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Liu Y, Liu H, Zhang F. Development and Internal Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Postoperative Cardiac Events in Elderly Hip Fracture Patients. Clin Interv Aging 2023; 18:2063-2078. [PMID: 38107187 PMCID: PMC10725632 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s435264] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2023] [Accepted: 12/01/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose Postoperative cardiac events (PCEs) are among the main adverse events after hip fracture surgery in the elderly. Existing cardiac risk assessment tools have some limitations and are not specifically designed for elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery. This study aimed to develop and internally validate a nomogram for prediction of PCEs in these patients. Patients and Methods We performed a retrospective study of 992 patients aged ≥65 years undergoing hip fracture surgery in our hospital from July 2015 to December 2021. Patients' demographics and clinical data were collected. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was used to select predictors, and multivariate logistic regression was employed to construct a nomogram. Internal validation was performed by bootstrapping. The discriminatory ability of the model was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The calibration and clinical utility of the model were assessed. The predictive power and clinical benefit of the nomogram were compared with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI). Results The nomogram was constructed including seven variables: general anesthesia, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, history of heart failure, history of severe arrhythmia, history of coronary artery disease, preoperative platelet count, and serum creatinine. The nomogram had an excellent predictive ability (AUC = 0.875, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.828-0.918). Satisfactory calibration was shown by calibration plots and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test (P = 0.520). Clinical usefulness was confirmed by decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve. The predictive power and clinical utility of the nomogram were superior to RCRI. Conclusion We developed an easy-to-use nomogram for prediction of PCEs in elderly hip fracture patients. This prediction model could effectively identify patients at high risk of PCEs and may be useful for perioperative management optimization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuanmei Liu
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, 100191, People’s Republic of China
| | - Huilin Liu
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, 100191, People’s Republic of China
| | - Fuchun Zhang
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, 100191, People’s Republic of China
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Liang C, Chen B, Hu Z, Li X, Huang Y. Dual-mobility cup total hip arthroplasty improves the quality of life compared to internal fixation in femoral neck fractures patients with severe neuromuscular disease in the lower extremity after stroke: a retrospective study. Front Surg 2023; 10:1120273. [PMID: 37139192 PMCID: PMC10149665 DOI: 10.3389/fsurg.2023.1120273] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/09/2022] [Accepted: 03/30/2023] [Indexed: 05/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background This study aimed to demonstrate that dual-mobility cup total hip arthroplasty (DMC-THA) can significantly improve the quality of life (QOL) of elderly femoral neck fracture patients with severe neuromuscular disease in unilateral lower extremities due to stroke hemiplegia compared to internal fixation (IF). Methods Fifty-eight cases of severe neuromuscular disease in the unilateral lower extremities with muscle strength < grade 3/5 due to stroke were retrospectively examined From January 2015 to December 2020. Then, patients were divided into DMC and IF groups. The QOL was examined using the EQ-5D and SF-36 outcome measures. The physical and mental statuses were assessed using the Barthel Index (BI) and e Fall Efficacy Scale-International (FES-I), respectively. Results Patients in the DMC group had higher BI scores than those in the IF group at different time point. Regarding mental status, the FES-I mean score was 42.1 ± 5.3 in the DMC group and 47.3 ± 5.6 in the IF group (p = 0.002). For the QOL, the mean SF-36 score was 46.1 ± 18.3 for the health component and 59.5 ± 15.0 for the mental component in the DMC group compared to 35.3 ± 16.2 (p = 0.035), and 46.6 ± 17.4 (p = 0.006) compared to the IF group. The mean EQ-5D-5L values were 0.733 ± 0.190 and 0.303 ± 0.227 in the DMC and IF groups (p = 0.035), respectively. Conclusion DMC-THA significantly improved postoperative QOL compared to IF in elderly patients with femoral neck fractures and severe neuromuscular dysfunction in the lower extremity after stroke. The improved outcomes were related to the enhanced early, rudimentary motor function of patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chaolun Liang
- The 2nd Clinical Medical College, Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Bojian Chen
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Zhifeng Hu
- The 2nd Clinical Medical College, Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xing Li
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yongming Huang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
- Correspondence: Yongming Huang
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Liu B, Huang D, Guo Y, Sun X, Chen C, Zhai X, Jin X, Zhu H, Li P, Yu W. Recent advances and perspectives of postoperative neurological disorders in the elderly surgical patients. CNS Neurosci Ther 2021; 28:470-483. [PMID: 34862758 PMCID: PMC8928923 DOI: 10.1111/cns.13763] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2021] [Revised: 10/15/2021] [Accepted: 10/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Postoperative neurological disorders, including postoperative delirium (POD), postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD), postoperative covert ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke, are challenging clinical problems in the emerging aged surgical population. These disorders can deteriorate functional outcomes and long‐term quality of life after surgery, resulting in a substantial social and financial burden to the family and society. Understanding predisposing and precipitating factors may promote individualized preventive treatment for each disorder, as several risk factors are modifiable. Besides prevention, timely identification and treatment of etiologies and symptoms can contribute to better recovery from postoperative neurological disorders and lower risk of long‐term cognitive impairment, disability, and even death. Herein, we summarize the diagnosis, risk factors, prevention, and treatment of these postoperative complications, with emphasis on recent advances and perspectives.
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Affiliation(s)
- Biying Liu
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Dan Huang
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yunlu Guo
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaoqiong Sun
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Caiyang Chen
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaozhu Zhai
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Xia Jin
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Hui Zhu
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Peiying Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Weifeng Yu
- Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
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Fu Z, Xu Q, Zhang C, Bai H, Chen X, Zhang Y, Luo W, Lin G. Admission Systolic Blood Pressure Predicts Post-Operative Delirium of Acute Aortic Dissection Patients in the Intensive Care Unit. Int J Gen Med 2021; 14:5939-5948. [PMID: 34584446 PMCID: PMC8464373 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s329689] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2021] [Accepted: 09/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose Post-operative delirium (POD) is a common complication after aortic surgery with poor outcomes. Blood pressure may play a role in the occurrence of POD. The study aimed to identify whether admission systolic blood pressure (SBP) level in the intensive care unit (ICU) is correlated with POD in acute Stanford type A aortic dissection (AAAD) patients undergoing aortic surgery. Patients and Methods We conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study enrolling consecutive 205 patients with acute type A aortic dissection undergoing aortic surgery. Patients were divided into 3 groups: low, normal, and high SBP level group. Outcomes of interest were POD, 30-day mortality and other complications including acute kidney injury, cardiac complications, spinal cord ischemia, stroke, and pneumonia. Confusion Assessment Method for Intensive Care Unit (CAM-ICU) method was used to assess POD. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression, Cox regression, and subgroup analysis were performed to uncover the association between SBP and POD. Results The mean age of these patients was 51±16 years old. Thirty-six patients (17.6%) developed POD. Patients with high admission SBP were more likely to develop POD (P < 0.01). Univariate analysis showed that high admission SBP was associated with a higher risk of POD among AAAD patients (OR, 3.514; 95% CI, 1.478-8.537, P < 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression model confirmed that high SBP was an independent predictor of POD. Subgroup analysis indicated that patients with anemia and high admission SBP were at higher risk of POD. Conclusion High admission SBP was positively associated with the incidence of POD in AAAD patients who underwent surgical repair in ICU.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zuli Fu
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.,Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Qian Xu
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Chiyuan Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.,Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Hui Bai
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Xuliang Chen
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yanfeng Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Wanjun Luo
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
| | - Guoqiang Lin
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China
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You F, Ma C, Sun F, Liu L, Zhong X. The risk factors of heart failure in elderly patients with hip fracture: what should we care. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2021; 22:832. [PMID: 34583660 PMCID: PMC8479890 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-021-04686-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2021] [Accepted: 08/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Heart failure is a common adverse postoperative complication in elderly patients. It is necessary to explore the risk factors of heart after the operation of elderly patients with hip fracture during hospitalization. METHODS Patients with hip fractures admitted to our hospital from January 1, 2019 to December 31 2020 were included, all the patients received internal fixation surgery. The characteristics of patients with and without postoperative heart failure were compared. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to analyze the risk factors of heart failure in elderly patients with hip fracture. RESULTS A total of 283 patients with hip fractures were included, the incidence of heart failure was 12.37 %. There were significant differences in the age, hypertension, anemia hypoalbuminemia and duration of surgery between heart failure and no heart failure group(all p < 0.05). There were no significant differences in the gender, BMI, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, history of heart failure, cognitive dysfunction, type of fracture, preoperative oxygen saturation, white blood cell count, platelet count, red blood cell count, creatinine, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase and estimated blood loss during surgery between heart failure and no heart failure group(all p > 0.05). Logistic regression analyses indicated that age ≥ 70y(OR2.446, 95% CI1.044 ~ 4.149), hypertension(OR2.152, 95% CI1.125 ~ 4.023), anemia(OR3.094, 95% CI1.294 ~ 5.907), hypoalbuminemia(OR2.377, 95% CI1.205 ~ 4.537), duration of surgery ≥ 120 min(OR1.683, 95% CI1.094 ~ 2.782) were the risk factors of heart failure in elderly patients with hip fracture(all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS The incidence of postoperative heart failure in elderly patients with hip fracture is relatively high, which is the result of a combination of high-risk factors. Peri-period risk assessment and prevention of related risks are the keys to a good prognosis for patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fei You
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Tongji Medical College, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No.26 Shengli Street, Jiang'an District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China.
| | - Chaoyang Ma
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Tongji Medical College, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No.26 Shengli Street, Jiang'an District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China
| | - Fangfang Sun
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Tongji Medical College, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No.26 Shengli Street, Jiang'an District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China.
| | - Lian Liu
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Tongji Medical College, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No.26 Shengli Street, Jiang'an District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China
| | - Xiuwen Zhong
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Tongji Medical College, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No.26 Shengli Street, Jiang'an District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China
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