Construction of a DLBCL Prognostic Signature Based on Tumor Microenvironment

Artificial intelligence-based prognostic model accurately predicts the survival of patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphomas: analysis of a large cohort in China

BACKGROUND

Diffuse large B-cell lymphomas (DLBCLs) display high molecular heterogeneity, but the International Prognostic Index (IPI) considers only clinical indicators and has not been updated to include molecular data. Therefore, we developed a widely applicable novel scoring system with molecular indicators screened by artificial intelligence (AI) that achieves accurate prognostic stratification and promotes individualized treatments.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled a cohort of 401 patients with DLBCL from our hospital, covering the period from January 2015 to January 2019. We included 22 variables in our analysis and assigned them weights using the random survival forest method to establish a new predictive model combining bidirectional long-short term memory (Bi-LSTM) and logistic hazard techniques. We compared the predictive performance of our "molecular-contained prognostic model" (McPM) and the IPI. In addition, we developed a simplified version of the McPM (sMcPM) to enhance its practical applicability in clinical settings. We also demonstrated the improved risk stratification capabilities of the sMcPM.

RESULTS

Our McPM showed superior predictive accuracy, as indicated by its high C-index and low integrated Brier score (IBS), for both overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The overall performance of the McPM was also better than that of the IPI based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve fitting. We selected five key indicators, including extranodal involvement sites, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), MYC gene status, absolute monocyte count (AMC), and platelet count (PLT) to establish the sMcPM, which is more suitable for clinical applications. The sMcPM showed similar OS results (P < 0.0001 for both) to the IPI and significantly better PFS stratification results (P < 0.0001 for sMcPM vs. P = 0.44 for IPI).

CONCLUSIONS

Our new McPM, including both clinical and molecular variables, showed superior overall stratification performance to the IPI, rendering it more suitable for the molecular era. Moreover, our sMcPM may become a widely used and effective stratification tool to guide individual precision treatments and drive new drug development.

Should we use nomograms for risk predictions in diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients? A systematic review

Models based on risk stratification are increasingly reported for Diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Due to a rising interest in nomograms for cancer patients, we aimed to review and critically appraise prognostic models based on nomograms in DLBCL patients. A literature search in PubMed/Embase identified 59 articles that proposed prognostic models for DLBCL by combining parameters of interest (e.g., clinical, laboratory, immunohistochemical, and genetic) between January 2000 and 2024. Of them, 40 studies proposed different gene expression signatures and incorporated them into nomogram-based prognostic models. Although most studies assessed discrimination and calibration when developing the model, many lacked external validation. Current nomogram-based models for DLBCL are mainly developed from publicly available databases, lack external validation, and have no applicability in clinical practice. However, they may be helpful in individual patient counseling, although careful considerations should be made regarding model development due to possible limitations when choosing nomograms for prognostication.

Non-neoplastic cells as prognostic biomarkers in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: A system review and meta-analysis

The microenvironment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is composed of various components, including immune cells and immune checkpoints, some of which have been correlated with the prognosis of DLBCL, but their results remain controversial. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the association between the microenvironment and prognosis in DLBCL. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE for relevant articles between 2001 and 2022. Twenty-five studies involving 4495 patients with DLBCL were included in the analysis. This meta-analysis confirmed that high densities of Foxp3+Tregs and PD-1+T cells are good indicators for overall survival (OS) in DLBCL, while high densities of programmed cell death protein ligand1(PD-L1)-positive expression cells and T-cell immunoglobulin-and mucin domain-3-containing molecule 3 (TIM-3)-positive expression tumor-infiltrating cells (TILs) play a contrary role in OS. Additionally, higher numbers of T-cell intracytoplasmic antigen-1(TIA-1)-positive expression T cells imply better OS and progression-free survival (PFS), while high numbers of lymphocyte activation gene(LAG)-positive expression TILs predict bad OS and PFS. Various non-tumoral cells in the microenvironment play important roles in the prognosis of DLBCL.

Gene set-based identification of two immune subtypes of diffuse large B cell lymphoma for guiding immune checkpoint blocking therapy

Background: Diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common lymphoma in adults. Tumour microenvironment is closely related to tumour prognosis and immune checkpoint blocking therapy (ICBT). This study aimed to investigate the immunological and prognostic characteristics of the tumour microenvironment (TME), as well as the regulatory mechanisms.

Methods: Gene expression profiles and clinical data of patients with DLBCL were obtained from GEO database. ESTIMATE, CIBERSORT, and ssGSEA analyses were used to explore microenvironment characteristics and regulatory mechanism of the immune subtypes, which were identified by consistent clustering. The differences in enriched pathways were showed by GSEA. Hub genes associated with CD8⁺ T cells, which were identified by WCGNA, were exhibited biological functions through GO and KEGG. Immune-related gene scores (IRGSs) based on hub genes were used to evaluate the prediction of immune subtypes and ICBT, and retrospective analysis was used for validation. Finally, prognostic genes were screened to construct risk models.

Results: Consensus clustering divided patients with DLBCL into two subtypes with significant heterogeneities in prognosis and immune microenvironment. Low immune infiltration was associated with poor prognosis. Subtype C1 with high immune infiltration was enriched in multiple immune pathways. We observed that two common mutated genes (B2M and EZH2) in DLBCL were closely related to MHC-I and microenvironment. Our further analysis manifested that MYD88^L265P may be the main cause of TLR signalling pathway activation in subtype C1. Hub genes (SH2D1A, CD8A, GBP2, ITK, CD3D, RORA, IL1R2, CD28, CD247, CD3G, PRKCQ, CXCR6, and CD3E) in relation with CD8⁺ T cells were used to establish IRGS, which was proved an accurate predictor of immune subtypes, and patients in high-IRGS group were more likely to benefit from ICBT. Retrospective analysis showed that absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) was higher in the group that responded to the PD-1 inhibitor. Finally, the risk model was constructed based on two genes (CD3G and CD3D), and the low-risk group showed better prognosis.

Conclusion: DLBCL immune classifications with highly heterogeneity are a powerful predictor of prognosis and ICBT. The IRGS is proved to be a reliable tool to distinguish immune subtypes as a substitute for gene expression profile.

Construction and validation of a risk scoring model for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma based on ferroptosis-related genes and its association with immune infiltration

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Categorization of DLBCL into four clusters based on survival- and ferroptosis-related factors.

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Establishment of an efficient risk scoring model is established for patients with DLBCL.

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Ferroptosis-based risk scoring model reveals immune infiltration correlation in DLBCL.

Backgrounds

The prognostic significance of ferroptosis-related genes is well known. However, survival- and ferroptosis-related genes are not currently considered in risk scoring models for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).

Materials and methods

Ferroptosis regulators and markers were downloaded from the FerrDb database. The transcriptome profiling data were collected from the cancer genome atlas (TCGA). Transcriptome data and corresponding clinical information of DLBCL were downloaded from the gene expression omnibus (GEO). The validation data were downloaded using the UCSC Xena browser. ConsensusClusterPlus was used to categorize DLBCL samples according to gene expression profiles. The survival function was plotted with the Kaplan-Meier plots. The nomogram was built using multivariate logistic regression analysis and the Cox proportional hazards regression model.

Results

Based on the GSE11318 dataset of 203 samples and 267 ferroptosis-related gene expression profiles, we identified four clusters. A total of 19 survival-related genes were found associated with ferroptosis. The prognostic risk scoring model was constructed based on the regression coefficients. The obtained area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values were 0.769, 0.801, and 0.791 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, respectively. DLBCL samples with cluster 2 or cancer stage IV have shorter survival. Correlations between the immune infiltration and risk scores of the 12 immune cells were demonstrated. The response of DLBCL to doxorubicin was effectively validated by the risk scoring model.

Conclusions

In this study, a ferroptosis-based risk scoring model for patients with DLBCL was constructed and validated in an independent dataset. This risk score model has a better efficacy in predicting survival compared to clinical characteristics.