The Impact of Previous Obstetric History on the Risk of Spontaneous Preterm Birth in Women with a Sonographic Short Cervix

Evaluation of Non-Compressive Transvaginal Cervical Elastography as a Quantitative Imaging Biomarker in Pregnancy: A Repeatability and Reliability Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Non-compressive strain elastography has been proposed as a novel quantitative imaging biomarker for assessing the structure and function of the cervix. The current study aims to assess the repeatability, and intra- and inter-observer reliability of transvaginal non-compressive cervical strain elastography in a clinical setting.

METHODS

We conducted a dual-phase single-center prospective feasibility study of singleton gestations >16-weeks gestation that required a clinically-indicated transvaginal ultrasound. Each study participant, n = 43 in phase 1 and n = 13 in phase 2, had elastography performed by two trained observers that each performed multiple image acquisitions. We performed a multivariable regression to adjust for changes in clinical characteristics between study phases and calculated the repeatability coefficients, limits of agreement, and intraclass correlations for each quantitative elastography parameter. We compared quantitative elastography parameters to cervical length measurements, acquired from the same images.

RESULTS

The repeatability coefficients and percent limits of agreement were wide for all of the quantitative elastography parameters, demonstrating poor repeatability. Intraclass correlation coefficients were poor-moderate for both intra-observer (0.31-0.77) and inter-observer reliability (0.35-0.77) in both study phases, while cervical length showed excellent reliability with intraclass correlations consistently >0.90.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-compressive transvaginal strain cervical elastography did not demonstrate adequate repeatability or reliability. Our results highlight the importance of rigorously assessing novel quantitative imaging biomarkers before clinical application.

Maternal Plasma RNA in First Trimester Nullipara for the Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth ≤ 32 Weeks: Validation Study

The first-trimester prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) has been elusive, and current screening is heavily dependent on obstetric history. However, nullipara lack a relevant history and are at higher risk for spontaneous (s)PTB ≤ 32 weeks compared to multipara. No available objective first-trimester screening test has proven a fair predictor of sPTB ≤ 32 weeks. We questioned whether a panel of maternal plasma cell-free (PCF) RNAs (PSME2, NAMPT, APOA1, APOA4, and Hsa-Let-7g) previously validated at 16-20 weeks for the prediction of sPTB ≤ 32 weeks might be useful in first-trimester nullipara. Sixty (60) nulliparous women (40 with sPTB ≤ 32 weeks) who were free of comorbidities were randomly selected from the King's College Fetal Medicine Research Institute biobank. Total PCF RNA was extracted and the expression of panel RNAs was quantitated by qRT-PCR. The analysis employed, primarily, multiple regression with the main outcome being the prediction of subsequent sPTB ≤ 32 weeks. The test performance was judged by the area under the curve (AUC) using a single threshold cut point with observed detection rates (DRs) at three fixed false positive rates (FPR). The mean gestation was 12.9 ± 0.5 weeks (range 12.0-14.1 weeks). Two RNAs were differentially expressed in women destined for sPTB ≤ 32 weeks: APOA1 (p < 0.001) and PSME2 (p = 0.05). APOA1 testing at 11-14 weeks predicted sPTB ≤ 32 weeks with fair to good accuracy. The best predictive model generated an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.66-0.91) with observed DRs of 41%, 61%, and 79% for FPRs of 10%, 20%, and 30%, including crown-rump length, maternal weight, race, tobacco use, and age.

Midtrimester Cervical Length in Low-Risk Nulliparous Women for the Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth: Should We Consider a New Definition of Short Cervix?

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to estimate the predictive value of midtrimester cervical length (CL) and the optimal cut-off of CL that should be applied with asymptomatic nulliparous women for the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB).

STUDY DESIGN

This is a prospective cohort study of asymptomatic nulliparous women with a singleton gestation. Participants underwent CL measurement by transvaginal ultrasound between 20 and 24 weeks of gestation. The participants and their health care providers remained blinded to the results of CL measurement. The primary outcomes were sPTB before 35 weeks and sPTB before 37 weeks. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analyses were performed. Analyses were repeated by using multiples of median (MoM) of CL adjusted for gestational age.

RESULTS

Of 796 participants, the mean midtrimester CL was 40 ± 6 mm with a 1st, 5th, and 10th percentile of 25, 29, and 32 mm, respectively. ROC curve analyses suggest that a cut-off of 30 mm was the optimal CL to predict sPTB before 35 weeks (area under the ROC curve [AUC]: 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.56-0.85) and before 37 weeks (AUC: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.59-0.80). Midtrimester CL <30 mm could detect 35% of all sPTB before 35 weeks at a false-positive rate of 5% (relative risk: 9.1, 95% CI: 3.5-23.5, p < 0.001). We observed similar results using a cut-off of CL <0.75 MoM adjusted for gestational age.

CONCLUSION

A midtrimester CL cut-off of 30 mm (instead of 25 mm), or CL less than 0.75 MoM, should be used to identify nulliparous women at high risk of sPTB.

KEY POINTS

· The optimal CL cut-off for the prediction of sPTB is 30 mm in nulliparous women.. · In nulliparous women, a midtrimester CL < 30 mm is highly associated with sPTB before 35 and 37 weeks.. · A midtrimester of CL <30 mm (5th percentile) should define a short cervix in asymptomatic nulliparous women..