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Zhou JY, Wang S, Yuan HL, Xu YJ, Huang XB, Gao SJ, Zhang YC, Zhou F, Liu Y, Song XM, Cai Y, Liu XL, Luo Y, Yang LX, Yang JM, Wang LB, Li YH, Huang R, Wang SQ, Zhou M, Dong YJ, Wang Q, Zhang X, Feng YM, Du X, Ling W, Zhu H, Zhu ZM, Chen XL, Wang SY, Meng FK, Bi KH, Huang N, Jiang M, Niu T, Ji J, Wan DM, Bian ZL, Chen Y, Liu L, Yan XQ, Yang X, Yi H, Wei XD, Li X, Cheng Q, Yuan CL, Wang W, Zhou YH, Ye BD, Ding J, Wu YJ, Huang QS, Zhu XL, Chen YH, He Y, Wang FR, Zhang YY, Mo XD, Han W, Wang JZ, Wang Y, Chen H, Zhao XY, Chang YJ, Liu KY, Huang XJ, Zhang XH. Impact of a novel prognostic model on allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation outcomes in patients with CMML. Am J Hematol 2023; 98:1394-1406. [PMID: 37366294 DOI: 10.1002/ajh.26999] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2023] [Revised: 05/30/2023] [Accepted: 06/07/2023] [Indexed: 06/28/2023]
Abstract
Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a clonal hematopoietic stem cell malignancy, and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) is the only curable treatment. The outcomes after transplant are influenced by both disease characteristics and patient comorbidities. To develop a novel prognostic model to predict the post-transplant survival of CMML patients, we identified risk factors by applying univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression to a derivation cohort. In multivariable analysis, advanced age (hazard ratio [HR] 3.583), leukocyte count (HR 3.499), anemia (HR 3.439), bone marrow blast cell count (HR 2.095), and no chronic graft versus host disease (cGVHD; HR 4.799) were independently associated with worse survival. A novel prognostic model termed ABLAG (Age, Blast, Leukocyte, Anemia, cGVHD) was developed and the points were assigned according to the regression equation. The patients were categorized into low risk (0-1), intermediate risk (2, 3), and high risk (4-6) three groups and the 3-year overall survival (OS) were 93.3% (95%CI, 61%-99%), 78.9% (95%CI, 60%-90%), and 51.6% (95%CI, 32%-68%; p < .001), respectively. In internal and external validation cohort, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the ABLAG model were 0.829 (95% CI, 0.776-0.902) and 0.749 (95% CI, 0.684-0.854). Compared with existing models designed for the nontransplant setting, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis showed that the ABLAG model revealed a high consistency between predicted and observed outcomes and patients could benefit from this model. In conclusion, combining disease and patient characteristic, the ABLAG model provides better survival stratification for CMML patients receiving allo-HSCT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian-Ying Zhou
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Song Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Hai-Long Yuan
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Ya-Jing Xu
- Department of Hematology, Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Xiao-Bing Huang
- Department of Hematology, Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China
| | - Su-Jun Gao
- Hematology Section, Cancer Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Yi-Cheng Zhang
- Department of Hematology, Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Fang Zhou
- Hematology Department, The 960th Hospital of The People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Logistics Support Force, Jinan, China
| | - Yue Liu
- Hematology Department, The 960th Hospital of The People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Logistics Support Force, Jinan, China
| | - Xian-Min Song
- Department of Hematology, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu Cai
- Department of Hematology, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiao-Liang Liu
- Hematology Section, Cancer Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Yi Luo
- Department of Hematology, Bone Marrow Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Lu-Xin Yang
- Department of Hematology, Bone Marrow Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Jian-Min Yang
- Department of Hematology, Changhai Hospital, The Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Li-Bing Wang
- Department of Hematology, Changhai Hospital, The Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu-Hua Li
- Department of Hematology, Zhujiang Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Rui Huang
- Department of Hematology, Zhujiang Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Shun-Qing Wang
- Department of Hematology, Guangzhou First People's Hospital, School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ming Zhou
- Department of Hematology, Guangzhou First People's Hospital, School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yu-Jun Dong
- Department of Hematology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Qian Wang
- Department of Hematology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xi Zhang
- Xinqiao Hospital, The Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yi-Mei Feng
- Xinqiao Hospital, The Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Xin Du
- Department of Hematology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wei Ling
- Department of Hematology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
| | - Han Zhu
- Department of Hematology, Jiangsu Province Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Zun-Min Zhu
- Department of Hematology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Xiang-Li Chen
- Department of Hematology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Shi-Yu Wang
- Department of Hematology, Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Fan-Kai Meng
- Department of Hematology, Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Ke-Hong Bi
- Department of Hematology, School of First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Shandong Province Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, China
| | - Ning Huang
- Department of Hematology, School of First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Shandong Province Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, China
| | - Ming Jiang
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China
| | - Ting Niu
- Department of Hematology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Jie Ji
- Department of Hematology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Ding-Ming Wan
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Zhi-Lei Bian
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Yi Chen
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Li Liu
- Department of Hematology, The Second Affiliated Hospital (Tangdu Hospital) of Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Xue-Qian Yan
- Department of Hematology, The Second Affiliated Hospital (Tangdu Hospital) of Air Force Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Xi Yang
- Department of Hematology, Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China
| | - Hai Yi
- Department of Hematology, Western Theater General Hospital of the People's Liberation Army of China, Chengdu, China
| | - Xu-Dong Wei
- Department of Hematology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University and Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Xin Li
- Department of Hematology, The Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qian Cheng
- Department of Hematology, The Third Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Cheng-Lu Yuan
- Department of Hematology, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Wen Wang
- Department of Hematology, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Yu-Hong Zhou
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, China
| | - Bao-Dong Ye
- Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, China
| | - Jing Ding
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Ye-Jun Wu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Qiu-Sha Huang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Lu Zhu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Yu-Hong Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Yun He
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Feng-Rong Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Dong Mo
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Han
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Jing-Zhi Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Yu Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Huan Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Xiang-Yu Zhao
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Ying-Jun Chang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Kai-Yan Liu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Jun Huang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Hui Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China
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