Clinical Prediction Scores for Pediatric Appendicitis

Systemic immune-inflammation index combined with pediatric appendicitis score in assessing the severity and prognosis for paediatric appendicitis

BACKGROUND

Pediatric appendicitis is a common cause of abdominal pain in children and is recognized as a significant surgical emergency. A prompt and accurate diagnosis is essential to prevent complications such as perforation and peritonitis.

AIM

To investigate the predictive value of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) combined with the pediatric appendicitis score (PAS) for the assessment of disease severity and surgical outcomes in children aged 5 years and older with appendicitis.

METHODS

Clinical data of 104 children diagnosed with acute appendicitis were analyzed. The participants were categorized into the acute appendicitis group and chronic appendicitis group based on disease presentation and further stratified into the good prognosis group and poor prognosis group based on prognosis. The SII and PAS were measured, and a joint model using the combined SII and PAS was constructed to predict disease severity and surgical outcomes.

RESULTS

Significant differences were observed in the SII and PAS parameters between the acute appendicitis group and chronic appendicitis group. Correlation analysis showed associations among the SII, PAS, and disease severity, with the combined SII and PAS model demonstrating significant predictive value for assessing disease severity [aera under the curve (AUC) = 0.914] and predicting surgical outcomes (AUC = 0.857) in children aged 5 years and older with appendicitis.

CONCLUSION

The study findings support the potential of integrating the SII with the PAS for assessing disease severity and predicting surgical outcomes in pediatric appendicitis, indicating the clinical utility of the combined SII and PAS model in guiding clinical decision-making and optimizing surgical management strategies for pediatric patients with appendicitis.

Diagnostic Performance of Serum Leucine-Rich Alpha-2-Glycoprotein 1 in Pediatric Acute Appendicitis: A Prospective Validation Study

Introduction: Leucine-rich alpha-2-glycoprotein 1(LRG-1) is a human protein that has shown potential usefulness as a biomarker for diagnosing pediatric acute appendicitis (PAA). This study aims to validate the diagnostic performance of serum LRG-1 in PAA. Material and Methods: This work is a subgroup analysis from BIDIAP (BIomarkers for DIagnosing Appendicitis in Pediatrics), a prospective single-center observational cohort, to validate serum LRG-1 as a diagnostic tool in PAA. This analysis included 200 patients, divided into three groups: (1) healthy patients undergoing major outpatient surgery (n = 56), (2) patients with non-surgical abdominal pain (n = 52), and (3) patients with a confirmed diagnosis of PAA (n = 92). Patients in group 3 were divided into complicated and uncomplicated PAA. In all patients, a serum sample was obtained during recruitment, and LRG-1 concentration was determined by Enzyme-Linked ImmunoSorbent Assay (ELISA). Comparative statistical analyses were performed using the Mann-Whitney U, Kruskal-Wallis, and Fisher's exact tests. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was calculated for all pertinent analyses. Results: Serum LRG-1 values, expressed as median (interquartile range) were 23,145 (18,246-27,453) ng/mL in group 1, 27,655 (21,151-38,795) ng/mL in group 2 and 40,409 (32,631-53,655) ng/mL in group 3 (p < 0.0001). Concerning the type of appendicitis, the serum LRG-1 values obtained were 38,686 (31,804-48,816) ng/mL in the uncomplicated PAA group and 51,857 (34,013-64,202) ng/mL in the complicated PAA group (p = 0.02). The area under the curve (AUC) obtained (group 2 vs. 3) was 0.75 (95% CI 0.67-0.84). For the discrimination between complicated and uncomplicated PAA, the AUC obtained was 0.66 (95% CI 0.52-0.79). Conclusions: This work establishes normative health ranges for serum LRG-1 values in the pediatric population and shows that serum LRG-1 could be a potentially helpful tool for diagnosing PAA in the future. Future prospective multicenter studies, with the parallel evaluation of urinary and salivary LRG-1, are necessary to assess the implementability of this molecule in actual clinical practice.

Study of pediatric appendicitis scores and management strategies: A prospective observational feasibility study

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to investigate the feasibility of prospectively validating multiple clinical prediction scores (CPSs) for pediatric appendicitis in an Australian pediatric emergency department (ED).

METHODS

A literature search was conducted to identify potential CPSs and a single-center prospective observational feasibility study was performed between November 2022 and May 2023 to evaluate the performance of identified CPSs. Children 5-15 years presenting with acute right-sided or generalized abdominal pain and clinician suspicion of appendicitis were included. CPSs were calculated by the study team from prospectively clinician-collected data and/or review of medical records. Accuracy of CPSs were assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and proportions correctly identifiable as either low-risk or high-risk with the best performing CPS compared to clinician gestalt. Final diagnosis of appendicitis was confirmed on histopathology or by telephone/email follow-up for those discharged directly from ED.

RESULTS

Thirty CPSs were identified in the literature search and 481 patients were enrolled in the study. A total of 150 (31.2%) patients underwent appendectomy with three (2.0%) having a normal appendix on histopathology. All identified CPSs were calculable for at least 50% of the patient cohort. The pediatric Appendicitis Risk Calculator for pediatric EDs (pARC-ED; n = 317) was the best performing CPS with AUC 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86-0.94) and specificity 99.0% (95% CI 96.4%-99.7%) in diagnosing high-risk cases and a misclassification rate of 4.5% for low-risk cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified 30 CPSs that could be validated in a majority of patients to compare their ability to assess risk of pediatric appendicitis. The pARC-ED had the highest predictive accuracy and can potentially assist in risk stratification of children with suspected appendicitis in pediatric EDs. A multicenter study is now under way to evaluate the potential of these CPSs in a broader range of EDs to aid clinical decision making in more varied settings.

Current use of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and management of acute appendicitis

INTRODUCTION

Acute appendicitis is a common and time-sensitive surgical emergency, requiring rapid and accurate diagnosis and management to prevent complications. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative tool in healthcare, offering significant potential to improve the diagnosis and management of acute appendicitis. This review provides an overview of the evolving role of AI in the diagnosis and management of acute appendicitis, highlighting its benefits, challenges, and future perspectives.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We performed a literature search on articles published from 2018 to September 2023. We included only original articles.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Overall, 121 studies were examined. We included 32 studies: 23 studies addressed the diagnosis, five the differentiation between complicated and uncomplicated appendicitis, and 4 studies the management of acute appendicitis.

CONCLUSIONS

AI is poised to revolutionize the diagnosis and management of acute appendicitis by improving accuracy, speed and consistency. It could potentially reduce healthcare costs. As AI technologies continue to evolve, further research and collaboration are needed to fully realize their potential in the diagnosis and management of acute appendicitis.

Validation of the Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) score during pregnancy: A nested case-control study

OBJECTIVES

Appendicitis poses diagnostic challenges. A correct diagnosis is important during pregnancy to avoid unnecessary surgery on the one hand and delayed surgery on the other hand, as both may negatively affect pregnancy outcomes. Clinical scores for risk-stratified management of suspected appendicitis are well established in adults but have not been validated during pregnancy. This nested case-control study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) score and imaging during pregnancy.

METHODS

By cross-linking national Swedish health registries from a defined geographical area, we identified a cohort of 154 women who underwent appendectomy for suspected appendicitis during pregnancy and a matched cohort of 232 pregnant women admitted for acute abdominal pain and suspected appendicitis but with a discharge diagnosis of nonspecific abdominal pain (NSAP). All variables were extracted from medical records. The diagnostic value of AIR score and imaging was estimated for patients with a final diagnosis of appendicitis compared with patients with negative appendectomy and NSAP patients.

RESULTS

The final diagnoses for the operated patients were uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis in 49.4% and 26.6%, respectively, and negative appendectomy in 24.0%. Nearly half of all the patients underwent diagnostic imaging (41%), mainly by ultrasonography. The sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic imaging were 44.9% (95% CI 32.9%-57.4%) and 42.2% (95% CI 31.9%-53.1%), respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of AIR score was 0.88 (95% CI 0.84-0.92) for all appendicitis and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84-0.95) for complicated appendicitis. The sensitivity for complicated appendicitis was 100% at a score of ≥4. The specificity for all appendicitis was 97% at a score of ≥9.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that the AIR score may be a suitable diagnostic tool for risk stratification of pregnant women with abdominal pain and suspected appendicitis but further validation among pregnant women is needed.

Identifying neonates at risk for post-discharge mortality in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and Monrovia, Liberia: Derivation and internal validation of a novel risk assessment tool

INTRODUCTION

The immediate period after hospital discharge carries a large burden of childhood mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to derive and internally validate a risk assessment tool to identify neonates discharged from the neonatal ward at risk for 60-day post-discharge mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective observational cohort study of neonates discharged from Muhimbili National Hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and John F Kennedy Medical Centre in Monrovia, Liberia. Research staff called caregivers to ascertain vital status up to 60 days after discharge. We conducted multivariable logistic regression analyses with best subset selection to identify socioeconomic, demographic, clinical, and anthropometric factors associated with post-discharge mortality. We used adjusted log coefficients to assign points to each variable and internally validated our tool with bootstrap validation with 500 repetitions.

RESULTS

There were 2344 neonates discharged and 2310 (98.5%) had post-discharge outcomes available. The median (IQR) age at discharge was 8 (4, 15) days; 1238 (53.6%) were male. In total, 71 (3.1%) died during follow-up (26.8% within 7 days of discharge). Leaving against medical advice (adjusted OR [aOR] 5.62, 95% CI 2.40 to 12.10) and diagnosis of meconium aspiration (aOR 6.98, 95% CI 1.69 to 21.70) conferred the greatest risk for post-discharge mortality. The risk assessment tool included nine variables (total possible score=63) and had an optimism corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.80). A score of ≥6 was most optimal (sensitivity 68.3% [95% CI 64.8% to 71.5%], specificity 72.1% [95% CI 71.5% to 72.7%]).

CONCLUSIONS

A small number of factors predicted all-cause, 60-day mortality after discharge from neonatal wards in Tanzania and Liberia. After external validation, this risk assessment tool may facilitate clinical decision making for eligibility for discharge and the direction of resources to follow-up high risk neonates.

Development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for acute appendicitis in children in primary care

BACKGROUND

Recognising acute appendicitis in children presenting with acute abdominal pain in primary care is challenging. General practitioners (GPs) may benefit from a clinical prediction rule.

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a clinical prediction rule for acute appendicitis in children presenting with acute abdominal pain in primary care.

METHODS

In a historical cohort study data was retrieved from GP electronic health records included in the Integrated Primary Care Information database. We assigned children aged 4-18 years presenting with acute abdominal pain (≤ 7 days) to development (2010-2012) and validation (2013-2016) cohorts, using acute appendicitis within six weeks as the outcome. Multiple logistic regression was used to develop a prediction model based on predictors with > 50% data availability derived from existing rules for secondary care. We performed internal and external temporal validation and derived a point score to stratify risk of appendicitis into three groups, i.e. low-risk, medium-risk and high-risk.

RESULTS

The development and validation cohorts included 2,041 and 3,650 children, of whom 95 (4.6%) and 195 (5.3%) had acute appendicitis. The model included male sex, pain duration (<24, 24-48, > 48 h), nausea/vomiting, elevated temperature (≥ 37.3 °C), abnormal bowel sounds, right lower quadrant tenderness, and peritoneal irritation. Internal and temporal validation showed good discrimination (C-statistics: 0.93 and 0.90, respectively) and excellent calibration. In the three groups, the risks of acute appendicitis were 0.5%, 7.5%, and 41%.

CONCLUSION

Combined with further testing in the medium-risk group, the prediction rule could improve clinical decision making and outcomes.

Management of Acute Appendicitis in Children in a University Hospital

OBJECTIVE

Little is known about the positive predictive value of diagnostic tools for severe acute appendicitis (AA). Our objective was to study a retrospective cohort of patients with AA, emphasizing its laboratory and radiologic features, to establish risk factors for more severe cases of AA.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study with patients with AA confirmed by biopsy was performed. In each case, examinations were reviewed, data were compared, and laboratory and radiologic findings were established to identify risk factors for severe AA.

RESULTS

During the studied period, 405 children, with a mean age of 120 months, were evaluated. Most of the patients were boys (63.2%). C-reactive protein was the best parameter for the diagnosis of perforated AA, with a sensitivity of 88% for values above 173 mg/dL. A total of 64.4% of the patients underwent abdominal ultrasound, and 26% had normal results.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute appendicitis is a disease with a wide spectrum of complications; thus, it is important to recognize the markers associated with severe cases of AA. High levels of C-reactive protein were the best markers associated with perforated appendicitis, and ultrasound was requested in most of the cases but was not helpful in most of them.

Utility of Ischemia-Modified Albumin as a Biomarker for Acute Appendicitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Acute appendicitis is a frequently encountered surgical emergency. Despite several scoring systems, the possibility of delayed diagnosis persists. In addition, a delayed diagnosis leads to an increased risk of complicated appendicitis. Hence, there is a need to identify biological markers to help clinicians rapidly and accurately diagnose and prognosticate acute appendicitis with a high sensitivity and specificity. Although several markers have been evaluated, the pressing concern is still the low specificity of these markers. One such marker is serum ischemia-modified albumin (IMA), which can be a novel biomarker for accurately diagnosing and prognosticating acute appendicitis.

METHODS

The authors conducted a systematic search of the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Scopus databases through February 2023 as per the PRISMA guidelines. The difference in the levels of IMA between patients with acute appendicitis vs. healthy controls, and the difference in the levels of IMA between patients with complicated vs. non-complicated acute appendicitis were taken as the outcome measures. Statistical analysis was performed using a random effects model and mean difference (MD) was calculated. The methodological quality of the studies was assessed by utilizing the Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

RESULTS

A total of six prospective comparative studies were included in the meta-analysis. The analysis revealed that the mean level of serum IMA was significantly raised in the acute appendicitis group (MD 0.21, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.37, p = 0.01). Similarly, the mean serum IMA levels were also raised in the complicated appendicitis group compared to the non-complicated appendicitis group (MD 0.05, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.10, p = 0.02). Three of the studies included were, however, of poor methodological quality.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum IMA is a viable potential marker for diagnosing and prognosticating acute appendicitis. However, due to the limited methodological quality of available studies, further prospectively designed and adequately powered studies are needed.

Appendicitis in Children

The management of pediatric appendicitis continues to advance with the development of evidence-based treatment algorithms and a recent shift toward patient-centered treatment approaches. Further research should focus on development of standardized institution-specific diagnostic algorithms to minimize rates of missed diagnosis and appendiceal perforation and refinement of evidence-based clinical treatment pathways that reduce complication rates and minimize health care resource utilization.

Trends and Predictors of Pediatric Negative Appendectomy Rates: A Single-Centre Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Appendectomy is still the standard treatment for acute appendicitis in the majority of centers. Despite all available diagnostic tools, the rates of negative appendectomies are still relatively high. This study aimed to determine negative appendectomy rates and to analyze the demographic and clinical data of the patients whose histopathology report was negative.

METHODS

All patients younger than 18 years who underwent appendectomy for suspected acute appendicitis in the period from 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2021 were included in the single-center retrospective study. Electronic records and archives of histopathology reports were reviewed for patients with negative appendectomy. The primary outcome of this study was a negative appendectomy rate. Secondary outcomes comprehended the rate of appendectomies and the association of age, sex, body mass index (BMI), values of laboratory markers, scoring systems, and ultrasound reports with negative histopathology reports.

RESULTS

During the study period, a total of 1646 appendectomies for suspected acute appendicitis were performed. In 244 patients, negative appendectomy was reported regarding the patients' pathohistology. In 39 of 244 patients, other pathologies were found, of which ovarian pathology (torsion and cysts) torsion of greater omentum and Meckel's diverticulitis were the most frequent. Finally, the ten-year negative appendectomy rate was 12.4% (205/1646). The median age was 12 years (interquartile range, IQR 9, 15). A slight female predominance was noted (52.5%). A significantly higher incidence of negative appendectomies was noted in girls, with a peak incidence between the ages of 10 and 15 years (p < 0.0001). Male children whose appendectomy was negative had significantly higher BMI values compared to female patients (p = 0.0004). The median values of white blood cell count, neutrophil count, and CRP in the patients with negative appendectomy were 10.4 × 10⁹/L, 75.9%, and 11 mg/dL, respectively. The median of Alvarado's score was 6 (IQR 4; 7.5), while the median of the AIR score was 5 (IQR 4, 7). The rate of children with negative appendectomy who underwent ultrasound was 34.4% (84/244), among which 47 (55.95%) concluded negative reports. The rates of negative appendectomies were not homogenous in terms of distribution regarding the season. The incidence of negative appendectomies was more frequent during the cold period of the year (55.3% vs. 44.7%; p = 0.042).

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of negative appendectomies were performed in children older than 9 years and most frequently in female children aged 10 to 15 years. In addition, female children have significantly lower BMI values compared to male children with negative appendectomy. An increase in the utilization of auxiliary diagnostic methods such as computed tomography could affect the reduction in the pediatric negative appendectomy rate.

The BIDIAP index: a clinical, analytical and ultrasonographic score for the diagnosis of acute appendicitis in children

BACKGROUND

Pediatric acute appendicitis (PAA) continues to be a diagnostic challenge today. The diagnostic performance of classical indices is only moderate, especially in pediatric population. This study aimed to define a clinical, radiological and analytical index for the diagnosis of PAA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective study included 151 patients divided into two groups: (1) 53 patients with non-surgical abdominal pain (NSAP) and (2) 98 patients with a confirmed PAA. Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were compared between groups using the Mann-Whitney U test and the Fisher exact test. To identify the predictors of PAA, we performed a multivariable logistic regression using a forward stepwise analysis and we assigned multiples of integer values to the selected variables. The diagnostic performance of the index was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Intra-cohort calibration was assessed with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

RESULTS

We developed the BIDIAP index (BIomarkers for the DIagnosis of Appendicitis in Pediatrics), which included three variables that independently predicted higher odds of PAA: appendiceal caliber (≥ 6.9 mm), systemic immune-inflammation index (≥ 890) and peritoneal irritation, which scored 4, 3 and 2 points, respectively. Mean (SD) score of the participants was 2.38 (2.06) in group 1 and 7.89 (1.50) in group 2. The area under the ROC was 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.99). The cut-off point was established at 4 points, resulting in a sensitivity of 98.98% and a specificity of 77.78%.

CONCLUSIONS

The BIDIAP index has an exceptional diagnostic performance in PAA. The importance of these results lies in its novelty and in the simplicity of the index. Although external validation will be necessary, initial results look promising.

Comparison of severity scales for acute bronchiolitis in real clinical practice

Several clinical scales have been developed to assess the severity of bronchiolitis as well as the probability of needing in-hospital care. A recent systematic review of 32 validated clinical scores for bronchiolitis concluded that 6 of them (Wood-Downes, M-WCAS, Respiratory Severity Score, Respiratory Clinical Score, Respiratory Score and Bronchiolitis risk of admission score) were the best ones regarding reliability, sensitivity, validity, and usability. However, to the best of our knowledge, no study has compared all of them in a clinical scenario. Also, after this review, three more scales were published: BROSJOD, Tal modified, and one score developed by PERN. Our main aim was to compare the ability of different clinical scales for bronchiolitis to predict any relevant outcome. A prospective observational study was conducted that included patients of up to 12 months old attended to, due to bronchiolitis, in the paediatric Emergency Department of a secondary university hospital from October 2019 to January 2022. For each patient, the attending clinician filled in a form with the items of the scales, decomposed, in order to prevent the clinician from knowing the score of each scale. Then, the patient was managed according to the protocol of our Emergency Department. A phone call was made to each patient in order to check whether the patient ended up being admitted in the next 48 h. In the case of those that were impossible to contact by phone, the clinical history was reviewed. For the purpose of the study, any of the following were considered to be a relevant outcome: admission to ward and need for supplementary oxygen, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) or intravenous fluids, and admission to the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) within the next 48 h or death. For the aim of the study, the area under the curve (AUC) and the odds ratio (OR) for a relevant outcome were calculated in each scale. Also, the best cut-off point was estimated according to the Youden index, and its sensitivity (Sn) and specificity (Sp) for a relevant outcome were calculated. We included 265 patients (52.1% male) with a median age of 5.3 months (P₂₅-P₇₅ 2.6-7.4). Among them, 46 (17.4%) had some kind of relevant outcome. AUC for prediction of a relevant outcome ranged from 0.705 (Respiratory Score) to 0.786 (BRAS), although no scale performed significantly better than others. A score ≤ 2 in the PERN scale showed a sensitivity of 91.3% (CI95% 79.7-96.6) for a relevant outcome, with only 4 misdiagnosed patients (only 2 of them needed NIV).   Conclusions: There were no differences in the performance of the nine scales to predict relevant outcomes in patients with bronchiolitis. However, the PERN scale might be more useful to select patients at low risk of a severe outcome. What is Known: • Several clinical scales are used to assess the severity of bronchiolitis. Nevertheless, none of them seems to be better than others. What is New: • This is the first study comparing different bronchiolitis scales in a real clinical scenario. None of the nine scales compared performed better than the other. However, the PERN scale might be more useful to select patients at low risk of relevant outcomes.

Diagnostic Value of Clinical Prediction Scores for Acute Appendicitis in Children Younger than 4 Years

INTRODUCTION

 Acute appendicitis can be difficult to diagnose, especially in children < 4 years old. The aim of the present study was to assess the diagnostic value of Alvarado score (AS), appendicitis inflammatory response (AIR) score, and pediatric appendicitis score (PAS) in children younger than 4 years.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

 All children younger than 4 years who underwent appendicectomy between 2005 and 2019 were included retrospectively. The diagnostic performance of the scores was analyzed using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve and by calculating the diagnostic performances at optimal criterion value cutoff points.

RESULTS

 In this study, 100 children were included (58 boys and 42 girls) with a median age of 39.5 (12-47) months. Ninety children were diagnosed with pathologically proven acute appendicitis. The area under ROC curve of AS was 0.73, AIR score was 0.79, and PAS was 0.69 (p > 0.05, respectively). In children with low risk of acute appendicitis, negative predictive values were 75.0% for AS, 50.0% for AIR score, and 66.7% for PAS (p < 0.05, respectively). The positive predictive values in children with high risk of acute appendicitis were of 92.7% for AS, 92.6% for AIR score, and 93.6% for PAS (p > 0.05, respectively). AS, AIR score, and PAS plus positive ultrasonography have 0.58, 0.49, and 0.88 area under ROC curve.

CONCLUSION

 The three scores can be of assistance in the suspicion of acute appendicitis. PAS markedly improved combined with positive ultrasonography, but none can be used in setting the diagnosis of acute appendicitis in young children.

An Evaluation of Serum IgE and Th2-Associated Interleukins in Children With Uncomplicated and Complicated Appendicitis

BACKGROUND

The pathogenesis of appendicitis is not understood completely and establishing a correct diagnosis can be clinically challenging. Previous investigations have shown an association between a T helper cell (Th)2-mediated inflammatory response, for example immunoglobulin E (IgE)-mediated allergy, and a decreased risk of complicated appendicitis. The present study aimed to evaluate differences in serum concentrations of IgE and Th2-associated interleukins (IL) in children with uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis.

METHOD

A prospective study including children <15 years with appendicitis. Blood samples were collected preoperatively at the time of clinical assessment at the Pediatric Emergency Department and analyzed for concentrations of serum total IgE and IL-4, IL-9, and IL-13. Associations with complicated appendicitis were evaluated through logistic regression adjusting for age, appendicolith, and symptom duration.

RESULTS

138 children with confirmed appendicitis were included. The median age was 10 (IQR 8-12) years, 87 (63%) were boys and 58 (42%) had complicated appendicitis. Children with complicated appendicitis had significantly higher concentrations of IL-9 and IL-13 compared to children with uncomplicated appendicitis. In the univariate logistic regression, high concentrations of IL-13 were associated with an increased risk of complicated appendicitis [OR 1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.04) p = 0.005], which remained in the multivariate analysis [aOR 1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.04), p = 0.01]. Serum concentrations of IgE, IL-4, and IL-9 did not significantly affect the risk of complicated appendicitis.

CONCLUSION

High levels of IL-13 seem to be associated with an increased risk of complicated appendicitis. This is incongruent with the hypothesis of an Th1/Th17-driven inflammation in this type of appendicitis.

Validation of the Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) Score

Background

Patients with suspicion of appendicitis present with a wide range of severity. Score-based risk stratification can optimise the management of these patients. This prospective study validates the Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) score in patients with suspicion of appendicitis.

Method

Consecutive patients over the age of five with suspicion of appendicitis presenting at 25 Swedish hospital’s emergency departments were prospectively included. The diagnostic properties of the AIR score are estimated.

Results

Some 3878 patients were included, 821 with uncomplicated and 724 with complicated appendicitis, 1986 with non-specific abdominal pain and 347 with other diagnoses. The score performed better in detecting complicated appendicitis (ROC area 0.89 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88–0.90) versus 0.83 (CI 0.82–0.84) for any appendicitis, p < 0.001), in patients below age 15 years and in patients with >47 h duration of symptoms (ROC area 0.93, CI 0.90–0.95 for complicated and 0.87, CI 0.84–0.90 for any appendicitis in both categories). Complicated appendicitis is unlikely at AIR score <4 points (Negative Predictive Value 99%, CI 98–100%). Appendicitis is likely at AIR score >8 points, especially in young patients (positive predictive value (PPV) 96%, CI 90–100%) and men (PPV 89%, CI 84–93%).

Conclusions

The AIR score has high sensitivity for complicated appendicitis and identifies subgroups with low probability of complicated appendicitis or high probability of appendicitis. The discriminating capacity is high in children and patients with long duration of symptoms. It performs equally well in both sexes. This verifies the AIR score as a valid decision support.

Trial registration number

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00971438