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Shinohara S, Yoshihara T, Mochizuki K, Yasuda G, Kasai M, Sunami R. Preeclampsia prediction model using demographic, clinical, and sonographic data in the second trimester of Japanese nulliparous women. J Obstet Gynaecol Res 2024; 50:395-402. [PMID: 38109933 DOI: 10.1111/jog.15861] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2023] [Indexed: 12/20/2023]
Abstract
AIM This study aimed to clarify the factors influencing preeclampsia (PE) development in nulliparous Japanese women and to develop a PE prediction model using second trimester sonographic and clinical data readily available to obstetricians. METHODS This historical cohort study examined the obstetric records of nulliparous women who delivered at Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital from January 2019 to May 2023. A model was constructed to predict the PE development rate, with a focus on 796 nulliparous women. The assessed outcome was PE, excluding superimposed PE. Data on maternal age, assisted reproductive technology, mean arterial pressure, uterine artery notching, and umbilical artery resistance index were extracted. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted on these five factors. RESULTS The incidence of PE was 4.3% (34/796). Multivariable analysis indicated significant odds ratios for the association of PE with mean arterial pressure (adjusted odds ratio: 1.06, 95% confidence interval: 1.03-1.10) and uterine artery notching (adjusted odds ratio: 6.28, 95% confidence interval: 2.82-14.0) in nulliparous women. The PE prediction formula was established as follows: Probability of PE development (%) = (odds/1 + odds) × 100, odds = ex and x = -11.3 + 0.039 × maternal age (years) + 0.91 × assisted reproductive technology + 0.061 × mean arterial pressure (mmHg) + 1.84 × uterine artery notching + 1.84 × umbilical artery resistance index. The sensitivity and specificity of this model were 58.8% and 84.5%, respectively (area under the curve: 0.79). CONCLUSIONS This study is the first to provide a prediction formula targeting the Japanese population. Our specialized model for nulliparous women could guide obstetricians to educate women regarding the precise prospect of PE development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Satoshi Shinohara
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Tatsuya Yoshihara
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Kana Mochizuki
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Genki Yasuda
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Mayuko Kasai
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Rei Sunami
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan
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Bonacina E, Garcia-Manau P, López M, Caamiña S, Vives À, Lopez-Quesada E, Ricart M, Maroto A, de Mingo L, Pintado E, Castillo-Ribelles L, Martín L, Rodriguez-Zurita A, Garcia E, Pallarols M, Vidal-Sagnier L, Teixidor M, Orizales-Lago C, Pérez-Gomez A, Ocaña V, Puerto L, Millán P, Alsius M, Diaz S, Maiz N, Carreras E, Suy A, Mendoza M. Mid-trimester uterine artery Doppler for aspirin discontinuation in pregnancies at high risk for preterm pre-eclampsia: Post-hoc analysis of StopPRE trial. BJOG 2024; 131:334-342. [PMID: 37555464 DOI: 10.1111/1471-0528.17631] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2023] [Revised: 06/22/2023] [Accepted: 07/21/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess whether aspirin treatment can be discontinued in pregnancies with normal uterine artery pulsatility index (≤90th percentile) at 24-28 weeks. DESIGN Post-hoc analysis of a clinical trial. SETTING Nine maternity hospitals in Spain. POPULATION OR SAMPLE Pregnant individuals at high risk of pre-eclampsia at 11-13 weeks and normal uterine artery Doppler at 24-28 weeks. METHODS All participants received treatment with daily aspirin at a dose of 150 mg. Participants were randomly assigned, in a 1:1 ratio, either to continue aspirin treatment until 36 weeks (control group) or to discontinue aspirin treatment (intervention group), between September 2019 and September 2021. In this secondary analysis, women with a UtAPI >90th percentile at 24-28 weeks were excluded. The non-inferiority margin was set at a difference of 1.9% for the incidence of preterm pre-eclampsia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Incidence of preterm pre-eclampsia. RESULTS Of the 1611 eligible women, 139 were excluded for UtAPI >90th percentile or if UtAPI was not available. Finally, 804 were included in this post-hoc analysis. Preterm pre-eclampsia occurred in three of 409 (0.7%) women in the aspirin discontinuation group and five of 395 (1.3%) women in the continuation group (-0.53; 95% CI -1.91 to 0.85), indicating non-inferiority of aspirin discontinuation. CONCLUSIONS Discontinuing aspirin treatment at 24-28 weeks in women with a UtAPI ≤90th percentile was non-inferior to continuing aspirin treatment until 36 weeks for preventing preterm pre-eclampsia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erika Bonacina
- Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Pablo Garcia-Manau
- Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Monica López
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari de Tarragona Joan XXIII, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Sara Caamiña
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Àngels Vives
- Department of Obstetrics, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain
| | - Eva Lopez-Quesada
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari Mútua Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain
| | - Marta Ricart
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona, Spain
| | - Anna Maroto
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari de Girona Doctor Josep Trueta, Girona, Spain
| | - Laura de Mingo
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario Severo Ochoa, Leganés, Spain
| | - Elena Pintado
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario de Getafe, Getafe, Spain
| | | | - Lourdes Martín
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari de Tarragona Joan XXIII, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Alicia Rodriguez-Zurita
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Esperanza Garcia
- Department of Obstetrics, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain
| | - Mar Pallarols
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari Mútua Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain
| | - Laia Vidal-Sagnier
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona, Spain
| | - Mireia Teixidor
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari de Girona Doctor Josep Trueta, Girona, Spain
| | | | - Adela Pérez-Gomez
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Vanesa Ocaña
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario de Getafe, Getafe, Spain
| | - Linda Puerto
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitari de Tarragona Joan XXIII, Tarragona, Spain
| | - Pilar Millán
- Department of Obstetrics, Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain
| | - Mercè Alsius
- Department of Biochemistry, Hospital Universitari de Girona Doctor Josep Trueta, Girona, Spain
| | - Sonia Diaz
- Department of Obstetrics, Hospital Universitario de Getafe, Getafe, Spain
| | - Nerea Maiz
- Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Elena Carreras
- Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Anna Suy
- Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Manel Mendoza
- Maternal Fetal Medicine Unit, Department of Obstetrics, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
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Rajiv P, Cade T, Dean J, Jones GD, Brennecke SP. Maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio distinguishes growth-restricted from non-growth-restricted small-for-gestational-age fetuses. AJOG GLOBAL REPORTS 2024; 4:100302. [PMID: 38318268 PMCID: PMC10839529 DOI: 10.1016/j.xagr.2023.100302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fetal growth restriction secondary to chronic placental insufficiency is a major cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality. A significant proportion of fetuses with fetal growth restriction are small for gestational age, defined as a birthweight of ≤10th percentile. However, not all small-for-gestational-age fetuses are growth restricted. Some are constitutionally small and otherwise healthy. It is important to distinguish between small-for-gestational-age fetuses with and without fetal growth restriction to ensure appropriate interventions in small-for-gestational-age fetuses with fetal growth restriction and to minimize unnecessary interventions in healthy small-for-gestational-age fetuses. The maternal serum ratio of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and placental growth factor is an indicator of placental insufficiency in the latter half of pregnancy. As such, the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio may be a clinically useful tool to distinguish between small-for-gestational-age fetuses with and without fetal growth restriction. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to determine whether the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio can distinguish between small-for-gestational-age fetuses with and without fetal growth restriction with a birthweight of ≤10th percentile. STUDY DESIGN A retrospective audit of 233 singleton pregnancies delivering an infant with a birthweight of ≤10th percentile corrected for gestational age with an antenatal maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor result was performed. Fetal growth restriction was defined as a birthweight of ≤10th percentile with an umbilical artery pulsatility index of >95th percentile, fetal middle cerebral artery pulsatility index of <5th percentile, amniotic fluid index of <6 cm, and/or cerebroplacental ratio of <1st percentile. The soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratios before delivery between fetuses with and without fetal growth restriction (121 [fetal growth restriction] vs 112 [no fetal growth restriction]) were compared. The Student t test and Fisher exact test were used to compare cases and controls. The Mann-Whitney U test, linear regression analysis, and Spearman correlation coefficient (Rho) were used to examine associations between the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio and fetal outcomes to determine whether the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio served as a prognostic marker of fetal growth restriction severity. RESULTS The mean soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio was increased in fetal growth restriction cases compared with non-fetal growth restriction controls (234.3±25.0 vs 67.4±7.7, respectively; P<.0001). When controlling for preeclampsia, which is associated with placental insufficiency, fetal growth restriction cases still demonstrated an independent increase in the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio (effect size, 0.865; 95% confidence interval, 0.509-1.220; P<.001). The soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio was negatively correlated with birthweight percentiles in pregnancies delivering an infant with a birthweight of ≤10th percentile (r=-0.3565; P<.0001). This association was maintained for fetuses with fetal growth restriction (r=-0.2309; P<.05), whereas fetuses without fetal growth restriction had no significant correlation between the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio and neonatal birthweight percentiles. CONCLUSION The soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio was significantly higher in small-for-gestational-age fetuses with fetal growth restriction than small-for-gestational-age fetuses without fetal growth restriction, independent of preeclampsia. Furthermore, the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1-to-placental growth factor ratio was negatively correlated with fetal growth restriction birthweight percentiles, suggesting that it may be a clinical measure of fetal growth restriction severity. Therefore, the ratio may usefully delineate fetal growth restriction from constitutionally small but otherwise healthy fetuses antenatally, allowing for timely interventions in small-for-gestational-age cases with fetal growth restriction and unnecessary interventions to be minimized in small-for-gestational-age cases without fetal growth restriction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Prithi Rajiv
- Department of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Pregnancy Research Centre, The Royal Women's Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia (Drs Rajiv, Cade, Dean, Davis Jones, and Brennecke)
| | - Thomas Cade
- Department of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Pregnancy Research Centre, The Royal Women's Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia (Drs Rajiv, Cade, Dean, Davis Jones, and Brennecke)
| | - Jennifer Dean
- Department of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Pregnancy Research Centre, The Royal Women's Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia (Drs Rajiv, Cade, Dean, Davis Jones, and Brennecke)
| | - Gabriel Davis Jones
- Department of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Pregnancy Research Centre, The Royal Women's Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia (Drs Rajiv, Cade, Dean, Davis Jones, and Brennecke)
| | - Shaun P. Brennecke
- Department of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Pregnancy Research Centre, The Royal Women's Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia (Drs Rajiv, Cade, Dean, Davis Jones, and Brennecke)
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Melbourne, Australia (Dr Brennecke)
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Sun F, Cai H, Tan L, Qin D, Zhang J, Hua J, Fan X, Peng S. Placenta-Specific miR-125b Overexpression Leads to Increased Rates of Pregnancy Loss in Mice. Int J Mol Sci 2022; 23:ijms23020943. [PMID: 35055127 PMCID: PMC8779150 DOI: 10.3390/ijms23020943] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2021] [Revised: 01/09/2022] [Accepted: 01/11/2022] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Pregnancy loss (PL) is one of the common complications that women can experience during pregnancy, with an occurrence rate of 1 to 5%. The potential causes of pregnancy loss are unclear, with no effective treatment modalities being available. It has been previously reported that the level of miR-125b was significantly increased in placentas of PL patients. However, the role of miR-125b in the development of PL still remains unknown. In the current study, an miR-125b placenta-specific over-expression model was constructed by lentiviral transfecting zona-free mouse embryos followed by embryo transfer. On gestation day 15, it was observed that the placenta was significantly smaller in the miR-125b placenta-specific overexpression group than the control group. Additionally, the abortion rate of the miR-125b placenta-specific overexpression group was markedly higher than in the control group. The blood vessel diameter was larger in the miR-125b-overexpressing specific placenta. In addition, miR-125b-overexpressing HTR8 and JEG3 cell lines were also generated to analyze the migration and invasion ability of trophoblasts. The results showed that miR-125b overexpression significantly suppressed the migration and invasion ability of HTR8 and JEG3 cells. Overall, our results demonstrated that miR-125b can affect embryo implantation through modulating placenta angiogenesis and trophoblast cell invasion capacity that can lead to PL.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fen Sun
- Shaanxi Centre of Stem Cells Engineering & Technology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Xianyang 712100, China; (F.S.); (H.C.); (D.Q.); (J.H.)
| | - Hui Cai
- Shaanxi Centre of Stem Cells Engineering & Technology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Xianyang 712100, China; (F.S.); (H.C.); (D.Q.); (J.H.)
| | - Lunbo Tan
- Laboratory of Reproductive Health, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China;
| | - Dezhe Qin
- Shaanxi Centre of Stem Cells Engineering & Technology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Xianyang 712100, China; (F.S.); (H.C.); (D.Q.); (J.H.)
| | - Jian Zhang
- Center for Reproduction and Health Development, Institute of Biomedicine and Biotechnology, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China;
| | - Jinlian Hua
- Shaanxi Centre of Stem Cells Engineering & Technology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Xianyang 712100, China; (F.S.); (H.C.); (D.Q.); (J.H.)
| | - Xiujun Fan
- Center for Reproduction and Health Development, Institute of Biomedicine and Biotechnology, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China;
- Correspondence: (X.F.); (S.P.)
| | - Sha Peng
- Shaanxi Centre of Stem Cells Engineering & Technology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, Xianyang 712100, China; (F.S.); (H.C.); (D.Q.); (J.H.)
- Correspondence: (X.F.); (S.P.)
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Lees CC, Stampalija T, Baschat A, da Silva Costa F, Ferrazzi E, Figueras F, Hecher K, Kingdom J, Poon LC, Salomon LJ, Unterscheider J. ISUOG Practice Guidelines: diagnosis and management of small-for-gestational-age fetus and fetal growth restriction. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2020; 56:298-312. [PMID: 32738107 DOI: 10.1002/uog.22134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 358] [Impact Index Per Article: 89.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2020] [Accepted: 06/11/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- C C Lees
- Centre for Fetal Care, Queen Charlotte's and Chelsea Hospital, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Development & Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - T Stampalija
- Unit of Fetal Medicine and Prenatal Diagnosis, Institute for Maternal and Child Health, IRCCS Burlo Garofolo, Trieste, Italy
- Department of Medical, Surgical and Health Science, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
| | - A Baschat
- The Johns Hopkins Center for Fetal Therapy, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - F da Silva Costa
- Ritchie Centre, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - E Ferrazzi
- Department of Woman, Child and Neonate, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - F Figueras
- Fetal Medicine Research Center, BCNatal Barcelona Center for Maternal-Fetal and Neonatal Medicine (Hospital Clínic and Hospital Sant Joan de Déu), Institut Clínic de Ginecologia, Obstetricia i Neonatologia, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - K Hecher
- Department of Obstetrics and Fetal Medicine, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- J. Kingdom, Placenta Program, Maternal-Fetal Medicine Division, Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, Mount Sinai Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - L C Poon
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR
| | - L J Salomon
- Obstétrique et Plateforme LUMIERE, Hôpital Necker-Enfants Malades (AP-HP) et Université de Paris, Paris, France
| | - J Unterscheider
- Department of Maternal Fetal Medicine, Royal Women's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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Sufriyana H, Wu YW, Su ECY. Prediction of Preeclampsia and Intrauterine Growth Restriction: Development of Machine Learning Models on a Prospective Cohort. JMIR Med Inform 2020; 8:e15411. [PMID: 32348266 PMCID: PMC7265111 DOI: 10.2196/15411] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2019] [Revised: 11/11/2019] [Accepted: 03/23/2020] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Preeclampsia and intrauterine growth restriction are placental dysfunction-related disorders (PDDs) that require a referral decision be made within a certain time period. An appropriate prediction model should be developed for these diseases. However, previous models did not demonstrate robust performances and/or they were developed from datasets with highly imbalanced classes. OBJECTIVE In this study, we developed a predictive model of PDDs by machine learning that uses features at 24-37 weeks' gestation, including maternal characteristics, uterine artery (UtA) Doppler measures, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase receptor-1 (sFlt-1), and placental growth factor (PlGF). METHODS A public dataset was taken from a prospective cohort study that included pregnant women with PDDs (66/95, 69%) and a control group (29/95, 31%). Preliminary selection of features was based on a statistical analysis using SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute). We used Weka (Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis) 3.8.3 (The University of Waikato, Hamilton, NZ) to automatically select the best model using its optimization algorithm. We also manually selected the best of 23 white-box models. Models, including those from recent studies, were also compared by interval estimation of evaluation metrics. We used the Matthew correlation coefficient (MCC) as the main metric. It is not overoptimistic to evaluate the performance of a prediction model developed from a dataset with a class imbalance. Repeated 10-fold cross-validation was applied. RESULTS The classification via regression model was chosen as the best model. Our model had a robust MCC (.93, 95% CI .87-1.00, vs .64, 95% CI .57-.71) and specificity (100%, 95% CI 100-100, vs 90%, 95% CI 90-90) compared to each metric of the best models from recent studies. The sensitivity of this model was not inferior (95%, 95% CI 91-100, vs 100%, 95% CI 92-100). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was also competitive (0.970, 95% CI 0.966-0.974, vs 0.987, 95% CI 0.980-0.994). Features in the best model were maternal weight, BMI, pulsatility index of the UtA, sFlt-1, and PlGF. The most important feature was the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. This model used an M5P algorithm consisting of a decision tree and four linear models with different thresholds. Our study was also better than the best ones among recent studies in terms of the class balance and the size of the case class (66/95, 69%, vs 27/239, 11.3%). CONCLUSIONS Our model had a robust predictive performance. It was also developed to deal with the problem of a class imbalance. In the context of clinical management, this model may improve maternal mortality and neonatal morbidity and reduce health care costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Herdiantri Sufriyana
- Graduate Institute of Biomedical Informatics, College of Medical Science and Technology, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Medical Physiology, College of Medicine, University of Nahdlatul Ulama Surabaya, Surabaya, Indonesia
| | - Yu-Wei Wu
- Graduate Institute of Biomedical Informatics, College of Medical Science and Technology, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.,Clinical Big Data Research Center, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Emily Chia-Yu Su
- Graduate Institute of Biomedical Informatics, College of Medical Science and Technology, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.,Clinical Big Data Research Center, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Research Center for Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan
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