Development and validation of a new tool to estimate early mortality in patients with advanced cancer treated with immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are standard treatments for advanced solid cancers. Resistance to ICIs, both primary and secondary, poses challenges, with early mortality (EM) within 30-90 days indicating a lack of benefit. Prognostic factors for EM, including the lung immune prognostic index (LIPI), remain underexplored.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, observational study including patients affected by advanced solid tumors, treated with ICI as single agent or combined with other agents. Logistic regression models identified factors associated with EM and 90-day progression risks. A nomogram for predicting 90-day mortality was built and validated within an external cohort.

RESULTS

In total, 637 patients received ICIs (single agent or in combination with other drugs) for advanced solid tumors. Most patients were male (61.9%), with NSCLC as the prevalent tumor (61.8%). Within the cohort, 21.3% died within 90 days, 8.4% died within 30 days, and 34.5% experienced early progression. Factors independently associated with 90-day mortality included ECOG PS 2 and a high/intermediate LIPI score. For 30-day mortality, lung metastasis and a high/intermediate LIPI score were independent risk factors. Regarding early progression, high/intermediate LIPI score was independently associated. A predictive nomogram for 90-day mortality combining LIPI and ECOG PS achieved an AUC of 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.81). The discrimination ability of the nomogram was confirmed in the external validation cohort (n = 255) (AUC 0.72, 95% CI 0.64-0.80).

CONCLUSION

LIPI and ECOG PS independently were able to estimate 90-day mortality, with LIPI also demonstrating prognostic validity for 30-day mortality and early progression.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) in NSCLC, Gastrointestinal, and Other Solid Tumors: Immunotherapy and Beyond

In the era of immunotherapy, identifying biomarkers of immune system activation has become a high-priority challenge. The blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been largely investigated as a biomarker in several cancer types. NLR values have been shown to mirror the tumor-induced inflammatory status and have been demonstrated to be a reliable prognostic tool across stages of disease and therapeutic approaches. When integrated with other biomarkers of response to immunotherapy, such as PD-L1, tumor mutational burden, and tumor-associated immune cells, the NLR may allow to further stratify patients with different likelihoods of deriving a significant clinical benefit. However, despite its accessibility, low cost, and easy interpretation, the NLR is still poorly used as a prognostic tool in daily clinical practice. In this review, we analyze the role of the NLR in defining the relationship between cancer and the immune system, its usefulness in daily clinical practice, and its relationship with other established or emerging biomarkers of immunotherapy outcomes.

Value of the Lung Immune Prognostic Index in Patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Initiating First-Line Atezolizumab Combination Therapy: Subgroup Analysis of the IMPOWER150 Trial

The lung immune prognostic index (LIPI) is proposed to differentiate prognosis and treatment benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). There is minimal information on the predictive importance with first-line, combination ICI approaches. In post-hoc analysis of IMpower150, Cox-proportional hazard analysis assessed the association between LIPI groups and overall survival (OS)/progression free survival (PFS). IMpower150 involved chemotherapy-naïve, metastatic non-squamous NSCLC participants randomized atezolizumab-carboplatin-paclitaxel (ACP), bevacizumab-carboplatin-paclitaxel (BCP), or atezolizumab-BCP (ABCP). Good (0 factors), intermediate (1 factor), and poor LIPI (2 factors) were defined via derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio >3, and lactate dehydrogenase >upper limit of normal. Of 1148 participants, 548 had good, 479 intermediate, and 121 poor LIPI. In 385 participants randomised ABCP, a significant association between LIPI and OS (HR (95%CI): intermediate LIPI = 2.16 (1.47-3.18), poor LIPI = 5.28 (3.20-8.69), p < 0.001) and PFS (HR (95%CI): intermediate LIPI = 1.47 (1.11-1.95), poor LIPI = 3.02 (2.03-4.50), p < 0.001) was identified. Median OS was 24, 16, and 7 months for good, intermediate, and poor LIPI, respectively. ACP associations were similar. Relative OS treatment effect (HR 95%CI) of ABCP vs. BCP was 0.78 (0.53-1.15), 0.67 (0.49-0.91), and 0.87 (0.51-1.47) for the good, intermediate, and poor LIPI groups, respectively (P(interaction) = 0.66), with no benefit in median OS observed in the poor LIPI group. LIPI identified subgroups with significantly different survival following ABCP and ACP initiation for chemotherapy-naïve, metastatic non-squamous NSCLC. There was insufficient evidence that LIPI identifies patients unlikely to benefit from ABCP treatment.

The LIPI score and inflammatory biomarkers for selection of patients with solid tumors treated with checkpoint inhibitors

Over the last decade, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have completely changed the treatment strategy and the prognosis of several solid cancer types. There is a lack of biomarkers to differ between responders and non-responders to these therapies. The development of biomarkers for immunotherapy has been mainly focused on tumor-related factors. The role of PD-L1 expression or tumor mutational burden (TMB) as potential predictive biomarkers for ICI efficacy is not universal and remains controversial. Moreover, leukocyte and neutrophil counts in blood samples have been used to develop clinical indicators of systemic inflammation like the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) based on the host immunologic status to respond against cancer cells by the immune-effectors. The Lung Immune Prognostic Index (LIPI) score have been developed as a reliable tool to assess the risk stratification of patients with cancer and to guide treatment decisions in the era of personalized cancer treatments. We review the clinical evidence supporting the use of the LIPI index as a clinically valuable biomarker for patients with NSCLC and other solid tumor types, treated with immunotherapy.