The unit-inverse Gaussian distribution: A new alternative to two-parameter distributions on the unit interval

Epidemiological modeling of COVID-19 data with Advanced statistical inference based on Type-II progressive censoring

This research proposes the Kavya-Manoharan Unit Exponentiated Half Logistic (KM-UEHL) distribution as a novel tool for epidemiological modeling of COVID-19 data. Specifically designed to analyze data constrained to the unit interval, the KM-UEHL distribution builds upon the unit exponentiated half logistic model, making it suitable for various data from COVID-19. The paper emphasizes the KM-UEHL distribution's adaptability by examining its density and hazard rate functions. Its effectiveness is demonstrated in handling the diverse nature of COVID-19 data through these functions. Key characteristics like moments, quantile functions, stress-strength reliability, and entropy measures are also comprehensively investigated. Furthermore, the KM-UEHL distribution is employed for forecasting future COVID-19 data under a progressive Type-II censoring scheme, which acknowledges the time-dependent nature of data collection during outbreaks. The paper presents various methods for constructing prediction intervals for future-order statistics, including maximum likelihood estimation, Bayesian inference (both point and interval estimates), and upper-order statistics approaches. The Metropolis-Hastings and Gibbs sampling procedures are combined to create the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations because it is mathematically difficult to acquire closed-form solutions for the posterior density function in the Bayesian framework. The theoretical developments are validated with numerical simulations, and the practical applicability of the KM-UEHL distribution is showcased using real-world COVID-19 datasets.

Estimation methods based on ranked set sampling for the power logarithmic distribution

The sample strategy employed in statistical parameter estimation issues has a major impact on the accuracy of the parameter estimates. Ranked set sampling (RSS) is a highly helpful technique for gathering data when it is difficult or impossible to quantify the units in a population. A bounded power logarithmic distribution (PLD) has been proposed recently, and it may be used to describe many real-world bounded data sets. In the current work, the three parameters of the PLD are estimated using the RSS technique. A number of conventional estimators using maximum likelihood, minimum spacing absolute log-distance, minimum spacing square distance, Anderson-Darling, minimum spacing absolute distance, maximum product of spacings, least squares, Cramer-von-Mises, minimum spacing square log distance, and minimum spacing Linex distance are investigated. The different estimates via RSS are compared with their simple random sampling (SRS) counterparts. We found that the maximum product spacing estimate appears to be the best option based on our simulation results for the SRS and RSS data sets. Estimates generated from SRS data sets are less efficient than those derived from RSS data sets. The usefulness of the RSS estimators is also investigated by means of a real data example.

Properties, quantile regression, and application of bounded exponentiated Weibull distribution to COVID-19 data of mortality and survival rates

Well-known continuous distributions such as Beta and Kumaraswamy distribution are useful for modeling the datasets which are based on unit interval [0,1]. But every distribution is not always useful for all types of data sets, rather it depends on the shapes of data as well. In this research, a three-parameter new distribution named bounded exponentiated Weibull (BEW) distribution is defined to model the data set with the support of unit interval [0,1]. Some fundamental distributional properties for the BEW distribution have been investigated. For modeling dependence between measures in a dataset, a bivariate extension of the BEW distribution is developed, and graphical shapes for the bivariate BEW distribution have been shown. Several estimation methods have been discussed to estimate the parameters of the BEW distribution and to check the performance of the estimator, a Monte Carlo simulation study has been done. Afterward, the applications of the BEW distribution are illustrated using COVID-19 data sets. The proposed distribution shows a better fit than many well-known distributions. Lastly, a quantile regression model from bounded exponentiated Weibull distribution is developed, and its graphical shapes for the probability density function (PDF) and hazard function have been shown.

Unit upper truncated Weibull distribution with extension to 0 and 1 inflated model - Theory and applications

A two-parameter unit distribution and its regression model plus its extension to 0 and 1 inflation is introduced and studied. The distribution is called the unit upper truncated Weibull (UUTW) distribution, while the inflated variant is called the 0 - 1 inflated unit upper truncated Weibull (ZOIUUTW) distribution. The UUTW distribution has an increasing and a J-shaped hazard rate function. The parameters of the proposed models are estimated by the method of maximum likelihood estimation. For the UUTW distribution, two practical examples involving household expenditure and maximum flood level data are used to show its flexibility and the proposed distribution demonstrates better fit tendencies than some of the competing unit distributions. Application of the proposed regression model demonstrates adequate capability in describing the real data set with better modeling proficiency than the existing competing models. Then, for the ZOIUUTW distribution, the CD34+ data involving cancer patients are analyzed to show the flexibility of the model in characterizing inflation at both endpoints of the unit interval.

Inference and quantile regression for the unit-exponentiated Lomax distribution

In probability theory and statistics, it is customary to employ unit distributions to explain practical variables having values between zero and one. This study suggests a brand-new distribution for modelling data on the unit interval called the unit-exponentiated Lomax (UEL) distribution. The statistical aspects of the UEL distribution are shown. The parameters corresponding to the proposed distribution are estimated using widely recognized estimation techniques, such as Bayesian, maximum product of spacing, and maximum likelihood. The effectiveness of the various estimators is assessed through a simulated scenario. Using mock jurors and food spending data sets, the UEL regression model is demonstrated as an alternative to unit-Weibull regression, beta regression, and the original linear regression models. Using Covid-19 data, the novel model outperforms certain other unit distributions according to different comparison criteria.

The unit log-log distribution: a new unit distribution with alternative quantile regression modeling and educational measurements applications

In this paper, we propose a new distribution, named unit log-log distribution, defined on the bounded (0,1) interval. Basic distributional properties such as model shapes, stochastic ordering, quantile function, moments, and order statistics of the newly defined unit distribution are studied. The maximum likelihood estimation method has been pointed out to estimate its model parameters. The new quantile regression model based on the proposed distribution is introduced and it has been derived estimations of its model parameters also. The Monte Carlo simulation studies have been given to see the performance of the estimation method based on the new unit distribution and its regression modeling. Applications of the newly defined distribution and its quantile regression model to real data sets show that the proposed models have better modeling abilities than competitive models. The proposed unit quantile regression model has targeted to explain linear relation between educational measurements of both OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries and some non-members of OECD countries, and their Better Life Index. The existence of the significant covariates has been seen on the real data applications for the unit median response.

Classical and Bayesian Inference of the Inverse Nakagami Distribution Based on Progressive Type-II Censored Samples

This paper explores statistical inferences when the lifetime of product follows the inverse Nakagami distribution using progressive Type-II censored data. Likelihood-based and maximum product of spacing (MPS)-based methods are considered for estimating the parameters of the model. In addition, approximate confidence intervals are constructed via the asymptotic theory using both likelihood and product spacing functions. Based on traditional likelihood and the product of spacing functions, Bayesian estimates are also considered under a squared error loss function using non-informative priors, and Gibbs sampling based on the MCMC algorithm is proposed to approximate the Bayes estimates, where the highest posterior density credible intervals of the parameters are obtained. Numerical studies are presented to compare the proposed estimators using Monte Carlo simulations. To demonstrate the proposed methodology in a real-life scenario, a well-known data set on agricultural machine elevators with high defect rates is also analyzed for illustration.

The Unit Teissier Distribution and Its Applications

A bounded form of the Teissier distribution, namely the unit Teissier distribution, is introduced. It is subjected to a thorough examination of its important properties, including shape analysis of the main functions, analytical expression for moments based on upper incomplete gamma function, incomplete moments, probability-weighted moments, and quantile function. The uncertainty measures Shannon entropy and extropy are also performed. The maximum likelihood estimation, least square estimation, weighted least square estimation, and Bayesian estimation methods are used to estimate the parameters of the model, and their respective performances are assessed via a simulation study. Finally, the competency of the proposed model is illustrated by using two data sets from diverse fields.

SimBetaReg Web-Tool: The Easiest Way to Implement the Beta and Simplex Regression Models

When the response variable is defined on the (0,1) interval, the beta and simplex regression models are commonly used by researchers. However, there is no software support for these models to make their implementation easy for researchers. In this study, we developed a web-tool, named SimBetaReg, to help researchers who are not familiar with programming to implement the beta and simplex regression models. The developed application is free and works independently from the operating systems. Additionally, we model the incidence ratios of COVID-19 with educational and civic engagement indicators of the OECD countries using the SimBetaReg web-tool. Empirical findings show that when the educational attainment, years in education, and voter turnout increase, the incidence ratios of the countries decrease.

A collection of parametric modal regression models for bounded data

Modal regression is an alternative approach for investigating the relationship between the most likely response and covariates and can hence reveal important structure missed by usual regression methods. This paper provides a collection of parametric mode regression models for bounded response variable by considering some recently introduced probability distributions with bounded support along with the well-established Beta and Kumaraswamy distribution. The main properties of the distributions are highlighted and compared. An empirical comparison between the considered modal regression is demonstrated through the analysis of three data sets from health and social science. For reproducible research, the proposed models are freely available to users as an R package unitModalReg.

A New Quantile Regression for Modeling Bounded Data under a Unit Birnbaum–Saunders Distribution with Applications in Medicine and Politics

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling the relationship between a response variable and covariates using the quantile function. This work proposes a regression model for continuous variables bounded to the unit interval based on the unit Birnbaum–Saunders distribution as an alternative to the existing quantile regression models. By parameterizing the unit Birnbaum–Saunders distribution in terms of its quantile function allows us to model the effect of covariates across the entire response distribution, rather than only at the mean. Our proposal, especially useful for modeling quantiles using covariates, in general outperforms the other competing models available in the literature. These findings are supported by Monte Carlo simulations and applications using two real data sets. An R package, including parameter estimation, model checking as well as density, cumulative distribution, quantile and random number generating functions of the unit Birnbaum–Saunders distribution was developed and can be readily used to assess the suitability of our proposal.

On the Arcsecant Hyperbolic Normal Distribution. Properties, Quantile Regression Modeling and Applications

This work proposes a new distribution defined on the unit interval. It is obtained by a novel transformation of a normal random variable involving the hyperbolic secant function and its inverse. The use of such a function in distribution theory has not received much attention in the literature, and may be of interest for theoretical and practical purposes. Basic statistical properties of the newly defined distribution are derived, including moments, skewness, kurtosis and order statistics. For the related model, the parametric estimation is examined through different methods. We assess the performance of the obtained estimates by two complementary simulation studies. Also, the quantile regression model based on the proposed distribution is introduced. Applications to three real datasets show that the proposed models are quite competitive in comparison to well-established models.

On the Arcsecant Hyperbolic Normal Distribution. Properties, Quantile Regression Modeling and Applications

This work proposes a new distribution defined on the unit interval. It is obtained by a novel transformation of a normal random variable involving the hyperbolic secant function and its inverse. The use of such a function in distribution theory has not received much attention in the literature, and may be of interest for theoretical and practical purposes. Basic statistical properties of the newly defined distribution are derived, including moments, skewness, kurtosis and order statistics. For the related model, the parametric estimation is examined through different methods. We assess the performance of the obtained estimates by two complementary simulation studies. Also, the quantile regression model based on the proposed distribution is introduced. Applications to three real datasets show that the proposed models are quite competitive in comparison to well-established models.

Some New Facts about the Unit-Rayleigh Distribution with Applications

The unit-Rayleigh distribution is a one-parameter distribution with support on the unit interval. It is defined as the so-called unit-Weibull distribution with a shape parameter equal to two. As a particular case among others, it seems that it has not been given special attention. This paper shows that the unit-Rayleigh distribution is much more interesting than it might at first glance, revealing closed-form expressions of important functions, and new desirable properties for application purposes. More precisely, on the theoretical level, we contribute to the following aspects: (i) we bring new characteristics on the form analysis of its main probabilistic and reliability functions, and show that the possible mode has a simple analytical expression, (ii) we prove new stochastic ordering results, (iii) we expose closed-form expressions of the incomplete and probability weighted moments at the basis of various probability functions and measures, (iv) we investigate distributional properties of the order statistics, (v) we show that the reliability coefficient can have a simple ratio expression, (vi) we provide a tractable expansion for the Tsallis entropy and (vii) we propose some bivariate unit-Rayleigh distributions. On a practical level, we show that the maximum likelihood estimate has a quite simple closed-form. Three data sets are analyzed and adjusted, revealing that the unit-Rayleigh distribution can be a better alternative to standard one-parameter unit distributions, such as the one-parameter Kumaraswamy, Topp–Leone, one-parameter beta, power and transmuted distributions.

The unit extended Weibull families of distributions and its applications

In this paper, two new general families of distributions supported on the unit interval are introduced. The proposed families include several known models as special cases and define at least twenty (each one) new special models. Since the list of well-being indicators may include several double bounded random variables, the applicability for modeling those is the major practical motivation for introducing the distributions on those families. We propose a parametrization of the new families in terms of the median and develop a shiny application to provide interactive density shape illustrations for some special cases. Various properties of the introduced families are studied. Some special models in the new families are discussed. In particular, the complementary unit Weibull distribution is studied in some detail. The method of maximum likelihood for estimating the model parameters is discussed. An extensive Monte Carlo experiment is conducted to evaluate the performances of these estimators in finite samples. Applications to the literacy rate in Brazilian and Colombian municipalities illustrate the usefulness of the two new families for modeling well-being indicators.

Ionic channel blockage in stochastic Hodgkin-Huxley neuronal model driven by multiple oscillatory signals

Ionic channel blockage and multiple oscillatory signals play an important role in the dynamical response of pulse sequences. The effects of ionic channel blockage and ionic channel noise on the discharge behaviors are studied in Hodgkin-Huxley neuronal model with multiple oscillatory signals. It is found that bifurcation points of spontaneous discharge are altered through tuning the amplitude of multiple oscillatory signals, and the discharge cycle is changed by increasing the frequency of multiple oscillatory signals. The effects of ionic channel blockage on neural discharge behaviors indicate that the neural excitability can be suppressed by the sodium channel blockage, however, the neural excitability can be reversed by the potassium channel blockage. There is an optimal blockage ratio of potassium channel at which the electrical activity is the most regular, while the order of neural spike is disrupted by the sodium channel blockage. In addition, the frequency of spike discharge is accelerated by increasing the ionic channel noise, the firing of neuron becomes more stable if the ionic channel noise is appropriately reduced. Our results might provide new insights into the effects of ionic channel blockages, multiple oscillatory signals, and ionic channel noises on neural discharge behaviors.