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Wang H, He YQ, Dong SY, Zhong W, Tao P, Yang SY, Liu ZJ. Recurrence of common bile duct stones after choledocholithotomy in elderly patients: risk factor analysis and clinical prediction model development. Front Med (Lausanne) 2023; 10:1239902. [PMID: 37937139 PMCID: PMC10626465 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1239902] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2023] [Accepted: 10/11/2023] [Indexed: 11/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The reasons for the recurrence of common bile duct stones (CBDS) in elderly patients after choledocholithotomy are still unclear. This study aims to establish a prediction model for CBDS recurrence by identifying risk factors. Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis of 1804 elderly patients aged 65 years and above who were diagnosed to have CBDS and were admitted to Nanjing First Hospital between January 1, 2010, and January 1, 2021. According to inclusion and exclusion criteria, 706 patients were selected for the final analysis. The patients were assigned to two groups according to the presence or absence of CBDS recurrence, and their clinical data were then statistically analyzed. Subsequently, a prediction model and nomogram were developed, evaluating effectiveness using the concordance index (C-index). Results Of the 706 elderly patients, 62 patients experienced CBDS recurrence after surgery, resulting in a recurrence rate of 8.8%. The multivariate Cox analysis showed that prior history of cholecystectomy (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.931, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.051-3.547, p = 0.034), white blood cell (WBC) count ≥11.0 × 109/L (HR = 2.923, 95% CI: 1.723-4.957, p < 0.001), preoperative total bilirubin (TBIL) level ≥ 36.5 mmol/L (HR = 2.172, 95% CI: 1.296-3.639, p = 0.003), number of stones ≥2 (HR = 2.093, 95% CI: 1.592-5.294, p = 0.001), maximum stone diameter ≥ 0.85 cm (HR = 1.940, 95% CI: 1.090-3.452, p = 0.024), and T-tube drainage (HR = 2.718, 95% CI: 1.230-6.010, p = 0.013) were independent risk factors of CBDS recurrence in elderly patients after choledocholithotomy. A postoperative CBDS recurrence prediction model was constructed with a C-index value of 0.758 (95% CI: 0.698-0.818) and internal validation value of 0.758 (95% CI: 0.641-0.875). Conclusion A history of cholecystectomy, WBC count ≥11.0 × 109/L, preoperative TBIL level ≥ 36.5 mmol/L, number of stones ≥2, maximum stone diameter ≥ 0.85 cm, and T-tube drainage are the independent risk factors of CBDS recurrence after choledocholithotomy in elderly patients. Our developed prediction model for CBDS recurrence has good predictive ability and can help predict the prognosis of patients with CBDS.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Zi-jun Liu
- Department of General Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
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Sugiura R, Nakamura H, Horita S, Meguro T, Sasaki K, Kagaya H, Yoshida T, Aoki H, Morita T, Fujita M, Tamoto E, Fukushima M, Ashitate Y, Ueno T, Tsutaho A, Kuwatani M, Sakamoto N. Assessment of postoperative common bile duct stones after endoscopic extraction and subsequent cholecystectomy. Surg Endosc 2022; 36:6535-6542. [PMID: 35041052 DOI: 10.1007/s00464-022-09017-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2021] [Accepted: 01/03/2022] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Common bile duct stones (CBDSs) occasionally cause serious diseases, and endoscopic extraction is the standard procedure for CBDS. To prevent biliary complications, cholecystectomy is recommended for patients who present with gallbladder (GB) stones after endoscopic CBDS extraction. However, CBDS can occasionally recur. To date, the occurrence of CBDS after endoscopic CBDS extraction and subsequent cholecystectomy is not fully understood. Hence, the current study aimed to evaluate the incidence of postoperative CBDSs. METHODS This retrospective observational study included consecutive patients who underwent postoperative endoscopic retrograde cholangiography after endoscopic CBDS extraction and subsequent cholecystectomy between April 2012 and June 2021 at our institution. After endoscopic CBDS extraction, a biliary plastic stent was inserted to prevent obstructive cholangitis. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiography was performed to evaluate postoperative CBDSs after cholecystectomy until hospital discharge. The outcomes were the incidence of postoperative CBDSs and CBDSs/sludge. Moreover, the predictive factors for postoperative CBDSs were evaluated via univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS Of eligible 204 patients, 52 patients (25.5%) presented with postoperative CBDSs. The incidence rate of CBDS/sludge was 36.8% (n = 75). Based on the univariate analysis, the significant predictive factors for postoperative CBDSs were ≥ 6 CBDSs, presence of cystic duct stones, and ≥ 10 GB stones (P < 0.05). Moreover, male sex and < 60-mm minor axis in GB might be predictive factors (P < 0.10). Based on the multivariate analysis, ≥ 6 CBDSs (odds ratio = 6.65, P < 0.01), presence of cystic duct stones (odds ratio = 4.39, P < 0.01), and ≥ 10 GB stones (odds ratio = 2.55, P = 0.01) were independent predictive factors for postoperative CBDSs. CONCLUSIONS The incidence of postoperative CBDS was relatively high. Hence, patients with predictive factors for postoperative CBDS must undergo imaging tests or additional endoscopic procedure after cholecystectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ryo Sugiura
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan.
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.
| | - Hideaki Nakamura
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Shoichi Horita
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Takashi Meguro
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Kiyotaka Sasaki
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Hidetoshi Kagaya
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Tatsuya Yoshida
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Hironori Aoki
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, 1-2-10, 1-jo Honcho, Higashi-ku, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Takayuki Morita
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Miyoshi Fujita
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Eiji Tamoto
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Masayuki Fukushima
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Yoshitomo Ashitate
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Takashi Ueno
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Akio Tsutaho
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hokkaido Gastroenterology Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Masaki Kuwatani
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Naoya Sakamoto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine and Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
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Han SJ, Chang JH, Gweon TG, Kim TH, Kim HK, Kim CW. Analysis of symptomatic recurrences of common bile ducts stones after endoscopic removal: Factors related to early or multiple recurrences. Medicine (Baltimore) 2022; 101:e28671. [PMID: 35060565 PMCID: PMC8772677 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000028671] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2021] [Accepted: 01/06/2022] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Early or multiple recurrences of symptomatic common bile duct (CBD) stones are troublesome late complications after endoscopic stone removal. We aimed to determine the factors related to early or multiple recurrences of CBD stones.We retrospectively analyzed patients who underwent endoscopic CBD stone extraction in a single institute between January 2006 and December 2015. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the number and interval of CBD stone recurrences: single versus multiple (≥2) and early (<1.5 years) versus late (≥1.5 years) recurrence.After exclusion, 78 patients were enrolled and followed up for a median of 1974 (IQR: 938-3239) days. Twenty-seven (34.6%) patients experienced multiple recurrences (≥2 times), and 26 (33.3%) patients experienced early first recurrence (<1.5 years). In the multivariate analysis, CBD angulation was independently related to multiple CBD stone recurrence (OR: 4.689, P = .016), and endoscopic papillary large balloon dilation was independently related to late first CBD stone recurrence (OR: 3.783, P = .025). The mean CBD angles were more angulated with increasing instances of recurrence (0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 times) with corresponding values of 150.3°, 148.2°, 143.6°, 142.2°, and 126.7°, respectively (P = .011). The period between the initial treatment and first recurrence was significantly longer than the period between the first and second recurrence (P = .048).In conclusion, greater CBD angulation is associated with the increased number of CBD stone recurrence, and EPLBD delays the recurrence of CBD stones after endoscopic CBD stone removal.
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Ryu S, Jo IH, Kim S, Kim YJ, Chung WC. Clinical Impact of Common Bile Duct Angulation on the Recurrence of Common Bile Duct Stone: A Meta-analysis and Review. THE KOREAN JOURNAL OF GASTROENTEROLOGY 2021; 76:199-205. [PMID: 33100315 DOI: 10.4166/kjg.2020.76.4.199] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2020] [Revised: 07/24/2020] [Accepted: 07/26/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Background/Aims Local and systemic factors, such as diabetes, obesity, and hyperlipidemia, are considered risk factors for the recurrence of choledocholithiasis after successful endoscopic clearance. Local factors include the presence of bile sludge, common bile duct (CBD) diameter, and CBD angulation. Among them, it is unclear if acute CBD angulation is preferable to the recurrence of a CBD stone. Methods PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, the Cochrane Library databases, and google website were searched for randomized controlled trials reported in English and undertaken until August 2019. Meta-analysis was performed on all randomized controlled trials for the recurrence of CBD stones between the patients with acute CBD angulation. Results Eight randomized trials (1,776 patients) were identified, and the total recurrent rate of CBD stones was 18.8% (334/1,776). A CBD angle ≤145° was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrent CBD stone (OR=2.65, p<0.01). In two prospective studies, acute CBD angulation was not proven to be associated with a recurrence (p=0.39). Conclusions Approximately 20% of patients with a CBD stone showed recurrence after the complete clearance of the CBD stone, and a CBD angle ≤145° could increase the risk of recurrence. Overall, a large-scale prospective study should be necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seongyul Ryu
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Suwon, Korea
| | - Ik Hyun Jo
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Suwon, Korea
| | - Seonhoo Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Suwon, Korea
| | - Yeon-Ji Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Suwon, Korea
| | - Woo Chul Chung
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Suwon, Korea
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Risk factors of recurrence following common bile duct exploration for choledocholithiasis. THE JOURNAL OF MINIMALLY INVASIVE SURGERY 2021; 24:43-50. [PMID: 35601285 PMCID: PMC8965994 DOI: 10.7602/jmis.2021.24.1.43] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/06/2020] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
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Wu Y, Xu CJ, Xu SF. Advances in Risk Factors for Recurrence of Common Bile Duct Stones. Int J Med Sci 2021; 18:1067-1074. [PMID: 33456365 PMCID: PMC7807200 DOI: 10.7150/ijms.52974] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2020] [Accepted: 12/22/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Choledocholithiasis is a chronic common disease. The incidence of cholelithiasis is 5%-15%, of which 5%-30% are combined with Choledocholithiasis. Although endoscopic cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) + endoscopic sphincterotomy (EST) is the most common treatment procedure, which clearance rate is up to 95%, the incidence of recurrent choledocholithiasis was 4%-25%. The risk factors of recurrence after choledocholithiasis clearance are the focuses of current researches, which are caused by multiple factors. We first systematically summarize the risk factors of common bile duct stones (CBDS) recurrence into five aspects: first-episode stone related factors, congenital factors, biological factors, behavioral intervention factors, and the numbers of stone recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yao Wu
- Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211100, China
| | - Chen Jing Xu
- Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211100, China
| | - Shun Fu Xu
- Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211100, China.,Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China
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Park SY, Hong TH, Lee SK, Park IY, Kim TH, Kim SG. Recurrence of common bile duct stones following laparoscopic common bile duct exploration: a multicenter study. JOURNAL OF HEPATO-BILIARY-PANCREATIC SCIENCES 2019; 26:578-582. [DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.675] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sun Young Park
- Department of General Surgery Yeouido St. Mary’s HospitalCollege of MedicineThe Catholic University of Korea 63‐ro 10, Yeongdeungpo‐gu Seoul07345Korea
| | - Tae Ho Hong
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreas Surgery Seoul St. Mary’s HospitalCollege of MedicineThe Catholic University of Korea Seoul Korea
| | - Sang Kuon Lee
- Department of General Surgery Daejeon St. Mary’s Hospital College of Medicine The Catholic University of Korea Daejeon Korea
| | - Il Young Park
- Department of General Surgery Bucheon St. Mary’s HospitalCollege of MedicineThe Catholic University of Korea Bucheon Korea
| | - Tae Hyeon Kim
- Division of Gastroenterology Department of Internal Medicine Wonkwang University Medical School and Hospital Iksan Korea
| | - Sung Geun Kim
- Department of General Surgery Yeouido St. Mary’s HospitalCollege of MedicineThe Catholic University of Korea 63‐ro 10, Yeongdeungpo‐gu Seoul07345Korea
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