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Hu Z, Hu Y, Zhang S, Dong L, Chen X, Yang H, Su L, Hou X, Huang X, Shen X, Ye C, Tu W, Chen Y, Chen Y, Cai S, Zhong J, Dong L. Machine-learning-based models assist the prediction of pulmonary embolism in autoimmune diseases: A retrospective, multicenter study. Chin Med J (Engl) 2024:00029330-990000000-01099. [PMID: 38863118 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000003025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2023] [Indexed: 06/13/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a severe and acute cardiovascular syndrome with high mortality among patients with autoimmune inflammatory rheumatic diseases (AIIRDs). Accurate prediction and timely intervention play a pivotal role in enhancing survival rates. However, there is a notable scarcity of practical early prediction and risk assessment systems of PE in patients with AIIRD. METHODS In the training cohort, 60 AIIRD with PE cases and 180 age-, gender-, and disease-matched AIIRD non-PE cases were identified from 7254 AIIRD cases in Tongji Hospital from 2014 to 2022. Univariable logistic regression (LR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to select the clinical features for further training with machine learning (ML) methods, including random forest (RF), support vector machines (SVM), neural network (NN), logistic regression (LR), gradient boosted decision tree (GBDT), classification and regression trees (CART), and C5.0 models. The performances of these models were subsequently validated using a multicenter validation cohort. RESULTS In the training cohort, 24 and 13 clinical features were selected by univariable LR and LASSO strategies, respectively. The five ML models (RF, SVM, NN, LR, and GBDT) showed promising performances, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.962-1.000 in the training cohort and 0.969-0.999 in the validation cohort. CART and C5.0 models achieved AUCs of 0.850 and 0.932, respectively, in the training cohort. Using D-dimer as a pre-screening index, the refined C5.0 model achieved an AUC exceeding 0.948 in the training cohort and an AUC above 0.925 in the validation cohort. These results markedly outperformed the use of D-dimer levels alone. CONCLUSION ML-based models are proven to be precise for predicting the onset of PE in patients with AIIRD exhibiting clinical suspicion of PE. TRIAL REGISTRATION Chictr.org.cn: ChiCTR2200059599.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziwei Hu
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Yangyang Hu
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Shuoqi Zhang
- Department of Radiology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Li Dong
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Jingzhou Central Hospital, Yangtze University, Jinzhou, Hubei 434020, China
| | - Xiaoqi Chen
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Zhongnan Hospital, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430071, China
| | - Huiqin Yang
- Department of Rheumatology, Wuhan No.1 Hospital, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, China
| | - Linchong Su
- Department of Rheumatology, Minda Hospital of Hubei Minzu University, Enshi, Hubei 445000, China
| | - Xiaoqiang Hou
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First College of Clinical Medical Science, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, Hubei 443003, China
| | - Xia Huang
- Department of Rheumatology, Minda Hospital of Hubei Minzu University, Enshi, Hubei 445000, China
| | - Xiaolan Shen
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First College of Clinical Medical Science, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, Hubei 443003, China
| | - Cong Ye
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Wei Tu
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Yu Chen
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Yuxue Chen
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Shaozhe Cai
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Jixin Zhong
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Lingli Dong
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
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Cheong I, Avanzato L, Bermeo M, Mazzola MV, Baiona GA, Santagiuliana MS, Gómez RA, Merlo PM, Tamagnone FM. Effect of prone position on right ventricular dysfunction due to pulmonary embolism assessed by speckle tracking echocardiography. J Ultrasound 2024; 27:161-168. [PMID: 36153781 PMCID: PMC10908959 DOI: 10.1007/s40477-022-00729-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2022] [Accepted: 09/03/2022] [Indexed: 10/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Prone position has shown beneficial hemodynamic effects in patients with right ventricular dysfunction associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome decreasing the right ventricle afterload. We describe the case of a 57-year-old man with right ventricular dysfunction associated with pulmonary thromboembolism with severe hypoxemia that required mechanical ventilation in prone position. With this maneuver, we verified an improvement not only in his oxygenation, but also in his right ventricular function assessed with speckle tracking echocardiography. Our case shows the potential beneficial effect of the prone position maneuver in severely hypoxemic patients with right ventricular dysfunction associated with pulmonary thromboembolism.
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Affiliation(s)
- Issac Cheong
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
- Argentinian Critical Care Ultrasonography Association (ASARUC), Buenos Aires, Argentina.
| | - Lucila Avanzato
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Milton Bermeo
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - María Virginia Mazzola
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Gastón Adrián Baiona
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - María Soledad Santagiuliana
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Raúl Alejandro Gómez
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanatorio de los Arcos, Juan B. Justo 909, CABA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Pablo Martín Merlo
- Argentinian Critical Care Ultrasonography Association (ASARUC), Buenos Aires, Argentina
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