Value of routine clinical tests in predicting the development of infected pancreatic necrosis in severe acute pancreatitis

Appropriate Use of Antibiotics in Acute Pancreatitis: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

While selective use of antibiotics for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in acute pancreatitis (AP) is recommended, studies indicate a high rate of inadequate treatment.

METHODS

A search of PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane databases was conducted, focusing on primary research and meta-analyses. Data were categorized based on core concepts, and a narrative synthesis was performed.

RESULTS

The search identified a total of 1016 publications. After evaluating 203 full texts and additional sources from the grey literature, 80 studies were included in the review. The answers obtained were: (1) Preventive treatment does not decrease the incidence of IPN or mortality. Given the risks of bacterial resistance and fungal infections, antibiotics should be reserved for highly suspected or confirmed IPN; (2) The diagnosis of IPN does not always require microbiological samples, as clinical suspicion or computed tomography signs can suffice. Early diagnosis and treatment may be improved by using biomarkers such as procalcitonin and novel microbiological methods; (3) When indicated, early initiation of antibiotics is a key determinant in reducing mortality associated with IPN; (4) Antibiotics with good penetration into pancreatic tissue covering Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria should be used. Routine antifungal therapy is not recommended; (5) The step-up approach, including antibiotics, is the standard for IPN management; (6) Antibiotic duration should be kept to a minimum and should be based on the quality of source control and patient condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Early antibiotic therapy is essential for the treatment of IPN, but prophylactic antibiotics are not recommended in AP. High-quality randomized controlled trials are required to better understand the role of antibiotics and antifungals in AP management.

Prognostic factors associated with development of infected necrosis in patients with acute necrotizing or severe pancreatitis-A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Acute pancreatitis is a potentially life-threatening condition with a wide spectrum of clinical presentation and illness severity. An infection of pancreatic necrosis (IPN) results in a more than twofold increase in mortality risk as compared with patients with sterile necrosis. We sought to identify prognostic factors for the development of IPN among adult patients with severe or necrotizing pancreatitis.

METHODS

We conducted this prognostic review in accordance with systematic review methodology guidelines. We searched six databases from inception through March 21, 2021. We included English language studies describing prognostic factors associated with the development of IPN. We pooled unadjusted odds ratio (uOR) and adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for prognostic factors using a random-effects model. We assessed risk of bias using the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool and certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach.

RESULTS

We included 31 observational studies involving 5,210 patients. Factors with moderate or higher certainty of association with increased IPN risk include older age (uOR, 2.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39-3.45, moderate certainty), gallstone etiology (aOR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.36-4.04, high certainty), greater than 50% necrosis of the pancreas (aOR, 3.61; 95% CI, 2.15-6.04, high certainty), delayed enteral nutrition (aOR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.26-3.47, moderate certainty), multiple or persistent organ failure (aOR, 11.71; 95% CI, 4.97-27.56, high certainty), and invasive mechanical ventilation (uOR, 12.24; 95% CI, 2.28-65.67, high certainty).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis confirms the association between several clinical early prognostic factors and the risk of IPN development among patients with severe or necrotizing pancreatitis. These findings provide the foundation for the development of an IPN risk stratification tool to guide more targeted clinical trials for prevention or early intervention strategies.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Systematic review and meta-analysis, Level IV.

Early Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome Duration Predicts Infected Pancreatic Necrosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) was considered to play an important role in the progress of acute pancreatitis, but its specific relation with infected pancreatic necrosis remains largely unclear. We aimed to investigate the correlation between SIRS duration and infected pancreatic necrosis, and its application in prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis.

METHODS

A prospective observational cohort study of 2130 patients with acute pancreatitis from 2012 to 2017. The SIRS duration at the first week was registered daily, and demographic, radiology, and all clinical laboratory data were prospectively collected and retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

A significant upward tendency of infected pancreatic necrosis incidence was observed with increased SIRS duration. In multivariate logistic regression, SIRS duration (odds ratio, 1.305; 95% CI, 1.161-1.468) was independently associated with infected pancreatic necrosis. ROC analysis demonstrated that the areas under curves of SIRS duration for predicting persistent multi-organ failure, pancreatic infection, and mortality were 0.97 (95% CI, 0.96-0.98), 0.92 (95% CI, 0.91-0.94), and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.83-0.90), respectively, which were comparable to, or even greater than, the area under curves of APACHE II and CT severity index scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Early SIRS duration was strongly associated with infected pancreatic necrosis and could serve as an easy bedside indicator to predict pancreatic infection.

Amalgamation of systemic inflammatory response syndrome score with C-reactive protein level in evaluating acute pancreatitis severity in children

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) has to do with how the body reacts to injury. Herein, we analyzed the clinical features of acute pancreatitis (AP) in children with SIRS complication and investigated the role of SIRS score combined with C-reactive protein (CRP) level in assessing AP severity in children.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study involved 111 children hospitalized with AP at the Children's Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine between January 2012 and August 2017. Presence of SIRS, demographic data, clinical information and laboratory test results on admission were statistically examined.

RESULTS

Out of the 111 AP cases, 45 were diagnosed with SIRS. Differences in CRP, interleukin-6 (IL-6), age, temperature, heart rate (HR), white blood cell (WBC), neutrophil count (NC), body mass index (BMI), duration of onset of disease symptoms as well as cases requiring intensive care unit (ICU) treatment were significantly higher in patients with SIRS than those without SIRS (p < .01 or p < .05). Logistic regression analyses evinced two independent risk factors for SIRS to be coexisted diseases (odds ratio (OR) = 4.871, p = .02) and fever (OR = 3.56, p = .007). SIRS was an independent predictor for AP severity (OR = 10.820, p = .005). The optimal cut-off value of CRP was 27.5 mg/L for severe AP classification according to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) (area under curve was 0.733).

CONCLUSION

Amalgamation of SIRS criterion with CRP level potentially plays an important role in assessing AP severity in children.

A Novel Approach to Patients with Equivocal Non-Traumatic Acute Abdominal Pain

Introduction

Patients with acute abdominal pain are sometimes held under long-term observation because of failure to make a certain diagnosis. This study investigates the effectiveness of utilising laboratory and clinical variables to choose between surgical and medical treatment to reduce costs and speed up the evaluation period.

Methods

In a university hospital setting, 165 patients with abdominal pain who had undergone surgical (n=115) or nonsurgical (n=50) treatment after observation were prospectively analysed. Upon presentation body temperature, white blood cell count, neutrophil count, seroreactive protein, and malonyl dialdehyde levels were determined. The area under the ROC curve and logistic regression analyses were performed. Surgical probability formula was prepared by using parameters.

Results

Body temperature, white cell count, neutrophil count, C-reactive protein were higher in the surgical group (p=0.0001). Sensitivity of C-reactive protein was higher in determining patients who required surgical treatment. Multivariate analysis showed that above mentioned variables (except neutrophil count) along with malonyl dialdehyde levels were effective in determining optimal treatment strategy.

Conclusions

It is possible to identify patients who need to undergo surgery by implementation of a ‘probability of surgery’ model using certain laboratory values from blood samples obtained from patients with abdominal pain and unknown diagnosis, upon presentation in the emergency room.

Ileus is a predictor of local infection in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Gut barrier dysfunction has been shown to increase the risk of bacterial translocation from the gut into the pancreatic bed. The primary aim of the study is to evaluate if ileus, a clinical marker of gut barrier dysfunction, can predict the development of IPN.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of patients with necrotizing pancreatitis (NP) was conducted from 2000 to 2014. Ileus was defined as ≥2 of the following criteria: nausea/vomiting; inability to tolerate a diet, absence of flatus, abdominal distension and features of ileus on imaging. Extensive necrosis was defined as >30% nonenhancing pancreatic parenchyma on contrast-enhanced CT. Multivariable cox proportional hazard analysis was used to evaluate known and potential predictors of IPN.

RESULTS

142 patients were identified with NP, 61 with IPN and 81 with sterile necrosis. In comparison to a diagnosis of ileus documented in the medical chart, the ileus criteria had a sensitivity, specificity and positive and negative predictive value of 100%, 93%, 78% and 100%, respectively. On multivariate cox proportional hazard analysis, ileus [HR:2.6; 95%CI:1.4-4.9] and extensive necrosis [HR:2.8; 95%CI:1.3-5.8] were independently associated with the development of IPN while there was no association with bacteremia [HR:1.09; 95%CI:0.6-2.1].

CONCLUSION

Ileus in NP can be accurately defined using surgical criteria. Ileus is independently associated with the future development of IPN. Further studies will be needed to determine if ileus can serve as a clinical marker to direct therapeutic interventions aimed at reducing the incidence of IPN.

Infection increases mortality in necrotizing pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the influence of infection on mortality in necrotizing pancreatitis.

METHODS

Eligible prospective and retrospective studies were identified through manual and electronic searches (August 2015). The risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Meta-analyses were performed with subgroup, sensitivity, and meta-regression analyses to evaluate sources of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

We included 71 studies (n = 6970 patients). Thirty-seven (52%) studies used a prospective design and 25 scored ≥5 points on the NOS suggesting a low risk of bias. Forty studies were descriptive and 31 studies evaluated invasive interventions. In total, 801 of 2842 patients (28%) with infected necroses and 537 of 4128 patients (13%) with sterile necroses died with an odds ratio [OR] of 2.57 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.00-3.31) based on all studies and 2.02 (95%CI, 1.61-2.53) in the studies with the lowest bias risk. The OR for prospective studies was 2.96 (95%CI, 2.51-3.50). In sensitivity analyses excluding studies evaluating invasive interventions, the OR was 3.30 (95%CI, 2.81-3.88). Patients with infected necrosis and organ failure had a mortality of 35.2% while concomitant sterile necrosis and organ failure was associated with a mortality of 19.8%. If the patients had infected necrosis without organ failure the mortality was 1.4%.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with necrotizing pancreatitis are more than twice as likely to die if the necrosis becomes infected. Both organ failure and infected necrosis increase mortality in necrotizing pancreatitis.

Evolution and results of the surgical management of 143 cases of severe acute pancreatitis in a referral centre

INTRODUCTION

Surgery is the accepted treatment for infected acute pancreatitis, although mortality remains high. As an alternative, a staged management has been proposed to improve results. Initial percutaneous drainage could allow surgery to be postponed, and improve postoperative results. Few centres in Spain have published their results of surgery for acute pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE

To review the results obtained after surgical treatment of acute pancreatitis during a period of 12 years, focusing on postoperative mortality.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We have reviewed the experience in the surgical treatment of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) at Bellvitge University Hospital from 1999 to 2011. To analyse the results, 2 periods were considered, before and after 2005. A descriptive and analytical study of risk factors for postoperative mortality was performed

RESULTS

A total of 143 patients were operated on for SAP, and necrosectomy or debridement of pancreatic and/or peripancreatic necrosis was performed, or exploratory laparotomy in cases of massive intestinal ischemia. Postoperative mortality was 25%. Risk factors were advanced age (over 65 years), the presence of organ failure, sterility of the intraoperative simple, and early surgery (< 7 days). The only risk factor for mortality in the multivariant analysis was the time from the start of symptoms to surgery of<7 days; furthermore, 50% of these patients presented infection in one of the intraoperative cultures.

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreatic infection can appear at any moment in the evolution of the disease, even in early stages. Surgery for SAP has a high mortality rate, and its delay is a factor to be considered in order to improve results.

Predictors of severe and critical acute pancreatitis: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Persistent organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis are major determinants of mortality in acute pancreatitis, but there is a gap in the literature assessing the best available predictors of these two determinants. The purpose of this review was to investigate the utility of predictors of persistent organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis in patients with acute pancreatitis, both alone and in combination.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of the literature in 3 databases for prospective studies evaluating predictors of persistent organ failure, infected pancreatic necrosis, or both, with strict eligibility criteria.

RESULTS

The best predictors of persistent organ failure were the Japanese Severity Score and Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis when the evaluation was performed within 48h of admission, and blood urea nitrogen and Japanese Severity Score after 48h of admission. Systemic Inflammation Response Syndrome was a poor predictor of persistent organ failure. The best predictor of infected pancreatic necrosis was procalcitonin.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the best available data, it is justifiable to use blood urea nitrogen for prediction of persistent organ failure after 48h of admission and procalcitonin for prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis in patients with confirmed pancreatic necrosis. There is no predictor of persistent organ failure that can be justifiably used in clinical practice within 48h of admission.

Management of severe acute pancreatitis

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) develops in about 25% of patients with acute pancreatitis. Severity of acute pancreatitis is linked to the presence of systemic organ dysfunctions and/or necrotizing pancreatitis. Risk factors independently determining the outcome of SAP are early multiorgan failure (MOF), infection of necrosis, and extended necrosis (>50%). Morbidity of SAP is biphasic, in the first week it is strongly related to systemic inflammatory response syndrome while, sepsis due to infected pancreatic necrosis leading to MOF syndrome occurs in the later course after the first week. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography provides the highest diagnostic accuracy for necrotizing pancreatitis when performed after the first week of disease. Patients who suffer early organ dysfunctions or are at risk for developing a severe disease require early intensive care treatment. Antibiotic prophylaxis has not been shown as an effective preventive treatment. Early enteral feeding is based on a high level of evidence, resulting in a reduction of local and systemic infection. Patients suffering infected necrosis causing clinical sepsis are candidates for intervention. Hospital mortality of SAP after interventional or surgical debridement has decreased to below 20% in high-volume centers.

Management of severe acute pancreatitis

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) develops in about 25% of patients with acute pancreatitis. Severity of acute pancreatitis is linked to the presence of systemic organ dysfunctions and/or necrotizing pancreatitis. Risk factors independently determining the outcome of SAP are early multiorgan failure (MOF), infection of necrosis, and extended necrosis (>50%). Morbidity of SAP is biphasic, in the first week it is strongly related to systemic inflammatory response syndrome while, sepsis due to infected pancreatic necrosis leading to MOF syndrome occurs in the later course after the first week. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography provides the highest diagnostic accuracy for necrotizing pancreatitis when performed after the first week of disease. Patients who suffer early organ dysfunctions or are at risk for developing a severe disease require early intensive care treatment. Antibiotic prophylaxis has not been shown as an effective preventive treatment. Early enteral feeding is based on a high level of evidence, resulting in a reduction of local and systemic infection. Patients suffering infected necrosis causing clinical sepsis are candidates for intervention. Hospital mortality of SAP after interventional or surgical debridement has decreased to below 20% in high-volume centers.

Nosocomial mortality and early prediction of patients with severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The aim of this study is to analyze factors (especially serum total cholesterol) that can enable early prediction of in-hospital mortality of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

Predictive factors (especially serum total cholesterol) for in-hospital mortality were evaluated retrospectively from the clinical data obtained from 338 SAP patients in our hospital from January 1999 to January 2008, who underwent intensive care, blood routine, blood biochemical tests and even computed tomography at the time of admission.

RESULTS

This analysis revealed that within 24 h after admission, serum total cholesterol (TC) was a mortality-reduced factor when it is between 4.37 mmol/L and 5.23 mmol/L (P < 0.05). Evaluated TC was accompanied by decreased C-reactive protein (CRP). CRP > 170 mg/L and albumin (ALB) < 30 g/L increased the fatal outcome (P < 0.05). Low albumin was a stronger predictor than CRP.

CONCLUSIONS

Within 24 h after admission, moderate elevation of TC level seemed to increase the resistance to inflammation and hence improved the survival rate in patients with SAP, and reduced the in-hospital mortality. Inflammatory reaction (with or without infection), hypoalbuminemia and TC were prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality; both high levels of CRP and low ALB levels were associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with SAP.

Value of the different prognostic systems and biological markers for predicting severity and progression of acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

Several tools have been developed for severity stratification in acute pancreatitis (AP). They include single biochemical markers and complex scoring systems, all of which aim at an early detection of severe AP to optimize monitoring and treatment of these patients. The aim of this study was to reassess and compare the value of some known and newly-introduced prognostic markers in the clinical context.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We have conducted a prospective observational study. One hundred and eight patients with a diagnosis of AP and onset of the disease within last 72 h were included in this study. Clinical data and expression results of some serum biochemical markers were used for statistical analysis. The diagnostic performance of scores predicting severity and progression of AP, cut-off values, specificity, and sensitivity were established using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among single biochemical markers, C-reactive protein remains the most useful. Despite its delayed increase, it is accurate, cheap, and widely available. Interleukin-6 and macrophage migration inhibitory factor seem to be new promising parameters for use in clinical routine. Pancreas specific scores (Imrie-Glasgow, pancreatitis outcome prediction) and scores assessing organ dysfunction (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, multiple organ dysfunction score, and Marshall score) remain of value in determining the severity, complications, and possible outcome of AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Indication, timing, and consequences of the methods applied need to be carefully considered and incorporated into clinical assessments. Currently, there is no single prognostic marker that would cover the whole range of problems associated with the treatment of AP. The prediction of severity and progression of AP can be achieved using a series of accurate methods. The decision to undertake interventional or surgical treatment is the most complex task requiring both clinical judgment and meticulous monitoring of the patient.

Pancreatite necro-hemorrágica: atualização e momento de operar

INTRODUÇÃO: A pancreatite necro-hemorrágica representa a variante mais grave do espectro de apresentações clínicas que podem compor o quadro da pancreatite aguda. Embora já conhecida há muitos séculos, inúmeras questões permanecem em aberto acerca dessa entidade e o número de trabalhos sobre o assunto publicados nos últimos anos tem sido muito expressivo. MÉTODO: Foi realizada ampla pesquisa na literatura, com especial atenção aos artigos publicados nos últimos três anos e indexados ao PubMed. Foram utilizados os seguintes descritores de forma cruzada: pancreatitis, surgical procedures; necrosis. A pesquisa inicial evidenciou cerca de 13.000 artigos, sendo avaliados os mais relevantes dos últimos três anos além de artigos mais antigos, considerados "clássicos" sobre o assunto e que, portanto, não poderiam deixar de ser citados. CONCLUSÃO: O tratamento da pancreatite aguda envolve um grande número de questões, dentre as quais as mais importantes estão relacionadas ao manejo da antibioticoterapia, tipo de dieta empregada e as questões relacionadas ao manejo da necrose infectada. Em especial, mudanças radicais foram implementadas nos últimos anos sobre todos esses tópicos, e uma atualização constante deve ser obrigatoriamente buscada pelos profissionais envolvidos no tratamento dessa doença.

Infectious complications in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

This study aims to investigate the clinical characteristics of infectious complications in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). From September 2003 to March 2005, 140 patients with SAP were retrospectively identified. SAP was defined by the diagnostic criteria formulated for SAP at the 2002 Bangkok World Congress of Gastroenterology in Thailand. Clinical data of the infected and non-infected patients was compared and the characteristics of infection were also analyzed. There were 44 patients who developed infectious complications with a rate of 31.4% (44/140). The severity index, the incidence of complications and mortality, was significantly higher in the infected patients than in the non-infected patients (P<0.05). Of 65 episodes of infection, infected (peri) pancreatic necrosis accounted for 47.7% (31/65), pneumonia for 27.7% (18/65), bacteremia for 10.8% (7/65), urinary tract infection for 6.1% (4/65), and gastrointestinal tract infection for 7.7% (5/65). The earliest infection was observed in pneumonia (10.7±2.5 days), followed by bacteremia (13.7±1.5 days), gastrointestinal tract infection (16.8±3.9 days), infected (peri)pancreatic necrosis (17.6±2.9 days), and urinary tract infection (20.5±4.8 days). Gram-negative bacteria were preponderantly found, comprising 56.6% (64/113) of the isolated strains. Gram-positive bacteria and fungus accounted for 22.1% (25/113) and 21.2% (24/113) of the isolated strains, respectively. Infectious complications in patients with SAP occurred in those who had severe episodes, and consequently complicated the clinical courses. Infected (peri)pancreatic necrosis is the most susceptible and pneumonia is the earliest. Gram-negative bacteria were predominant in multi-microorganisms.

Acute pancreatitis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review advances over the last year in the prevention, diagnosis and management of acute pancreatitis.

RECENT FINDINGS

Obesity is an independent risk factor for severity in acute pancreatitis, and heavy alcohol consumption for the development of necrosis in severe acute pancreatitis. Biochemical markers have been further tested, including carbohydrate-deficient transferrin for the diagnosis of alcohol-induced acute pancreatitis, urinary trypsinogen-2 as a diagnostic marker for acute pancreatitis, and interleukin-6 and procalcitonin as markers of disease severity. A new, simple stratification system, the 'panc 3 score', has been described. There are conflicting data on the use of antibiotic prophylaxis in acute necrotizing pancreatitis, and on the chemoprevention of postendoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis. Enteral feeding is established as standard practice early in the management of acute pancreatitis of all aetiologies; probiotics and other compounds may also play a role.

SUMMARY

Over the last year, there have been further innovations in the risk stratification and management of acute pancreatitis. Unresolved issues include chemoprevention of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography-induced acute pancreatitis, the indications for antibiotic prophylaxis in severe acute pancreatitis and nutritional supplementation with probiotics and synbiotics.