Risk factors of concurrent malnutrition among children in Ethiopia: a bivariate spatial modeling approach

Under age five children survival times in Nigeria: a Bayesian spatial modeling approach

BACKGROUND

Nigeria is among the top five countries in the world with the highest under-five mortality rates. In addition to the general leading causes of under-five mortality, studies have shown that disparity in sociocultural values and practices across ethnic groups in Nigeria influence child survival, thus there is a need for scientific validation. This study quantified the survival probabilities and the impact of socioeconomic and demographic factors, proximate and biological determinants, and environmental factors on the risk of under-five mortality in Nigeria.

METHODS

The Kaplan-Meier survival curve, Nelson Aalen hazard curve, and components survival probabilities were estimated. The Exponential, Gamma, Log-normal, Weibull, and Cox hazard models in a Bayesian mixed effect hierarchical hazard modeling framework with spatial components were considered, and the Deviance and Watanabe Akaike information criteria were used to select the best model for inference. A [Formula: see text] level of significance was assumed throughout this work. The 2018 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey dataset was used, and the outcome variable was the time between birth and death or birth and the date of interview for children who were alive on the day of the interview.

RESULTS

Findings show that the probability of a child dying within the first two months is 0.04, and the probability of a boy child dying before attaining age five is 0.106, while a girl child is 0.094 probability. Gender, maternal education, household wealth status, source of water and toilet facility, residence, mass media, frequency of antenatal and postnatal visits, marital status, place of delivery, multiple births, who decide healthcare use, use of bednet are significant risk factors of child mortality in Nigeria. The mortality risk is high among the maternal age group below 24 and above 44years, and birth weight below 2.5Kg and above 4.5Kg. The under-five mortality risk is severe in Kebbi, Kaduna, Jigawa, Adamawa, Gombe, Kano, Kogi, Nasarawa, Plateau, and Sokoto states in Nigeria.

CONCLUSION

This study accentuates the need for special attention for the first two months after childbirth as it is the age group with the highest expected mortality. A practicable way to minimize death in the early life of children is to improve maternal healthcare service, promote maternal education, encourage delivery in healthcare facilities, positive parental attitude to support multiple births, poverty alleviation programs for the less privileged, and a prioritized intervention to Northern Nigeria.

Modeling spatial pattern of anemia and malnutrition co-occurrence among under-five children in Ethiopia: A Bayesian geostatistical approach

Anemia and malnutrition among under-five children are some of the challenges to public health in Ethiopia. This study aims to determine the socio-economic, demographic, and geographical risk factors that increase the prevalence of the co-occurrence of anemia and malnutrition among under-five children in Ethiopia. The Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey data for the survey years 2011 and 2016 were used. A Bayesian hierarchical mixed model with a stochastic partial differential equation was adopted to understand the spatial patterns of co-occurrence of these ailments in Ethiopia. The significant risk factors are gender, maternal education, birth order, preceding births, contraceptive use, vaccination, marital status, distance to a health facility, and birth weight. Findings revealed more vulnerability among children less than twenty months and existing geographical disparity with a higher burden of the prevalence of the co-occurrences of anemia and malnutrition in the North-East regions. For cost-effective intervention, policies and programs that improve individual-level risk factors of parents are a more promising approach to tackle these ailments in high-prevalent regions than the ones on the children and should be of utmost priority in the North-East region of the country.