Validation of a clinical score in predicting pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy

Association of preoperative CT-scan features and clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is a significant complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy. CR-POPF is associated with various adverse outcomes, including high mortality rates. Identifying complication predictors for CR-POPF, such as preoperative CT scan features, including pancreatic attenuation index (PAI) and pancreatic duct diameter (PDD), is critical. This systematic review and meta-analysis consolidate existing literature to assess the impact of these variables on CR-POPF risk.

METHODS

Our comprehensive search, conducted in May 2023, covered PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Inclusion criteria encompassed peer-reviewed cohort studies on pancreaticoduodenectomy, focusing on preoperative CT scan data. Case reports, case series, and studies reporting distal pancreatectomy were excluded. The quality assessment of included articles was done using New-Castle Ottawa Scale for cohort studies. Statistical analysis was carried out using Review Manager 5. This study was registered at the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews database (PROSPERO) on 12 May 2023 (registration number: CRD42023414139).

RESULTS

We conducted a detailed analysis of 38 studies with 7393 participants. The overall incidence of CR-POPF was 24%. Multiple linear regression analyses revealed that PDD and pancreatic parenchymal thickness were significantly associated with CR-POPF.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review and meta-analysis shed light on CT scan findings for predicting CR-POPF after Whipple surgery. Age, PDD, and pancreatic parenchymal thickness significantly correlate with CR-POPF.

The Effect of Increase in Clinical Experience on Morbidity and Mortality After Pancreaticoduodenectomy Surgery

<b> Introduction:</b> Pancreaticoduodenectomy surgery is widely accepted and applied worldwide for periampullary tumors. Despite the decline in mortality rates from 40% to 3% with the advances in surgical technique, morbidity is still high (40–50%). </br></br> <b>Aim:</b> We aimed to investigate the effect of increased clinical experience on the length of hospital stay, morbidity, mortality, and survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy. </br></br> <b> Materials and methods:</b> The files of patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy in our hospital between January 2007 and January 2018 were retrospectively reviewed and divided into four groups by years. Demographics, body mass index (BMI, kg/m2), medical history, preoperative biliary drainage application, surgical technique, histopathological features, postoperative morbidity, mortality, and survival were investigated. </br></br> <b> Results: </b> There was no difference between the groups in terms of age, gender, comorbid disease, history of biliary drainage, surgical technique, and operation time (P > 0.05). The rate of postoperative complications has decreased over the years (P = 0.01). According to the Clavien-Dindo scale, the complication severity decreased significantly over the years (P = 0.05). The overall survival of the patients increased by years (P = 0.03); the Early postoperative mortality rate decreased in the first month (<30 days) (P = 0.04). </br></br> <b> Conclusion:</b> With increased clinical experience, morbidity and mortality decrease, overall survival is prolonged after pancreaticoduodenectomy procedure.

Dynamic prediction for clinically relevant pancreatic fistula: a novel prediction model for laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy

Background

With the recent emerge of dynamic prediction model on the use of diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and renal failure, and its advantage of providing timely predicted results according to the fluctuation of the condition of the patients, we aim to develop a dynamic prediction model with its corresponding risk assessment chart for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy by combining baseline factors and postoperative time-relevant drainage fluid amylase level and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio.

Methods

We collected data of 251 patients undergoing LPD at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2016 to April 2019. We extracted preoperative and intraoperative baseline factors and time-window of postoperative drainage fluid amylase and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio relevant to clinically relevant pancreatic fistula by performing univariate and multivariate analyses, developing a time-relevant logistic model with the evaluation of its discrimination ability. We also established a risk assessment chart in each time-point.

Results

The proportion of the patients who developed clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy was 7.6% (19/251); preoperative albumin and creatine levels, as well as drainage fluid amylase and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio on postoperative days 2, 3, and 5, were the independent risk factors for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula. The cut-off points of the prediction value of each time-relevant logistic model were 14.0% (sensitivity: 81.9%, specificity: 86.5%), 8.3% (sensitivity: 85.7%, specificity: 79.1%), and 7.4% (sensitivity: 76.9%, specificity: 85.9%) on postoperative days 2, 3, and 5, respectively, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.866 (95% CI 0.737–0.996), 0.896 (95% CI 0.814–0.978), and 0.888 (95% CI 0.806–0.971), respectively.

Conclusions

The dynamic prediction model for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula has a good to very good discriminative ability and predictive accuracy. Patients whose predictive values were above 14.0%, 8.3%, and 7.5% on postoperative days 2, 3, and 5 would be very likely to develop clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy.