A Modified Random Survival Forests Algorithm for High Dimensional Predictors and Self-Reported Outcomes

Individual mortality risk predictive system of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure based on a random survival forest model

Background:

The basis of individualized treatment should be individualized mortality risk predictive information. The present study aimed to develop an online individual mortality risk predictive tool for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients based on a random survival forest (RSF) algorithm.

Methods:

The current study retrospectively enrolled ACLF patients from the Department of Infectious Diseases of The First People's Hospital of Foshan, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University, and Jiangmen Central Hospital. Two hundred seventy-six consecutive ACLF patients were included in the present study as a model cohort (n = 276). Then the current study constructed a validation cohort by drawing patients from the model dataset based on the resampling method (n = 276). The RSF algorithm was used to develop an individual prognostic model for ACLF patients. The Brier score was used to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of prognostic models. The weighted mean rank estimation method was used to compare the differences between the areas under the time-dependent ROC curves (AUROCs) of prognostic models.

Results:

Multivariate Cox regression identified hepatic encephalopathy (HE), age, serum sodium level, acute kidney injury (AKI), red cell distribution width (RDW), and international normalization index (INR) as independent risk factors for ACLF patients. A simplified RSF model was developed based on these previous risk factors. The AUROCs for predicting 3-, 6-, and 12-month mortality were 0.916, 0.916, and 0.905 for the RSF model and 0.872, 0.866, and 0.848 for the Cox model in the model cohort, respectively. The Brier scores were 0.119, 0.119, and 0.128 for the RSF model and 0.138, 0.146, and 0.156 for the Cox model, respectively. The nonparametric comparison suggested that the RSF model was superior to the Cox model for predicting the prognosis of ACLF patients.

Conclusions:

The current study developed a novel online individual mortality risk predictive tool that could predict individual mortality risk predictive curves for individual patients. Additionally, the current online individual mortality risk predictive tool could further provide predicted mortality percentages and 95% confidence intervals at user-defined time points.

Potential Prognostic Immune Biomarkers of Overall Survival in Ovarian Cancer Through Comprehensive Bioinformatics Analysis: A Novel Artificial Intelligence Survival Prediction System

Background: The tumour immune microenvironment plays an important role in the biological mechanisms of tumorigenesis and progression. Artificial intelligence medicine studies based on big data and advanced algorithms are helpful for improving the accuracy of prediction models of tumour prognosis. The current research aims to explore potential prognostic immune biomarkers and develop a predictive model for the overall survival of ovarian cancer (OC) based on artificial intelligence algorithms.

Methods: Differential expression analyses were performed between normal tissues and tumour tissues. Potential prognostic biomarkers were identified using univariate Cox regression. An immune regulatory network was constructed of prognostic immune genes and their highly related transcription factors. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify potential independent prognostic immune factors and develop a prognostic model for ovarian cancer patients. Three artificial intelligence algorithms, random survival forest, multitask logistic regression, and Cox survival regression, were used to develop a novel artificial intelligence survival prediction system.

Results: The current study identified 1,307 differentially expressed genes and 337 differentially expressed immune genes between tumour samples and normal samples. Further univariate Cox regression identified 84 prognostic immune gene biomarkers for ovarian cancer patients in the model dataset (GSE32062 dataset and GSE53963 dataset). An immune regulatory network was constructed involving 63 immune genes and 5 transcription factors. Fourteen immune genes (PSMB9, FOXJ1, IFT57, MAL, ANXA4, CTSH, SCRN1, MIF, LTBR, CTSD, KIFAP3, PSMB8, HSPA5, and LTN1) were recognised as independent risk factors by multivariate Cox analyses. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that these 14 prognostic immune genes were closely related to the prognosis of ovarian cancer patients. A prognostic nomogram was developed by using these 14 prognostic immune genes. The concordance indexes were 0.760, 0.733, and 0.765 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival, respectively. This prognostic model could differentiate high-risk patients with poor overall survival from low-risk patients. According to three artificial intelligence algorithms, the current study developed an artificial intelligence survival predictive system that could provide three individual mortality risk curves for ovarian cancer.

Conclusion: In conclusion, the current study identified 1,307 differentially expressed genes and 337 differentially expressed immune genes in ovarian cancer patients. Multivariate Cox analyses identified fourteen prognostic immune biomarkers for ovarian cancer. The current study constructed an immune regulatory network involving 63 immune genes and 5 transcription factors, revealing potential regulatory associations among immune genes and transcription factors. The current study developed a prognostic model to predict the prognosis of ovarian cancer patients. The current study further developed two artificial intelligence predictive tools for ovarian cancer, which are available at https://zhangzhiqiao8.shinyapps.io/Smart_Cancer_Survival_Predictive_System_17_OC_F1001/ and https://zhangzhiqiao8.shinyapps.io/Gene_Survival_Subgroup_Analysis_17_OC_F1001/. An artificial intelligence survival predictive system could help improve individualised treatment decision-making.

Immune gene prognostic signature for disease free survival of gastric cancer: Translational research of an artificial intelligence survival predictive system

The progress of artificial intelligence algorithms and massive data provide new ideas and choices for individual mortality risk prediction for cancer patients. The current research focused on depict immune gene related regulatory network and develop an artificial intelligence survival predictive system for disease free survival of gastric cancer.

Multi-task logistic regression algorithm, Cox survival regression algorithm, and Random survival forest algorithm were used to develop the artificial intelligence survival predictive system.

Nineteen transcription factors and seventy immune genes were identified to construct a transcription factor regulatory network of immune genes. Multivariate Cox regression identified fourteen immune genes as prognostic markers. These immune genes were used to construct a prognostic signature for gastric cancer. Concordance indexes were 0.800, 0.809, and 0.856 for 1-, 3- and 5- year survival. An interesting artificial intelligence survival predictive system was developed based on three artificial intelligence algorithms for gastric cancer. Gastric cancer patients with high risk score have poor survival than patients with low risk score.

The current study constructed a transcription factor regulatory network and developed two artificial intelligence survival prediction tools for disease free survival of gastric cancer patients. These artificial intelligence survival prediction tools are helpful for individualized treatment decision.

Bioinformatics Identified 17 Immune Genes as Prognostic Biomarkers for Breast Cancer: Application Study Based on Artificial Intelligence Algorithms

An increasing body of evidence supports the association of immune genes with tumorigenesis and prognosis of breast cancer (BC). This research aims at exploring potential regulatory mechanisms and identifying immunogenic prognostic markers for BC, which were used to construct a prognostic signature for disease-free survival (DFS) of BC based on artificial intelligence algorithms. Differentially expressed immune genes were identified between normal tissues and tumor tissues. Univariate Cox regression identified potential prognostic immune genes. Thirty-four transcription factors and 34 immune genes were used to develop an immune regulatory network. The artificial intelligence survival prediction system was developed based on three artificial intelligence algorithms. Multivariate Cox analyses determined 17 immune genes (ADAMTS8, IFNG, XG, APOA5, SIAH2, C2CD2, STAR, CAMP, CDH19, NTSR1, PCDHA1, AMELX, FREM1, CLEC10A, CD1B, CD6, and LTA) as prognostic biomarkers for BC. A prognostic nomogram was constructed on these prognostic genes. Concordance indexes were 0.782, 0.734, and 0.735 for 1-, 3-, and 5- year DFS. The DFS in high-risk group was significantly worse than that in low-risk group. Artificial intelligence survival prediction system provided three individual mortality risk predictive curves based on three artificial intelligence algorithms. In conclusion, comprehensive bioinformatics identified 17 immune genes as potential prognostic biomarkers, which might be potential candidates of immunotherapy targets in BC patients. The current study depicted regulatory network between transcription factors and immune genes, which was helpful to deepen the understanding of immune regulatory mechanisms for BC cancer. Two artificial intelligence survival predictive systems are available at https://zhangzhiqiao7.shinyapps.io/Smart_Cancer_Survival_Predictive_System_16_BC_C1005/ and https://zhangzhiqiao8.shinyapps.io/Gene_Survival_Subgroup_Analysis_16_BC_C1005/. These novel artificial intelligence survival predictive systems will be helpful to improve individualized treatment decision-making.

Two precision medicine predictive tools for six malignant solid tumors: from gene-based research to clinical application

Background

The current study aimed to construct competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) regulation network and develop two precision medicine predictive tools for colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods

Differentially expressed (DE) analyses were performed between CRC tissues and normal tissues. A ceRNA regulation network was constructed based on DElncRNAs, DEmiRNAs, and DEmRNAs.

Results

Fifteen mRNAs (ENDOU, MFN2, FASLG, SHOC2, VEGFA, ZFPM2, HOXC6, KLK10, DDIT4, LPGAT1, BEX4, DENND5B, PHF20L1, HSP90B1, and PSPC1) were identified as prognostic biomarkers for CRC by multivariate Cox regression. Then a Fifteen-mRNA signature was developed to predict overall survival for CRC patients. Concordance indexes were 0.817, 0.838, and 0.825 for 1-, 2- and 3-year overall survival. Patients with high risk scores have worse OS compared with patients with low risk scores.

Conclusion

The current study provided deeper understanding of prognosis-related ceRNA regulatory network for CRC. Two precision medicine predictive tools named Smart Cancer Survival Predictive System and Gene Survival Analysis Screen System were constructed for CRC. These two precision medicine predictive tools can provide valuable precious individual mortality risk prediction before surgery and improve the individualized treatment decision-making.