Retrospective validation of a machine learning clinical decision support tool for myocardial infarction risk stratification

Machine learning to identify a composite indicator to predict cardiac death in ischemic heart disease

BACKGROUND

Machine learning (ML) employs algorithms that learn from data, building models with the potential to predict events by aggregating a large number of variables and assessing their complex interactions. The aim of this study is to assess ML potential in identifying patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) at high risk of cardiac death (CD).

METHODS

3987 (mean age 68 ± 11) hospitalized IHD patients were enrolled. We implemented and compared various ML models and their combination into ensembles. Model output constitutes a new ML indicator to be employed for stratification. Primary variable importance was assessed with ablation tests.

RESULTS

An ensemble classifier combining three ML models achieved the best performance to predict CD (AUROC of 0.830, F1-macro of 0.726). ML indicator use through Cox survival analysis outperformed the 18 variables individually, producing a better stratification compared to standard multivariate analysis (improvement of ∼20%). Patients in the low risk group defined through ML indicator had a significantly higher survival (88.8% versus 29.1%). The main variables identified were Dyslipidemia, LVEF, Previous CABG, Diabetes, Previous Myocardial Infarction, Smoke, Documented resting or exertional ischemia, with an AUROC of 0.791 and an F1-score of 0.674, lower than that of 18 variables. Both code and clinical data are freely available with this article.

CONCLUSION

ML may allow a faster, low-cost and reliable evaluation of IHD patient prognosis by inclusion of more predictors and identification of those more significant, improving outcome prediction towards the development of precision medicine in this clinical field.

AI-Driven Decision Support for Early Detection of Cardiac Events: Unveiling Patterns and Predicting Myocardial Ischemia

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) account for a significant portion of global mortality, emphasizing the need for effective strategies. This study focuses on myocardial infarction, pulmonary thromboembolism, and aortic stenosis, aiming to empower medical practitioners with tools for informed decision making and timely interventions. Drawing from data at Hospital Santa Maria, our approach combines exploratory data analysis (EDA) and predictive machine learning (ML) models, guided by the Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) methodology. EDA reveals intricate patterns and relationships specific to cardiovascular diseases. ML models achieve accuracies above 80%, providing a 13 min window to predict myocardial ischemia incidents and intervene proactively. This paper presents a Proof of Concept for real-time data and predictive capabilities in enhancing medical strategies.

Twelve tips for physicians’ mastering expertise in diagnostic excellence

Diagnostic errors, which account for a large proportion of medical errors, are a global medical challenge. The slogan of reducing diagnostic errors has recently shifted to a new strategy of diagnostic excellence, the core of which is the importance of improving the multidisciplinary diagnostic process. Many of the elements and strategies necessary for diagnostic excellence have been presented. In the context of this diagnostic improvement, some reports have been structured to improve the quality of performance of individual physicians as players. Still, surprisingly, only a few reports have focused on specific day-to-day training strategies for the diagnostic thinking process as expertise. This paper focuses on this point and proposes strategies for refining the diagnostic thinking expertise of frontline physicians in the new era, based on the following four elements: knowledge and experience, diagnostic thinking strategies, information management skills, and calibration and reflection.

Diabetes prediction using machine learning and explainable AI techniques

Globally, diabetes affects 537 million people, making it the deadliest and the most common non-communicable disease. Many factors can cause a person to get affected by diabetes, like excessive body weight, abnormal cholesterol level, family history, physical inactivity, bad food habit etc. Increased urination is one of the most common symptoms of this disease. People with diabetes for a long time can get several complications like heart disorder, kidney disease, nerve damage, diabetic retinopathy etc. But its risk can be reduced if it is predicted early. In this paper, an automatic diabetes prediction system has been developed using a private dataset of female patients in Bangladesh and various machine learning techniques. The authors used the Pima Indian diabetes dataset and collected additional samples from 203 individuals from a local textile factory in Bangladesh. Feature selection algorithm mutual information has been applied in this work. A semi-supervised model with extreme gradient boosting has been utilized to predict the insulin features of the private dataset. SMOTE and ADASYN approaches have been employed to manage the class imbalance problem. The authors used machine learning classification methods, that is, decision tree, SVM, Random Forest, Logistic Regression, KNN, and various ensemble techniques, to determine which algorithm produces the best prediction results. After training on and testing all the classification models, the proposed system provided the best result in the XGBoost classifier with the ADASYN approach with 81% accuracy, 0.81 F1 coefficient and AUC of 0.84. Furthermore, the domain adaptation method has been implemented to demonstrate the versatility of the proposed system. The explainable AI approach with LIME and SHAP frameworks is implemented to understand how the model predicts the final results. Finally, a website framework and an Android smartphone application have been developed to input various features and predict diabetes instantaneously. The private dataset of female Bangladeshi patients and programming codes are available at the following link: https://github.com/tansin-nabil/Diabetes-Prediction-Using-Machine-Learning.

Application of artificial intelligence techniques for automated detection of myocardial infarction: a review

Myocardial infarction (MI) results in heart muscle injury due to receiving insufficient blood flow. MI is the most common cause of mortality in middle-aged and elderly individuals worldwide. To diagnose MI, clinicians need to interpret electrocardiography (ECG) signals, which requires expertise and is subject to observer bias. Artificial intelligence-based methods can be utilized to screen for or diagnose MI automatically using ECG signals. In this work, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of artificial intelligence-based approaches for MI detection based on ECG and some other biophysical signals, including machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models. The performance of traditional ML methods relies on handcrafted features and manual selection of ECG signals, whereas DL models can automate these tasks. The review observed that deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) yielded excellent classification performance for MI diagnosis, which explains why they have become prevalent in recent years. To our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive survey of artificial intelligence techniques employed for MI diagnosis using ECG and some other biophysical signals.