Sparsity of higher-order landscape interactions enables learning and prediction for microbiomes

A simple rule for predicting function of microbial communities

Microbial communities perform many important functions, such as carbon sequestration, decomposition, pathogen resistance, etc., but quantitatively predicting functions of new communities remains a major challenge. In this issue of Cell, Diaz-Colunga et al. report a new simple statistical regularity that enables such predictions.

Global epistasis and the emergence of function in microbial consortia

The many functions of microbial communities emerge from a complex web of interactions between organisms and their environment. This poses a significant obstacle to engineering microbial consortia, hindering our ability to harness the potential of microorganisms for biotechnological applications. In this study, we demonstrate that the collective effect of ecological interactions between microbes in a community can be captured by simple statistical models that predict how adding a new species to a community will affect its function. These predictive models mirror the patterns of global epistasis reported in genetics, and they can be quantitatively interpreted in terms of pairwise interactions between community members. Our results illuminate an unexplored path to quantitatively predicting the function of microbial consortia from their composition, paving the way to optimizing desirable community properties and bringing the tasks of predicting biological function at the genetic, organismal, and ecological scales under the same quantitative formalism.

An evolution-based framework for describing human gut bacteria

The human gut microbiome contains many bacterial strains of the same species ('strain-level variants'). Describing strains in a biologically meaningful way rather than purely taxonomically is an important goal but challenging due to the genetic complexity of strain-level variation. Here, we measured patterns of co-evolution across >7,000 strains spanning the bacterial tree-of-life. Using these patterns as a prior for studying hundreds of gut commensal strains that we isolated, sequenced, and metabolically profiled revealed widespread structure beneath the phylogenetic level of species. Defining strains by their co-evolutionary signatures enabled predicting their metabolic phenotypes and engineering consortia from strain genome content alone. Our findings demonstrate a biologically relevant organization to strain-level variation and motivate a new schema for describing bacterial strains based on their evolutionary history.