Prognostic value of peripheral blood markers in patients with myositis-associated interstitial lung diseases

Predicting the death of patients with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5-positive dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the risk factors for death in anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5-positive dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD).

METHODS

Studies were identified by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. We calculated pooled risk ratios (RRs) or standardized mean differences (SMDs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Twenty studies were selected. Factors that may increase death risk included older age (SMD: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.42-0.81), elevated Krebs von den Lungen-6 (SMD: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.47-0.86), lactate dehydrogenase (SMD: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.72-1.02), C-reactive protein (SMD: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.44-0.80), ferritin (SMD: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.71-1.15), creatine kinase (SMD: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.13-0.44), neutrophil (SMD: 0.34, 95% CI: 0.04-0.64), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (SMD: 0.52, 95% CI: 0.24-0.79), aspartate aminotransferase (SMD: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.45-0.94), shorter disease duration (SMD: -0.44, 95% CI: -0.67 to -0.21), rapidly progressive ILD (RR: 4.08, 95% CI: 3.01-5.54), fever (RR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.46-2.69), dyspnoea (RR: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.32-2.02), and anti-Ro52 antibody positive (RR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.11-1.49). Female (RR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.78-0.94), increased albumin (SMD: -1.20, 95% CI: -1.76 to -0.64), lymphocyte (SMD: -0.49, 95% CI: -0.67 to -0.30), and arthralgia (RR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.37-0.78) were protective factors.

CONCLUSION

Older age, shorter disease duration, rapidly progressive ILD, fever, dyspnoea, anti-Ro52 antibody positive, and some inflammatory markers were risk factors for death in patients with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5-positive dermatomyositis-associated ILD.

C-reactive protein as a candidate biomarker in fibrotic interstitial lung disease

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Roles of biomarkers in anti-MDA5-positive dermatomyositis, associated interstitial lung disease, and rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease

BACKGROUND

Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5)-positive dermatomyositis (MDA5⁺ DM) is significantly associated with interstitial lung disease (ILD), especially rapidly progressive ILD (RPILD) due to poor prognosis, resulting in high mortality rates. However, the pathogenic mechanism of MDA5⁺ DM-RPILD is unclear. Although some MDA5⁺ DM patients have a chronic course of ILD, many do not develop RPILD. Therefore, the related biomarkers for the early diagnosis, disease activity monitoring, and prediction of the outcome of RPILD in MDA5⁺ DM patients should be identified. Blood-based biomarkers are minimally invasive and can be easily detected.

METHODS

Recent relative studies related to blood biomarkers in PubMed were reviewed.

RESULTS

An increasing number of studies have demonstrated that dysregulated expression of blood biomarkers related to ILD such as ferritin, Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6), surfactant protein-D (SP-D), and cytokines, and some tumor markers in MDA5⁺ DM may provide information in disease presence, activity, treatment response, and prognosis. These studies have highlighted the great potentials of blood biomarker values for MDA5⁺ DM-ILD and MDA5⁺ DM-RPILD. This review provides an overview of recent studies related to blood biomarkers, besides highlighted protein biomarkers, including antibody (anti-MDA5 IgG subclasses and anti-Ro52 antibody), genetic (exosomal microRNAs and neutrophil extracellular traps related to cell-free DNA), and immune cellular biomarkers in MDA5⁺ DM, MDA5⁺ DM-ILD, and MDA5⁺ DM-RPILD patients, hopefully elucidating the pathogenesis of MDA5⁺ DM-ILD and providing information on the early diagnosis, disease activity monitoring, and prediction of the outcome of the ILD, especially RPILD.

CONCLUSIONS

Therefore, this review may provide insight to guide treatment decisions for MDA5⁺ DM-RPILD patients and improve outcomes.

A Matrix Prediction Model for the 6-Month Mortality Risk in Patients With Anti-Melanoma Differentiation-Associated Protein-5-Positive Dermatomyositis

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to investigate the baseline independent risk factors for predicting 6-month mortality of patients with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (anti-MDA5)-positive dermatomyositis (DM) and develop a matrix prediction model formed by these risk factors.

Methods

The hospitalized patients with DM who completed at least 6-month follow-up were recruited as a derivation cohort. The primary exposure was defined as positive anti-MDA5 at the baseline. The primary outcome was all-cause 6-month mortality after enrollment. A matrix prediction model was developed in the derivation cohort, and another published cohort was used for external validation.

Results

In derivation cohort, 82 patients with DM were enrolled (mean age of onset 50 ± 11 years and 63% women), with 40 (49%) showing positive anti-MDA5. Gottron sign/papules (OR: 5.135, 95%CI: 1.489–17.708), arthritis (OR: 5.184, 95%CI: 1.455–18.467), interstitial lung disease (OR: 7.034, 95%CI: 1.157–42.785), and higher level of C4 (OR: 1.010, 95%CI: 1.002–1.017) were the independent associators with positive anti-MDA5 in patients with DM. Patients with anti-MDA5-positive DM had significant higher 6-month all-cause mortality than those with anti-MDA5-negative (30 vs. 0%). Among the patients with anti-MDA5-positive DM, compared to the survivors, non-survivors had significantly advanced age of onset (59 ± 6 years vs. 46 ± 9 years), higher rates of fever (75 vs. 18%), positive carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA, 75 vs. 14%), higher level of ferritin (median 2,858 ug/L vs. 619 ug/L, all p < 0.05). A stepwise multivariate Cox regression showed that ferritin ≥1,250 μg/L (HR: 10.4, 95%CI: 1.8–59.9), fever (HR: 11.2, 95%CI: 2.5–49.9), and positive CEA (HR: 5.2, 95%CI: 1.0–25.7) were the independent risk factors of 6-month mortality. A matrix prediction model was built to stratify patients with anti-MDA5-positive DM into different subgroups with various probabilities of 6-month mortality risk. In an external validation cohort, the observed 6-month all-cause mortality was 78% in high-risk group, 43% in moderate-risk group, and 25% in low-risk group, which shows good accuracy of the model.

Conclusion

Baseline characteristics such as fever, ferritin ≥1,250 μg/L, and positive CEA are the independent risk factors for 6-month all-cause mortality in patients with anti-MDA5-positive DM. A novel matrix prediction model composed of these three clinical indicators is first proposed to provide a chance for the exploration of individual treatment strategies in anti-MDA5-positive DM subgroups with various probabilities of mortality risk.

Elevated spleen FDG uptake predicts unfavorable outcome in adult idiopathic-inflammatory-myopathy patients: a crisis beyond muscles

BACKGROUND

Idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM) is a group of autoimmune diseases that frequently leads to unfavorable outcome. This study aimed at identifying the clinical value of PET/CT scan in predicting the outcome of adult IIM patients.

METHODS

Adult IIM patients who were admitted to the four divisions of the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine (FAHZJU), from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2020, were retrospectively reviewed. PET/CT scan and other factors of IIM patients who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 69 adult IIM patients were finally enrolled into this study. Thirty cases (43.5%) of all the patients enrolled died in follow-up, and the medium follow-up time was 11.90 (4.00, 23.80) months. In particular, 14 patients died within 3 months. The univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses revealed pulmonary bacterial infection (P < 0.001), rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD, P = 0.018), maximum standard uptake value of spleen (spleen SUVmax, P = 0.002), and positivity of anti-MDA5 antibody (P = 0.041) were significantly related to survival in follow-up. The following multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis identified pulmonary bacterial infection (P = 0.003) and spleen SUVmax (P = 0.032) as factors significantly associated with survival of IIM-ILD patients. The subsequent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed SUVmax was comparably effective in predicting death within 3 months.

CONCLUSION

Spleen SUVmax and complication of pulmonary bacterial infection were significantly associated with survival of IIM patients. In addition, elevated spleen SUVmax was efficient in predicting unfavorable outcome of adult IIM patients. Key Points • IIM is a group of autoimmune diseases that frequently leads to unfavorable outcome • Complications of splenic SUVmax and pulmonary bacterial infection were significantly associated with survival in IIM patients.