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Solomon AW, Hooper PJ, Bangert M, Mwingira UJ, Bakhtiari A, Brady MA, Fitzpatrick C, Jones I, Kabona G, Kello AB, Millar T, Mosher AW, Ngondi JM, Nshala A, Renneker K, Rotondo LA, Stelmach R, Harding-Esch EM, Malecela MN. The Importance of Failure: How Doing Impact Surveys That Fail Saves Trachoma Programs Money. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2020; 103:2481-2487. [PMID: 33025878 PMCID: PMC7695084 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-0686] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Trachoma programs use annual antibiotic mass drug administration (MDA) in evaluation units (EUs) that generally encompass 100,000–250,000 people. After one, three, or five MDA rounds, programs undertake impact surveys. Where impact survey prevalence of trachomatous inflammation—follicular (TF) in 1- to 9-year-olds is ≥ 5%, ≥ 1 additional MDA rounds are recommended before resurvey. Impact survey costs, and the proportion of impact surveys returning TF prevalence ≥ 5% (the failure rate or, less pejoratively, the MDA continuation rate), therefore influence the cost of eliminating trachoma. We modeled, for illustrative EU sizes, the financial cost of undertaking MDA with and without conducting impact surveys. As an example, we retrospectively assessed how conducting impact surveys affected costs in the United Republic of Tanzania for 2017–2018. For EUs containing 100,000 people, the median (interquartile range) cost of continuing MDA without doing impact surveys is USD 28,957 (17,581–36,197) per EU per year, whereas continuing MDA solely where indicated by impact survey results costs USD 17,564 (12,158–21,694). If the mean EU population is 100,000, then continuing MDA without impact surveys becomes advantageous in financial cost terms only when the continuation rate exceeds 71%. For the United Republic of Tanzania in 2017–2018, doing impact surveys saved enough money to provide MDA for > 1,000,000 people. Although trachoma impact surveys have a nontrivial cost, they generally save money, providing EUs have > 50,000 inhabitants, the continuation rate is not excessive, and they generate reliable data. If all EUs pass their impact surveys, then we have waited too long to do them.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony W Solomon
- Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Pamela J Hooper
- Task Force for Global Health, International Trachoma Initiative, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Mathieu Bangert
- Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Upendo J Mwingira
- Neglected Tropical Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health, Community Development, Gender, Elderly and Children, Dodoma, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Ana Bakhtiari
- Task Force for Global Health, International Trachoma Initiative, Atlanta, Georgia
| | | | - Christopher Fitzpatrick
- Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Iain Jones
- Sightsavers, Haywards Heath, United Kingdom
| | - George Kabona
- Neglected Tropical Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health, Community Development, Gender, Elderly and Children, Dodoma, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Amir B Kello
- Expanded Special Project for Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa, Brazzaville, Congo
| | - Tom Millar
- Sightsavers, Haywards Heath, United Kingdom
| | - Aryc W Mosher
- United States Agency for International Development, Washington, District of Columbia
| | | | - Andreas Nshala
- Department of International Maternal and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, University of Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden.,IMA World Health, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Kristen Renneker
- Task Force for Global Health, International Trachoma Initiative, Atlanta, Georgia
| | | | | | - Emma M Harding-Esch
- Clinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Mwelecele N Malecela
- Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
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