A Bayesian multivariate partially linear single-index probit model for ordinal responses

Bayesian Index Models for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects on a Binary Outcome

This paper develops a Bayesian model with a flexible link function connecting a binary treatment response to a linear combination of covariates and a treatment indicator and the interaction between the two. Generalized linear models allowing data-driven link functions are often called "single-index models" and are among popular semi-parametric modeling methods. In this paper, we focus on modeling heterogeneous treatment effects, with the goal of developing a treatment benefit index (TBI) incorporating prior information from historical data. The model makes inference on a composite moderator of treatment effects, summarizing the effect of the predictors within a single variable through a linear projection of the predictors. This treatment benefit index can be useful for stratifying patients according to their predicted treatment benefit levels and can be especially useful for precision health applications. The proposed method is applied to a COVID-19 treatment study.

Bayesian Analysis of Partially Linear Additive Spatial Autoregressive Models with Free-Knot Splines

This article deals with symmetrical data that can be modelled based on Gaussian distribution. We consider a class of partially linear additive spatial autoregressive (PLASAR) models for spatial data. We develop a Bayesian free-knot splines approach to approximate the nonparametric functions. It can be performed to facilitate efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) tools to design a Gibbs sampler to explore the full conditional posterior distributions and analyze the PLASAR models. In order to acquire a rapidly-convergent algorithm, a modified Bayesian free-knot splines approach incorporated with powerful MCMC techniques is employed. The Bayesian estimator (BE) method is more computationally efficient than the generalized method of moments estimator (GMME) and thus capable of handling large scales of spatial data. The performance of the PLASAR model and methodology is illustrated by a simulation, and the model is used to analyze a Sydney real estate dataset.