
| | - Kiana Peiro Ahmady Langeroudy
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
- Department of Computer Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran
| | - Mohammad Reza Khorsand Movaghar
- Department of Petroleum Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), 424 Hafez Avenue, Box 15875-4413, Tehran, 1591634311, Iran.
| |
Collapse
|