Prognosis after surgery for gastric adenocarcinoma in the Swedish Gastric Cancer Surgery Study (SWEGASS)

PG I and PG II show unique value in diagnosing postoperative biochemical recurrence in patients with gastric cancer after total gastrectomy

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential of group I pepsinogen (PG I) and group II pepsinogen (PG II) as diagnostic markers for recurrence in gastric cancer (GC) patients post-total gastrectomy.

METHODS

Ninety-six patients who underwent total gastrectomy for GC between June 2022 and June 2023 were included in this study. Clinical data, serum samples, and ascites samples were collected. Patients were categorized based on recurrence status at the time of sample collection and the primary tumor site. PG I and PG II levels were determined using a chemiluminescent immunoassay, and their clinical utility following total gastrectomy for GC was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 96 GC patients who underwent total gastrectomy, 55 of whom experienced postoperative recurrence (57.29%). The levels of serum PG I (27.86 (27.04, 30.97) vs. 26.05 (24.16, 27.09) ng/mL; P < 0.0001) and PG II (1.95 (1.23, 3.05) vs. 0.63 (0.47, 0.90) ng/mL; P < 0.0001) were significantly greater in the recurrent group compared to the non-recurrent group. The secretion of PG I and/or PG II by metastatic cancer cells correlated with the primary lesion site. When the cut-off value for serum PG I was 26.93 ng/mL, the area under the curve (AUC) for PG I was 0.77. When the cut-off value for serum PG II was 0.96 ng/mL, the AUC reached 0.90. The combined AUC was 0.97.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that serum PG I and PG II are valuable biomarkers for identifying GC patients with biochemical recurrence post-total gastrectomy.

Epidemiology and prognostic nomogram for locally advanced gastric signet ring cell carcinoma: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC) represents a specific subtype of gastric cancer renowned for its contentious epidemiological features, treatment principles, and prognostic factors.

AIM

To investigate the epidemiology of GSRC and establish an improved model for predicting the prognosis of patients with locally advanced GSRC (LAGSRC) after surgery.

METHODS

The annual rates of GSRC incidence and mortality, covering the years 1975 to 2019, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to explore the temporal trends in both disease incidence and mortality rates using Joinpoint software. The clinical data of 3793 postoperative LAGSRC patients were collected from the SEER database for the analysis of survival rates. The Cox regression model was used to explore the independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). The risk factors extracted were used to establish a prognostic nomogram.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of GSRC increased dramatically between 1975 and 1998, followed by a significant downward trend in incidence after 1998. In recent years, there has been a similarly optimistic trend in GSRC mortality rates. The trend in GSRC showed discrepancies based on age and sex. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS demonstrated the high discriminative ability and clinical utility of this nomogram. The area under the curve indicated that the performance of the new model outperformed that of the pathological staging system.

CONCLUSION

The model we established can aid clinicians in the early prognostication of LAGSRC patients, resulting in improved clinical outcomes by modifying management strategies and patient health care.

Epidemiology and prognostic nomogram for locally advanced gastric signet ring cell carcinoma: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC) represents a specific subtype of gastric cancer renowned for its contentious epidemiological features, treatment principles, and prognostic factors.

AIM

To investigate the epidemiology of GSRC and establish an improved model for predicting the prognosis of patients with locally advanced GSRC (LAGSRC) after surgery.

METHODS

The annual rates of GSRC incidence and mortality, covering the years 1975 to 2019, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to explore the temporal trends in both disease incidence and mortality rates using Joinpoint software. The clinical data of 3793 postoperative LAGSRC patients were collected from the SEER database for the analysis of survival rates. The Cox regression model was used to explore the independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). The risk factors extracted were used to establish a prognostic nomogram.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of GSRC increased dramatically between 1975 and 1998, followed by a significant downward trend in incidence after 1998. In recent years, there has been a similarly optimistic trend in GSRC mortality rates. The trend in GSRC showed discrepancies based on age and sex. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS demonstrated the high discriminative ability and clinical utility of this nomogram. The area under the curve indicated that the performance of the new model outperformed that of the pathological staging system.

CONCLUSION

The model we established can aid clinicians in the early prognostication of LAGSRC patients, resulting in improved clinical outcomes by modifying management strategies and patient health care.

Statin use in relation to long-term survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma: a Swedish population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Studies have suggested that medication with statins improves survival in patients with gastric cancer, but methodological issues have limited the interpretability and prohibited conclusive results. We aimed to provide valid evidence as to whether statin use improves survival of gastric adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

This nationwide and population-based cohort study included virtually all patients who underwent curatively intended surgery (gastrectomy) for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden between 2006 and 2015 with follow-up throughout 2019 for disease-specific mortality and 2020 for all-cause mortality. Data came from medical records and national healthcare registries. The exposure was statin use during the year prior to gastrectomy which was compared to no such use during the same period. The outcomes were 5-year disease-specific mortality (main) and 5-year all-cause mortality (secondary). Multivariable Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusted for age, sex, education, calendar year, comorbidity, low-dose aspirin use, tumour sublocation, pathological tumour stage, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, annual surgeon volume, and surgical radicality.

RESULTS

Among 1515 participating patients, the mean age was 69 years and 58.4% were men. Statin use, identified in 399 (26.3%) patients, was not associated with any statistically significantly decreased 5-year disease-specific mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.82-1.21) or 5-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.79-1.12). No risk reductions were found across subgroups of age, sex, aspirin user status, or tumour stage, or in patients with long-term preoperative of postoperative use of statins, all with point estimates close to 1.

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative use of statins does not seem to improve the 5-year survival in patients who undergo gastrectomy with curative intent for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden.

Surgeon age in relation to patients' long-term survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma: nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Increasing surgeon age may influence patient outcomes after complex procedures due to gained experience but also decreased technical and cognitive abilities. This study aimed to clarify whether surgeon age influences patients' long-term survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

Population-based cohort study including all patients who underwent open and curatively intended gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma between 2006 and 2015 in Sweden, with follow-up throughout 2020. Surgeon age, categorized into three equal-sized groups (tertiles), was assessed in relation to 5-year all-cause mortality rate (main outcome) and 5-year disease-specific death (secondary outcome) using multivariable Cox regression adjusted for patient age, sex, education, co-morbidity, pathological tumour stage, tumour sublocation and neoadjuvant therapy. Lymph node yield, resection margin status, in-hospital complications and annual surgeon volume of gastrectomy were considered potential mediators.

RESULTS

Among 1647 patients, the 5-year all-cause mortality rate was increased for surgeon age ≥55 years (adjusted HR 1.21, 95% c.i. 1.04 to 1.41) and borderline elevated for age 47-54 years (HR 1.16, 95% c.i. 0.99 to 1.36), compared with age ≤46 years. Five-year disease-specific death was increased for surgeon age ≥55 years (HR 1.25, 95% c.i. 1.06 to 1.48) and 47-54 years (HR 1.22, 95% c.i. 1.02 to 1.44), compared with age ≤46 years. The associations attenuated and became statistically non-significant after adjustment for lymph node yield, resection margin status and complications.

CONCLUSION

Surgeon age ≥47 years might be associated with worse long-term survival in patients who undergo gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma, possibly mediated in part by differences in lymph node yield, resection margin status and complications.

Association of high-risk comorbidity with overall survival among patients with gastric cancer and its sex-specific differences in China: a retrospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Concomitant diseases often occur in cancer patients and are important in decision-making regarding treatments. However, information regarding the prognostic relevance of comorbidities for mortality risk is still limited among Chinese gastric cancer (GC) patients. This study aimed to investigate the association between comorbidities and 3-year mortality risk.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 376 GC patients undergoing radical gastrectomy at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University from January 2011 to December 2019. Demographic and clinicopathological information and treatment outcomes were collected. Patients were divided into low-, moderate- and high-risk comorbidity groups based on their Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and age-adjusted CCI (ACCI) scores. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression analyses were used to examine 3-year overall survival (OS) and mortality risk for each group.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 43.5 months, and 40.2% (151/376) of GC patients had died at the last follow-up. There were significant differences in OS rates between ACCI-based comorbidity groups (76.56; 64.51; 54.55%, log-rank P = 0.011) but not between CCI-based comorbidity groups (log-rank P = 0.16). The high-risk comorbidity group based on the ACCI remained a significant prognostic factor for 3-year OS in multivariate analysis, with an increased mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.99; 95% CI, 1.15-3.44). Subgroup analysis revealed that this pattern only held for male GC patients but not for female patients.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggested that high-risk comorbidities were significantly associated with a higher mortality risk, particularly in Chinese male GC patients. Moreover, the ACCI score was an independent prognostic factor of long-term mortality.

Gastrıc cancer surgery in elderly patients: promising results from a mid-western population

BACKGROUNDS

Extended resection for gastric cancer in elderly patients is still challenging for surgeons. This study aimed to evaluate the prognosis and the postoperative outcomes of elderly patients underwent gastric cancer surgery in a high-volume center.

METHODS

The medical records of patients with gastric cancer surgery at Marmara University Hospital's General Surgery Department were examined retrospectively. Patients were divided into two groups: Age ≤ 70 and Age > 70. The clinicopathological data of the patients were compared. The prognostic factors regarding gastric cancer surgery were analyzed with Cox proportional regression models. Kaplan Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to compare Overall Survival (OS) and Cancer-Specific Survival (CSS) among the groups. Competing risk regression analysis was used to examine cause-specific hazards among elderly patients.

RESULTS

The number of eligible patients was 250. Age > 70 group was 68 patients, and Age ≤ 70 group was 182 patients. There is no significant difference between the patient's demographics or pathological outcomes. Neoadjuvant therapies performed less in elderly patients [40 (22%) vs. 7 (10%), p: 0.03, respectively]. There was no significant difference in severe complication (≥ Grade III) rates in both groups. Multivariate analysis showed that advanced T stage and adjacent organ invasion were the independent risk factors for OS. No significant difference was observed between the groups regarding OS (Log Rank (Mantel-Cox): 0.102). Younger patients have worse CSS than those who are older. Cause-specific hazard model demonstrated a not increased hazard ratio [HR: 1.04(0.78-1.38)] for elderly patients for OS and CSS.

CONCLUSION

Gastric resections can be safely performed for elderly patients diagnosed with gastric cancer. This study showed that growing age is no longer a factor that will affect the clinician's decision in performing surgery in gastric cancer patients.

Surgeon proficiency gain and survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma: A population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Quality of surgery is essential for survival in gastric adenocarcinoma, but studies examining surgeons' proficiency gain of gastrectomies are scarce. This study aimed to reveal potential proficiency gain curves for surgeons operating patients with gastric cancer.

METHODS

Population-based cohort study of patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden between 2006 and 2015 with follow-up throughout 2020. Data were retrieved from national registries and medical records. Risk prediction models were used to calculate outcome probabilities, and risk-adjusted cumulative sum curves were plotted to assess differences (change points) between observed and expected outcomes. The main outcome was long-term (>3-5 years) all-cause mortality after surgery. Secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality within 30 days, 31-90 days, 91 days to 1 year and>1-3 years of surgery, resection margin status, and lymph node yield.

RESULTS

The study included 261 surgeons and 1636 patients. The>3- to 5-year mortality was improved after 20 cases, and decreased from 12.4% before to 8.6% after this change point (p = 0.027). Change points were suggested, but not statistically significant, after 22 cases for 30-day mortality, 28 cases for 31- to 90-day mortality, 9 cases for 91-day to 1-year mortality, and 10 cases for>1- to 3-year all-cause mortality. There were statistically significant improvements in tumour-free resection margins after 28 cases (p < 0.005) and greater lymph node yield after 13 cases (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals proficiency gain curves regarding long-term survival, resection margin status, and lymph node yield in gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma, and that at least 20 gastrectomies should be conducted with experienced support before doing these operations independently.

Use of 5α-reductase inhibitors and survival of oesophageal and gastric cancer in a nationwide Swedish cohort study

BACKGROUND

We hypothesised that the use of the anti-androgenic drug 5α-reductase inhibitors (5-ARIs) improves survival in patients with oesophago-gastric cancer.

METHODS

This nationwide Swedish population-based cohort study included men who underwent surgery for oesophageal or gastric cancer between 2006-2015, with follow-up until the end of 2020. Multivariable Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HR) for associations between 5-ARIs use and 5-year all-cause mortality (main outcome) and 5-year disease-specific mortality (secondary outcome). The HR was adjusted for age, comorbidity, education, calendar year, neoadjuvant chemo(radio)therapy, tumour stage, and resection margin status.

RESULTS

Among 1769 patients with oesophago-gastric cancer, 64 (3.6%) were users of 5-ARIs. Compared to non-users, users of 5-ARIs were not at any decreased risk of 5-year all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.79-1.63) or 5-year disease-specific mortality (adjusted HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.79-1.52). Use of 5-ARIs was not associated with any decreased risk of 5-year all-cause mortality in subgroup analyses stratified by categories of age, comorbidity, tumour stage, or tumour subtype (oesophageal or cardia adenocarcinoma, non-cardia gastric adenocarcinoma, or oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma).

CONCLUSION

This study did not support the hypothesis of improved survival among users of 5-ARIs after curatively intended treatment for oesophago-gastric cancer.

Weekday of gastrectomy and long-term survival in gastric adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Cancer surgery conducted late during the working week might decrease long-term survival for some tumours. Studies on how weekday of gastrectomy influences long-term survival following gastric cancer are few and show conflicting results, which prompted the present investigation.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study included almost all patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden between 2006 and 2015, with follow-up throughout 2020. Associations between weekday of gastrectomy and 5-year all-cause mortality (main outcome) and 5-year disease-specific mortality (secondary outcome) were analysed using multivariable Cox regression. The hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were adjusted for age, sex, education, comorbidity, pathological tumour stage, tumour sub-location, neoadjuvant therapy, annual surgeon volume of gastrectomy, and calendar year.

RESULTS

Among 1678 patients, surgery on Thursday-Friday was not associated with any statistically significantly increased risk of 5-year all-cause mortality (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.91-1.22) or 5-year disease-specific mortality (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.89-1.23) compared to Monday-Wednesday. No associations were found when each weekday was analysed separately, with point estimates close to 1.00 (range 0.98-1.00) Monday-Thursday, but increased for Friday (HR 1.22, 95% CI 0.89-1.68) when fewer patients underwent surgery (4% of all). Stratified analyses by age, comorbidity, tumour stage, neoadjuvant therapy, surgeon volume, and tumour sub-location did not reveal any associations between weekday of surgery on Thursday-Friday compared with Monday-Wednesday and risk of 5-year all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Weekday of gastrectomy might not influence the 5-year survival in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma.

Short-term postoperative outcomes of gastric adenocarcinoma patients treated with curative intent in low-volume centers

BACKGROUND

Quality standards in postoperative outcomes have not yet been defined for gastric cancer surgery. Also, the effect of centralization of gastric cancer surgery on the improvement of postoperative outcomes continues to be debated. Short-term postoperative outcomes in gastric carcinoma patients in centers with low-volume of annual gastrectomies were assessed. The effect of age on major postoperative morbidity and mortality was also analyzed.

METHODS

Patients with gastric or gastroesophageal junction Siewert III type carcinomas who underwent surgical treatment with curative intent between January 2013 and December 2016 were included. Data were obtained from the population-based surgical registry Esophagogastric Carcinoma Registry of the Comunitat Valenciana (RECEG-CV). The RECEG-CV gathers information on demographic characteristics and comorbidity, preoperative study and neoadjuvant treatment, surgical procedure, pathological study, postoperative outcomes, and follow-up. Seventeen hospitals belonging to the public network participated in this registry.

RESULTS

Data from 591 patients were analyzed. Postoperative major morbidity occurred in 154 (26.1%) patients. Overall 30-day or in-hospital mortality, and 90-day postoperative mortality rates were 8.6% and 10.1% respectively. Failure-to-rescue was 39% and it was significantly higher in patients aged 75 years or older in comparison with younger patients (55.3% vs 23.1% p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, age ≥ 75 years (p = 0.029), laparoscopic approach (p = 0.005), and total gastrectomy (p = 0.005) were associated with major postoperative morbidity. Age ≥ 75 years (p = 0.027), pulmonary complications (p = 0.001), cardiac complications (p = 0.001), leakage (p = 0.003), and hemorrhage (p = 0.013) were associated with postoperative mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Centralization of gastric adenocarcinoma treatment in centers with higher annual caseload should be considered to improve the short-term postoperative outcomes in low-volume centers. Patients aged 75 or older had a significantly increased risk of major postoperative morbidity and mortality, and higher failure-to-rescue.

Artificial Intelligence Mortality Prediction Model for Gastric Cancer Surgery Based on Body Morphometry, Nutritional, and Surgical Information: Feasibility Study

The objective of this study is to develop a mortality prediction model for patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery based on body morphometry, nutritional, and surgical information. Using a prospectively built gastric surgery registry from the Asan Medical Center (AMC), 621 gastric cancer patients, who were treated with surgery with no recurrence of cancer, were selected for the development of the prediction model. Input features (i.e., body morphometry, nutritional, surgical, and clinicopathologic information) were selected in the collected data based on the XGBoost analysis results and experts’ opinions. A convolutional neural network (CNN) framework was developed to predict the mortality of patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery. Internal validation was performed in split datasets of the AMC, whereas external validation was performed in patients in the Ajou University Hospital. Fifteen features were selected for the prediction of survival probability based on the XGBoost analysis results and experts’ suggestions. Accuracy, F1 score, and area under the curve of our CNN model were 0.900, 0.909, and 0.900 in the internal validation set and 0.879, 0.882, and 0.881 in the external validation set, respectively. Our developed CNN model was published on a website where anyone could predict mortality using individual patients’ data. Our CNN model provides substantially good performance in predicting mortality in patients undergoing surgery for gastric cancer, mainly based on body morphometry, nutritional, and surgical information. Using the web application, clinicians and gastric cancer patients will be able to efficiently manage mortality risk factors.

Annual surgeon and hospital volume of gastrectomy and gastric adenocarcinoma survival in a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

It is uncertain whether centralization of gastrectomy to fewer surgeons and larger centers improves survival in gastric adenocarcinoma in Western populations. The aim of this study was to examine if higher annual surgeon or hospital volumes of gastrectomy increase gastric adenocarcinoma survival in a population-based Swedish cohort.

METHODS

This study included almost all patients who underwent curatively intended gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden between 2006 and 2015 with follow-up throughout 2020. Data were collected from medical records and national registries. Annual surgeon and hospital volumes of gastrectomies were analyzed by categorization into four equal-sized groups and as continuous variables. The outcomes were 5-year all-cause mortality (main) and 5-year disease-specific mortality. Cox regression produced hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), adjusted for sex, age, education, comorbidity, pathological tumor stage, pre-operative therapy, calendar period, and mutually for hospital or surgeon volume.

RESULTS

The study included 1774 patients. Higher annual surgeon volume did not decrease the risk of 5-year all-cause mortality when comparing the highest and lowest quartiles (HR = 1.07, 95% CI 0.86-1.34) or when analyzed as a continuous variable (HR = 1.03, 95% 1.00-1.06). Higher annual hospital volume did not significantly decrease the risk of 5-year all-cause mortality (highest versus lowest quartiles: HR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.71-1.10; continuous variable: HR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.95-1.02). The results for 5-year disease-specific mortality were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

This study, mirroring routine clinical practices in an entire Western country, indicates that neither annual surgeon volume nor annual hospital volume of gastrectomy influences the long-term survival in gastric adenocarcinoma.

Aspirin use in relation to long-term survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Low-dose aspirin use may reduce cancer incidence and mortality, but its influence on gastric adenocarcinoma survival is unclear. This study aimed to assess whether aspirin use improves long-term survival following gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study included almost all patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden from 2006 to 2015, with follow-up throughout 2020. Preoperative exposure to a daily low-dose (75-160 mg) aspirin for 1 (main exposure), 2 and 3 years and for 1 year after gastrectomy was examined in relation to 5-year all-cause mortality (primary outcome) and disease-specific mortality. Multivariable Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusted for age, sex, education, calendar year, comorbidity, statin use, tumour location, tumour stage, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, surgeon volume of gastrectomy and surgical radicality.

RESULTS

Among 2025 patients, 545 (26.9%) used aspirin at the date of gastrectomy. Aspirin use within 1 year before surgery did not decrease the adjusted risk of 5-year all-cause mortality (HR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.85-1.13) or disease-specific mortality (HR = 1.00, 95% CI 0.86-1.17). Preoperative aspirin use for 2 years (HR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.84-1.15) or 3 years (HR = 0.94, 95% CI 0.79-1.12) did not decrease the risk of 5-year all-cause mortality. Patients remaining on aspirin during the first year after gastrectomy had a similar 5-year all-cause mortality as non-users of aspirin (HR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.82-1.25).

CONCLUSIONS

Low-dose aspirin use might not improve long-term survival after gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma and may thus not be a target for adjuvant therapy in this group of patients.