Challenges in the treatment of gastrointestinal tumours

Modeling prognostic factors in resectable pancreatic adenocarcinomas

Background:

The accurate prognosis for patients with resectable pancreatic adenocarcinomas requires the incorporation of more factors than those included in AJCC TNM system.

Methods:

We identified 218 patients diagnosed with stage I and II pancreatic adenocarcinoma at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital/Columbia University Medical Center (1999 to 2009). Tumor and clinical characteristics were retrieved and associations with survival were assessed by univariate Cox analysis. A multivariable model was constructed and a prognostic score was calculated; the prognostic strength of our model was assessed with the concordance index.

Results:

Our cohort had a median age of 67 years and consisted of 49% men; the median follow-up time was 14.3 months and the 5-year survival 3.6%. Age, tumor differentiation and size, alkaline phosphatase, albumin and CA 19-9 were the independent factors of the final multivariable model; patients were thus classified into low (n = 14, median survival = 53.7 months), intermediate (n = 124, median survival = 19.7 months) and high risk groups (n = 80, median survival = 12.3 months). The prognostic classification of our model remained significant after adjusting for adjuvant chemotherapy and the concordance index was 0.73 compared to 0.59 of the TNM system.

Conclusion:

Our prognostic model was accurate in stratifying patients by risk and could be incorporated into clinical decisions.

Dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase mRNA expression in peripheral blood of rectal cancer patients is significantly associated with residual tumor and distant metastases following resection

BACKGROUND

DPD and TS expression have been shown to correlate with response of 5-FU based chemotherapy in colorectal cancer tissue. Little is known about mRNA expression levels of TS and DPD in peripheral blood. The goals of this study were to test the feasibility of DPD and TS detection in blood and their associations to TNM staging and complete surgical resection.

METHODS

Whole blood was drawn 1 day pre- and 10 days post-operatively from 23 patients with rectal cancer. Either adjuvant (n = 15) or neoadjuvant (n = 8) treatment was performed. Tumor cells were enriched from whole blood by density gradient centrifugation prior to extraction of total cellular RNA and subsequent direct quantitative reverse transcriptase-PCR assays.

RESULTS

DPD was detectable in 21/23 patients (91.3%) and TS in 14/23 (61.7%). Stepwise multiple linear regression models showed a significant association of DPD expression with distant metastases (P = 0.004) and residual tumor categories (P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Quantitative analysis of TS and DPD mRNA expression in peripheral blood of rectal cancer patients is technically feasible. DPD expression levels appear to be associated with residual tumor categories and might serve as a molecular marker for complete tumor resection. Larger studies seem to be warranted to scrutinize our hypothesis.