The system of self-consistent models for pesticide toxicity to Daphnia magna

Quantitative structure-property/activity relationships (QSPRs/QSARs) are a tool of modern theoretical and computational chemistry. The self-consistent model system is both a method to build up a group of QSPR/QSAR models and an approach to checking the reliability of these models. Here, a group of models of pesticide toxicity toward Daphnia magna for different distributions into training and test sub-sets is compared. This comparison is the basis for formulating the system of self-consistent models. The so-called index of the ideality of correlation (IIC) has been used to improve the above models' predictive potential of pesticide toxicity. The predictive potential of the suggested models should be classified as high since the average value of the determination coefficient for the validation sets is 0.841, and the dispersion is 0.033 (on all five models). The best model (number 4) has an average determination coefficient of 0.89 for the external validation sets (related to all five splits).

Comparison of various methods for validity evaluation of QSAR models

BACKGROUND

Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) modeling is one of the most important computational tools employed in drug discovery and development. The external validation of QSAR models is the main point to check the reliability of developed models for the prediction activity of not yet synthesized compounds. It was performed by different criteria in the literature.

METHODS

In this study, 44 reported QSAR models for biologically active compounds reported in scientific papers were collected. Various statistical parameters of external validation of a QSAR model were calculated, and the results were discussed.

RESULTS

The findings revealed that employing the coefficient of determination (r²) alone could not indicate the validity of a QSAR model. The established criteria for external validation have some advantages and disadvantages which should be considered in QSAR studies.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that these methods alone are not only enough to indicate the validity/invalidity of a QSAR model.