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Aravindhan A, Fenwick EK, Chan AWD, Man REK, Tan NC, Wong WT, Soo WF, Lim SW, Wee SYM, Sabanayagam C, Finkelstein E, Tan G, Hamzah H, Chakraborty B, Acharyya S, Shyong TE, Scanlon P, Wong TY, Lamoureux EL. Extending the diabetic retinopathy screening intervals in Singapore: methodology and preliminary findings of a cohort study. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:786. [PMID: 38481239 PMCID: PMC10935797 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18287-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 03/05/2024] [Indexed: 03/17/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Diabetic Retinopathy Extended Screening Study (DRESS) aims to develop and validate a new DR/diabetic macular edema (DME) risk stratification model in patients with Type 2 diabetes (DM) to identify low-risk groups who can be safely assigned to biennial or triennial screening intervals. We describe the study methodology, participants' baseline characteristics, and preliminary DR progression rates at the first annual follow-up. METHODS DRESS is a 3-year ongoing longitudinal study of patients with T2DM and no or mild non-proliferative DR (NPDR, non-referable) who underwent teleophthalmic screening under the Singapore integrated Diabetic Retinopathy Programme (SiDRP) at four SingHealth Polyclinics. Patients with referable DR/DME (> mild NPDR) or ungradable fundus images were excluded. Sociodemographic, lifestyle, medical and clinical information was obtained from medical records and interviewer-administered questionnaires at baseline. These data are extracted from medical records at 12, 24 and 36 months post-enrollment. Baseline descriptive characteristics stratified by DR severity at baseline and rates of progression to referable DR at 12-month follow-up were calculated. RESULTS Of 5,840 eligible patients, 78.3% (n = 4,570, median [interquartile range [IQR] age 61.0 [55-67] years; 54.7% male; 68.0% Chinese) completed the baseline assessment. At baseline, 97.4% and 2.6% had none and mild NPDR (worse eye), respectively. Most participants had hypertension (79.2%) and dyslipidemia (92.8%); and almost half were obese (43.4%, BMI ≥ 27.5 kg/m2). Participants without DR (vs mild DR) reported shorter DM duration, and had lower haemoglobin A1c, triglycerides and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (all p < 0.05). To date, we have extracted 41.8% (n = 1909) of the 12-month follow-up data. Of these, 99.7% (n = 1,904) did not progress to referable DR. Those who progressed to referable DR status (0.3%) had no DR at baseline. CONCLUSIONS In our prospective study of patients with T2DM and non-referable DR attending polyclinics, we found extremely low annual DR progression rates. These preliminary results suggest that extending screening intervals beyond 12 months may be viable and safe for most participants, although our 3-year follow up data are needed to substantiate this claim and develop the risk stratification model to identify low-risk patients with T2DM who can be assigned biennial or triennial screening intervals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amudha Aravindhan
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Eva K Fenwick
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Aurora Wing Dan Chan
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Ryan Eyn Kidd Man
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Charumathi Sabanayagam
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | | | - Gavin Tan
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Haslina Hamzah
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore
| | | | | | - Tai E Shyong
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Peter Scanlon
- Gloucestershire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Gloucester, UK
| | | | - Ecosse L Lamoureux
- Singapore Eye Research Institute and Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore.
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
- The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
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An Y, Cao B, Li K, Xu Y, Zhao W, Zhao D, Ke J. A Prediction Model for Sight-Threatening Diabetic Retinopathy Based on Plasma Adipokines among Patients with Mild Diabetic Retinopathy. J Diabetes Res 2023; 2023:8831609. [PMID: 37920605 PMCID: PMC10620016 DOI: 10.1155/2023/8831609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 08/13/2023] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 11/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Accumulating evidence has suggested a link between adipokines and diabetic retinopathy (DR). This study is aimed at investigating the risk factors for sight-threatening DR (STDR) and establishing a prognostic model for predicting STDR among a high-risk population of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods Plasma concentrations of adipokines were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. In the case-control set, principal component analysis (PCA) was performed to select optimal predictive cytokines for STDR, involving severe nonproliferative DR (NPDR) and proliferative DR. Support vector machine (SVM) was used to examine the possible combination of baseline plasma adipokines to discriminate the patients with mild NPDR who will later develop STDR. An individual prospective cohort with a follow-up period of 3 years was used for the external validation. Results In both training and testing sets, involving 306 patients with T2DM, median levels of plasma adiponectin (APN), leptin, and fatty acid-binding protein 4 (FABP4) were significantly higher in the STDR group than those in mild NPDR. Except for adipsin, the other three adipokines, FABP4, APN, and leptin, were selected by PCA and integrated into SVM. The accuracy of the multivariate SVM classification model was acceptable in both the training set (AUC = 0.81, sensitivity = 71%, and specificity = 91%) and the testing set (AUC = 0.77, sensitivity = 61%, and specificity = 92%). 110 T2DM patients with mild NPDR, the high-risk population of STDR, were enrolled for external validation. Based on the SVM, the risk of each patient was calculated. More STDR occurred in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group, which were grouped by the median value of APN, FABP4, and leptin, respectively. The model was validated in an individual cohort using SVM with the AUC, sensitivity, and specificity reaching 0.77, 64%, and 91%, respectively. Conclusions Adiponectin, leptin, and FABP4 were demonstrated to be associated with the severity of DR and maybe good predictors for STDR, suggesting that adipokines may play an important role in the pathophysiology of DR development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaxin An
- Center for Endocrine Metabolism and Immune Diseases, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
| | - Bin Cao
- Center for Endocrine Metabolism and Immune Diseases, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
| | - Kun Li
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Beijing 101149, China
| | - Yongsong Xu
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Beijing 101149, China
| | - Wenying Zhao
- Center for Endocrine Metabolism and Immune Diseases, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
| | - Dong Zhao
- Center for Endocrine Metabolism and Immune Diseases, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Beijing 101149, China
| | - Jing Ke
- Center for Endocrine Metabolism and Immune Diseases, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
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Chung YC, Xu T, Tung TH, Chen M, Chen PE. Early Screening for Diabetic Retinopathy in Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes and Its Effectiveness in Terms of Morbidity and Clinical Treatment: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort. Front Public Health 2022; 10:771862. [PMID: 35570930 PMCID: PMC9094682 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.771862] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2021] [Accepted: 03/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose To characterize the association between the frequency of screening for diabetic retinopathy (DR) and the detection of DR in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods This nationwide population-based cohort study used data from the National Health Insurance Research Database to identify adult patients who were newly diagnosed with T2DM between 2000 and 2004. Data from their follow-up Diabetic retinopathy (DR) treatments over the next 10 years following diagnosis were also analyzed. Results The 41,522 subjects were respectively assigned to a periodic screening group (n = 3850) and nonperiodic screening group (n = 37,672). Significant differences were observed between the two groups in terms of age, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), sex, DR treatment, and the prevalence of DR. The association between periodic screening and DR treatment, only the elderly, female, and patient with severe CCI status showed the significance in the further stratified analysis. Conclusion Periodic screening (annual or biannual screening in the first 5 years) was more effective than nonperiodic screening in detecting instances of DR in the middle-to-advanced aged group but not among younger patients. Screening pattern did not have a significant effect on the likelihood of DR-related treatment during the 5-year follow-up. It appears that a tight screening schedule for the first 5 years after diagnosis with diabetes is not necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu-Chien Chung
- Department of Ophthalmology, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan.,Graduate Institute of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan.,School of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Ting Xu
- Department Endocrinology and Metabolism, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province Affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Taizhou, China
| | - Tao-Hsin Tung
- Evidence-Based Medicine Center, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province Affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Taizhou, China
| | - Mingchih Chen
- Graduate Institute of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan.,Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Pei-En Chen
- Institute of Health Policy and Management, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.,Taiwan Association of Health Industry Management and Development, Taipei, Taiwan
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Wagih S, Hussein MM, Rizk KA, Abdel Azeem AA, El-Habit OH. A study of the genotyping and vascular endothelial growth factor polymorphism differences in diabetic and diabetic retinopathy patients. EGYPTIAN JOURNAL OF MEDICAL HUMAN GENETICS 2022. [DOI: 10.1186/s43042-022-00277-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Retinopathy is one of the major causes of visual impairment which is the most severe microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus (DM). The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between diabetic retinopathy (DR) and two SNPs (− 152G > A and − 165C > T) located in the promoter region of the vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) gene in a small sample from Egyptian population. One hundred diabetic patients without retinopathy (DWR) and two hundred diabetic patients with retinopathy were included in this study. Genotype analysis for the two SNPs (− 152G > A and − 165C > T) was assessed by using the PCR–RFLP technique. In addition, the serum protein level of VEGF was measured by ELISA assay.
Results
The results showed a significant relationship between − 152G > A (rs13207351) polymorphism and both proliferative and non-proliferative retinopathy in genotypes (GG, GA, AA). The risk factor increment in the mutant heterozygous genotype (GA) was significantly increased in NPDR compared to PDR (OR = 16.3, 95%CI = 0.80–331.7); (OR = 20.4, 95%CI = 1.08–385.3), respectively. There was no significance between VEGF − 165C > T (rs79469752) gene polymorphism and retinopathy. Moreover, the serum protein level of VEGF showed a highly significant increase (P = 0.0001) in PDR (Mean ± SD = 3691 ± 124.9) when compared to both DWR (Mean ± SD = 497.3 ± 18.51) and NPDR (Mean ± SD = 1674.5 ± 771.7). These results were supported by the increased level of VEGF in serum protein which is positively correlated with the severity of retinopathy. Measuring VEGF protein level in DR patients would help as a biomarker in early diagnosis.
Conclusion
The increase in the mutant heterogeneous GA genotype in VEGF − 152G > A SNP could be a risk factor for the progression of severe retinopathy in diabetic patients.
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Multiple Single Nucleotide Polymorphism Testing Improves the Prediction of Diabetic Retinopathy Risk with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. J Pers Med 2021; 11:jpm11080689. [PMID: 34442333 PMCID: PMC8398882 DOI: 10.3390/jpm11080689] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2021] [Revised: 07/15/2021] [Accepted: 07/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is one of the most frequent causes of irreversible blindness, thus prevention and early detection of DR is crucial. The purpose of this study is to identify genetic determinants of DR in individuals with type 2 diabetic mellitus (T2DM). A total of 551 T2DM patients (254 with DR, 297 without DR) were included in this cross-sectional research. Thirteen T2DM-related single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were utilized for constructing genetic risk prediction model. With logistic regression analysis, genetic variations of the FTO (rs8050136) and PSMD6 (rs831571) polymorphisms were independently associated with a higher risk of DR. The area under the curve (AUC) calculated on known nongenetic risk variables was 0.704. Based on the five SNPs with the highest odds ratio (OR), the combined nongenetic and genetic prediction model improved the AUC to 0.722. The discriminative accuracy of our 5-SNP combined risk prediction model increased in patients who had more severe microalbuminuria (AUC = 0.731) or poor glycemic control (AUC = 0.746). In conclusion, we found a novel association for increased risk of DR at two T2DM-associated genetic loci, FTO (rs8050136) and PSMD6 (rs831571). Our predictive risk model presents new insights in DR development, which may assist in enabling timely intervention in reducing blindness in diabetic patients.
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Causal Relationship between Adiponectin and Diabetic Retinopathy: A Mendelian Randomization Study in an Asian Population. Genes (Basel) 2020; 12:genes12010017. [PMID: 33374471 PMCID: PMC7823606 DOI: 10.3390/genes12010017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2020] [Revised: 12/04/2020] [Accepted: 12/22/2020] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Adiponectin (APN) is suggested to be a potential biomarker for predicting diabetic retinopathy (DR) risk, but the association between APN and DR has been inconsistent in observational studies. We used a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to evaluate if circulating APN levels result in DR. We applied three different genetic risk scores (GRS): GRSAll combined all 47 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), which from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) database-catalog reach significance level; GRSLimited comprised 16 GRSAll-SNPs with a rigorous threshold (p < 5.0 × 10-8 for GWAS), and GRSAPN combined 5 SNPs significantly associated with APN level. The MR-inverse-variance weighted method analysis showed that for each 1-SD increase in genetically induced increase in plasma APN, the OR of having DR was β = 0.20 (95% CI: -0.46-0.85, p = 0.553) for GRSAPN, 0.61 (95% CI: 0.10-1.13, p = 0.020) for GRSAll, and 0.57 (95% CI: -0.06 to 1.20, p = 0.078) for GRSLimited. Sensitivity analysis, including MR-egger regression and the weighted-median approach, did not provide evidence of the pleiotropic effect of IVs. Limited evidence for the causal role of APN in DR risk among Taiwanese diabetic patients was shown based on MR analysis in the present study.
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Multilocus genetic risk score for diabetic retinopathy in the Han Chinese population of Taiwan. Sci Rep 2018; 8:14535. [PMID: 30266984 PMCID: PMC6162301 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-32916-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2017] [Accepted: 09/17/2018] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
The aim of this study is to explore the effect of genetic variation on diabetic retinopathy (DR) risk in a Taiwanese population. The logistic regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between DR status and risk factors, including the conventional parameters and genetic risk score (GRS). Candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in GRS were selected based on previous reports with a combined P < 10-4 (genome-wide association) and P < 0.05 (meta-analysis). In total, 58 SNPs in 44 susceptibility loci were selected, and four were used to calculate GRS. After adjustment for age, systolic blood pressure, diabetes duration, and HbA1c, the DR risk was 4.95 times higher for patients in the top GRS third tile than for those in the bottom third tile (95% CI = 2.99-8.18; P < 0.001). The addition of genetic information improved DR prediction, increasing the area under the curve (AUC) from 0.72 to 0.77 (P = 0.0024) and improving the sensitivity of the model such that 40 more subjects were reclassified into DR status. The developed multivariate logistic regression model combining conventional risk factors and the multilocus GRS can predict DR, thus enabling timely treatment to reduce blindness in T2D patients.
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van Katwyk S, Jin YP, Trope GE, Buys Y, Masucci L, Wedge R, Flanagan J, Brent MH, El-Defrawy S, Tu HA, Thavorn K. Cost-Utility Analysis of Extending Public Health Insurance Coverage to Include Diabetic Retinopathy Screening by Optometrists. VALUE IN HEALTH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR PHARMACOECONOMICS AND OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2017; 20:1034-1040. [PMID: 28964434 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2017.04.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2016] [Revised: 04/03/2017] [Accepted: 04/12/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is one of the leading causes of vision loss and blindness in Canada. Eye examinations play an important role in early detection. However, DR screening by optometrists is not always universally covered by public or private health insurance plans. This study assessed whether expanding public health coverage to include diabetic eye examinations for retinopathy by optometrists is cost-effective from the perspective of the health care system. METHODS We conducted a cost-utility analysis of extended coverage for diabetic eye examinations in Prince Edward Island to include examinations by optometrists, not currently publicly covered. We used a Markov chain to simulate disease burden based on eye examination rates and DR progression over a 30-year time horizon. Results were presented as an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. A series of one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS Extending public health coverage to eye examinations by optometrists was associated with higher costs ($9,908,543.32) and improved QALYs (156,862.44), over 30 years, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $1668.43/QALY gained. Sensitivity analysis showed that the most influential determinants of the results were the cost of optometric screening and selected utility scores. At the commonly used threshold of $50,000/QALY, the probability that the new policy was cost-effective was 99.99%. CONCLUSIONS Extending public health coverage to eye examinations by optometrists is cost-effective based on a commonly used threshold of $50,000/QALY. Findings from this study can inform the decision to expand public-insured optometric services for patients with diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sasha van Katwyk
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ya-Ping Jin
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Ophthalmology & Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Graham E Trope
- Department of Ophthalmology & Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Yvonne Buys
- Department of Ophthalmology & Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Lisa Masucci
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Richard Wedge
- Health PEI, Charlottetown, Prince Edwards Island, Canada
| | - John Flanagan
- Department of Ophthalmology & Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; School of Optometry and Vision Science Program, University of California Berkeley, California, USA
| | - Michael H Brent
- Department of Ophthalmology & Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sherif El-Defrawy
- Department of Ophthalmology & Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Hong Anh Tu
- Health Quality Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Kednapa Thavorn
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada; School of Epidemiology, Public Health and Preventive Medicine, University of Ottawa; Ottawa, Ontario, Canada; Institute of Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES UOttawa), Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
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Cassarly C, Martin RH, Chimowitz M, Peña EA, Ramakrishnan V, Palesch YY. Assessing type I error and power of multistate Markov models for panel data-A simulation study. COMMUN STAT-SIMUL C 2016; 46:7040-7061. [PMID: 29225407 PMCID: PMC5722228 DOI: 10.1080/03610918.2016.1222425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2016] [Accepted: 07/29/2016] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
Ordinal outcomes collected at multiple follow-up visits are common in clinical trials. Sometimes, one visit is chosen for the primary analysis and the scale is dichotomized amounting to loss of information. Multistate Markov models describe how a process moves between states over time. Here, simulation studies are performed to investigate the type I error and power characteristics of multistate Markov models for panel data with limited non-adjacent state transitions. The results suggest that the multistate Markov models preserve the type I error and adequate power is achieved with modest sample sizes for panel data with limited non-adjacent state transitions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christy Cassarly
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC
| | - Renee’ H. Martin
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC
| | - Marc Chimowitz
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC
| | - Edsel A. Peña
- Department of Statistics, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC
| | | | - Yuko Y. Palesch
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC
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Scanlon PH, Aldington SJ, Leal J, Luengo-Fernandez R, Oke J, Sivaprasad S, Gazis A, Stratton IM. Development of a cost-effectiveness model for optimisation of the screening interval in diabetic retinopathy screening. Health Technol Assess 2016; 19:1-116. [PMID: 26384314 DOI: 10.3310/hta19740] [Citation(s) in RCA: 78] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The English NHS Diabetic Eye Screening Programme was established in 2003. Eligible people are invited annually for digital retinal photography screening. Those found to have potentially sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) are referred to surveillance clinics or to Hospital Eye Services. OBJECTIVES To determine whether personalised screening intervals are cost-effective. DESIGN Risk factors were identified in Gloucestershire, UK using survival modelling. A probabilistic decision hidden (unobserved) Markov model with a misgrading matrix was developed. This informed estimation of lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) in patients without STDR. Two personalised risk stratification models were employed: two screening episodes (SEs) (low, medium or high risk) or one SE with clinical information (low, medium-low, medium-high or high risk). The risk factor models were validated in other populations. SETTING Gloucestershire, Nottinghamshire, South London and East Anglia (all UK). PARTICIPANTS People with diabetes in Gloucestershire with risk stratification model validation using data from Nottinghamshire, South London and East Anglia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Personalised risk-based algorithm for screening interval; cost-effectiveness of different screening intervals. RESULTS Data were obtained in Gloucestershire from 12,790 people with diabetes with known risk factors to derive the risk estimation models, from 15,877 people to inform the uptake of screening and from 17,043 people to inform the health-care resource-usage costs. Two stratification models were developed: one using only results from previous screening events and one using previous screening and some commonly available GP data. Both models were capable of differentiating groups at low and high risk of development of STDR. The rate of progression to STDR was 5 per 1000 person-years (PYs) in the lowest decile of risk and 75 per 1000 PYs in the highest decile. In the absence of personalised risk stratification, the most cost-effective screening interval was to screen all patients every 3 years, with a 46% probability of this being cost-effective at a £30,000 per QALY threshold. Using either risk stratification models, screening patients at low risk every 5 years was the most cost-effective option, with a probability of 99-100% at a £30,000 per QALY threshold. For the medium-risk groups screening every 3 years had a probability of 43-48% while screening high-risk groups every 2 years was cost-effective with a probability of 55-59%. CONCLUSIONS The study found that annual screening of all patients for STDR was not cost-effective. Screening this entire cohort every 3 years was most likely to be cost-effective. When personalised intervals are applied, screening those in our low-risk groups every 5 years was found to be cost-effective. Screening high-risk groups every 2 years further improved the cost-effectiveness of the programme. There was considerable uncertainty in the estimated incremental costs and in the incremental QALYs, particularly with regard to implications of an increasing proportion of maculopathy cases receiving intravitreal injection rather than laser treatment. Future work should focus on improving the understanding of risk, validating in further populations and investigating quality issues in imaging and assessment including the potential for automated image grading. STUDY REGISTRATION Integrated Research Application System project number 118959. FUNDING DETAILS The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter H Scanlon
- Gloucestershire Retinal Research Group, Gloucestershire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cheltenham General Hospital, Cheltenham, UK
| | - Stephen J Aldington
- Gloucestershire Retinal Research Group, Gloucestershire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cheltenham General Hospital, Cheltenham, UK
| | - Jose Leal
- Health Economics Research Centre (HERC), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ramon Luengo-Fernandez
- Health Economics Research Centre (HERC), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jason Oke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sobha Sivaprasad
- King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Anastasios Gazis
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Irene M Stratton
- Gloucestershire Retinal Research Group, Gloucestershire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cheltenham General Hospital, Cheltenham, UK
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Srikanth P. Using Markov Chains to predict the natural progression of diabetic retinopathy. Int J Ophthalmol 2015; 8:132-7. [PMID: 25709923 DOI: 10.3980/j.issn.2222-3959.2015.01.25] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2014] [Accepted: 09/26/2014] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM To study the natural progression of diabetic retinopathy in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS This was an observational study of 153 cases with type 2 diabetes from 2010 to 2013. The state of patient was noted at end of each year and transition matrices were developed to model movement between years. Patients who progressed to severe non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) were treated. Markov Chains and Chi-square test were used for statistical analysis. RESULTS We modelled the transition of 153 patients from NPDR to blindness on an annual basis. At the end of year 3, we compared results from the Markov model versus actual data. The results from Chi-square test confirmed that there was statistically no significant difference (P=0.70) which provided assurance that the model was robust to estimate mean sojourn times. The key finding was that a patient entering the system in mild NPDR state is expected to stay in that state for 5y followed by 1.07y in moderate NPDR, be in the severe NPDR state for 1.33y before moving into PDR for roughly 8y. It is therefore expected that such a patient entering the model in a state of mild NPDR will enter blindness after 15.29y. CONCLUSION Patients stay for long time periods in mild NPDR before transitioning into moderate NPDR. However, they move rapidly from moderate NPDR to proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) and stay in that state for long periods before transitioning into blindness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Priyanka Srikanth
- Jaslok Hospital & Research Centre, 15, Dr. Deshmukh Marg, Pedder Road, Mumbai, Maharashtra 400026, India
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Lin YT, Chen YC, Peng YT, Chen L, Liu JH, Chen FL, Tung TH. Evidence-Based Medicine of Screening of Diabetic Retinopathy among Type 2 Diabetes: A Clinical Overview. Health (London) 2015. [DOI: 10.4236/health.2015.77103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
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Mabaso RG, Oduntan OA. Risk factors for visual impairment and blindness amongst black adult diabetics receiving treatment at Government healthcare facilities in Mopani District, Limpopo province, South Africa. Afr J Prim Health Care Fam Med 2014; 6:E1-8. [PMID: 26245418 PMCID: PMC4565035 DOI: 10.4102/phcfm.v6i1.623] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2013] [Revised: 09/12/2014] [Accepted: 05/01/2014] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a common systemic disease amongst Black South Africans. It may lead to diabetic retinopathy (DR), a common cause of visual impairment (VI) and blindness. DR may significantly increase the prevalence of VI and blindness. Aim To assess risk factors for VI and blindness amongst a black diabetic South African population aged ≥ 40 years. Setting The study was conducted in seven Government healthcare facilities (two hospitals, four clinics and one health centre) in Mopani District, Limpopo province, South Africa. Methods This was a cross-sectional health facility-based quantitative study. Structured interviews were used to obtain information, which included sociodemographic profile, knowledge about DM and its ocular complications, presence of hypertension and accessibility to health facilities. Subsequently participants were examined for VI and blindness using an autorefractor, pinhole disc, ophthalmoscope and logMAR visual acuity chart. Anthropometric measurements (height, weight and waist) were also taken. Associations between 31 risk factors and VI as well as blindness were statistically examined. Results Participants (N = 225) included 161 women and 64 men aged 40–90 years (mean 61.5 ± 10.49 years); 41.3% of them had VI and 3.6% were blind. Cataracts (76.8%) and DR (7.1%) were the common causes of compensated VI and blindness. Risk factors that were associated with VI and blindness were age, monthly income, compliance with losing weight and physical activity. Conclusion Findings suggest that lifestyle intervention and appropriate eyecare programmes may reduce VI and blindness in this population.
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Echouffo-Tcheugui JB, Ali MK, Roglic G, Hayward RA, Narayan KM. Screening intervals for diabetic retinopathy and incidence of visual loss: a systematic review. Diabet Med 2013; 30:1272-92. [PMID: 23819487 DOI: 10.1111/dme.12274] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/18/2013] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Screening for diabetic retinopathy can help to prevent this complication, but evidence regarding frequency of screening is uncertain. This paper systematically reviews the published literature on the relationship between screening intervals for diabetic retinopathy and the incidence of visual loss. The PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched until December 2012. Twenty five studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria, as these assessed the incidence/prevalence of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy in relation to screening frequency. The included studies comprised 15 evaluations of real-world screening programmes, three studies modelling the natural history of diabetic retinopathy and seven cost-effectiveness studies. In evaluations of diabetic retinopathy screening programmes, the appropriate screening interval ranged from one to four years, in people with no retinopathy at baseline. Despite study heterogeneity, the overall tendency observed in these programmes was that 2-year screening intervals among people with no diabetic retinopathy at diagnosis were not associated with high incidence of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy. The modelling studies (non-economic and economic) assessed a range of screening intervals (1-5 years). The aggregated evidence from both the natural history and cost-effectiveness models favors a screening interval >1 year, but ≤2 years. Such an interval would be appropriate, safe and cost-effective for people with no diabetic retinopathy at diagnosis, while screening intervals ≤1 year would be preferable for people with pre-existing diabetic retinopathy. A 2-year screening interval for people with no sight threatening diabetic retinopathy at diagnosis may be safely adopted. For patients with pre-existing diabetic retinopathy, a shorter interval ≤1 year is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- J B Echouffo-Tcheugui
- Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Abstract
In this article we review the current state of care of diabetic retinopathy in India. We discuss the magnitude of the problem; diabetes, and diabetic retinopathy in India. We highlight the causes of vision loss in diabetic retinopathy. The current level of awareness among general population and physicians is a concern. Current screening strategies practiced in India and the situational analysis of ophthalmologists in India are also reviewed. We review the current management of diabetic macular edema and proliferative diabetic retinopathy. To know the current practice pattern among retinal surgeons in India, a survey was done and the results of the survey are presented. There are few studies in the Indian population which have found some genetic risk and protective factors and a summary of these studies are also presented in this article.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kim Ramasamy
- Retina & Vitreous Services, Aravind Eye Care System, No.1 Anna Nagar, Madurai, Tamilnadu, India, 625 020.
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Chen CL, Cheng WS, Chen JL, Chiang CH. Potential of nonoral α-lipoic acid aqueous formulations to reduce ocular microvascular complications in a streptozotocin-induced diabetic rat model. J Ocul Pharmacol Ther 2013; 29:738-45. [PMID: 23848951 DOI: 10.1089/jop.2012.0147] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE α-Lipoic acid (LA) aqueous formulations were studied for nonoral administration, including intravitreal and intraperitoneal preparations and topical eyedrops. The potential retinoprotective effects of these LA preparations were also evaluated in streptozotocin (STZ)-induced diabetic rats for screening better delivery systems of LA. METHODS Four LA liquid preparations were prepared and investigated. The short-term accelerated stabilities of LA preparations were investigated at 3 temperatures: 50°C, 70°C, and 90°C. The time courses of LA degradation in the preparations were determined by high-performance liquid chromatography. Furthermore, the potential therapeutic effects of LA preparations in a STZ-induced diabetic rat model were assessed by vitreous fluorophotometry to evaluate the fluorescein leakage from ocular vascular vessels into the vitreous. Capillary lesion in the retina was also examined using hematoxylin-eosin-stained microsections. RESULTS LA in an aqueous solution was rapidly degraded with the activation energy of 10.4 kcal/mol. The 3 LA preparations had shelf lives of ∼1 month at 25°C. These formulations significantly reduced the vitreous fluorescein level in STZ-induced diabetic rats as evaluated by the fluorescein leakage after tail vein injection. Capillary lesions in the retina of the diabetic rats were remarkably reduced by nonoral administration, particularly the intraperitoneal injection (30 mg/kg/day). CONCLUSIONS LA could be developed as aqueous preparations with suitable stability for short-term use in nonoral administration. LA preparations could be administered intravitreally or intraperitoneally to reduce ocular microvascular complications, such as retinopathy, in diabetic patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chen-Ling Chen
- 1 Far Eastern Memorial Hospital , New Taipei City, Taiwan
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Chen JY, Tsai ST, Hsu CT, Liu JH, Tung TH. Cost-Benefit Analysis of Screening for Gallstone Disease among Chinese Population in Taiwan. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2013. [DOI: 10.11131/2013/100002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Jau-Yuan Chen
- Department of Family Medicine, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Shih-Tzer Tsai
- Department of Medicine, Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | | | - Jorn-Hon Liu
- Cheng Hsin General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Tao-Hsin Tung
- Cheng Hsin General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
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Tung TH, Chen SJ, Shih HC, Chou P, Li AF, Shyong MP, Lee FL, Liu JH. Assessing the Natural Course of Diabetic Retinopathy: A Population-Based Study in Kinmen, Taiwan. Ophthalmic Epidemiol 2009; 13:327-33. [PMID: 17060111 DOI: 10.1080/09286580600826637] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To explore the natural course of diabetic retinopathy among type 2 diabetics using the indirect ophthalmoscope and single-field fundus photographs in Kinmen, Taiwan. METHODS A screening program for diabetic retinopathy was carried out by a panel of ophthalmologists, who employed the ophthalmoscope and 45-degree retinal color photographs to examine the fundus after pupil dilation. Screening, which was conducted between 1999 and 2002, involved 971 patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. A multi-state Markov model was used to assess the natural course of diabetic retinopathy among type 2 diabetics. RESULTS Among the 725 diabetes patients who attended at least two ophthalmological fundus check-ups and were screened, the overall response rate was about 75%. The mean duration of the disease states mild nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy, moderate nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy, severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy, and proliferative diabetic retinopathy were 4.05 [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.28-5.32], 4.18 (95% CI: 3.18-6.06), 2.52 (95% CI: 1.78-4.27), and 4.22 (95% CI: 2.88-7.81) years, respectively. Compared to controls, the incidence of blindness reduction for annual, biennial, 3-year, 4-year, and 5-year screenings of diabetic retinopathy were approximately 94.4% (95% CI: 91.6%-96.3%), 83.9% (95% CI: 83.6%-84.2%), 70.2% (95% CI: 69.8%-70.7%), 57.2% (95% CI: 56.7%-57.7%), and 45.6% (95% CI: 45.0%-46.1%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, the average time for the development of diabetic retinopathy from nonexistence to blindness was approximately 26.5 years. The present recommendation for annual screening in type 2 diabetics with nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy should be retained only for the mild form, not for the moderate or severe forms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao-Hsin Tung
- Community Medicine Research Center and Institute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
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