The role of surgery in patients aged 85 years or older with resectable gastric cancer: a propensity score matching analysis of the SEER database

A Prognostic Model for Survival in Patients with Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The objective of our study was to develop a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRCC).

METHODS

A total of 3,408 GSRCC patients between 1975 and 2017 were screened from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to identify independent prognostic factors for the construction of a nomogram. The performance of the model was then assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Then, the novel nomogram was further assessed by 64 GSRCC patients from our hospital as the external cohort.

RESULTS

We identified age, tumor lymph node metastasis (TNM) staging system, surgery, and chemotherapy as significant independent elements of prognosis. On this basis, a nomogram was constructed, with a C-index of OS in the training and validation cohorts of 0.763 (95% CI: 0.751-0.774) and 0.766 (95% CI: 0.748-0.784) and a C-index of CSS of 0.765 (95% CI: 0.753-0.777) and 0.773 (95% CI: 0.755-0.791), respectively. The AUCs of the nomogram for predicting 2- and 5-year OS were 0.848 and 0.885, respectively, and those for predicting CSS were 0.854 and 0.899, respectively, demonstrating the excellent predictive value of the constructed nomogram compared to the traditional AJCC staging system. Similar results were also observed in both the internal and external validation sets.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram provided an accurate tool to predict OS and CSS in patients with GSRCC, which can assist clinicians in making predictions about individual patient survival.

Changing trends in gastric and colorectal cancer among surgical patients over 85 years old: A multicenter retrospective study, 2001-2021

BACKGROUND

Whether patients over 85 years old with gastrointestinal cancer should undergo surgery remains controversial. We aimed to describe the changing trends of characteristics to provide more information to decision makers, and strive to find appropriate surgical plan.

AIM

To describe the changing trends of characteristics to provide more information to decision makers, and strive to find appropriate surgical plan.

METHODS

A total of 218 gastric cancer (GC) patients and 563 colorectal cancer (CRC) patients who underwent surgery between 2001 and 2021 were enrolled in this retrospective analysis. Changes in clinicopathological features, surgical treatments, and survival status were analyzed longitudinally at 5-year intervals.

RESULTS

Only 14 GC patients underwent laparoscopic surgery where 219 CRC patients had this procedure. Cardia and esophagogastric junction cancer increased in GC patients, and the proportion of sigmoid colon cancer decreased in CRC patients. Pulmonary infection gradually became the most common postoperative complication, its incidence in period 4 reached 48.79%. However, the incidence of anastomotic leakage decreased from 26.79% to 9.38% (P < 0.01). Additionally, 30-d mortality significantly decreased from 32.14% to 9.01%. Increases were observed in 5-year overall survival (OS) in GC patients from period 1 to period 4 (18.18% vs 33.32%, respectively) and CRC patients (0 vs 36.32%, respectively). Disease-free survival (DFS) also increased in GC and CRC patients (7.14% vs 27.74% and 0 to 36.03%, respectively). The average survival time of GC patients following radial lymphadenectomy was higher than in patients that underwent limited lymphadenectomy (26 vs 22 mo, respectively), the same was seen in CRC patients (44 vs 33 mo, respectively). This advantage was particularly evident in patients with TNM I, but not in patients with TNM II/III period cancer.

CONCLUSION

The safety as well as effectiveness of surgery in ultra-elderly patients is increasing. Radical lymphadenectomy has advantages in patients with TNM I gastrointestinal cancer, but not TNM II/III.

The outcome of young vs. old gastric cancer patients following gastrectomy: a propensity score matching analysis

Purpose

The purpose of the current study was to compare the postoperative complications, overall survival and disease-free survival in young and old gastric cancer patients after gastrectomy using propensity score matching (PSM).

Methods

Adult patients (aged ≥ 18 years) who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer in a single clinical center from January 2013 to December 2017 were enrolled continuously for retrospective analysis. To minimize the selection bias between the young and old groups, the PSM was conducted in this study.

Results

A total of 558 patients were included in this study, with 51 patients in the young group (aged ≤ 45 years) and 507 patients in the old group (aged > 45 years). After 1:1 matching according to PSM, 51 patients in the young group were matched to 51 patients in the old group. After PSM, there was no difference in the baseline information. In terms of short-term outcomes, no difference was found in operation time (P = 0.190), intraoperative blood loss (P = 0.336), retrieved lymph nodes (P = 0.948), blood transfusion (P = 0.339), postoperative hospital stay (P = 0.194), or postoperative complications (P = 0.477) between the two groups. For overall survival, no statistically significant difference was found in all stages (P = 0.383), stage I (P = 0.431), stage II (P = 0.875) or stage III (P = 0.446) gastric cancer. Furthermore, regarding disease-free survival, no differences were found between the two groups in all stages (P = 0.378), stage I (P = 0.431), stage II (P = 0.879) or stage III (P = 0.510) gastric cancer.

Conclusion

Age might not be an independent prognostic factor for short-term outcomes, OS, or DFS in gastric cancer patients who underwent gastrectomy. The pTNM stage of GC might be an independent prognostic factor for OS and DFS.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma: A Multicenter Population-Based Study

Background

Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRCC) is a rare disease associated with poor prognosis. A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated in this study to assess GSRCC patients’ overall survival (OS).

Methods

Patients diagnosed with GSRCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004–2016) and the First Hospital of China Medical University (CMU1h) were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Univariate and multivariate COX analysis was used to determine independent prognostic factors to construct the prognostic nomogram. Predictions were evaluated by the C-index and calibration curve. In addition, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier analysis were employed to assess the clinical utility of the survival prediction model.

Results

Patients were classified into two cohorts. We randomly divided patients in the SEER database and CMU1h cohort into a training group (n=3068, 80%) and a validation group (n=764, 20%). Age, race, T stage, N stage, M stage, therapy, and tumor size were significantly associated with the prognosis of GSRCC patients. On this basis, a nomogram was constructed, with a C-index in the training and the validation cohorts at 0.772 (95% CI: 0.762–0.782) and 0.774 (95% CI: 0.752–0.796), respectively. The accuracy of the generated nomogram was verified through calibration plots. Similarly, compared with the traditional AJCC staging system, the results of the area under curve (AUC) calculated by ROC, DCA, and Kaplan-Meier curves, demonstrated a good predictive value of the constructed nomogram, compared to the traditional AJCC staging system.

Conclusion

In the present study, seven independent prognostic factors of GSRCC were screened out. The established nomogram models based on seven variables provided a visualization of each prognostic factor’s risk and assisted clinicians in predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS of GSRCC.