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Gagyi EB, Teutsch B, Veres DS, Pálinkás D, Vörhendi N, Ocskay K, Márta K, Hegyi PJ, Hegyi P, Erőss B. Incidence of recurrent and chronic pancreatitis after acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Therap Adv Gastroenterol 2024; 17:17562848241255303. [PMID: 38883160 PMCID: PMC11179553 DOI: 10.1177/17562848241255303] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 04/26/2024] [Indexed: 06/18/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Acute pancreatitis (AP) has a high incidence, and patients can develop recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP) after AP. Objectives We aimed to estimate the pooled incidence rates (IRs), cumulative incidences, and proportions of RAP and CP after AP. Design A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting the proportion of RAP and CP after AP. Data sources and methods The systematic search was conducted in three (PubMed, EMBASE, and CENTRAL) databases on 19 December 2023. Articles reporting the proportion of RAP or CP in patients after the first and multiple episodes of AP were eligible. The random effects model was used to calculate the pooled IR with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The I 2 value assessed heterogeneity. The risk of bias assessment was conducted with the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Tool. Results We included 119 articles in the quantitative synthesis and 29 in the IRs calculations. Our results showed that the IR of RAP in adult patients after AP was 5.26 per 100 person-years (CI: 3.99-6.94; I 2 = 93%), while in children, it was 4.64 per 100 person-years (CI: 2.73-7.87; I 2 = 88%). We also found that the IR of CP after AP was 1.4 per 100 person-years (CI: 0.9-2; I 2 = 75%), while after RAP, it increased to 4.3 per 100 person-years (CI: 3.1-6.0; I 2 = 76%). The risk of bias was moderate in the majority of the included studies. Conclusion Our results showed that RAP affects many patients with AP. Compared to patients with the first AP episode, RAP leads to a threefold higher IR for developing CP. Trial registration Our protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021283252).
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Affiliation(s)
- Endre-Botond Gagyi
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Selye János Doctoral College for Advanced Studies, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Brigitta Teutsch
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
| | - Dániel Sándor Veres
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Department of Biophysics and Radiation Biology, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Dániel Pálinkás
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Department of Gastroenterology, Military Hospital Medical Centre, Hungarian Defense Forces, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Nóra Vörhendi
- Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
| | - Klementina Ocskay
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
| | - Katalin Márta
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Institute for Pancreatic Diseases, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Péter Jenő Hegyi
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Institute for Pancreatic Diseases, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Péter Hegyi
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
- Institute for Pancreatic Diseases, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Bálint Erőss
- Institute for Pancreatic Diseases, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Center for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
- Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
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Mora-Guzmán I, Di Martino M, Bonito AC, Jodra VV, Hernández SG, Martin-Perez E. Conservative Management of Gallstone Disease in the Elderly Population: Outcomes and Recurrence. Scand J Surg 2019; 109:205-210. [PMID: 30791835 DOI: 10.1177/1457496919832147] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The prevalence of gallstone disease increases with age, being early cholecystectomy the most accepted treatment in the vast majority of patients in order to prevent complications and recurrence. The aim of this study is to determine the recurrence rate and its possible predictors after initial non-operative management. MATERIALS AND METHODS We reviewed a consecutive series of patients, older than 65 years, admitted for a gallstone-related disease and treated with a non-operative management between January 2010 and December 2013. We analyzed comorbidities, clinical data, diagnosis, management, recurrence, and its treatment. Median follow-up after the discharge was 2 years. Recurrence was analyzed by a Kaplan-Meier survival curve. Possible recurrence's predictors were analyzed. RESULTS The study included 226 patients. Mean age was 80.4 ± 7.2 years, 127 (56%) were female. The main causes of index hospitalization were acute cholecystitis (58%) and biliary pancreatitis (18.1%). After 2 years of follow-up, the recurrence rate was 39.8%; mean time to recurrence was 255.2 ± 42.1 days, 81% of patients recurred within 1 year. Bile duct disease implied a higher recurrence rate than the gallbladder disease group (52% vs 33%, p < 0.001). Subjects with two or more diagnoses during index admission presented higher recurrence rate (32% vs 49%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION More than a third of elderly patients could present a recurrence within 2 years after initial non-operative management. Early cholecystectomy should be considered at index admission in order to prevent recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- I Mora-Guzmán
- Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Hospital Universitario de la Princesa, Madrid, Spain
| | - M Di Martino
- Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Hospital Universitario de la Princesa, Madrid, Spain
| | - A C Bonito
- Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Hospital Universitario de la Princesa, Madrid, Spain
| | - V V Jodra
- Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain
| | - S G Hernández
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain
| | - E Martin-Perez
- Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Hospital Universitario de la Princesa, Madrid, Spain
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Kanamori A, Kiriyama S, Tanikawa M, Hisanaga Y, Toyoda H, Tada T, Kitabatake S, Kaneoka Y, Maeda A, Kumada T. Long- and short-term outcomes of ERCP for bile duct stones in patients over 80 years old compared to younger patients: a propensity score analysis. Endosc Int Open 2016; 4:E83-90. [PMID: 26793790 PMCID: PMC4713177 DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-108194] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
UNLABELLED Backgrounds and study aims: Endoscopic sphincterotomy (ES) is widely accepted as first-line therapy for bile duct stones (BDS). The major long-term pancreaticobiliary complication is BDS recurrence. Whether cholecystectomy should be performed after ES, especially in elderly patients, remains controversial. The aim of this study is to investigate the short-term and long-term outcomes after therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) for BDS and to analyze risk factors for pancreaticobiliary complications. We also compared long-term outcomes in patients older and younger than age 80. PATIENTS AND METHODS A total of 1210 patients who underwent therapeutic ERCP for BDS were retrospectively reviewed to identify risk factors for pancreaticobiliary complications. We divided these patients into two groups: Group Y (< 80 years; 960 patients) and Group O (≥ 80 years; 250 patients). There were 192 matched pairs in the propensity score analysis. RESULTS The incidence of pancreaticobiliary complications was 13.1 % (126/960) in Group Y and 20.4 % (51/250) in Group O (P < 0.00001). Multivariate analysis showed that a gallbladder left in situ with stones was a significant independent risk factor (hazard ratio, 2.81; 95 % confidence interval, 1.62 - 4,89; P = 0.0002). There were no significant differences in the incidence of pancreaticobiliary complications between the propensity score-matched groups. CONCLUSIONS A gallbladder in situ with stones was the only significant risk factor for pancreaticobiliary complications after treatment for BDS. Age per se should not be the major factor when deciding on treatment that minimizes the occurrence of pancreaticobiliary disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Akira Kanamori
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan,Corresponding author Akira Kanamori MD, PhD Department of GastroenterologyOgaki Municipal Hospital4-86 minaminokawa-choOgaki, Gifu, 503-8502Japan+81-584-81-3341+81-584-75-5715
| | - Seiki Kiriyama
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Makoto Tanikawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Yasuhiro Hisanaga
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | | | - Yuji Kaneoka
- Department of Surgery, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Atsuyuki Maeda
- Department of Surgery, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Takashi Kumada
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
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Bergman S, Al-Bader M, Sourial N, Vedel I, Hanna WC, Bilek AJ, Galatas C, Marek JE, Fraser SA. Recurrence of biliary disease following non-operative management in elderly patients. Surg Endosc 2015; 29:3485-90. [DOI: 10.1007/s00464-015-4098-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2014] [Accepted: 01/16/2015] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES To determine the risk of recurrent biliary events in the period after mild biliary pancreatitis but before interval cholecystectomy and to determine the safety of cholecystectomy during the index admission. BACKGROUND Although current guidelines recommend performing cholecystectomy early after mild biliary pancreatitis, consensus on the definition of early (ie, during index admission or within the first weeks after hospital discharge) is lacking. METHODS We performed a systematic search in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane for studies published from January 1992 to July 2010. Included were cohort studies of patients with mild biliary pancreatitis reporting on the timing of cholecystectomy, number of readmissions for recurrent biliary events before cholecystectomy, operative complications (eg, bile duct injury, bleeding), and mortality. Study quality and risks of bias were assessed. RESULTS After screening 2413 studies, 8 cohort studies and 1 randomized trial describing 998 patients were included. Cholecystectomy was performed during index admission in 483 patients (48%) without any reported readmissions. Interval cholecystectomy was performed in 515 patients (52%) after 40 days (median; interquartile range: 19-58 days). Before interval cholecystectomy, 95 patients (18%) were readmitted for recurrent biliary events (0% vs 18%, P < 0.0001). These included recurrent biliary pancreatitis (n = 43, 8%), acute cholecystitis (n = 17), and biliary colics (n = 35). Patients who had an endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography had fewer recurrent biliary events (10% vs 24%, P = 0.001), especially less recurrent biliary pancreatitis (1% vs 9%). There were no differences in operative complications, conversion rate (7%), and mortality (0%) between index and interval cholecystectomy. Because baseline characteristics were only reported in 26% of patients, study populations could not be compared. CONCLUSIONS Interval cholecystectomy after mild biliary pancreatitis is associated with a high risk of readmission for recurrent biliary events, especially recurrent biliary pancreatitis. Cholecystectomy during index admission for mild biliary pancreatitis appears safe, but selection bias could not be excluded.
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Heider TR, Brown A, Grimm IS, Behrns KE. Endoscopic sphincterotomy permits interval laparoscopic cholecystectomy in patients with moderately severe gallstone pancreatitis. J Gastrointest Surg 2006; 10:1-5. [PMID: 16368484 DOI: 10.1016/j.gassur.2005.10.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2005] [Accepted: 10/24/2005] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Patients with moderately severe gallstone pancreatitis with substantial pancreatic and peripancreatic inflammation, but without organ failure, frequently have an open cholecystectomy to prevent recurrent pancreatitis. In these patients, prophylactic endoscopic retrograde cholangiography (ERC) with endoscopic sphincterotomy (ES) may prevent recurrent pancreatitis, permit laparoscopic cholecystectomy, and decrease risks. The medical records of all patients with pancreatitis undergoing cholecystectomy from 1999-2004 at the University of North Carolina Memorial Hospital were reviewed. Data regarding demographics, clinical course, etiology of pancreatitis, operative and endoscopic interventions, and outcome were extracted. Moderately severe gallstone-induced pancreatitis was defined as pancreatitis without organ failure but with extensive local inflammation. Thirty patients with moderately severe gallstone pancreatitis underwent ERC and ES and were discharged before cholecystectomy. Mean interval between ES and cholecystectomy was 102 +/- 17 days. Cholecystectomy was performed laparoscopically in 27 (90%) patients, open in three (10%) patients, and converted to open in two (7%) patients, with a morbidity rate of 7% (two patients). No patient required drainage of a pseudocyst or developed recurrent pancreatitis. Interval complications resulted in hospital readmission in seven (23%) patients. In conclusion, recurrent biliary pancreatitis in patients with moderately severe gallstone pancreatitis is nil after ERC and ES. Hospital discharge of these patients permits interval laparoscopic cholecystectomy, but close follow-up is necessary in these potentially ill patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- T Ryan Heider
- Division of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
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Hernandez V, Pascual I, Almela P, Añon R, Herreros B, Sanchiz V, Minguez M, Benages A. Recurrence of acute gallstone pancreatitis and relationship with cholecystectomy or endoscopic sphincterotomy. Am J Gastroenterol 2004; 99:2417-23. [PMID: 15571590 DOI: 10.1111/j.1572-0241.2004.40896.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To determine the prevalence of recurrence of gallstone pancreatitis, its clinical features, and the presence of prognostic factors of recurrence. METHODS From January 1, 2000 to August 31, 2003, 233 patients admitted with acute gallstone pancreatitis (AGP) were prospectively studied. Patients were divided into two groups: recurrent and nonrecurrent group. Clinical, analytical, radiological, prognostic parameters, and severity (Atlanta criteria) were assessed, along with the performance of cholecystectomy or endoscopic sphincterotomy (ES). Clinical features of recurrence were analyzed. Univariate (chi(2), Student's t-test) and multivariate tests were performed. Statistical significance was assumed if p < 0.05. RESULTS Two hundred and eighty-six attacks were identified. Forty-two patients (18.2%) recurred, suffering 53 recurrent attacks, which took place within 30 days in 23.3%. Patients who did not undergo surgery after the first attack had 31-fold risk of recurrence (OR = 31.5%, CI = 95%[7.22-137.84], p < 0.001). In patients not operated, recurrence was more frequent if ES was not performed (37.04%vs 0%, p= 0.019). Among patients with surgical risk, none who recurred underwent ES, compared with 27.9% of those who did not recur. Patients in the nonrecurrent group underwent cholecystectomy within the first 30 days or ES more frequently (31.2%vs 7.3%, p= 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Recurrence of gallstone pancreatitis is a frequent event. Delay of cholecystectomy implies an increased risk of recurrence. ES could be an acceptable option to prevent recurrence in patients who are not candidates for surgery or who do not desire to undergo cholecystectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vicent Hernandez
- Department of Gastroenterology, University Clinic Hospital of Valencia, University of Valencia, 46010 Valencia, Spain
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