A cyclic fluctuation model for 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring in Chinese patients with mild to moderate hypertension.
Acta Pharmacol Sin 2013;
34:1043-51. [PMID:
23770980 DOI:
10.1038/aps.2013.45]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2012] [Accepted: 03/14/2013] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM
The conventional method for analyzing 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (24-h ABPM) is insufficient to deal with the large amount of data collected. The aim of this study was to develop a novel cyclic fluctuation model for 24-h ABPM in Chinese patients with mild to moderate hypertension.
METHODS
The data were obtained from 4 independent antihypertensive drug clinical trials in Chinese patients with mild to moderate hypertension. The measurements of 24-h ABPM at the end of the placebo run-in period in study 1 were used to develop the cyclic fluctuation model. After evaluated, the structural model was used to analyze the measurements in the other 3 studies. Models were fitted using NONMEM software.
RESULTS
The cyclic fluctuation model, which consisted of 2 cosine functions with fixed-effect parameters for rhythm-adjusted 24-h mean blood pressure, amplitude and phase shift, successfully described the blood pressure measurements of study 1. Model robustness was validated by the bootstrap method. The measurements in the other 3 studies were well described by the same structural model. Moreover, the parameters from all the 4 studies were very similar. Visual predictive checks demonstrated that the cyclic fluctuation model could predict the blood pressure fluctuations in the 4 studies.
CONCLUSION
The cyclic fluctuation model for 24-h ABPM deepens our understanding of blood pressure variability, which will be beneficial for drug development and individual therapy in hypertensive patients.
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