Thoughtful Utilization of Molecular Testing in Refining Thyroid Nodule Risk Assessment: Do Not Throw Out the Baby

Prospective Validation of ThyroSPEC Molecular Testing of Indeterminate Thyroid Nodule Cytology Following Diagnostic Pathway Optimization

Background: Molecular testing for cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs) is often reported with incomplete data on clinical assessment and ultrasound malignancy risk (USMR) stratification. This study aimed to clinically validate the diagnostic accuracy of a novel molecular test, assess the incremental preoperative malignancy risk of other clinical factors, and measure the impacts of introducing molecular testing at the population level. Methods: Comprehensive clinical data were collected prospectively for the first 615 consecutive patients with ITNs in a centralized health care system following implementation of a reflexive molecular test. Clinical data include patient history, method of nodule discovery, clinical assessment, USMR, cytology, molecular testing, and surgery or follow-up along with surgeon notes on surgical decision-making. Accuracy of molecular testing and the impact of the introduction of molecular testing were calculated. A multivariable regression model was developed to identify which clinical factors have the most diagnostic significance for ITNs. Results: A locally developed, low-cost molecular test achieved a negative predictive value (NPV) of 76-91% [confidence interval, CI 66-95%] and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 46-65% [CI 37-75%] in ITNs using only residual material from standard liquid cytology fine-needle aspiration (FNA). Sensitivity was highest (80%; [CI 63-92%]) in the American Thyroid Association (ATA) intermediate-suspicion ultrasound category, and lowest (46%; [CI 19-75%]) in the ATA high-suspicion ultrasound category. Following implementation of molecular testing, diagnostic yield increased by 14% (p = 0.2442) and repeat FNAs decreased by 24% (p = 0.05). Mutation was the primary reason for surgery in 76% of resected, mutation-positive patients. High-risk mutations were associated with a 58% (p = 0.0001) shorter wait for surgery. Twenty-six percent of patients with a negative molecular test result underwent surgery. Multivariable regression highlighted molecular testing and USMR as significantly associated with malignancy. Conclusions: Molecular testing improves preoperative risk stratification but requires further stratification for intermediate-risk mutations. Incorporation of clinical factors (especially USMR) with molecular testing may increase the sensitivity for detection of malignancy. Introduction of molecular testing offers some clinical benefits even in a low resection rate setting, and directly influences surgical decision-making. This study illustrates the importance of the local diagnostic pathway in ensuring appropriate integrated use of molecular testing for best outcomes.

DIAGNOSIS OF ENDOCRINE DISEASE: Usefulness of genetic testing of fine-needle aspirations for diagnosis of thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

Genetic testing is increasingly used to diagnose or rule out thyroid cancer in indeterminate fine-needle aspirations. This review evaluates the usefulness of these methods with considerations of advantages and limitations.

DESIGN

Given the diagnostic problem associated with the increasing incidental detection of indeterminate thyroid nodules in the context of thyroid cancer overtreatment, we consider the conditions and respective necessary settings for the role of genetic testing to improve presurgical malignancy risk stratification.

METHODS

We review diagnostic pathway requirements and commercially available molecular tests with their respective advantages and disadvantages and discuss the prerequisites required for local application and implementation including quality assurance for local ultrasound and cytopathology practices.

RESULTS

Recent improvements in available molecular diagnostic tests have brought high sensitivity and specificity in initial validation studies, but whether these promising results translate to other clinical settings depends on the quality of the local thyroid nodule diagnostic pathway.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic testing can meaningfully improve presurgical malignancy risk assessment, but more work is needed to implement and use genetic testing effectively in local settings.