Progesterone, progesterone/estradiol and ART outcomes in day-5 transfer cycles

Predictive Role of Progesterone Levels for IVF Outcome in Different Phases of Controlled Ovarian Stimulation for Patients With and Without Endometriosis: Expert View

The study aimed to review the role of basal, trigger, and aspiration day progesterone levels (PLs) as predictors of in vitro fertilization (IVF) success for patients with and without endometriosis. A non-systematic review was conducted by searching papers published in English during the period of 1990-2023 in MEDLINE and PubMed, Embase, The Cochrane Library (Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Methodology Register), and Web of Science. The most widely used IVF predictor success was the trigger day progesterone serum level. Many studies utilize the threshold level of 1.5-2.0 ng/ml. However, the predictive power of only progesterone level failed to show high sensitivity and specificity. Contrary, progesterone level on the trigger day combined with the number of mature retrieved oocytes had the highest predictive power. High baseline progesterone level was associated with poor IVF outcomes. Research on progesterone and IVF success in patients with endometriosis is limited but indicates that endometriosis patients seem to benefit from higher progesterone concentrations (≥ 37.1 ng/ml) in IVF cycles. Currently, there is limited data for a definitive insight into the mportance of progesterone in the estimation of IVF success. Nonetheless, this summarized evidence could serve as up-to-date guidance for the role of progesterone in the prediction of IVF outcomes, both in patients with and without endometriosis.

Proof of concept use of progesterone/estradiol ratio to investigate late follicular progesterone in women with low number of preovulatory follicles

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate late follicular progesterone (P) serum levels in women with a low number of preovulatory follicles in the assisted reproductive technologies (ART) setting.

METHODS

Fifty-five consecutive women having four or fewer preovulatory follicles of >14 mm on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) administration were prospectively evaluated. Spearman correlation tests were performed between serum estradiol (E2) level, serum P level, P/E2 ratio, number of preovulatory follicles, oocytes and embryos. Women enrolled were further divided into two groups in accordance with the P/E2 ratio on the day of hCG administration and compared.

RESULTS

Serum E2 level correlated positively with P serum level (rs=0.36, P<0.01), number of mature follicles (rs=0.50, P<0.01) and number of oocytes retrieved (rs=0.36, P<0.05), whereas negatively with P/E2 ratio (rs=- 0.68, P<0.01). Likewise, number of preovulatory follicles correlated positively with E2 level (rs=0.50, P<0.01), P level (rs=0.27, P<0.05) and number of oocytes retrieved (rs=0.33, P<0.05), while it correlated negatively with P/E2 ratio (rs=-0.33, P<0.05). Furthermore, women with P/E2 ratio >1 on the day of hCG administration received considerably higher total follicular stimulating hormone (FSH) dosage and achieved significantly lower number of oocytes and embryos as compared to controls.

CONCLUSIONS

The reverse relationship between number of preovulatory follicles and P/E2 ratio implies that P rise is not only the result of increased steroidogenic activity, but other oocyte-follicle disrupted mechanisms seem to be involved. An exaggerated FSH stimulation appears to disrupt further these mechanisms.

Risk factors related to early pregnancy loss in fresh IVF/ICSI: An analysis of 954 embryo transfer cycles

Early pregnancy loss (EPL) is a common complication of assisted reproductive technology treatment; however, the exact factors involved in EPL are not fully understood. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for EPL in fresh in vitro fertilization (IVF) or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles. This retrospective cohort study was conducted on all couples who underwent clinical pregnancy in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles from January to December 2019 at a single large reproductive medical center. In total, 954 cycles were included in this study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate relevant risk factors for EPL. Curve fitting and threshold analyses were used to explore the association between risk factors and EPL. Compared with women with a normal total antral follicle count (AFC) (≥10, <15), those with a low AFC (<10) had a higher risk of EPL (odds ratio 2.97, 95% confidence interval: 1.38-6.38, P < .05). Patients with an estradiol/progesterone ratio (E2/P) ≥ 1.1 had significantly lower odds of EPL than women with E2/P < 1.1 (odds ratio 0.51, 95% confidence interval 0.28-0.91, P < .05). E2/P and serum human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) levels negatively correlated with EPL. By using a 2-piecewise regression model, the inflection point of serum hCG level was 599.9 IU/L. Our results showed that lower AFC, E2/P, and serum hCG levels were associated with a higher EPL risk in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles.

Effects of Elevated Progesterone Levels on the Day of hCG on the Quality of Oocyte and Embryo

This study is designed to investigate the effects of increased progesterone (P4) levels on the quality of retrieved oocytes and embryos during IVF. This retrospective analysis included 982 all-freezing in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles (conducted between November 2019 and June 2020 at CHA Fertility Center Bundang, South Korea) in which serum P4 levels were measured on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) administration. Our study revealed that the serum P4 levels on the day of hCG administration are strongly associated with the rates of oocyte maturation, displaying a positive correlation in patients with serum P4 < 2.25 ng/mL (p = 0.025). Moreover, patients with serum P4 < 1.25 ng/mL showed relatively low fertilization rates (p = 0.037), and the rates of good embryo retrieval were significantly increased with the serum P4 level < 1.5 ng/mL (p = 0.001). Interestingly, serum P4 level on the day of hCG administration affects the rate of good-quality embryo development, especially at the cleavage stage, and is associated with the status of ovarian responses. Our current study suggests that serum P4 level on the day of hCG administration negatively affects the rates of oocyte maturation, fertilization, and the development of good embryos.

Effect and Role of miR-196b in Ectopic Pregnancy

Ectopic pregnancy (EP) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, but the molecular mechanism of this condition is still unclear. miR-196b, a hot research direction for the past few years, participates in the occurrence of various diseases but whether it plays a regulatory role in EP is still unclear. This research was set to investigate the expression and potential value of miR-196b in EP. qRT-PCR was utilized to determine the relative expression of miR-196b in peripheral blood of EP patients and to observe the expression changes of miR-196b before and after treatment. Correlation analysis of miR-196b with HCG and progesterone was performed. Logistic regression analysis was applied to independent risk factors affecting EP patients. TargetScan was utilized to predict the downstream target genes of miR-196b, and GO and KEGG analysis was carried out using the R language pack. qRT-PCR showed that miR-196b expression in peripheral blood of EP patients was lower than that of normal people. miR-196b expression in patients after treatment was notably higher than that before treatment. In addition, correlation analysis showed that miR-196b was positively correlated with the expression of HCG, progesterone, and estradiol. Risk factor analysis revealed that abortion history, pelvic inflammatory disease history, lower abdominal surgery history, and miR-196b were independent risk factors for EP, and the AUC of the combined ROC curve was 0.899. GO function enrichment and KEGG signal pathway enrichment found 10 potential functions and 2 potential signal pathways of miR-196b. miR-196b is expressed in EP patients, is differentially expressed according to the change in EP condition, and is expected to become a promising index for clinical diagnosis of EP.

Exploration of the value of progesterone and progesterone/estradiol ratio on the hCG trigger day in predicting pregnancy outcomes of PCOS patients undergoing IVF/ICSI: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a common endocrine disorder with the disorders of estrogen(E2) and progesterone(P) secretion. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between the progesterone level or progesterone/estradiol(P/E2) ratio on human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) trigger day and the outcome of in vitro fertilization in PCOS patients and explore the value of progesterone and P/E2 ratio for predicting the clinical pregnancy.

METHODS

The clinical data of 1254 PCOS patients who satisfied the inclusion criteria were retrospectively analyzed, including baseline characteristics such as age, body mass index, basal sex hormone levels, et al., as well as ovarian stimulation data and clinic outcome.

RESULTS

The number of follicles larger than 14 mm in diameter (P < 0.001) and retrieved oocytes (P < 0.001) was greater in the high progesterone group (progesterone ≥ 0.92 ng/mL). In the high P/E2 group(P/E2 ratio ≥ 0.3), the number of follicles larger than 14 mm in diameter (P < 0.001) and retrieved oocytes (P < 0.001), as well as the rate of high-quality embryos (P = 0.040) were significantly decreased. In ultralong GnRH agonist protocol, the implantation rate(P < 0.001), hCG positive rate (P < 0.001), clinical pregnancy rate (P < 0.001) and live birth rate (P < 0.001) were all significantly higher than long GnRH agonist protocol and GnRH antagonist protocol. The clinical pregnancy rate of high progesterone group was significantly lower than that of low progesterone group in ultralong GnRH agonist (P = 0.008). The progesterone level could be used as an indicator to predict the positive clinical pregnancy (long GnRH agonist: P = 0.001; ultralong GnRH agonist: P < 0.001) except in cycles using GnRH antagonist (P = 0.169). In the ultralong GnRH agonist, the value of progesterone level in the prediction of clinical pregnancy was significantly higher than that of the P/E2 ratio (P = 0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

In PCOS patients, the progesterone level is associated with clinical pregnancy rate while P/E2 ratio is not. In subgroup analysis using three different COS protocols, a significant association between progesterone level and clinical pregnancy rate can be observed in the long GnRH agonist protocol and ultralong GnRH agonist protocol. The progesterone level is significantly better than the P/E2 ratio in predicting the pregnancy outcome of PCOS patients, especially in ultralong GnRH agonist cycles.

Effect of progesterone on hCG day-to-basal progesterone ratio on live birth rate in long agonist fresh IVF/ICSI cycles: a 5-year, single-center study of more than 10,000 cycles

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the ratio of the serum progesterone level on the day of human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) administration to the basal serum progesterone level (P_hCG/P_basal) is a predictor of pregnancy outcome during in vitro fertilization (IVF).

METHODS

A total of 12,708 cycles were performed in 9747 patients between 19 and 36 years of age who were undergoing controlled ovarian stimulation from October 2011 to July 2016 for their first or second attempts at IVF followed by fresh embryo transfer (ET). hCG was administered 36 h before oocyte retrieval to trigger final oocyte maturation. The serum progesterone level was measured on menstrual cycle days 2-4 (basal progesterone, P_basal) and on the day of hCG administration (P_hCG). P_hCG/P_basal was calculated. Live birth rates were compared among various ordinal P_hCG/P_basal intervals (< 0.5, 0.5-1.0, 1.0-1.5, 1.5-2.0, 2.0-2.5, > 2.5).

RESULTS

The average age of the patients recruited was 29.9 years. The average basal progesterone level was 0.8 ng/ml, while the average progesterone level on the day of hCG administration was 0.9 ng/ml. The live birth rates (according to the abovementioned ordinal P_hCG/P_basal intervals) were 47.3, 49.9, 47.8, 46.3, 45.5 and 44.0%, respectively. The live birth rates were significantly higher for patients with P_hCG/P_basal between 0.5-1.0 (OR = 1.14, 95% CI, 1.02-1.27, p = .02).

CONCLUSIONS

P_hCG/P_basal between 0.5-1.0 predicts a higher live birth rate in IVF. Both P_hCG/P_basal and P on hCG day is less predictive value for predicting live birth rate.

Progesterone/Oestradiol ratio can Better Predict Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection Outcomes than Absolute Progesterone Level

Background:

Several parameters were proposed to predict the impact of premature luteinization on intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) outcomes such as isolated progesterone (P) level, progesterone to oocyte ratio, and progesterone/estradiol ratio (P/E2).

Aim:

The aim of this study is to compare the predictive value of P/E2 ratio and isolated P level on the ovulation triggering day for pregnancy outcomes in fresh GnRH antagonist ICSI cycles.

Settings and Design:

A retrospective cohort study conducted in a university-affiliated in vitro fertilization center between January 2017 and April 2019.

Methods:

The study included women who underwent their first- or second-ranked GnRH antagonist ICSI cycles with day-3 embryo transfer. P/E2 ratio was calculated as (P [ng/mL] × 1000)/E2 (pg/mL). Cutoff values of ≥1.5 ng/ml for high P (HP) and ≥0.55 for HP/E2 ratio were chosen based on the literature.

Statistical Analysis:

A receiver operating curve was performed to detect the predictability of serum P/E2 and P for the ongoing pregnancy rate. First, patients were divided according to either P level (low P < 1.5 ng/mL and HP ≥1.5 ng/mL) or P/E2 ratio (low P/E2 <0.55 and HP/E2 ≥ 0.55). Patients were further divided into four subgroups: (Group A: HP and HP/E2 ratio, Group B: low P and low P/E2 ratio, Group C: HP only, and Group D: HP/E2 only). A multivariate regression analysis models were used to account for the effect of the cycle confounders on the likelihood of pregnancy.

Results:

A total of 402 ICSI cycles were analyzed. The area under the curve was 0.67 and 0.59 for P/E2 and P, respectively. P/E2 showed a significant association with ongoing pregnancy (adjusted odds ratios [aOR]: 0.409, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.222–0.753, P = 0.004) while HP revealed no significant predictive value (aOR: 0.542, 95% CI 0.284–1.036, P = 0.064) after the multivariate analysis.

Conclusions:

P elevation may not present as an independent predictor for cycle outcomes. P/E2 ratio has a better prognostic value than P alone in predicting pregnancy of GnRH antagonist cycles.

Revisiting debates of premature luteinization and its effect on assisted reproductive technology outcome

The impact of the prematurely elevated serum progesterone on the late follicular phase, commonly known as premature luteinization (PL), is a matter of continuing debate. Available evidence supports that serum progesterone ≥ 1.5 ng/ml on the day of ovulation triggering could reduce the pregnancy potential in fresh in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles by jeopardizing endometrial receptivity. Causes of PL during ovarian stimulation are unclear. Recent studies point toward the daily follicle-stimulating hormone dosage, duration of controlled ovarian stimulation, number of oocytes retrieved, and peak estradiol level as factors affecting the incidence of PL. Emerging data show additional influence on embryo quality. The prevention of PL has been challenging. The key elements in preventing PL include individualization of ovarian stimulation according to patient's ovarian reserve, proper ovulation trigger timing, and use of medications such as corticosteroids and metformin. Embryo cryopreservation with deferred embryo transfer is the established strategy to overcome PL, yet it is an extra burden to the IVF laboratory and increased cost for patients. Herein, we review the up-to-date knowledge of this frequent IVF problem including causes, proposed diagnostic criteria, and its impact on endometrial receptivity, embryo quality, and pregnancy outcomes. The preventive measures and rescue strategies are also discussed.

The role of progesterone/estradiol ratio in exploring the mechanism of late follicular progesterone elevation in low ovarian reserve women

Late follicular progesterone (P) elevation continues to complicate a significant part of assisted reproductive technologies (ART) cycles, despite the ardent employment of gonadotropin releasing hormone (GnRH) analogues. In women with good ovarian reserve, late follicular P elevation is believed to be the result of the controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) itself, multiple follicular development and excessive ovarian steroidogenic activity. These mechanisms do not seem to be plausible in women with low ovarian reserve. In these women, excessive COS achieve a small number of pre-ovulatory follicles, which is not coupled to considerable ovarian steroidogenic activity. Therefore, other mechanisms should be pursued and explored. Delicate paracrine and autocrine mechanisms within the oocyte-cumulus complex were suggested to preserve the integrity of the pre-ovulatory follicle, including inhibition of P increase and follicular luteinization. However, clinical studies to demonstrate the disruption of these mechanisms in cases with low ovarian reserve and ageing oocytes are still lacking. Late follicular progesterone/estradiol (P/E₂) ratio was introduced into clinical practice as a more appropriate way to analyze P rise in women undergoing COS to control for the E₂ increase. The current hypothesis claims that in a follicular environment were the mechanism that prevent premature luteinization is disrupted, independent to LH surge; P rise at the late follicular phase may relatively bypass normal E₂ production, at the pre-ovulatory stage of steroidogenesis, causing a rise in the P/E₂ ratio. Therefore, in women with low ovarian reserve and few pre-ovulatory follicles, undergoing conventional COS, a negative (reverse) correlation between number of maturing follicles and P/E₂ ratio may support the existence of such a mechanism as its disruption, while a no or a positive correlation may disapprove it.

The curious case of premature luteinization

PURPOSE

Premature luteinization (PL) affects 12.3-46.7% of fresh in vitro fertilization cycles, and there is accumulating evidence confirming its negative effect on success rates. However, despite its clinical significance, PL is poorly understood and defined. This narrative review aims to provide a fresh look at the phenomenon of PL by summarizing the existing evidence and re-evaluating fundamental issues.

METHODS

A thorough electronic search was conducted covering the period from 1978 until January 2018 in PubMed, Embase, and Medline databases, and references of relevant studies were cross-checked. Meeting proceedings of the European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology and the American Society for Reproductive Medicine were also hand searched.

RESULTS

In the curious case of PL, one should go back to the beginning and re-consider every step of the way. The pathogenesis, definition, measurement methods, clinical implications, and management strategies are discussed in detail, highlighting controversies and offering "food for thought" for future directions.

CONCLUSIONS

Authors need to speak the same language when studying PL in order to facilitate comparisons. The terminology, progesterone cut-off, measurement methods and days of measurement should be standardized and globally accepted; otherwise, there can be no scientific dialog. Future research should focus on specific patient profiles that may require a tailored approach. Progesterone measurements throughout the follicular phase possibly depict the progesterone exposure better than an isolated measurement on the day of hCG. Adequately powered randomized controlled trials should confirm which the best prevention and management plan of PL is, before introducing any strategy into clinical practice.