Epidemiologic aspects on antibiotic resistance

The rising impact of mathematical modelling in epidemiology: antibiotic resistance research as a case study

Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases has gradually become part of public health decision-making in recent years. However, the developing status of modelling in epidemiology and its relationship with other relevant scientific approaches have never been assessed quantitatively. Herein, using antibiotic resistance as a case study, 60 published models were analysed. Their interactions with other scientific fields are reported and their citation impact evaluated, as well as temporal trends. The yearly number of antibiotic resistance modelling publications increased significantly between 1990 and 2006. This rise cannot be explained by the surge of interest in resistance phenomena alone. Moreover, modelling articles are, on average, among the most frequently cited third of articles from the journal in which they were published. The results of this analysis, which might be applicable to other emerging public health problems, demonstrate the growing interest in mathematical modelling approaches to evaluate antibiotic resistance.

Limiting the spread of penicillin-resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae: experiences from the South Swedish Pneumococcal Intervention Project

In an attempt to limit the spread of penicillin-resistant pneumococci (PRP), an intervention project was initiated in the Malmöhus County, southern Sweden in January 1995. The ongoing project combines traditional communicable disease control measures and actions aiming at reducing antibiotics consumption. All patients in the county with a nasopharyngeal culture positive for PRP with MIC of Penicillin G > or =0.5 mg/L are followed with nasopharyngeal cultures until PRP-negative. Nasopharyngeal cultures are obtained from family members and close contacts of the index cases. Preschool children carrying PRP are denied attendance at group day-care. From January 1995 to March 1997, 1,038 PRP-carriers (429 index cases and 609 contact cases) were identified. Children aged 1-6 years dominated (83%). Antibiotics sales decreased during the study period, and epidemiologic data indicate that the intervention may have limited the dissemination of PRP in the county, but further evaluation is needed.

The potential for dissemination of Mycobacterium tuberculosis through the anesthesia breathing circuit

BACKGROUND

Respiratory pathogens that pass through the anesthesia breathing system potentially can infect other patients. This study was designed to determine if bacteria can pass through contemporary anesthesia breathing systems and if the environment within the machine is hostile to these organisms.

METHODS

Staphylococcus aureus, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Mycobacterium tuberculosis were nebulized into the expiratory limb of an anesthesia breathing circuit and collected from the inspiratory and expiratory limbs in an impinger system that provided a quantitative determination of the number of organisms entering the circuit and the number that would reach the patient in the inspiratory gas. Bacteria were collected before, during, and after nebulization. A second experiment determined if a saturated solution of soda lime was bactericidal.

RESULTS

When the gas flow through the circuit was interrupted for < 1 h following the nebulization period, large numbers of microorganisms (1 x 10(3) to 1 x 10(5), around 100% of the nebulized organisms) were collected from the inspiratory gas. Soda lime itself was not bactericidal for any of the organisms tested, but solutions of this material with a pH of 12 were bactericidal.

CONCLUSION

Cross contamination between patients may occur unless the gas flow through the anesthesia breathing system is interrupted for > 1 h.

Control of antimicrobial resistance in the health care system

Resistance continues to spread in nosocomial pathogens in acute care hospitals and other key settings of managed health care systems. Appropriate control measures for such resistant organisms depend, in part, on the pathways by which resistance has arisen. Unfortunately, these pathways differ greatly from organism to organism and setting to setting. Although the epidemiology of resistant organisms sometimes is similar to that of susceptible organisms of the same kind, in some situations it may be quite different. This article highlights some of the pathways leading to the development of resistance in bacteria and the relevance of these mechanisms to measures for the control of resistant bacteria in hospital and community settings.

Reasons for the emergence of antibiotic resistance

The ability of many different species of bacteria, including those that cause diseases in humans, to resist the inhibitory action of antimicrobial agents has become a global problem. Resistance continues to spread not only in nosocomial pathogens but in several key community-acquired organisms as well. Appropriate control measures for such resistant organisms depend in part on the pathways by which resistance has arisen. Unfortunately, these pathways differ greatly from organism to organism and setting to setting. In addition, although the epidemiology of resistant organisms sometimes is similar to that of susceptible organisms of the same kind, in some situations it may be quite different. In this article, the authors highlight some of the pathways leading to the development of resistance in bacteria, the importance of antimicrobial use, and the relevance of these mechanisms to measures for the control of resistant bacteria in hospital and community settings.