Prediction of survival after liver transplantation by pre-transplant parameters

Impact of race-independent equations on estimating glomerular filtration rate for the assessment of kidney dysfunction in liver disease

BACKGROUND

Altered hemodynamics in liver disease often results in overestimation of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) by creatinine-based GFR estimating (eGFR) equations. Recently, we have validated a novel eGFR equation based on serum myo-inositol, valine, and creatinine quantified by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in combination with cystatin C, age and sex (GFR_NMR). We hypothesized that GFR_NMR could improve chronic kidney disease (CKD) classification in the setting of liver disease.

RESULTS

We conducted a retrospective multicenter study in 205 patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), comparing the performance of GFR_NMR to that of validated CKD-EPI eGFR equations, including eGFRcr (based on creatinine) and eGFRcr-cys (based on both creatinine and cystatin C), using measured GFR as reference standard. GFR_NMR outperformed all other equations with a low overall median bias (-1 vs. -6 to 4 ml/min/1.73 m² for the other equations; p < 0.05) and the lowest difference in bias between reduced and preserved liver function (-3 vs. -16 to -8 ml/min/1.73 m² for other equations). Concordant classification by CKD stage was highest for GFR_NMR (59% vs. 48% to 53%) and less biased in estimating CKD severity compared to the other equations. GFR_NMR P30 accuracy (83%) was higher than that of eGFRcr (75%; p = 0.019) and comparable to that of eGFRcr-cys (86%; p = 0.578).

CONCLUSIONS

Addition of myo-inositol and valine to creatinine and cystatin C in GFR_NMR further improved GFR estimation in CLD patients and accurately stratified liver disease patients into CKD stages.

Low Serum Cholinesterase Identifies Patients With Worse Outcome and Increased Mortality After TIPS

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an effective treatment for portal hypertension-related complications. However, careful selection of patients is crucial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum cholinesterase (CHE) for outcomes and mortality after TIPS insertion. In this multicenter study, 389 consecutive patients with cirrhosis receiving a TIPS at Hannover Medical School, University Hospital Essen, or Medical University of Vienna were included. The Hannover cohort (n = 200) was used to initially explore the role of CHE, whereas patients from Essen and Vienna served as a validation cohort (n = 189). Median age of the patients was 58 years and median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 12. Multivariable analysis identified MELD score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.16; P < 0.001) and CHE (HR: 0.61; P = 0.008) as independent predictors for 1-year survival. Using the Youden Index, a CHE of 2.5 kU/L was identified as optimal threshold to predict post-TIPS survival in the Hannover cohort (P < 0.001), which was confirmed in the validation cohort (P = 0.010). CHE < 2.5 kU/L was significantly associated with development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (P < 0.001) and hepatic encephalopathy (P = 0.006). Of note, CHE was also significantly linked to mortality in the subgroup of patients with refractory ascites (P = 0.001) as well as in patients with high MELD scores (P = 0.012) and with high-risk FIPS scores (P = 0.004). After propensity score matching, mortality was similar in patients with ascites and CHE < 2.5 kU/L if treated by TIPS or by paracentesis. Contrarily, in patients with CHE ≥ 2.5 kU/L survival was significantly improved by TIPS as compared to treatment with paracentesis (P < 0.001). Conclusion: CHE is significantly associated with mortality and complications after TIPS insertion. Therefore, we suggest that CHE should be evaluated as an additional parameter for selecting patients for TIPS implantation.

The liver transplant risk score prognosticates the outcomes of liver transplant recipients at listing

BACKGROUND

We assessed if the risk of post-liver transplant mortality within 24 h could be stratified at the time of listing using the liver transplant risk score (LTRS). Secondary aims were to assess if the LTRS could stratify the risk of 30-day, 1-year mortality, and survival beyond the first year.

METHODS

MELD, BMI, age, diabetes, and the need for dialysis were the five variables used to calculate the LTRS during patients' evaluation for liver transplantation. Mortality rates at 24 h, 30 days, and 1-year were compared among groups of patients with different LTRS. Patients with ABO-incompatibility, redo, multivisceral, partial graft and malignancies except for hepatocellular carcinoma were excluded. Data of 48,616 adult liver transplant recipients were extracted from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients between 2002 and 2017.

RESULTS

24-h mortality was 0.9%, 1.0%, 1.1%, 1.7%, 2.3%, 2.0% and 3.5% for patients with LTRS of 0,1,2,3,4, 5 and ≥ 6, respectively (P < 0.001). 30-day mortality was 3.5%, 4.2%, 4.9%, 6.2%, 7.6%, 7.2% and 10.1% respectively (P < 0.001). 1-year mortality was 8.6%, 10.8%, 12.9%, 13.9%, 18.5%, 20.3% and 28.6% respectively (P < 0.001). 10-year survival was 61%, 56%, 57%, 54%, 47%, and 31% for patients with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and ≥ 6 points respectively (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Perioperative mortality and long-term survival of patients undergoing LT can be accurately estimated at the time of listing by the LTRS.

Preoperative Stratification of Liver Transplant Recipients: Validation of the LTRS

BACKGROUND

The liver transplant risk score (LTRS) was developed to stratify 90-day mortality of patients referred for liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to validate the LTRS using a new cohort of patients.

METHODS

The LTRS stratifies the risk of 90-day mortality of LT recipients based on their age, body mass index, diabetes, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and need for dialysis. We assessed the performance of the LTRS using a new cohort of patients transplanted in the United States between July 2013 and June 2017. Exclusion criteria were age <18 years, ABO incompatibility, redo or multivisceral transplants, partial grafts, malignancies other than hepatocellular carcinoma and fulminant hepatitis.

RESULTS

We found a linear correlation between the number of points of the LTRS and 90-day mortality. Among 18 635 recipients, 90-day mortality was 2.7%, 3.8%, 5.2%, 4.8%, 6.7%, and 9.3% for recipients with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 points (P < 0.001). The LTRS also stratified 1-year mortality that was 5.5%, 7.7%, 9.9%, 9.3%, 10.8%, and 15.4% for 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 points (P < 0.001). An inverse correlation was found between the LTRS and 4-year survival that was 82%, 79%, 78%, 82%, 78%, and 66% for patients with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 points (P < 0.001). The LTRS remained an independent predictor after accounting for recipient sex, ethnicity, cause of liver disease, donor age, cold ischemia time, and waiting time.

CONCLUSIONS

The LTRS can stratify the short- and long-term outcomes of LT recipients at the time of their evaluations irrespective of their gender, ethnicity, and primary cause of liver disease.

Prediction of Perioperative Mortality of Cadaveric Liver Transplant Recipients During Their Evaluations

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

There are no instruments that can identify patients at an increased risk of poor outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) based only on their preoperative characteristics. The primary aim of this study was to develop such a scoring system. Secondary outcomes were to assess the discriminative performance of the predictive model for 90-day mortality, 1-year mortality, and 5-year patient survival.

Low serum cholinesterase predicts complication risk after orthopedic surgery in elderly patients: an observational pilot study

BACKGROUND

Serum cholinesterase (ChE) in elderly adults is associated with geriatric conditions such as sarcopenia and malnutrition. The aim of this study is to examine the impact of preoperative serum ChE on the development of complications after noncardiac surgery in elderly patients without liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified all patients aged ≥ 65 years who underwent orthopedic surgery over a 1.5-year period in our hospital. The main outcome was postoperative complications, defined as a deviation from the normal postoperative course within 30 days postoperatively.

RESULTS

A total of 313 patients (median age 79 years) were included. The incidence of all-cause postoperative complications was 15.7% (49/313 patients). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that serum ChE was a univariable factor that predicted all-cause complications with moderate accuracy (area under the curve = 0.694, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.604-0.783), with an optimal serum ChE cutoff level of 200 units/L. After multivariate analyses adjusted by baseline characteristics, low serum ChE remained a significant risk factor for postoperative complications (odds ratio = 2.99, 95% CI 1.41-6.33, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Low serum ChE (< 200 unit/L) is a significant risk factor for postoperative complications after orthopedic surgery in patients aged ≥ 65 years.

Single-Center Retrospective Study of Clinical and Laboratory Features That Predict Survival of Patients With Budd-Chiari Syndrome After Liver Transplant

OBJECTIVES

Budd-Chiari syndrome is a rare but critical condition that can progress to liver failure and death. For severe cases, orthotopic liver transplant remains the only curative option. The present study aimed to identify predictive parameters to assess outcomes of liver transplant.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medical records of 33 individuals with Budd-Chiari syndrome who received orthotopic liver transplant were retrospectively assessed. Twenty-seven eligible patients were identified and grouped by outcome (survived/deceased) after transplant for Budd-Chiari syndrome. Demographic, clinical, and serum parameters taken at the time of Budd-Chiari syndrome diagnosis were evaluated for prognostic value.

RESULTS

Differences between patients who survived and those who died were found for nausea/vomiting (P < .01) and splenomegaly (P < .01), which were both more common in patients who died after transplant. In addition, patients in the deceased group exhibited significantly lower serum cholinesterase levels (P < .01) and higher alkaline phosphatase levels (P < .01). Scoring systems to assess liver status or Budd-Chiari syndrome severity (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and Child-Pugh scores, Rotterdam score, and the transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting prognostic index) did not differ between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Nausea/vomiting, splenomegaly, low serum cholinesterase, and high alkaline phosphatase were associated with adverse outcomes after orthotopic liver transplant for Budd-Chiari syndrome. These factors may be surrogate markers for a severely impaired health status at time of diagnosis and should be evaluated prospectively in larger cohorts.

Clinical Aspects and Prognosis Evaluation of Cirrhotic Patients Hospitalized with Acute Kidney Injury

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury occurs in approximately 20% of hospitalized cirrhotic patients. Mortality is estimated at 60% within a month and 65% within a year.

AIMS

To evaluate survival in 30 days and in 3 months of cirrhotic patients hospitalized with acute kidney injury, identifying factors associated with mortality.

METHODS

52 patients with cirrhosis admitted to an academic tertiary center who presented acute kidney injury according to the International Club of Ascites criteria were evaluated. Clinical and laboratory data was collected at diagnosis between 2011 and 2015.

RESULTS

Average age was 54.6 (±10.7) years and 69.2% were male. The average MELD, MELD-Na, and Child-Pugh scores were 21.9 (±7.0), 24.5 (±6.7), and 10.1 (±2.2), respectively. Thirty patients (57.7%) were in acute kidney injury stage 1, 16 (30.8%) in stage 2, and six (11.6%) in stage 3. Mortality was 28.6% in 30 days and 44.9% in three months. In multivariate analysis, variables that were associated independently to mortality were lack of response to expansion treatment and Child-Pugh score. Mortality was 93.3% in three months among nonresponders compared to 28.6% among those who responded to volume expansion (p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Acute kidney injury in cirrhosis has dire prognosis, particularly in patients with advanced cirrhosis and in nonresponders to volume expansion.

Liver transplantation for critically ill cirrhotic patients: Overview and pragmatic proposals

Liver transplantation for critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute deterioration of liver function associated with extrahepatic organ failures is controversial. While transplantation has been shown to be beneficial on an individual basis, the potentially poorer post-transplant outcome of these patients taken as a group can be held as an argument against allocating livers to them. Although this issue concerns only a minority of liver transplants, it calls into question the very heart of the allocation paradigms in place. Indeed, most allocation algorithms have been centered on prioritizing the sickest patients by using the model for end-stage liver disease score. This has led to allocating increasing numbers of livers to increasingly critically ill patients without setting objective or consensual limits on how sick patients can be when they receive an organ. Today, finding robust criteria to deem certain cirrhotic patients too sick to be transplanted seems urgent in order to ensure the fairness of our organ allocation protocols. This review starts by fleshing out the argument that finding such criteria is essential. It examines five types of difficulties that have hindered the progress of recent literature on this issue and identifies various strategies that could be followed to move forward on this topic, taking into account the recent discussion on acute on chronic liver failure. We move on to review the literature along four axes that could guide clinicians in their decision-making process regarding transplantation of critically ill cirrhotic patients.

The EMALT Score: An Improved Model for Prediction of Early Mortality in Liver Transplant Recipients

PURPOSE

Needs, risks, and outcomes of patients admitted to a post liver transplant intensive care unit (POLTICU) differ in important ways from those admitted to pretransplant intensive care units (ICUs). The aim of this study was to create the optimal model to risk stratify POLTICU patients.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent first deceased donor liver transplantation (LT) at a large United States center between 2008 and 2014 were followed from admission to LT and to discharge or death. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis was performed to assess the value of various scores in predicting in-hospital mortality. A predictive model was developed using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 697 patients underwent LT, and 3.2% died without leaving the hospital. A model for in-hospital mortality was derived from variables available within 24 hours of admission to the POLTICU. Key variables best predicting survival were white blood cell count, 24-hour urine output, and serum glucose. A model using these variables performed with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.88, compared to the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, which performed with AUCs of 0.74 and 0.60, respectively.

CONCLUSION

An improved model, the early mortality after LT (EMALT) score, performs better than conventional models in predicting in-hospital mortality after LT.

The Role of Urinary Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin in Predicting Acute Kidney Dysfunction in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis

Background

Early detection of acute kidney dysfunction (AKD) in cirrhotic patients is crucial. Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) has been identified as an early marker of AKD. The aim of the study was to evaluate serial uNGAL as a marker and predictor of AKD in liver cirrhosis patients.

Methods

Serial uNGAL and serum creatinine (sCr) levels were measured daily during the first 6 days of admission. Furthermore, sCr levels and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were measured after 3 - 6 weeks. The uNGAL levels in patients with and without abnormal sCr were compared.

Results

Fifty-seven consecutive cirrhotic patients were enrolled in the study. Eight of 14 patients (57%) who developed abnormal uNGAL level also had abnormal sCr level (odds ratio (OR) = 3.4, 95% CI: 0.99 - 12.03, P = 0.05). After 6 weeks, 41% of patients exhibited an abnormal uNGAL level and abnormal sCr (OR = 6.7, 95% CI: 1.55 - 28.85, P = 0.01). Area under the curve (AUROC) and the best cut-off point for highest NGAL in 6 days were 0.64 and 72.55 ng/mL, respectively.

Conclusions

There is a modest association between highest uNGAL in the first 6 days of admission and sCr at week 6 in all participants. This may indicate that in cirrhotic patients, uNGAL level during the first 6 days of admission has a potential predictability for the development of high sCr and low eGFR 6 weeks later. The AUROC of 0.64 quantifies the overall ability of uNGAL to discriminate between those individuals who will have a raised sCr levels and those who will not.

Risk Assessment in High- and Low-MELD Liver Transplantation

Allocation of liver grafts triggers emotional debates, as those patients, not receiving an organ, are prone to death. We analyzed a high-Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) cohort (laboratory MELD score ≥30, n = 100, median laboratory MELD score of 35; interquartile range 31-37) of liver transplant recipients at our center during the past 10 years and compared results with a low-MELD group, matched by propensity scoring for donor age, recipient age, and cold ischemia time. End points of our study were cumulative posttransplantation morbidity, cost, and survival. Six different prediction models, including donor age x recipient MELD (D-MELD), Difference between listing MELD and MELD at transplant (Delta MELD), donor-risk index (DRI), Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplant (SOFT), balance-of-risk (BAR), and University of California Los Angeles-Futility Risk Score (UCLA-FRS), were applied in both cohorts to identify risk for poor outcome and high cost. All score models were compared with a clinical-oriented decision, based on the combination of hemofiltration plus ventilation. Median intensive care unit and hospital stays were 8 and 26 days, respectively, after liver transplantation of high-MELD patients, with a significantly increased morbidity compared with low-MELD patients (median comprehensive complication index 56 vs. 36 points [maximum points 100] and double cost [median US$179 631 vs. US$80 229]). Five-year survival, however, was only 8% less than that of low-MELD patients (70% vs. 78%). Most prediction scores showed disappointing low positive predictive values for posttransplantation mortality, such as mortality above thresholds, despite good specificity. The clinical observation of hemofiltration plus ventilation in high-MELD patients was even superior in this respect compared with D-MELD, DRI, Delta MELD, and UCLA-FRS but inferior to SOFT and BAR models. Of all models tested, only the BAR score was linearly associated with complications. In conclusion, the BAR score was most useful for risk classification in liver transplantation, based on expected posttransplantation mortality and morbidity. Difficult decisions to accept liver grafts in high-risk recipients may thus be guided by additional BAR score calculation, to increase the safe use of scarce organs.

Systematic review: pre- and post-operative prognostic value of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in liver transplant candidates

BACKGROUND

Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is the gold standard for the objective assessment of functional status. In many conditions, CPET outperforms the traditional variables in predicting mortality.

AIM

In patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation, our primary aim was to determine the prognostic value of CPET for pre-and post-transplant mortality and, in particular, whether CPET remained predictive after adjustment for liver disease severity.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was conducted in databases Medline, Scopus, Embase and PubMed. Where possible, data were pooled for meta-analyses using a DerSimonian and Laird random effects model.

RESULTS

A total of seven studies were retrieved, including 1107 patients with a mean MELD of 14.2 (standard deviation 1.6) and peak baseline VO2 of 17.4 mL/kg/min. In all of the studies in which multivariable analysis was performed, CPET variables were independent predictors of pre-transplant mortality (three studies) and post-transplant mortality (four studies). In the three studies where we could aggregate post-transplant mortality data, post-transplant mortality was predicted by AT with a mean difference of 2.0 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.42-3.59; Z = 2.48, P = 0.01) between survivors and nonsurvivors. The peak VO2 was not significant (0.77 95% CI: -1.36 to 2.90; Z = 0.71, P = 0.48).

CONCLUSIONS

Patient's listed for liver transplant have significant functional limitations, with a weighted mean VO2 below the threshold level required for independent living. Although heterogeneity in study designs with respect to timing, CPET variables, and cut-off values precluded the determination of CPET mortality thresholds, the studies support CPET as an objective and independent predictor of pre- and post-transplant mortality.

[Allocation systems in transplantation medicine: Advantages and disadvantages]

Donor organs for transplantations are a scarce commodity; therefore, allocation systems are needed that guarantee an ethically acceptable distribution to patients on the waiting list (equal treatment and fairness) but also take the probability of survival of the transplant in each recipient into consideration. In this article the allocation systems for lung, liver, kidney and pancreas transplants are presented.For lung transplantations an allocation system based on the lung allocation score (LAS) is currently used. The LAS predicts the probability of survival on the waiting list and the survival rate following transplantation. Organs with a limited range of utilization are distributed in a so-called mini-match procedure.For post-mortem kidney and pancreas transplantations a relatively complex but transparent allocation system has been created in which patients are subdivided into groups, each of which has its own allocation rules. The allocation is principally carried out according to criteria of fairness of distribution and according to the prospects of success. The probability of a mismatch also plays a role. The urgency is important for children and for patients who do not have the possibility of dialysis. Combined pancreas and kidney transplantations have priority over kidney transplantations alone.The criterion for the urgency of liver transplantation in Germany is currently the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), which aims to reduce the waiting list mortality and to prioritize transplantations for those most in need. Because the system insufficiently describes the priority of transplantation for patients with tumors or genetic liver diseases, there is an additional set of rules for so-called standard exceptions.

Factors Associated with Mortality and Graft Failure in Liver Transplants: A Hierarchical Approach

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation has received increased attention in the medical field since the 1980s following the introduction of new immunosuppressants and improved surgical techniques. Currently, transplantation is the treatment of choice for patients with end-stage liver disease, and it has been expanded for other indications. Liver transplantation outcomes depend on donor factors, operating conditions, and the disease stage of the recipient. A retrospective cohort was studied to identify mortality and graft failure rates and their associated factors. All adult liver transplants performed in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, between 2006 and 2012 were studied.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

A hierarchical Poisson multiple regression model was used to analyze factors related to mortality and graft failure in liver transplants. A total of 2,666 patients, 18 years or older, (1,482 males; 1,184 females) were investigated. Outcome variables included mortality and graft failure rates, which were grouped into a single binary variable called negative outcome rate. Additionally, donor clinical, laboratory, intensive care, and organ characteristics and recipient clinical data were analyzed. The mortality rate was 16.2 per 100 person-years (py) (95% CI: 15.1-17.3), and the graft failure rate was 1.8 per 100 py (95% CI: 1.5-2.2). Thus, the negative outcome rate was 18.0 per 100 py (95% CI: 16.9-19.2). The best risk model demonstrated that recipient creatinine ≥ 2.11 mg/dl [RR = 1.80 (95% CI: 1.56-2.08)], total bilirubin ≥ 2.11 mg/dl [RR = 1.48 (95% CI: 1.27-1.72)], Na+ ≥ 141.01 mg/dl [RR = 1.70 (95% CI: 1.47-1.97)], RNI ≥ 2.71 [RR = 1.64 (95% CI: 1.41-1.90)], body surface ≥ 1.98 [RR = 0.81 (95% CI: 0.68-0.97)] and donor age ≥ 54 years [RR = 1.28 (95% CI: 1.11-1.48)], male gender [RR = 1.19(95% CI: 1.03-1.37)], dobutamine use [RR = 0.54 (95% CI: 0.36-0.82)] and intubation ≥ 6 days [RR = 1.16 (95% CI: 1.10-1.34)] affected the negative outcome rate.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study confirms that both donor and recipient characteristics must be considered in post-transplant outcomes and prognostic scores. Our data demonstrated that recipient characteristics have a greater impact on post-transplant outcomes than donor characteristics. This new concept makes liver transplant teams to rethink about the limits in a MELD allocation system, with many teams competing with each other. The results suggest that although we have some concerns about the donors features, the recipient factors were heaviest predictors for bad outcomes.

Management of hepatorenal syndrome

Hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is defined as development of renal dysfunction in patients with chronic liver diseases due to decreased effective arterial blood volume. It is the most severe complication of cirrhosis because of its very poor prognosis. In spite of several hypotheses and research, the pathogenesis of HRS is still poorly understood. The onset of HRS is a progressive process rather than a suddenly arising phenomenon. Since there are no specific tests for HRS diagnosis, it is diagnosed by the exclusion of other causes of acute kidney injury in cirrhotic patients. There are two types of HRS with different characteristics and prognostics. Type 1 HRS is characterized by a sudden onset acute renal failure and a rapid deterioration of other organ functions. It may develop spontaneously or be due to some precipitating factors. Type 2 HRS is characterized by slow and progressive worsening of renal functions due to cirrhosis and portal hypertension and it is accompanied by refractory ascites. The only definitive treatment for both Type 1 and Type 2 HRS is liver transplantation. The most suitable bridge treatment or treatment for patients who are not eligible for transplantation is a combination of terlipressin and albumin. For the same purpose, it is possible to try hemodialysis or renal replacement therapies in the form of continuous veno-venous hemofiltration. Artificial hepatic support systems are important for patients who do not respond to medical treatment. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt may be considered as a treatment modality for unresponsive patients to medical treatment. The main goal of clinical surveillance in a cirrhotic patient is prevention of HRS before it develops. The aim of this article is to provide an updated review about the physiopathology of HRS and its treatment.

Renal impairment in cirrhosis unrelated to hepatorenal syndrome

Renal impairment is common in liver disease and may occur as a consequence of the pathophysiological changes that underpin cirrhosis or secondary to a pre-existing unrelated insult. Nevertheless, the onset of renal impairment often portends a worsening prognosis. Hepatorenal syndrome remains one of the most recognized and reported causes of renal impairment in cirrhosis. However, other causes of renal impairment occur and can be classified into prerenal, intrinsic or postrenal, which are the subjects of the present review.

Donor information based prediction of early allograft dysfunction and outcome in liver transplantation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Poor initial graft function was recently newly defined as early allograft dysfunction (EAD) [Olthoff KM, Kulik L, Samstein B, et al. Validation of a current definition of early allograft dysfunction in liver transplant recipients and analysis of risk factors. Liver Transpl 2010; 16: 943]. Aim of this analysis was to evaluate predictive donor information for development of EAD.

METHODS

Six hundred and seventy-eight consecutive adult patients (mean age 51.6 years; 60.3% men) who received a primary liver transplantation (LT) (09/2003-12/2011) were included. Standard donor data were correlated with EAD and outcome by univariable/multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards to identify prognostic donor factors after adjustment for recipient confounders. Estimates of relevant factors were utilized for construction of a new continuous risk index to develop EAD.

RESULTS

38.7% patients developed EAD. 30-day survival of grafts with and without EAD was 59.8% and 89.7% (P < 0.0001). 30-day survival of patients with and without EAD was 68.5% and 93.1% (P < 0.0001) respectively. Donor body mass index (P = 0.0112), gGT (P = 0.0471), macrosteatosis (P = 0.0006) and cold ischaemia time (CIT) (P = 0.0031) were predictors of EAD. Internal cross validation showed a high predictive value (c-index = 0.622).

CONCLUSIONS

Early allograft dysfunction correlates with early results of LT and can be predicted by donor data only. The newly introduced risk index potentially optimizes individual decisions to accept/decline high risk organs. Outcome of these organs might be improved by shortening CIT.

Criteria-specific long-term survival prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma patients after liver transplantation

AIM: To establish a model to predict long-term survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after liver transplantation (MHCAT).

METHODS: Two hundred and twenty-three patients with HCC were followed for at least six years to identify independent risk factors for long-term survival after liver transplantation (LT). The criteria for HCC liver transplantation included the Milan, University of California San Francisco, Hangzhou and Shanghai Fudan criteria. The Cox regression model was used to build MHCAT specifying these criteria. A survival analysis was carried out for patients with high or low risk.

RESULTS: The one-, three- and five-year cumulative survival of HCC patients after LT was 78.9%, 53.2% and 46.4%, respectively. Of the HCC patients, the proportion meeting the Hangzhou and Fudan criteria was significantly higher than the proportion meeting the Milan criteria (64.6% vs 39.5%, 52.0% vs 39.5%, P < 0.05). Moreover, the proportion meeting the Hangzhou criteria was also significantly higher than the proportion meeting other criteria (P < 0.01). Pre-operative alfa-fetoprotein level, intraoperative blood loss and retransplantation were common significant predictors of long-term survival in HCC patients with reference to the Milan, University of California San Francisco and Fudan criteria, whereas in MHCAT based on the Hangzhou criteria, total bilirubin, intraoperative blood loss and retransplantation were independent predictors. The c-statistic for MHCAT was 0.773-0.824, with no statistical difference among these four criteria. According to the MHCAT scoring system, patients with low risk showed a higher five-year survival than those with high risk (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: MHCAT can effectively predict long-term survival for HCC patients, but needs to be verified by multi-center retrospective or randomized controlled trials.

[Patient selection and indications for liver transplantation]

Liver transplantation represents an established component of the therapeutic repertoire for irreversible chronic liver diseases. Liver transplantation is confronted by a shortage of donor allografts as well as by an increasing overall number of potentially useful indications, which leads to a rationing of this therapeutic option. Since December 2006 the priority for liver transplantation is determined by the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and not by the length of waiting time. The evaluation of indications which are prioritized according to laboratory values (serum creatine, serum bilirubin and coagulation) and the so-called standard exception categories which have to fulfil specific criteria place increased demands on the interdisciplinary transplantation team, on the evaluation for liver transplantation and the prediction of the success of transplantation required by the Transplantation Act. The establishment and implementation of robust, objective and transparent systems to assess not only preoperative priorities but also postoperative benefits represents a major challenge for transplantation medicine.

Prognostic implications of preoperative aerobic capacity and exercise oscillatory ventilation after liver transplantation

Our aim was to determine preoperative aerobic capacity (oxygen uptake [V'O2 ]) and prevalence of exercise oscillatory ventilation (EOV), underlying clinical characteristics of patients with EOV, and significance of reduced aerobic capacity and EOV in predicting mortality after liver transplantation. We prospectively studied 263 patients who underwent elective liver transplantation. Patients were followed up for 1 year. Despite minor impairment of resting cardiopulmonary function, preoperative aerobic capacity was reduced (peak V'O2 : 64 ± 19% predicted). EOV occurred in 10% of patients. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score tended to be higher in patients with EOV compared to patients without, but failed to reach significance (p = 0.09). EOV patients had lower peak V'O2 and higher ventilatory drive. EOV was more frequent in nonsurvivors than in survivors (30% vs. 9%, p = 0.01) and was independently associated with posttransplant all-cause 1-year mortality. Reduced peak V'O2 best predicted the primary composite endpoint defined as 1-year mortality and/or prolonged hospitalization and early in-hospital mortality. Multivariate analysis revealed EOV (χ(2), 3.96; p = 0.04) and V'O2 (χ(2), 4.28; p = 0.04) as independent predictors of mortality and so-called primary composite endpoint, respectively. EOV and reduced peak V'O2 may identify high-risk candidates for liver transplantation, which would motivate a more aggressive treatment when detected.

Large splenic volume may be a useful predictor for partial splenic embolization-induced liver functional improvement in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND

Partial splenic embolization (PSE) for cirrhotic patients has been reported not only to achieve an improvement in thrombocytopenia and portal hypertension, but also to induce PSE-associated fringe benefit such as individual liver functional improvement. The purpose of this study was to clarify the predictive marker of liver functional improvement due from PSE in cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

From April 1999 to January 2009, 83 cirrhotic patients with hypersplenism-induced thrombocytopenia (platelet count <10 × 10(4)/μl) underwent PSE. Of them, 71 patients with follow-up for more than one year after PSE were retrospectively investigated.

RESULTS

In liver tissues after PSE, proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA)-positive hepatocytes were remarkably increased, speculating that PSE induced liver regenerative response. Indeed, serum albumin and cholinesterase levels increased to 104 ± 14% and 130 ± 65% each of the pretreatment level at one year after PSE. In a multiple linear regression analysis, preoperative splenic volume was extracted as the predictive factor for the improvement in cholinesterase level after PSE. Cirrhotic patients with preoperative splenic volume >600 ml obtained significantly higher serum albumin and cholinesterase levels at one year after PSE compared to those with less than 600 ml (P-values were 0.029 in both).

CONCLUSION

A large preoperative splenic volume was the useful predictive marker for an effective PSE-induced liver functional improvement.

Irreversible liver failure: treatment by transplantation: part 3 of a series on liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation is the only established, causally directed treatment for irreversible chronic or acute liver failure.

METHODS

This review is based on papers retrieved by a selective search in the PubMed database, the index of randomized controlled trials of the European Society of Organ Transplantation, and the Cochrane database, along with an analysis of data from the authors' own center.

RESULTS

1199 liver transplantations were performed in Germany in 2011. The most common indications were alcoholic cirrhosis (28%), cirrhosis of other causes (24%), and intrahepatic tumors (20%). Among recipients, the sex ratio was nearly 1:1 and the median age was just under 50. Across Europe, the 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates after liver transplantation were 82%, 71% and 61%. In our own center, the Charité in Berlin, the corresponding rates were 90.4%, 79.6% and 70.3%, based on an experience of 100 to 120 cases per year. The current rate of functioning transplants five years after liver transplantation is 52.6% in Germany and 66.2% internationally. Standard immunosuppression consists of a calcineurin inhibitor, tacrolimus or cyclosporine A, and steroids. Early complications include primary functional failure of the transplant, hemorrhage, thrombosis, acute rejection, and biliary complications. Over the long term, complications that can impair the outcome include chronic rejection, biliary strictures, cardiovascular and metabolic adverse effects, nephrotoxicity, neurotoxicity, and opportunistic infections and malignancies.

CONCLUSION

Liver transplantation is a successful and well-established form of treatment that is nonetheless endangered by a shortage of donor organs and other structural and organizational difficulties.

The relationship between preoperative creatinine clearance and outcomes for patients undergoing liver transplantation: a retrospective observational study

Background

Renal failure with following continuous renal replacement therapy is a major clinical problem in liver transplant recipients, with reported incidences of 3% to 20%. Little is known about the significance of postoperative acute renal failure or acute-on-chronic renal failure to postoperative outcome in liver transplant recipients.

Methods

In this post hoc analysis we compared the mortality rates of 135 consecutive liver transplant recipients over 6 years in our center subject to their renal baseline conditions and postoperative RRT. We classified the patients into 4 groups, according to their preoperative calculated Cockcroft formula and the incidence of postoperative renal replacement therapy. Data then were analyzed in regard to mortality rates and in addition to pre- and peritransplant risk factors.

Results

There was a significant difference in ICU mortality (p=.008), hospital mortality (p=.002) and cumulative survival (p<.0001) between the groups. The highest mortality rate occurred in the group with RRT and normal baseline kidney function (20% ICU mortality, 26.6% hospital mortality and 50% cumulative 1-year mortality, respectively). The hazard ratio in this group was 9.6 (CI 3.2-28.6, p=.0001).

Conclusion

This study shows that in liver transplant recipient’s acute renal failure with postoperative RRT is associated with mortality and the mortality rate is higher than in patients with acute-on-chronic renal failure and postoperative renal replacement therapy.

Screening colonoscopy in liver transplant candidates: risks and findings

The indication for mandatory screening colonoscopies in liver transplant candidates is controversial. Since the introduction of MELD-based allocation, patients with advanced liver disease and often severe comorbidities are prioritized for liver transplantation (LT). This study evaluated safety and outcome of colonoscopy in this high-risk patient group. During a two-yr period, we performed 243 colonoscopies in potential LT candidates. Endoscopic findings were registered in a standardized form, and correlations with biochemical or clinical parameters were analyzed using Mann-Whitney U-test and chi-square test. Only 57 patients (23.5%) had an endoscopically normal colon. Main findings were polyps (45.7%), hypertensive colopathy (24.3%), diverticulosis (21%), rectal varices (19.8%), and hemorrhoids (13.6%). In 21% of all patients, the removed polyps were diagnosed as adenomas. The prevalence of neoplastic polyps increased significantly with age: 13.6% (patients <50 yr) vs. 25% (patients ≥ 50 yr) (p = 0.03). Advanced neoplasia was found only in patients older than 40 yr. No major complications were observed; post-interventional hemorrhage was observed in 1.7% and controlled by clipping or injection therapy. In conclusion, lower gastrointestinal endoscopy is safe and effective in LT candidates. Due to the age dependency of neoplastic polyps, a screening colonoscopy should be performed in LT candidates older than 40 yr or with symptoms or additional risk factors.

The use of fatty liver grafts in modern allocation systems: risk assessment by the balance of risk (BAR) score

OBJECTIVE

To integrate the amount of hepatic steatosis in modern liver allocation models.

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to combine the 2 largest liver transplant databases (United States and Europe) in 1 comprehensive model to predict outcome after liver transplantation, with a novel focus on the impact of the presence of steatosis in the graft.

METHODS

We adjusted the balance of risk (BAR) score for its application to the European Liver Transplant Registry (ELTR) database containing 11,942 patients. All liver transplants from ELTR and United Network for Organ Sharing with recorded liver biopsies were then combined in one survival analysis in relation to the presence of graft micro- (n = 9,677) and macrosteatosis (n = 11,516).

RESULTS

Microsteatosis, regardless of the amount, was associated with a similar relationship between mortality and BAR score as nonsteatotic livers. Low-grade macrosteatotic liver grafts (≤30% macrosteatosis) resulted in 5-year graft-survival rates of 60% or more up to BAR 18, comparable to nonsteatotic grafts. However, use of moderate or severely steatotic liver grafts (>30% macrosteatosis) resulted in acceptable outcome only if the cumulative risk at transplant was low, that is, BAR score of 9 or less.

CONCLUSIONS

Microsteatotic or 30% or less macrosteatotic liver grafts can be used safely up to BAR score of 18 or less, but liver grafts with more than 30% macrosteatotis should be used with risk adjustment, that is, up to BAR score of 9 or less.

Impact of pretreatment serum cholinesterase level in unresectable advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with sorafenib

The value of serum cholinesterase (ChE) level as a predictive marker in sorafenib therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not yet been investigated. The present retrospective study therefore analyzed the impact of the serum ChE level in 93 patients with advanced HCC treated with sorafenib. Patients were categorized into two groups: group A with pretreatment serum ChE ≥140 IU/l (n=46) and group B with pretreatment serum ChE <140 IU/l (n=47). The correlation between clinicopathological findings, including serum ChE level, and overall survival (OS) and liver damage during sorafenib therapy was investigated. The median OS of the patients was 275 days, while OS was markedly higher in group A compared to group B (P=0.002). In 70 Child-Pugh A patients, serum ChE level was a significant prognostic predictor in multivariate analysis [P=0.019, hazard ratio (HR) =2.612; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.174-5.810]. During sorafenib treatment, 22 patients developed liver dysfunction of grade 3 or higher. Only two group A patients (4.3%) developed liver dysfunction, compared to 20 group B patients (42.6%) (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the pretreatment serum ChE level was the strongest predictor of liver damage (P=0.002, HR=0.061, 95% CI: 0.010-0.373), indicating serum ChE <140 IU/l to be the only independent predictor associated with severe liver function damage during sorafenib treatment in 70 patients with grade A Child-Pugh (P= 0.016; HR= 0.122; 95% CI, 0.022-0.676). In conclusion, lower serum ChE level is a significant predictor of poor prognosis and severe liver damage in HCC patients treated with sorafenib. Advanced HCC patients with lower serum ChE levels, including those with a Child-Pugh A pretreatment liver function score, should be given sorafenib therapy with caution.

Treatment-emergent adverse events after infusion of adherent stem cells: the MiSOT-I score for solid organ transplantation

BACKGROUND

Cellular therapy after organ transplantation is emerging as an intriguing strategy to achieve dose reduction of classical immunosuppressive pharmacotherapy. Here, we introduce a new scoring system to assess treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) of adherent stem cell therapies in the clinical setting of allogeneic liver transplantation (for example, the MiSOT-I trial Eudract CT: 2009-017795-25).

METHODS

The score consists of three independent modalities (set of parameters) that focus on clinically relevant events early after intravenous or intraportal stem cell infusion: pulmonary toxicity, intraportal-infusional toxicity and systemic toxicity. For each modality, values between 0 (no TEAE) and 3 (severe TEAE) were defined. The score was validated retrospectively on a cohort of n=187 recipients of liver allografts not receiving investigational cell therapy between July 2004 and December 2010. These patients represent a control population for further trials. Score values were calculated for days 1, 4, and 10 after liver transplantation.

RESULTS

Grade 3 events were most commonly related to the pulmonary system (3.5% of study cohort on day 4). Almost no systemic-related TEAEs were observed during the study period. The relative frequency of grade 3 events never exceeded 5% over all modalities and time points. A subgroup analysis for grade 3 patients provided no descriptors associated with severe TEAEs.

CONCLUSION

The MiSOT-I score provides an assessment tool to score specific adverse events that may occur after adherent stem cell therapy in the clinical setting of organ transplantation and is thus a helpful tool to conduct a safety study.

Impact of neoadjuvant transarterial chemoembolization on tumor recurrence and patient survival after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective analysis

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) has gained wide acceptance as a bridge to liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Aim of this analysis was to compare long-term results with and without neoadjuvant TACE and to identify subgroups, which particularly benefit from TACE. Patients with HCC transplanted at our center were retrospectively analyzed. The following were excluded to increase consistency: incidental-HCC, Child-C, living-related-LT, other HCC-specific-treatment. Of 336 patients, 177 were subject of this analysis, 71 received TACE and 106 no HCC therapy. Patients with and without TACE showed similar five-yr survival (73/67%) and recurrence rates (23/29%). Progression on the waiting list was associated with a higher recurrence rate in the TACE (50 vs.12%) and the non-TACE group (40 vs. 22%). HCC recurrence was reduced in patients inside Milan (0.053) and UCSF (0.037) criteria by neoadjuvant TACE but not outside UCSF (0.99). Also a trend towards an improved survival was seen within these criteria. Our large single center experience suggests that TACE lowers the HCC recurrence rate in patients inside the Milan and UCSF criteria. Moreover, the response to TACE is a good indicator of low recurrence rates. The effect of TACE might be more pronounced in patients with longer waiting time than in this cohort (mean, 4.6 months).

Are there better guidelines for allocation in liver transplantation? A novel score targeting justice and utility in the model for end-stage liver disease era

OBJECTIVES

To design a new score on risk assessment for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) based on both donor and recipient parameters.

BACKGROUND

The balance of waiting list mortality and posttransplant outcome remains a difficult task in the era of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD).

METHODS

Using the United Network for Organ Sharing database, a risk analysis was performed in adult recipients of OLT in the United States of America between 2002 and 2010 (n = 37,255). Living donor-, partial-, or combined-, and donation after cardiac death liver transplants were excluded. Next, a risk score was calculated (balance of risk score, BAR score) on the basis of logistic regression factors, and validated using our own OLT database (n = 233). Finally, the new score was compared with other prediction systems including donor risk index, survival outcome following liver transplantation, donor-age combined with MELD, and MELD score alone.

RESULTS

Six strongest predictors of posttransplant survival were identified: recipient MELD score, cold ischemia time, recipient age, donor age, previous OLT, and life support dependence prior to transplant. The new balance of risk score stratified recipients best in terms of patient survival in the United Network for Organ Sharing data, as in our European population.

CONCLUSIONS

The BAR system provides a new, simple and reliable tool to detect unfavorable combinations of donor and recipient factors, and is readily available before decision making of accepting or not an organ for a specific recipient. This score may offer great potential for better justice and utility, as it revealed to be superior to recent developed other prediction scores.

Experience Since MELD Implementation: How Does the New System Deliver?

Because of increasing waiting-list mortality, the MELD (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease) allocation system was implemented within most countries of the Eurotransplant area on December 16, 2006. Five years have now passed, and we review in this paper the effects of the MELD-based allocation upon the waiting list for liver transplantation, on peri-operative management and on postoperative outcome. Giving priority to sicker patients on the waiting list has resulted in a significant increase in mean MELD score at the time of organ allocation. Consequently, there has also been a significant reduction in waiting-list mortality. However, in Germany a worsening in postoperative outcome, mainly in the group of high-MELD recipients (≥30 points), has been reported. This paper presents comprehensive results following liver transplantation within the MELD era. Especially for the group of high-risk recipients, risk factors for impaired survival are presented and discussed.

Serum ferritin concentration and transferrin saturation before liver transplantation predict decreased long-term recipient survival

Serum ferritin (SF) concentration is a widely available parameter used to assess iron homeostasis. It has been described as a marker to identify high-risk patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT) but is also elevated in systemic immune-mediated diseases, metabolic syndrome, and in hemodialysis where it is associated with an inferior prognosis. This study analyzed whether SF is not only a predictor of liver-related mortality prior to LT but also an independent marker of survival following LT. In a dual-center, retrospective study, a cohort of 328 consecutive first-LT patients from Hannover Medical School, Germany (2003-2008, follow-up 1260 days), and 82 consecutive LT patients from Regensburg University Hospital, Germany (2003-2007, follow-up 1355 days) as validation cohort were analyzed. In patients exhibiting SF ≥365 μg/L versus <365 μg/L prior to LT, 1-, 3-, and 5-year post-LT survival was 73.3% versus 81.1%, 64.4% versus 77.3%, and 61.1% versus 74.4%, respectively (overall survival P = 0.0097), which was confirmed in the validation cohort (overall survival of 55% versus 83.3%, P = 0.005). Multivariate analyses identified SF ≥365 μg/L combined with transferrin saturation (TFS) <55%, hepatocellular carcinoma, and the survival after LT (SALT) score as independent risk factors for death. In patients with SF concentrations ≥365 μg/L and TFS <55%, overall survival was 54% versus 74.8% in the remaining group (P = 0.003). In the validation cohort, it was 28.6% versus 72% (P = 0.017), respectively.

CONCLUSION

SF concentration ≥365 μg/L in combination with TFS <55% before LT is an independent risk factor for mortality following LT. Lower TFS combined with elevated SF concentrations indicate that acute phase mechanisms beyond iron overload may play a prognostic role. SF concentration therefore not only predicts pre-LT mortality but also death following LT.

Hepatorenal syndrome: do the vasoconstrictors work?

The development of hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is related to many changes associated with advanced cirrhosis. Because vasoconstrictors correct systemic and splanchnic hemodynamic abnormalities, they are effective treatments for HRS, although only in approximately 40% of HRS patients. Emerging data show that combination treatment with vasoconstrictors and TIPS may yield better outcomes than either alone. All HRS patients should be assessed for liver transplantation. Reversing HRS before transplantation is associated with better long-term survival. Combined liver– kidney transplantation is indicated for those with irreversible kidney injury. Otherwise, there is some merit in performing a liver transplant first and only considering a kidney transplant later.

Impact of the MELD allocation after its implementation in liver transplantation

OBJECTIVE

On 16 December 2006, most Eurotransplant countries changed waiting time oriented liver allocation policy to the urgency oriented Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) system. There are limited data on the effects of this policy change within the Eurotransplant community.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 154 patients who had undergone deceased donor liver transplantation (LT) were retrospectively analyzed in three time periods: period A (1-year pre-MELD, n = 42) versus period B (1-year post-MELD, n = 52) versus period C (2 years after MELD implementation, n = 60).

RESULTS

The median MELD score at the time of LT increased from 16.3 points in period A to 22.4 and 20.4 in periods B and C, respectively (p = 0.007). Waitlist mortality decreased from 18.4% in period A to 10.4% and 9.4% in periods B and C, respectively (p = 0.015). Three-month mortality did not change significantly (10% each for periods A, B and C). One-year survival was 84% for the MELD 6-19 group compared with 81% in the MELD 20-29 group and 74% in the MELD ≥30 group (p = 0.823). Analyzing MELD score and previously described prognostic scores [i.e. survival after liver transplantation (SALT) score and donor-MELD (D-MELD) score] with regard to 1-year survival, only a high risk SALT score was predictive (p = 0.038). In our center, 2 years after implementation of the MELD system, waitlist mortality decreased, while 90-day mortality did not change significantly.

CONCLUSION

Up to now, only the SALT score proved to be of prognostic relevance post-transplant.

Association of preoperative parameters with postoperative mortality and long-term survival after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

The ability of Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) or Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores to predict recipient survival after liver transplantation is controversial. This analysis aims to identify preoperative parameters that might be associated with early postoperative mortality and long-term survival after liver transplantation.

METHODS

We studied a total of 15 parameters, using both univariate and multivariate models, among adults who underwent primary liver transplantation.

RESULTS

A total of 458 primary adult liver transplants were performed. Fifty-seven (12.44%) patients died during the first 3 postoperative months and composed the early mortality group. The remaining 401 patients composed the long-term patient survival group. The parameters that were identified through univariate analysis to be associated with early postoperative mortality were CTP score, MELD score, bilirubin, creatinine, international normalized ratio and warm ischemia time (WIT). In all multivariate models, WIT retained its statistical significance. The 10-year long-term survival was 65%. The parameters that were identified to be independent predictors of long-term survival were the recipient's sex (improved survival in women, p = 0.005), diagnosis of hepatocellular cancer (p=0.015) and recipient's age (p=0.024).

CONCLUSION

Either CTP or MELD score, in conjunction with WIT, might have a role in predicting early postoperative mortality after liver transplantation, whereas the recipient's sex and the absence of hepatocellular cancer are associated with improved long-term survival.

Management of refractory ascites and hepatorenal syndrome

One of the most common manifestations of the development of portal hypertension in the patient with cirrhosis is the appearance of ascites. Once ascites develops, the prognosis worsens and the patient becomes susceptible to complications such as bacterial peritonitis, hepatic hydrothorax, hyponatremia, and complications of diuretic therapy. As the liver disease progresses, the ascites becomes more difficult to treat and many patients develop renal failure. Most patients can be managed by diuretics which, when used correctly, will control the ascites. Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis can be treated effectively, but portends a worse prognosis. Once the ascites becomes refractory to diuretics, liver transplantation is the best option, although use of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts will control the ascites in many patients. Lastly, the development of hepatorenal syndrome indicates the patient's liver disease is advanced, and transplantation again is the best option. However, use of vasoconstrictors may improve renal function in some patients, helping in their management while they await a liver transplant.

Multivessel coronary artery disease predicts mortality, length of stay, and pressor requirements after liver transplantation

The optimal preoperative cardiac evaluation strategy for patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) undergoing liver transplantation remains unknown. Patients are frequently referred for cardiac catheterization, but the effects of coronary artery disease (CAD) on posttransplant mortality are also unknown. We sought to determine the contribution of CAD and multivessel CAD in particular to posttransplant mortality. We performed a retrospective study of ESLD patients undergoing cardiac catheterization before liver transplant surgery between August 1, 2004 and August 1, 2007 to determine the effects of CAD on outcomes after transplantation. Among 83 patients who underwent left heart catheterization, 47 underwent liver transplantation during the follow-up period. Twenty-one of all ESLD patients who underwent liver transplantation (45%) had CAD. Fifteen of the transplant patients with CAD (71%) had multivessel disease. Among transplant patients, the presence of multivessel CAD (versus no CAD) was predictive of mortality (27% versus 4%, P = 0.046), increased length of stay (22 versus 15 days, P = 0.050), and postoperative pressor requirements (27% versus 4%, P = 0.029). Interestingly, neither the presence of any CAD nor the severity of stenosis in any single coronary artery predicted mortality. Furthermore, none of the traditional clinical predictors (age, gender, diabetes, creatinine, ejection fraction, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score) were predictive of mortality among transplant recipients. In conclusion, multivessel CAD is associated with higher mortality after liver transplantation when it is documented angiographically before transplantation, even in the absence of severe coronary artery stenosis. This study provides preliminary evidence showing that there may be significant prognostic value in coronary angiography as a part of the pretransplant workup.

[Allocation problems in organ transplantation: practical medical experience]

Solid organ transplantation is one the most successful medical innovations of the 20th century. Due to an increasing number of patients on the waiting lists for transplantation in the context of persisting organ shortage the aim of optimal allocation policy is the best possible balance between medical urgency and postoperative outcome. Because of scientific evolution and increasing waiting list mortality the allocation system for liver transplantation was altered in December 2006. As intended, the preferential treatment of sicker patients resulted in a reduced waiting list mortality. On the other hand, an unintentional decrease in postoperative survival was observed. This obvious imbalance between medical urgency and postoperative outcome has led to the current allocation problem. Several scientific approaches for optimising allocation policy will be presented and discussed in this paper. Finally, continuous review and adaptation will be a persisting challenge for people working in the field of solid organ transplantation.

Sluggish decline in a post-transplant model for end-stage liver disease score is a predictor of mortality in living donor liver transplantation

Background

The pre-transplant model for end-stage liver disease (pre-MELD) score is controversial regarding its ability to predict patient mortality after liver transplantation (LT). Prominent changes in physical conditions through the surgery may require a post-transplant indicator for better mortality prediction. We aimed to investigate whether the post-transplant MELD (post-MELD) score can be a predictor of 1-year mortality.

Methods

Perioperative variables of 269 patients with living donor LT were retrospectively investigated on their association with 1-year mortality. Post-MELD scores until the 30th day and their respective declines from the 1st day post-MELD score were included along with pre-MELD, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores on the 1st post-transplant day. The predictive model of mortality was established by multivariate Cox's proportional hazards regression.

Results

The 1-year mortality rate was 17% (n = 44), and the leading cause of death was graft failure. Among prognostic indicators, only post-MELD scores after the 5th day and declines in post-MELD scores until the 5th and 30th day were associated with mortality in univariate analyses (P < 0.05). After multivariate analyses, declines in post-MELD scores until the 5th day of less than 5 points (hazard ratio 2.35, P = 0.007) and prolonged mechanical ventilation ≥24 hours were the earliest independent predictors of 1-year mortality.

Conclusions

A sluggish decline in post-MELD scores during the early post-transplant period may be a meaningful prognostic indicator of 1-year mortality after LT.

Multicentric evaluation of model for end-stage liver disease-based allocation and survival after liver transplantation in Germany--limitations of the 'sickest first'-concept

Since the introduction of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in 2006, post-orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) survival in Germany has declined. The aim of this study was to evaluate risk factors and prognostic scores for outcome. All adult OLT recipients in seven German transplant centers after MELD implementation (December 2006-December 2007) were included. Recipient data were analyzed for their influence on 1-year outcome. A total of 462 patients (mean calculated MELD = 20.5, follow-up: 1 year) were transplanted for alcoholic cirrhosis (33.1%), hepatocellular carcinoma (26.6%), Hepatitis-C (17.1%), Hepatitis-B (9.5%), primary sclerosing cholangitis (5.6%) and late graft-failure after first OLT before December 2006 (8.7%). 1-year patient survival was 75.8% (graft survival 71.2%) correlating with MELD parameters and serum choline esterase. MELD score >30 [odds ratio (OR) = 4.17, confidence interval: 2.57-6.78, 12-month survival = 52.6%, c-statistic = 0.669], hyponatremia (OR = 2.07), and pre-OLT hemodialysis (OR = 2.35) were the main death risk factors. In alcoholic cirrhosis (n = 153, mean MELD = 21.1) and hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 123, mean MELD = 13.5), serum bilirubin and the survival after liver transplantation score were independent outcome parameters, respectively. MELD >30 currently represents a major risk factor for outcome. Risk factors differ in individual patient subgroups. In the current German practice of organ allocation to sicker patients, outcome prediction should be considered to prevent results below acceptable standards.

Renal failure in patients with cirrhosis: hepatorenal syndrome and renal support strategies

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The development of hepatorenal syndrome in liver cirrhosis leads to an increased morbidity and mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Currently, there are no proven methods for the treatment or prevention of hepatorenal syndrome except to maintain adequate hemodynamics and intravascular volume in this patient population. These patients will frequently require renal replacement therapy when presenting for hepatic transplantation.

RECENT FINDINGS

New consensus definitions have been published in order to create uniform standards for classifying and diagnosing acute kidney injury. Two such groups are the Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative (ADQI) and the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN), which have proposed approaches to defining criteria for acute kidney injury. Recent literature supports not only the role of splanchnic vasodilation and systemic vasoconstriction but also heart failure in the pathogenesis of hepatorenal syndrome. The practice of using vasoconstrictor and intravenous albumin therapy for the treatment of hepatorenal syndrome is ongoing with a growing body of recent data supporting the use of vasopressin analogs as the first-line therapy in the ICU setting with knowledge of the possible cardiovascular side-effects.

SUMMARY

Hepatorenal syndrome, HRS, is a diagnosis of exclusion. There are two forms of hepatorenal syndrome: type 1 hepatorenal syndrome and type 2 hepatorenal syndrome. Type 1 HRS is rapidly progressive and portends a very poor prognosis and has a high mortality rate. Type 2 is more indolent while still associated with an overall poor prognosis. Treatment of HRS is largely still supportive. It is imperative to maintain euvolemia and hemodynamics in this patient population to optimize renal perfusion and preserve renal function. Renal replacement therapy may be necessary in this chronically ill patient population, if renal function deteriorates such that the kidneys cannot maintain metabolic and volume homeostasis. Further research is still necessary as to the prevention and effective treatment for hepatorenal syndrome.

Model of end stage liver disease (MELD) score greater than 23 predicts length of stay in the ICU but not mortality in liver transplant recipients

Introduction

The impact of model of end stage liver disease (MELD) score on postoperative morbidity and mortality is still elusive, especially for high MELD. There are reports of poorer patient outcome in transplant candidates with high MELD score, others though report no influence of MELD score on outcome and survival.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data of 144 consecutive liver transplant recipients over a 72-month period in our transplant unit, from January 2003 until December 2008 and performed uni- and multivariate analysis for morbidity and mortality, in particular to define the influence of MELD to these parameters.

Results

This study identified MELD score greater than 23 as an independent risk factor of morbidity represented by intensive care unit (ICU) stay longer than 10 days (odds ratio 7.0) but in contrast had no negative impact on mortality. Furthermore, we identified transfusion of more than 7 units of red blood cells as independent risk factor for mortality (hazard ratio 7.6) and for prolonged ICU stay (odds ratio [OR] 7.8) together with transfusion of more than 10 units of fresh frozen plasma (OR 11.6). Postoperative renal failure is a strong predictor of morbidity (OR 7.9) and postoperative renal replacement therapy was highly associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio 6.8), as was hepato renal syndrome prior to transplantation (hazard ratio 13.2).

Conclusions

This study identified MELD score greater than 23 as an independent risk factor of morbidity represented by ICU stay longer than 10 days but in contrast had no negative impact on mortality. This finding supports the transplantation of patients with high MELD score but only with knowledge of increased morbidity.

Prevalence and predictors of acute renal injury in liver transplant recipients

Renal failure is a major factor impacting liver transplant outcomes. Renal functional impairment predicts decreased survival, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence, risk factors, and resolution of acute kidney injury (AKI) among liver transplant recipients during the operative hospital stay. We analyzed data from 99 orthotopic liver transplantations (OLT) performed at our center in 2008. Posttransplantation occurrence of AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine (SCr) concentration of 0.3 mg/dL or more, namely, 1.5-fold from baseline. AKI was observed among 31.31% of liver transplant recipients (n = 31). The mean increase in SCr was 2.49 +/- 0.78-fold from baseline. The mean posttransplant SCr level was 2.59 +/- 0.92 mg/dL. Renal replacement therapy was introduced to 16.12% (n = 5) liver recipients developing AKI. Among them, 2 subjects (6.45%) died. The mean SCr level at the time of discharge from the hospital was 1.17 +/- 0.57 mg/dL among the AKI group compared with 0.77 +/- 0.32 mg/dL among the group without AKI. Pretransplant renal impairment expressed by an elevated SCr concentration (relative risk [RR] = 1.25; P = .0386) and treatment with exogenous vasoconstrictors during the operation (RR = 2.27; P = .016) were identified as risk factors for developing AKI after liver transplantation.

Extended bile duct resection and [corrected] liver and transplantation in patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma: long-term results

For patients with irresectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma, liver transplantation (LT) is currently being reassessed because of promising data for neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy. For increased radicality, hepatectomy in combination with pancreatic head resection [extended bile duct resection (EBDR)] was performed for irresectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma during our initial experience. EBDR and LT was performed in 16 patients between 1992 and 1998. No neoadjuvant or adjuvant treatment was performed. The Union Internationale Contre le Cancer stages were I (n = 6), IIA (5), IIB (3), and IV (2). To evaluate the suspected increase in surgical radicality, a matched pair analysis was performed with 8 patients undergoing LT for hilar cholangiocarcinoma without partial pancreatoduodenectomy. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year patient survival rates after EBDR were 63%, 38%, and 38%, respectively. Twelve patients died: 2 died because of postoperative complications, 8 died because of tumor recurrence, and 2 died while recurrence-free more than 10 years after transplantation. Among the 6 stage I patients, only 1 developed tumor recurrence, but 2 died because of postoperative complications. The following factors showed a trend toward inferior survival: distant metastases, positive lymph nodes, high carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels, and preoperative percutaneous transhepatic cholangiodrainage. When all lymph node-negative patients were considered after the exclusion of perioperative deaths, 10-year survival was 56%. In conclusion, the overall long-term survival was relatively low in our inhomogeneous cohort but favorable in patients without metastases. However, because of the increased perioperative mortality, EBDR is not recommended as a standard procedure for hilar cholangiocarcinoma instead of LT alone. To further improve the results, other approaches such as (neo)adjuvant therapy have to be increasingly investigated.