CT-based radiomics signature analysis for evaluation of response to induction chemotherapy and progression-free survival in locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To establish and validate a CT radiomics model for prediction of induction chemotherapy (IC) response and progression-free survival (PFS) among patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma (LAHC).

METHODS

One hundred twelve patients with LAHC (78 in training cohort and 34 in validation cohort) who underwent contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) scans prior to IC were enrolled. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select the crucial radiomic features in the training cohort. Radiomics signature and clinical data were used to build a radiomics nomogram to predict individual response to IC. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to evaluate ability of radiomics signature in progression-free survival risk stratification.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature consisted of 6 selected features from the arterial and venous phases of CECT images and demonstrated good performance in predicting the IC response in both two cohorts. The radiomics nomogram showed good discriminative performance, and the C-index of nomogram was 0.899 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.831-0.967) and 0.775 (95% CI, 0.591-0.959) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Survival analysis indicated that low-risk and high-risk groups defined by the value of radiomics signature had significant difference in PFS (3-year PFS 66.4% vs 29.7%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiparametric CT-based radiomics model could be useful for predicting treatment response and PFS in patients with LAHC who underwent IC.

KEY POINTS

• CT radiomics can predict IC response and progression-free survival in hypopharyngeal carcinoma. • We combined significant radiomics signature with clinical predictors to establish a nomogram to predict individual response to IC. • Radiomics signature could divide patients into the high-risk and low-risk groups based on the PFS.

Economic Evaluation of a Tumour-Agnostic Therapy: Dutch Economic Value of Larotrectinib in TRK Fusion-Positive Cancers

BACKGROUND

Larotrectinib is the first tumour-agnostic therapy that has been approved by the European Medicines Agency. Tumour-agnostic therapies are indicated for a multitude of tumour types. The economic models supporting reimbursement submissions of tumour-agnostic therapies are complex because of the multitude of indications per model.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this paper was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of larotrectinib compared with standard of care in patients with cancer with tropomyosin receptor kinase fusion-positive tumour types in the Netherlands.

METHODS

A previously constructed cost-effectiveness model with a partitioned survival approach was adapted to the Dutch setting, simulating costs and effects of treatment in patients with tropomyosin receptor kinase fusion-positive cancer. The cost-effectiveness model conducts a naïve comparison of larotrectinib to a weighted comparator standard-of-care arm. Dutch specific resource use and costs were implemented and inflated to reflect 2019 euros. The analysis includes a lifetime horizon and a societal perspective.

RESULTS

Larotrectinib versus Dutch standard of care resulted in 5.61 incremental (QALYs) and €232,260 incremental costs, leading to an incremental cost-effectivenes ratio of €41,424/QALY. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis reveals a 88% chance of larotrectinib being cost effective compared with the pooled comparator standard-of-care arm at the applicable €80,000/QALY willingness-to-pay threshold in the Netherlands.

CONCLUSIONS

The incremental cost-effectivenes ratio was well below the applicable threshold for diseases with a high burden of disease in the Netherlands (€80,000). At this threshold, larotrectinib was estimated to be a cost-effective treatment for patients with tropomyosin receptor kinase fusion-positive cancer compared with current standard of care in the Netherlands.

Induction Chemotherapy in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Tongue—Still a Slippery Role?

Background Tongue cancers are more common in the Indian subcontinent and a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among oral cavity cancers. Induction chemotherapy has been considered an intriguing and smart option for many reasons, but even after years of studies and debates, its role has not been fully established in the management of tongue cancers.

Materials and Methods In this study, we evaluated 17 patients with oral tongue carcinomas with locally advanced stage, enrolled into a protocol of three drug (docetaxel, cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil) induction chemotherapy for three cycles. After completion of the three cycles, patients were clinically and radiologically re-evaluated and surgery was done if locally operable.

Results At the completion of three cycles, five patients were partial responders, four patients were complete responders, and five patients had progressive disease after three cycles. Those patients with response underwent surgery. There were no significant morbid intraoperative or postoperative complications observed in seven out of nine patients. At the end of treatment completion, five out of nine patients had tumor residue/high-risk features and were planned for adjuvant radiotherapy.

Conclusion For locally advanced oral tongue carcinomas, the role of induction chemotherapy before surgery has been fruitful and its impact on function preservation with acceptable oncological clearance is an emerging alternative. Spacing chemotherapy and radiotherapy reduce the incidence of adverse effects of combined treatment.

Computed tomography-based radiomics signature as a pretreatment predictor of progression-free survival in locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma with a different response to induction chemotherapy

PURPOSE

To establish and validate a radiomics signature for stratifying the risk of progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma (LAHC) undergoing induction chemotherapy (IC).

METHODS

We extracted radiomics features from baseline contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images. We enrolled 112 LAHC patients (78 in the training cohort and 34 in the validation cohort). We used cox regression model and random survival forests variable hunting (RSFVH) algorithm for feature selection and radiomics signature building. The radiomics signature was established in the training cohort and tested in the validation cohort. We used the Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test to evaluate the ability of radiomics signature in PFS risk stratification among patients with different IC responses and constructed a radiomics nomogram to predict individual PFS risk.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature performed well in stratifying patients into highrisk and low-risk groups of progression in both the training and validation cohorts. The radiomics nomogram showed good discriminative ability for predicting PFS. Survival outcome analysis of subsets indicated that the radiomics signature performed well in stratifying the risk of PFS in patients with LAHC with different IC responses.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics signature was a pretreatment predictor for PFS in patients with LAHC who exhibited different responses to IC.

Prognostic factor analysis and long-term results of the TAX 323 (EORTC 24971) study in unresectable head and neck cancer patients

BACKGROUND

In the TAX 323 (EORTC 24971) phase III trial enrolling patients with unresectable locoregionally advanced squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (LA-SCCHN), the addition of docetaxel (T) to cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (PF)-based induction chemotherapy prior to definite radiotherapy significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

METHODS

The data were updated for PFS, OS and treatment-related long-term side-effects. Baseline clinical and laboratory data of 17 variables were collected and subjected to univariate and multivariate prognostic factor analyses for OS.

RESULTS

All 358 patients randomised between 1999 and 2002 were included in the long-term analysis with a median follow-up of 8.6 years. The primary end-point of PFS remained significantly improved with TPF compared with PF (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.70; 95% CI, 0.56-0.88, p = 0.002), translating into a persisting benefit in OS (adjusted HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.60-0.95, p = 0.015). Long-term side-effects in the TPF/PF arms comprised tracheostomy (7%/5%), feeding tube dependency (3%/6%) and gastrostomy (11%/11%). Second malignancy occurred in 8%/3%, respectively. Out of 177 patients randomised to the TPF arm, 160 were included in the multivariate analysis. Grade 2 or more dysphagia (p = 0.002) and grade 2 or more pain (p = 0.004) at baseline were identified as independent negative prognostic factors. In addition, OS differed across primary tumour sites (p = 0.027) and was worse in patients with a higher N-stage (p = 0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

In LA-SCCHN patients treated with sequential chemoradiotherapy, TPF induction chemotherapy demonstrated long-lasting efficacy, superior to the PF regimen. Higher-grade dysphagia and pain are unfavourable prognosticators.

The Slippery Role of Induction Chemotherapy in Head and Neck Cancer: Myth and Reality

Chemoradiotherapy as an alternative to surgery can be offered to patients affected by loco-regionally advanced head and neck cancer (HNC). Induction chemotherapy is a valid option, supported by few positive trials, but its real efficacy is still a matter of debate. The standard regimen for induction chemotherapy in Europe is a combination of docetaxel (75 mg/m²) and reduced dose doses of cisplatin (75 mg/m²) and 5-fluorouracil (750 mg/m² day, for five consecutive days) (TPF). It is less toxic and more effective than the historical therapy PF (cisplatin 100 mg/m² and fluorouracil 1,000 mg/m²/day for five consecutive days). However, in some studies treatment-related mortality has been reported to be as high as 6%. Therefore, some less toxic combinations, such as a modified TPF regimen and the combination of carboplatin plus paclitaxel have been studied. These regimens are showing promising results but deserve further validation in comparative trials. Furthermore, several trials are underway in order to enhance TPF with immune checkpoints inhibitors. Compared to chemoradiotherapy, induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiation was shown to be non-inferior, and it could decrease the distant metastatic progression, especially in high-risk populations. For selected patients, induction chemotherapy could be a strong option. The chemoselective process that leads to immediate surgery for non-responders, the high response rate (complete responses are sometimes observed), and the survival data, are all arguments in favor of induction chemotherapy, if performed in experienced centers involving health professionals in the context of a skilled multidisciplinary team.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of gemcitabine plus cisplatin versus fluorouracil plus cisplatin in the first-line setting for Chinese patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

A randomized phase III trial demonstrated that gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GP) prolonged progression-free survival and overall survival compared with fluorouracil plus cisplatin (FP) as first-line chemotherapy in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The cost-effectiveness analysis was designed to identify the economic option for metastatic NPC from a Chinese societal perspective.

METHODS

We established a Markov model that involved three health states representing the stages of disease to simulate therapy. Survival data of clinical outcomes were derived from the trial and adjusted to quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Transition probabilities and health utilities were obtained from the clinical trial and published literatures. The cost-effective strategy was estimated for these treatments using a willing-to-pay (WTP) threshold. A one-way sensitivity analysis was conducted to study the influences of parameters.

RESULTS

GP treatment group produced a gain of 0.37 QALYs with an incremental cost of $2520.80, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $6812.97 per QALY, compared with FP treatment ($15,530.96 versus $13,010.16). The ICER was lower than the accepted WTP threshold, which was 3 times gross domestic product per capita of China ($25,749 per QALY).

CONCLUSION

GP regimen is more cost-effective compared with FP regimen as the first-line treatment for Chinese patients with metastatic NPC.

Induction Chemotherapy in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Question of Belief

Induction chemotherapy (IC) in locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LA HNSCC) has been used for decades. However, its role is yet to be clearly defined outside of larynx preservation. Patients with high risk of distant failure might potentially benefit from sequential treatment. It is now widely accepted that TPF (docetaxel, cisplatin, and fluorouracil) is the standard IC regimen. Essays that have compared this approach with the standard of care, concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT), are mostly inconclusive. Radiotherapy (RT) can be used in the post-IC setting and be sensitized by chemotherapy or cetuximab. Again, no consensus exists but there seems to be trend in favor of potentiation by cisplatin. Less toxic schemes of IC are tested as toxicity is a major issue with TPF. IC might have an interesting role in human papilloma virus (HPV)-related LA HNSCC and lead to CCRT de-escalation.

Induction chemotherapy in locally advanced squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck: role, controversy, and future directions

Background

The value of induction chemotherapy (ICT) remains under investigation despite decades of research. New advancements in the field, specifically regarding the induction regimen of choice, have reignited interest in this approach for patients with locally advanced squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (LA SCCHN). Sufficient evidence has accumulated regarding the benefits and superiority of TPF (docetaxel, cisplatin, and fluorouracil) over the chemotherapy doublet cisplatin and fluorouracil. We therefore sought to collate and interpret the available data and further discuss the considerations for delivering ICT safely and optimally selecting suitable post-ICT regimens.

Design

We nonsystematically reviewed published phase III clinical trials on TPF ICT in a variety of LA SCCHN patient populations conducted between 1990 and 2017.

Results

TPF may confer survival and organ preservation benefits in a subgroup of patients with functionally inoperable or poor-prognosis LA SCCHN. Additionally, patients with operable disease or good prognosis (who are not candidates for organ preservation) may benefit from TPF induction in terms of reducing local and distant failure rates and facilitating treatment deintensification in selected populations. The safe administration of TPF requires treatment by a multidisciplinary team at an experienced institution. The management of adverse events associated with TPF and post-ICT radiotherapy-based treatment is crucial. Finally, post-ICT chemotherapy alternatives to cisplatin concurrent with radiotherapy (i.e. cetuximab or carboplatin plus radiotherapy) appear promising and must be investigated further.

Conclusions

TPF is an evidence-based ICT regimen of choice in LA SCCHN and confers benefits in suitable patients when it is administered safely by an experienced multidisciplinary team and paired with the optimal post-ICT regimen, for which, however, no consensus currently exists.

A systematic literature review of health state utility values in head and neck cancer

BACKGROUND

Health state utility values (HSUVs) are essential parameters in model-based economic evaluations. This study systematically identifies HSUVs in head and neck cancer and provides guidance for selecting them from a growing body of health-related quality of life studies.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed the published literature by searching PubMed, EMBASE and The Cochrane Library using a pre-defined combination of keywords. The Tufts Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry and the School of Health and Related Research Health Utilities Database (ScHARRHUD) specifically containing health utilities were also queried, in addition to the Health Economics Research Centre database of mapping studies. Studies were considered for inclusion if reporting original HSUVs assessed using established techniques. The characteristics of each study including country, design, sample size, cancer subsite addressed and demographics of responders were summarized narratively using a data extraction form. Quality scoring and critical appraisal of the included studies were performed based on published recommendations.

RESULTS

Of a total 1048 records identified by the search, 28 studies qualified for data extraction and 346 unique HSUVs were retrieved from them. HSUVs were estimated using direct methods (e.g. standard gamble; n = 10 studies), multi-attribute utility instruments (MAUIs; n = 13) and mapping techniques (n = 3); two studies adopted both direct and indirect approaches. Within the MAUIs, the EuroQol 5-dimension questionnaire (EQ-5D) was the most frequently used (n = 11), followed by the Health Utility Index Mark 3 (HUI3; n = 2), the 15D (n = 2) and the Short Form-Six Dimension (SF-6D; n = 1). Different methods and types of responders (i.e. patients, healthy subjects, clinical experts) influenced the magnitude of HSUVs for comparable health states. Only one mapping study developed an original algorithm using head and neck cancer data. The identified studies were considered of intermediate quality.

DISCUSSION

This review provides a dataset of HSUVs systematically retrieved from published studies in head and neck cancer. There is currently a lack of research for some disease phases including recurrent and metastatic cancer, and treatment-related complications. In selecting HSUVs for cost-effectiveness modeling purposes, preference should be given to EQ-5D utility values; however, mapping to EQ-5D is a potentially valuable technique that should be further developed in this cancer population.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of human papillomavirus vaccination of boys for the prevention of oropharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND

Many western countries have established female human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programs for the prevention of cervical cancer. The quadrivalent HPV vaccine (HPV4) has proven efficacy against additional HPV-related disease in both sexes, but the cost effectiveness of male HPV vaccination remains controversial. To assess the cost effectiveness of male HPV vaccination in Canada with respect to oropharyngeal cancer (OPC), the authors performed a preliminary cost-effectiveness analysis.

METHODS

After an extensive literature review regarding HPV-related OPC in Canadian males, health care costs and clinical effectiveness estimates were obtained. A Markov model was used to compare the potential costs and effectiveness of HPV4 versus no vaccination among boys aged 12 years. A theoretical cohort based on a Canadian population of 192,940 boys aged 12 years in 2012 was assumed to apply the model. A 3-month cycle length was used with a "lifetime" time horizon. The outcome of the analysis was the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Sensitivity analyses were conducted on variables, including the vaccine uptake rate and vaccine efficacy.

RESULTS

Assuming 99% vaccine efficacy and 70% uptake, HPV4 produced 0.05 more QALYs and saved $145 Canadian dollars (CAD) per individual compared with no vaccine (QALYs and costs were discounted at 5% per year). Assuming 50% vaccine efficacy and 50% uptake, HPV4 produced 0.023 more QALYs and saved $42 CAD. The results indicated that HPV4 in males may potentially save between $8 and $28 million CAD for the theoretical cohort of 192,940 over its lifetime.

CONCLUSIONS

On the basis of this model, HPV vaccination for boys aged 12 years may be a cost-effective strategy for the prevention of OPC in Canada.

Economic analyses in squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck: a review of the literature from a clinical perspective

The purpose of this review was to describe cost-effectiveness and cost analysis studies across treatment modalities for squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN), while placing their results in context of the current clinical practice. We performed a literature search in PubMed for English-language studies addressing economic analyses of treatment modalities for SCCHN published from January 2000 to March 2013. We also performed an additional search for related studies published by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence in the United Kingdom. Identified articles were classified into 3 clinical approaches (organ preservation, radiation therapy modalities, and chemotherapy regimens) and into 2 types of economic studies (cost analysis and cost-effectiveness/cost-utility studies). All cost estimates were normalized to US dollars, year 2013 values. Our search yielded 23 articles: 13 related to organ preservation approaches, 5 to radiation therapy modalities, and 5 to chemotherapy regimens. In general, studies analyzed different questions and modalities, making it difficult to reach a conclusion. Even when restricted to comparisons of modalities within the same clinical approach, studies often yielded conflicting findings. The heterogeneity across economic studies of SCCHN should be carefully understood in light of the modeling assumptions and limitations of each study and placed in context with relevant settings of clinical practices and study perspectives. Furthermore, the scarcity of comparative effectiveness and quality-of-life data poses unique challenges for conducting economic analyses for a resource-intensive disease, such as SCCHN, that requires a multimodal care. Future research is needed to better understand how to compare the costs and cost-effectiveness of different modalities for SCCHN.

Cost effectiveness of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in locally advanced operable head and neck cancer followed by surgery and postoperative radiotherapy: a Markov model-based decision analysis

INTRODUCTION

Head and neck carcinomas are among the most frequent tumor diseases and, because of different multimodal therapy options, cause enormous costs. For this reason, we examined whether in operable advanced head and neck carcinomas, neoadjuvant induction chemotherapy is cost effective in comparison with surgery followed by postoperative radio(chemo)therapy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A Markov model was developed with paclitaxel, cisplatin and fluorouracil as induction therapy. The legal health insurance in Germany was chosen for cost perspectives, and a willingness-to-pay limit at EUR 38,000 was set.

RESULTS

Total costs for surgery with postoperative radiochemotherapy amounted to EUR 13,999. Prior induction chemotherapy raised the costs to EUR 17,377, with a higher effectiveness by 0.1 years of life. Costs per year of life gained are EUR 33,780. The incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) with variations in side effects for surgery and postoperative chemotherapy amounted to between EUR 31,520 and 36,050. With variations in side effects for induction chemotherapy, the ICER amounted to EUR 30,060-37,520. The Monte Carlo simulation disclosed cost effectiveness for 55.4% of the patients; for 44.6%, there was no cost effectiveness.

CONCLUSION

The Markov-modeled cost effectiveness analysis indicates that with operable head and neck tumors, induction therapy with paclitaxel, cisplatin and fluorouracil is cost effective.

Pharmacoeconomic issues in head and neck oncology

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Despite medical advances, the global incidence, morbidity and mortality associated with head and neck cancer remain high. Pharmacoeconomic analyses of chemotherapeutic options commonly used by head and neck oncologists are reviewed in context with current clinical practice.

RECENT FINDINGS

From the British health system perspective, cetuximab with radiotherapy in locally advanced head and neck was found to be cost-effective compared to single modality radiotherapy in patients with a good performance status, and in whom platinum agents are contraindicated. Induction chemotherapy with the three-drug regimen docetaxel, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil is considered cost-effective when compared to the doublet cisplatin-5-fluorouracil from the British and Italian perspectives. However, it is unclear whether induction chemotherapy per se is effective when compared to chemoradiotherapy. Cetuximab with chemotherapy is not recommended from a British health perspective for patients with metastatic/recurrent disease, whereas it is the preferred regimen in commonly used guidelines in the US, where economic evaluations are not incorporated in the drug approval process.

SUMMARY

The critical assessment and utilization of pharmacoeconomic evaluations, always in context with current clinical practice, should be further performed and promoted in head and neck oncology.

Induction chemotherapy for locoregionally advanced head and neck cancer: past, present, future?

The treatment of patients with locoregionally advanced squamous cell cancer of the head and neck is still evolving. Induction chemotherapy (IC) is widely used in this patient population and it is unclear how to best incorporate IC into multimodality treatment. Recently, the results of two randomized clinical trials were presented (the PARADIGM and Docetaxel Based Chemotherapy Plus or Minus Induction Chemotherapy to Decrease Events in Head and Neck Cancer trials), which showed no demonstrable benefit of IC followed by concurrent chemoradiation over concurrent chemoradiotherapy alone. However, a lower rate of distant metastatic disease was noted, suggesting that patients who are at high risk for metastatic disease may benefit from IC. This review summarizes how IC has evolved over the years, provides an update of recent developments, and discusses how IC may develop in the future.

Early prediction of survival following induction chemotherapy with DCF (docetaxel, cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil) using FDG PET/CT imaging in patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

Locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) has a high rate of recurrence. Induction chemotherapy with DCF (docetaxel, cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil) before chemoradiotherapy could lead to the best disease control of inoperable stage III/IV HNSCC but with an increased risk of acute toxicity. Early assessment of therapeutic efficacy is a key issue in considering the benefit of escalation in a poor prognosis population.

METHODS

Patients with stage III/IV HNSCC, in whom DCF induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy had been validated by a multidisciplinary team, were prospectively included in the study. FDG PET/CT scans were performed in all patients before and after two of the three cycles of DCF. EORTC99 criteria were used to evaluate PET responses as follows: group 1 (metabolic responders) showing a complete response (CR) or partial response (PR), and subgroup 0 (metabolic nonresponders) showing stable disease (SD) or progressive disease (PD). The primary endpoint for monitoring patients was event-free survival (EFS). EFS probabilities between the two groups were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and statistically compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Fifteen consecutive patients (14 men, 1 woman; age 57.5 ± 6.2 years, mean ± SD) were analysed. Therapeutic assessment by PET/CT demonstrated CR in four patients, PR in six, SD in four and PD in one. Among the ten patients with a metabolic response (group 1), none had relapsed at the time of this report, while four of five patients with no metabolic response (group 0) showed recurrence within an average of 9.0 ± 1.6 months. Median EFS was, respectively, 18.9 months (3.8-25.3 months) and 10.2 months (7.5-12.7 months) in group 1 and group 0. The corresponding 1-year EFS rates were 100 % and 20 %, respectively. The difference in EFS between the two groups was statistically significant (p = 0.0014).

CONCLUSION

Early therapeutic response demonstrated on FDG PET/CT after two cycles of induction chemotherapy with DCF in patients with inoperable stage III/IV HNSCC seems to be a predictive factor for EFS.