Combined ultrasound biometry, serum markers and age for Down syndrome risk estimation

Non-invasive prenatal screening: A 20-year experience in Italy

Over the past two decades, there has been a rapid evolution in prenatal screening for fetal chromosome abnormalities. Initially, testing was focused on the identification of affected pregnancies in either the first, or, the second trimester (e.g. the Combined test or the triple test). This was replaced by sequential modalities (e.g. contingent screening) that have enhanced detection while reducing the need for invasive testing. More recently, the introduction of technologies based on cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in maternal plasma and enrichment of fetal cells in maternal circulation have further refined the concept of sequential screening. In this review, we document our experience with serum and ultrasound-based contingent screening where we were able to achieve a detection rate of 96.8%, a false-positive rate of 2.8% and an odds of being affected given a positive result of 1:11. We also describe our initial experience with a novel sequential protocol that includes the analysis of fetal cells in maternal blood. Methods for enrichment for fetal cells cfDNA and cfDNA technologies offer the possibility of greater sensitivity and specificity as well as expansion in the scope of genetic disorders detectable. As costs decline, these technologies will become increasingly used as primary screening tools. In the meantime, sequential use offers a practical approach to maximizing the benefits of prenatal testing.

Second trimester serum tests for Down's Syndrome screening

BACKGROUND

Down's syndrome occurs when a person has three copies of chromosome 21 - or the specific area of chromosome 21 implicated in causing Down's syndrome - rather than two. It is the commonest congenital cause of mental retardation. Noninvasive screening based on biochemical analysis of maternal serum or urine, or fetal ultrasound measurements, allows estimates of the risk of a pregnancy being affected and provides information to guide decisions about definitive testing.  

OBJECTIVES

To estimate and compare the accuracy of second trimester serum markers for the detection of Down's syndrome.

SEARCH METHODS

We carried out a sensitive and comprehensive literature search of MEDLINE (1980 to May 2007), EMBASE (1980 to 18 May 2007), BIOSIS via EDINA (1985 to 18 May 2007), CINAHL via OVID (1982 to 18 May 2007), The Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness (The Cochrane Library 2007, Issue 1), MEDION (May 2007), The Database of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses in Laboratory Medicine (May 2007), The National Research Register (May 2007), Health Services Research Projects in Progress database (May 2007). We studied reference lists and published review articles.  

SELECTION CRITERIA

Studies evaluating tests of maternal serum in women at 14-24 weeks of gestation for Down's syndrome, compared with a reference standard, either chromosomal verification or macroscopic postnatal inspection.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Data were extracted as test positive/test negative results for Down's and non-Down's pregnancies allowing estimation of detection rates (sensitivity) and false positive rates (1-specificity). We performed quality assessment according to QUADAS criteria. We used hierarchical summary ROC meta-analytical methods to analyse test performance and compare test accuracy. Analysis of studies allowing direct comparison between tests was undertaken. We investigated the impact of maternal age on test performance in subgroup analyses.

MAIN RESULTS

Fifty-nine studies involving 341,261 pregnancies (including 1,994 with Down's syndrome) were included. Studies were generally high quality, although differential verification was common with invasive testing of only high-risk pregnancies. Seventeen studies made direct comparisons between tests. Fifty-four test combinations were evaluated formed from combinations of 12 different tests and maternal age; alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), total human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), free beta human chorionic gonadotrophin (βhCG), free alpha human chorionic gonadotrophin (αhCG), Inhibin A, SP2, CA125, troponin, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), placental growth factor (PGF) and proform of eosinophil major basic protein (ProMBP).Meta-analysis of 12 best performing or frequently evaluated test combinations showed double and triple tests (involving AFP, uE3, total hCG, free βhCG) significantly outperform individual markers, detecting six to seven out of every 10 Down's syndrome pregnancies at a 5% false positive rate. Tests additionally involving inhibin performed best (eight out of every 10 Down's syndrome pregnancies) but were not shown to be significantly better than standard triple tests in direct comparisons. Significantly lower sensitivity occurred in women over the age of 35 years. Women who miscarried in the over 35 group were more likely to have been offered an invasive test to verify a negative screening results, whereas those under 35 were usually not offered invasive testing for a negative screening result. Pregnancy loss in women under 35 therefore leads to under ascertainment of screening results, potentially missing a proportion of affected pregnancies and affecting the accuracy of the sensitivity.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Tests involving two or more markers in combination with maternal age are significantly more sensitive than those involving one marker. The value of combining four or more tests or including inhibin have not been proven to show statistically significant improvement. Further study is required to investigate reduced test performance in women aged over 35 and the impact of differential pregnancy loss on study findings.

Aneuploidy: from a physiological mechanism of variance to Down syndrome

Quantitative differences in gene expression emerge as a significant source of variation in natural populations, representing an important substrate for evolution and accounting for a considerable fraction of phenotypic diversity. However, perturbation of gene expression is also the main factor in determining the molecular pathogenesis of numerous aneuploid disorders. In this review, we focus on Down syndrome (DS) as the prototype of "genomic disorder" induced by copy number change. The understanding of the pathogenicity of the extra genomic material in trisomy 21 has accelerated in the last years due to the recent advances in genome sequencing, comparative genome analysis, functional genome exploration, and the use of model organisms. We present recent data on the role of genome-altering processes in the generation of diversity in DS neural phenotypes focusing on the impact of trisomy on brain structure and mental retardation and on biological pathways and cell types in target brain regions (including prefrontal cortex, hippocampus, cerebellum, and basal ganglia). We also review the potential that genetically engineered mouse models of DS bring into the understanding of the molecular biology of human learning disorders.

Incorporating First-Trimester Down Syndrome Studies Into Prenatal Screening

The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD), the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine, and the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), cosponsored a workshop on December 16-17, 2004, to discuss the evidence for first-trimester Down syndrome screening and to explore the effects of combining first- and second-trimester screening, given the results of recent U.S. trials. The experts evaluated the evidence for offering first-trimester screening to provide individual risk assessment for Down syndrome. First-trimester screening has been demonstrated to provide efficient Down syndrome risk assessment, with a detection rate of 84% (95% confidence interval 80-87%), which is clinically comparable to the second-trimester quadruple screen at a fixed false-positive rate of 5%. The participants at the workshop concluded that at this time there is sufficient evidence to support implementing first-trimester Down syndrome risk assessment in obstetric practice in the United States, provided that certain requirements can be met. These requirements include training and quality control standards for first-trimester nuchal translucency measurement and laboratory assays, access to chorionic villus sampling, and appropriate counseling regarding screening options.

[Role of "subtle" ultrasonographic signs during antenatal screening for trisomy 21 during the second trimester of pregnancy: meta-analysis and CPDPN protocol of the Grenoble University Hospital]

OBJECTIVE

A meta-analysis about subtle ultrasonographic signs in second trimester of pregnancy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

196 articles dealing with the subject--from 1985 to July 2002--were studied. Data on the 11 reported signs were collected from 92 theoretically and/or statistically valid studies. Then, the studies were selected according to several criteria: isolated characteristic, defined thresholds, calculable sensitivity and specificity. After checking for homogeneity, a likelihood ratio was calculated for some of the signs.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis of the second trimester ultrasonographic signs of Down's syndrome enabled us to estimate the likelihood ratio (LHR) of six signs. At 22 weeks'gestation (WG) these signs are: pyelectasis equal to or greater than 5 mm; nuchal fold thickness equal to or greater than 6 mm; persistence of choroid plexus cysts; shortness of the femur and humerus below the tenth percentile; hyperechogenic bowe; and nasal bone length less than 2.5 mm.

CONCLUSION

These validated ultrasonographic signs are independent of nuchal translucency thickness at 12 WG and of maternal serum biochemistry. This allows to calculate a combinate risk for nuchal translucency, maternal serum biochemistry and second trimester ultrasonographic signs when they are validated.

The mid-trimester genetic sonogram

The genetic sonogram is a composite algorithm combining multiple individual markers to increase Down syndrome risk prediction. Transformation of sonographic information into a standard mathematical format represented an early challenge that has now been surmounted. Using increasingly sophisticated mathematical techniques, individual patient risk can be estimated. High diagnostic accuracy comparable to standard mid-trimester serum algorithms has been reported. Most recently, a few studies have reported the ability to combine serum and biochemical markers to achieve diagnostic accuracy comparable to first-trimester screen. Even fewer studies have reported combinations of ultrasound and maternal urine markers. While it is clear that consistently high sensitivity and specificity for Down syndrome can be achieved, almost all the studies are based on high-risk groups. Studies in low-risk populations have suffered from lack of standardization. The relevance of genetic sonogram in a low-risk population thus remains to be proven. The most significant challenge, however, remains the development of uniform and reproducible sonographic and measurement standards. This is likely to be the most important factor in optimizing the accuracy of the mid-trimester genetic sonogram.

DNA identification of fetal cells isolated from cervical mucus: potential for early non-invasive prenatal diagnosis

OBJECTIVES

To develop a reliable method to isolate fetal cells for genetic diagnosis.

DESIGN

Aspiration of cervical mucus from pregnant women in the first trimester.

SETTING

Pregnant women were recruited before an elective termination of pregnancy.

POPULATION

Sixty pregnant women (7-10 weeks of gestation).

METHODS

Fetal cells were isolated from aspirated cervical mucus of pregnant women using a combination of enzymatic digestion, fluorescent immunohistochemistry, micromanipulation and single-cell DNA allelic profiling.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The isolation and identification of fetal cells.

RESULTS

The transformation of the tenacious cervical mucus into a single-cell suspension enabled the isolation and identification of fetal cells by fluorescent immunohistochemistry. Confirmation of fetal origin was accomplished by single-cell DNA allelic profiling alongside known maternal cells.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel non-invasive method is rapid and efficient with results attainable within 24 hours as early as seven weeks of gestation. The technique would offer earlier reassurance and the option of first trimester therapeutic abortions to both high and low risk pregnant women.

Correlation of second-trimester sonographic and biochemical markers

OBJECTIVES

To investigate correlations between sonographic soft markers and biochemical markers (human chorionic gonadotrophin, alpha-fetoprotein, and estriol) for Down syndrome in the second trimester of pregnancy.

METHODS

A total of 2183 women with apparently normal singleton fetuses who underwent second-trimester sonography (14-22 weeks) and maternal serum biochemical testing (triple test) were identified. Seven sonographic markers were recorded: nuchal fold thickness, humerus length, femur length, renal pyelectasis, hyperechoic bowel, echogenic intracardiac focus, and choroid plexus cysts.

RESULTS

Weak negative but statistically significant correlations were observed between human chorionic gonadotropin (multiples of the median) and both femur length (multiples of the median; Spearman p = -0.073; P < .01) and humerus length (multiples of the median; Spearman p = -0.083; P < .01). No other correlations significant at the 1% level were observed between femur length (multiples of the median) or humerus length (multiples of the median) and the biochemical markers. There were no significant correlations between nuchal fold thickness and any of the 3 biochemical markers. At the 5% (P < .05) level, the median human chorionic gonadotropin level (multiples of the median) was lower when an echogenic intracardiac focus was detected. Hyperechoic bowel also tended to be associated with higher median human chorionic gonadotropin (multiples of the median) and alpha-fetoprotein (multiples of the median) levels (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that sonographic and biochemical markers for trisomy 21 are largely independent in unaffected pregnancies. For accurate risk estimation, correlations in both affected and unaffected pregnancies need to be considered. No or minimal correlation between sonographic markers and serum screening tests indicates that they can be used as independent modifiers of the maternal age-specific risk for Down syndrome.

Caveats for the use of humerus length in the prediction of fetal Down syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To assess the reliability and reproducibility of fetal humerus length in the diagnosis of trisomy 21.

METHODS

Cohort study inclusive of 22 trisomy 21 fetuses, who underwent ultrasonographic examination between 14 and 22 weeks' gestation, and 457 euploid controls. Regression analysis was performed for humerus length as function of biparietal diameter. Based on the generated regression equation in euploid fetuses, expected values of humerus length for a given biparietal diameter were calculated. The ratios of observed to expected (O/E) humerus length values were compared between euploid and trisomy 21 fetuses using Student's t test. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to detect optimal thresholds of O/E humerus length for diagnosis of trisomy 21. In addition, a MEDLINE search was conducted for articles published on humerus length as predictor of trisomy 21.

RESULTS

No differences were present between the regression lines of trisomy 21 and euploid fetuses (mean +/- standard deviation O/E humerus length in euploid and aneuploid fetuses: 1.00 +/- 0.10 vs. 0.97 +/- 0.11, p = 0.21). The optimal threshold O/E humerus length <0.88 identified by ROC curve analysis had a sensitivity of 18% and a false-positive rate of 9% for the diagnosis of trisomy 21. From a review of the evidence provided by the 17 published series on humerus length as predictor of Down syndrome, the following caveats emerge: (1) with a median false-positive rate of 5% (range 1-12%), the median sensitivity of humerus length was only 28% (range 15-64%); (2) differences were present among centers in the regression lines of euploid fetuses and in the optimal diagnostic thresholds of humerus length, suggesting inter-center variability, and (3) most populations studied were at high genetic risk for trisomy 21, hence the diagnostic ability of humerus length in low risk populations has not been tested.

CONCLUSIONS

The ability of humerus length to predict trisomy 21 is inconsistent. Only institutions with locally generated regression equations and documented predictive ability of this marker should utilize humerus length as a screening test for trisomy 21, alone or incorporated into diagnostic algorithms with serum or other sonographic markers of trisomy 21. The diagnostic ability of humerus length in low risk populations is currently unknown.

Combined serum and ultrasound screening for detection of fetal aneuploidy

Experience gathered over the last decade from high-risk centers provide strong evidence that mid-trimester sonographic markers are sensitive for Down syndrome prediction. More recent data indicate that combining mid trimester sonography with traditional serum markers significantly improves diagnostic accuracy over either group of markers by themselves.

Down syndrome risk estimation after normal genetic sonography

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to determine whether there are any indication-specific variations in risk reduction for fetal Down syndrome after a normal genetic sonogram.

STUDY DESIGN

A second-trimester genetic sonogram was offered to all pregnant women who were at increased risk for fetal Down syndrome (>/=1:274) because of either advanced maternal age (>/=35 years), an abnormal triple screen, or both. Outcome information included the results of genetic amniocentesis (if performed), the results of pediatric assessment, and follow-up after birth. Normal genetic sonography was defined as the absence of all ultrasound aneuploidy markers.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of fetal Down syndrome in the tested population was 1.41% (53/3,753 pregnancies); however, in the presence of normal genetic sonography, the overall prevalence of fetal Down syndrome was 0.21% (7/3,291 pregnancies). The overall risk reduction for fetal Down syndrome in the presence of normal genetic sonography was 6.64-fold (95% CI, 3.01-14.62); the overall negative likelihood ratio was 0.15 (95% CI, 0.07-0.33). In the presence of normal genetic sonography, the risk for fetal Down syndrome was reduced by 83% in patients with advanced maternal age, 88% in patients with abnormal triple screen, 89% in patients with abnormal triple screen who were <35 years old, and 84% in patients who had both abnormal triple screen and advanced maternal age.

CONCLUSION

There were no significant variations in the risk reduction for fetal Down syndrome in the presence of normal genetic sonography. Regardless of the indication for testing, the likelihood for fetal Down syndrome was reduced by 83% to 89%. This information will be useful in counseling pregnant women who are at high risk for fetal Down syndrome and who prefer to undergo genetic sonography before deciding about genetic amniocentesis.

Relationship between nuchal translucency at 11-14 weeks and nuchal fold at 20-24 weeks of gestation

OBJECTIVES

To examine the relationship between the measurement of nuchal translucency in the first trimester and nuchal fold in the second trimester in normal pregnancy.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 592 singleton pregnancies. Fetal nuchal translucency was measured at 11-14 weeks of gestation and nuchal fold at 20-24 weeks of gestation. Linear regression models were used to assess the relationship between nuchal translucency and nuchal fold after adjustment for gestational age.

RESULTS

There was no significant association between nuchal translucency and nuchal fold thickness.

CONCLUSION

It is possible that measurement of nuchal translucency and nuchal fold may provide an independent contribution in screening for trisomy 21.

Prenatal diagnosis of chromosome disorders in Tunisian population

Cytogenetic prenatal diagnosis (PND) is under national health program in most developed countries, while it concerns a small part of population at risk in developing countries. Finance is common reason of absence of PND development, but socio-cultural believes play an important role in Arab Muslim countries. In this paper we report results of 3110 fetal karyotypes carried out in a Tunisian population, by cultured amniocytes analysis. It is the largest report in a Muslim Arab country in our Knowledge. Abnormal karyotypes rate was 4.18% classified in two groups: bad prognosis (3.05%) and good prognosis (1.13%). Common amniocentesis indication was maternal age. The highest predictive value was observed in balanced karyotype and fetal ultrasound findings indications. Maternal serum markers were not commonly used for trisomy 21 screening. Pregnancy termination that is permitted by legal and religious authorities was accepted by 94,74% parents. Information about PND outcomes was given by genetic counselling prior to fetal sampling, pregnancy interruption was discussed with parents at cytogenetic result announcement. The authors conclude that in order to prevent mental and physical handicap related to cytogenetic disorders we have to promote PND by education for population, genetic counselling and fetal ultrasound screening; all three methods available in Tunisia.