Quantitative lymph node burden as a 'very-high-risk' factor identifying head and neck cancer patients benefiting from postoperative chemoradiation

Lymph node metastasis burden identifies head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients benefiting from adjuvant chemoradiation: A propensity score-matching

INTRODUCTION

To examine the influence of adjuvant chemoradiation therapy (CRT) on survival, stratified by varying numbers and level involved of metastatic lymph nodes in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgery for metastatic, negative margin HNSCC without extranodal extension were retrospectively enrolled and divided into two groups based on adjuvant therapy received: radiotherapy (RT) and CRT. The impact of RT versus CRT, stratified by the number of positive lymph nodes and the level involved, on Disease-Free Survival (DFS) and Overall Survival (OS) was analyzed.

RESULTS

Following propensity score matching, a total of 580 patients were included. The burden and level of lymph node metastasis were independent predictors of poorer survival. Among patients with no more than two positive lymph nodes or involvement of levels I-III, the addition of chemotherapy to RT did not demonstrate a significant improvement in prognosis. However, in patients with three or more positive lymph nodes, CRT showed improved DFS and OS compared to RT. In patients with involvement of levels IV-V, the addition of chemotherapy to RT resulted in a significant 24 % reduction in the risk of recurrence and a 20 % decrease in the risk of death.

CONCLUSION

Incorporation of adjuvant chemoradiation can lead to a favorable prognosis in patients with metastatic HNSCC. This impact was notable in cases where there were three or more positive lymph nodes or involvement of levels IV-V.

Number of positive lymph nodes and lymph node ratio predict recurrence and survival in hypopharyngeal cancer based on SEER database and validation of real-world data

PURPOSE

This study investigated the impacts of the number of positive lymph nodes (NPLN) and lymph node ratio (LN ratio) for patients with hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPSCC) based on SEER database, which were validated in the real-world data of China.

METHODS

A total of 520 patients from SEER database were analyzed. Then 195 patients with pathologically stage III or IV HPSCC in our center were retrospectively studied.

RESULTS

In the SEER database, NPLN ≥ 3 was found in 36.9% of patients. Multivariate analysis revealed that LN ratio ≥ 0.138 was significant with poorer overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.525, p = 0.001) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) (HR = 1.697, p < 0.001), so was the NPLN ≥ 3 (HR = 1.388, p = 0.013; HR = 1.479, p = 0.008). Patients with NPLN ≥ 3 were found in 103 (52.8%) in our center. Multivariate analysis confirmed a significant association regarding OS (p = 0.005) or CSS (p = 0.003) between patients with LN ratio ≥ 0.138 or not. In addition, disease recurrence rate differed significantly between the patients with NPLN ≥ 3 (27.2%) and NPLN < 3 (14.1%, p = 0.026). Moreover, postoperative chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) was significantly associated with better prognosis in patients with NPLN ≥ 3.

CONCLUSION

In the SEER database, NPLN ≥ 3 and LN ratio ≥ 0.138 were independent poor prognostic factors for patients with HPSCC. Whereas identifying worldwide cut-off values for LN ratio is difficult and surgeon-dependent. In our cohort, adjuvant CCRT was beneficial for OS in patients with NPLN ≥ 3.

Comparison of the prognostic value of lymph node yield, lymph node ratio, and number of lymph node metastases in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of lymph node yield (LNY), lymph node ratio (LNR), and the number of lymph node metastases (LNMs) in patients affected by oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC).

METHODS

The study included patients who underwent surgical treatment for primary OSCC. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated to determine the optimal threshold values. Kaplan-Meier curves were employed, along with the log-rank test, for the analysis of survival. To compare the performance in terms of model fit, we computed Akaike's information criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

This study enrolled 429 patients. Prognostic thresholds were determined at 22 for LNY, 6.6% for LNR, and 3 for the number of LNMs. The log-rank test revealed a significant improvement in both overall survival and progression-free survival for patients with a LNR of ≤6.6% or a number of LNMs of ≤3 (p < 0.05). Interestingly, LNY did not demonstrate prognostic significance. The AIC analyses indicated that the number of LNMs is a superior prognostic indicator compared to LNY and LNR.

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporating LNR or the number of LNMs into the TNM classification has the potential to improve the prognostic value, as in other types of cancers. Particularly, the inclusion of the number of LNMs should be contemplated for future N staging.

The role of radiomics in tongue cancer: A new tool for prognosis prediction

BACKGROUND

Radiomics represents an emerging field of precision-medicine. Its application in head and neck is still at the beginning.

METHODS

Retrospective study about magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) based radiomics in oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC) surgically treated (2010-2019; 79 patients). All preoperative MRIs include different sequences (T1, T2, DWI, ADC). Tumor volume was manually segmented and exported to radiomic-software, to perform feature extraction. Statistically significant variables were included in multivariable analysis and related to survival endpoints. Predictive models were elaborated (clinical, radiomic, clinical-radiomic models) and compared using C-index.

RESULTS

In almost all clinical-radiomic models radiomic-score maintained statistical significance. In all cases C-index was higher in clinical-radiomic models than in clinical ones. ADC provided the best fit to the models (C-index 0.98, 0.86, 0.84 in loco-regional recurrence, cause-specific mortality, overall survival, respectively).

CONCLUSION

MRI-based radiomics in OTSCC represents a promising noninvasive method of precision medicine, improving prognosis prediction before surgery.

Predictive Value of 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron-Emission Tomography Metabolic and Volumetric Parameters for Systemic Metastasis in Tonsillar Cancer

Although the prognosis of tonsillar cancer (human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma) is improving, disease control failure (distant metastasis) still occurs in some cases. We explored whether several 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron-emission tomography (PET) parameters can predict metastasis. We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 55 patients with tonsil squamous cell carcinoma who underwent pretreatment 18F-FDG positron-emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) followed by primary surgery. During the follow-up period, systemic metastases were found in 7 of the 55 patients. The most common sites were the lungs (33%), bone (22%), brain/skull base (22%), small bowel (11%), and liver (11%). Pathologically, P53 mutation was less common in patients with systemic metastasis (41.7% vs. 14.3%, p = 0.054) than without systemic metastasis. In terms of PET parameters, the metabolic tumor volume (MTV2.5) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG2.5) values were lower in the primary tumor, and higher in the metastatic lymph nodes, of human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive compared to HPV-negative patients (all p < 0.05). The MTV2.5, TLG2.5, and tumor−to−liver uptake ratio were 36.07 ± 54.24 cm3, 183.46 ± 298.62, and 4.90 ± 2.77, respectively, in the systemic metastasis group, respectively; all of these values were higher than those of the patients without systemic metastasis (all p < 0.05). The MTV2.5 value was significantly different between the groups even when the values for the primary tumor and metastatic lymph nodes were summed (53.53 ± 57.78 cm3, p = 0.036). The cut-off value, area under the curve (95% confidence interval), sensitivity, and specificity of MTV2.5 for predicting systemic metastasis were 11.250 cm3, 0.584 (0.036−0.832), 0.571, and 0.565, respectively. The MTV2.5 of metastatic lymph nodes and summed MTV2.5 values of the primary tumor and metastatic lymph nodes were significantly higher in tonsillar cancer patients with than without systemic metastases. We suggest PET/CT scanning for pre-treatment cancer work-up and post-treatment surveillance to consider additional systemic therapy in patients with a high risk of disease control failure.

Prognostic impact of the number of metastatic lymph nodes after surgery in locally advanced hypopharyngeal cancer

Background

Postoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is a standard therapy for patients with high-risk factors for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, including positive margin and extra-nodal extension (ENE). However, the prognostic impact of the number of pathological metastatic lymph nodes (pLNs) in hypopharyngeal carcinoma (HPC) is unclear. Thus, this study aimed to investigate postoperative prognostic factors for locally advanced hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HPSCC) with a focus on the number of pLNs.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed medical records of 99 consecutive patients with LA-HPSCC who underwent total pharyngo-laryngo-esophagectomy (TPLE) and bilateral neck dissection (ND) between December 2002 and May 2019.

Results

The median follow-up time for all censored patients was 63.2 months. The median overall survival (OS) was 101.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 48.1–134.9). patients had pLNs ≥ 3. Forty-six (45.5%) patients were diagnosed with ENE. Twenty (20.2%) patients received postoperative CRT. The multivariate analysis revealed that pLNs ≥ 3 (median OS: 163.2 vs. 31.8 months, hazard ratio [HR] 2.39, 95% CI 1.16–4.94, p < 0.01) and ENE (median OS: 161.0 vs. 26.3 months, HR 4.60, 95% CI 2.26–9.36, p < 0.01) were significantly associated with poor prognosis and that postoperative CRT (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.16–0.72, p < 0.01) was significantly associated with better prognosis. The cumulative incidence of distant metastasis was higher in patients with pLNs ≥ 3 than in those with pLNs < 3 (p < 0.01).

Conclusion

pLNs ≥ 3 and ENE were significant poor prognostic factors for patients with LA-HPSCC who underwent TPLE and bilateral ND.

The Prognostic Prediction Value of Positive Lymph Nodes Numbers for the Hypopharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background

The current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) system only considered the importance of the size and laterality of lymph nodes while not the positive lymph node number (PLNN) for hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPSCC).

Methods

A total of 973 patients with HPSCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004–2015) were identified. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic effects. We applied six Cox regression models to compare the survival prognostic values of PLNN and AJCC systems.

Results

Positive lymph node number showed a significant association with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) (P &lt; 0.001) in univariate and multivariable analyses. The increased PLNN of HPSCC gave rise to poor OS and CSS. The survival model incorporating a composite of PLNN and TNM classification (C-index for OS:0.682, C-index for CSS:0.702) performed better than other models.

Conclusions

A positive lymph node number could serve as a survival predictor for patients with HPSCC and a complement to enhance the prognostic assessment effects of TNM cancer staging systems.

Oncological Analysis and Surgical Outcomes in Postcricoid Carcinoma: A 14 Years Retrospective Study

Background: Postcricoid carcinoma is a rare but aggressive type of hypopharyngeal carcinoma with poor prognosis and high mortality; thus, it is indispensable to investigate the surgical efficacy and multimodal strategies. Methods: This retrospective study included postcricoid carcinoma patients undergoing surgical resection from 2008 to 2022. Treatment methods and clinical characteristics were analyzed to evaluate prognostic factors for oncological outcomes. Results: Of 72 patients, 13 cases were in the I−II stage and 59 in the III−IV stage. The overall survival (OS) was 50.0%; the laryngeal function preservation rate was 69.4%. Univariate analysis found that high mortality was associated with low tumor differentiation, lymph node metastasis, neck recurrence, and smoke history via log-rank test (p < 0.05); postoperative radiotherapy (RT) remained positive in OS (p = 0.04). The multivariable model further revealed that lymph node metastasis was a dominant determinant after accounting for covariates (HR 1.75; 95% CI 0.85−3.59). The data also indicated that neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and tumor diameter ≤ 2 cm were causing lower rates of pharyngeal fistula and locoregional relapse. Conclusions: Surgeons should emphasize high-risk features and optimize individualized surgical procedures for postcricoid carcinoma patients. Combined with multimodal treatments, it is feasible to reconstruct laryngeal function and lessen postoperative morbidities in advanced patients.

Comparison of Different Staging Systems Applied to a Cohort of Patients With Oral Tongue and Floor of the Mouth Cancer

Purpose: The present work compares the effects produced by the application of the 7th edition of the tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging system (TNM7), 8th Edition (TNM8) with its two subsequent revisions, and pN-N+ classification on a cohort of patients with oral tongue and floor of the mouth cancer. Methods: A monocentric cohort of 148 patients was retrospectively analyzed. Patients were staged according to the TNM7, TNM8 and revisions, and pN-N+ classification. Stage migration was assessed and overall survival (OS) analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method. The pT, pN, and stage stratification was evaluated with univariate and multivariate Cox regression and comparing adjacent categories with the log-rank method. Results: pT3-T4a categories showed significant differences in comparison to pT1-T2 for each staging metric employed in both uni- and multivariate analysis. When comparing adjacent pT categories, OS was significantly different only between pT2 and pT3 categories of the TNM8. Disproportionate patient distribution among pN categories was observed in the TNM8, and stratification was scarce. Conversely, in the pN-N+ classification the difference between pN2 and pN3a categories was significant. Only stage IVa reached statistical significance in TNM7, whereas stage III and above were significant in TNM8 and revisions in both uni- and multivariate analysis. However, no significant difference was noted comparing adjacent stages. Conclusion: The TNM8 pT classification differentiated low- from high-risk diseases. Nonetheless, it failed to separate pT1 from pT2 and pT3 from pT4a categories. Conversely, although TNM8 nodal staging was inaccurate, the number of metastatic lymph nodes was more valuable.

The number of metastatic lymph nodes optimizes staging in patients aged 55 years or older with papillary thyroid cancer

PURPOSE

Current staging criteria for papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) do not include the number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs), which is highly predictive of survival in multiple cancers. The LN metastasis burden is particularly relevant for older adults with thyroid cancer because of their poor prognosis. We examined a modified staging system for this population utilizing node number (Nn).

METHODS

Overall, 14,341 patients aged 55 years or older with stage I-IVB PTC were identified in the 2004-2015 Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. Cox regression models were conducted to test the relationship between positive LN number and PTC-specific survival (PTCSS). Independent training/validation sets were used to derive and validate a new revised TNnM grouping. The 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system was compared with TNnM stage by calculating the 10-year PTCSS rates, Harrell's concordance index (C-index), and Akaike's information criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

An increase in number of LN metastases was identified as an independent, negative prognostic factor for PTCSS in multivariate analysis. 10-year PTCSS for stage I-IVB based on the AJCC 8th edition TNM were 98.83%, 93.49%, 71.21%, 72.95%, and 58.52%, respectively, while 10-year PTCSS for the corresponding stage in the TNnM were 98.59%, 92.2%, 83.26%, 75.24%, and 56.73%, respectively. The revised TNnM stage was superior, with a higher C-index and a lower AIC in both the training and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The TNnM staging system for PTC patients ≥ 55 years could be associated with improved outcomes. External validation studies of this system are warranted.

Prognostic impact of extranodal extension in resected head and neck squamous cell carcinomas in the era of postoperative chemoradiation: A retrospective monocentric study

BACKGROUND

For patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LAHNSCC), surgery (S) followed by radiotherapy (RT) is a standard of care. Randomized controlled trials have shown that postoperative chemoradiation (CRT) increased the locoregional control (LRC) and overall survival (OS) in patient with R1-resection margin and/or extranodal extension (ENE). ENE has been introduced in the 8th TNM staging classification since its presence has been shown to have an independent adverse prognostic impact. The data supporting this finding were however mainly collected in the pre-CRT era.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to challenge the adverse prognostic factor of ENE in the era of CRT.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed to evaluate patients diagnosed with LAHNSCC and undergoing a treatment by S and postoperative RT or CRT in Centre Léon Bérard, Lyon, France between 2003 and 2018. Patients with oral cavity, oropharyngeal, laryngeal and hypopharyngeal SCC were included.

RESULTS

439 patients were included in the study. For patients with non-oropharyngeal p16-positive tumors without ENE, five-year OS, local control, and regional control (RC) reached 63.7%, 86.1%, and 94.9%, respectively; corresponding figures for patients with ENE reached, 42.6%, 77.5%, and 81.1%, respectively (p-value of 0.0006, 0.167, and 0.0005). In multivariable analysis, for non-oropharyngeal p16-positive tumors, ENE remained a poor prognostic factor for OS (RR = 1.74, 95%, CI = 1.16-2.61, p = 0.0069) and RC (RR 3.60, 95% CI =: 1.64-7.87, p = 0.0013).

CONCLUSION

In the era or postoperative chemoradiation, pathological ENE remains an adverse prognostic factor for OS and RC.

Microscopic Extranodal Extension in HPV-Negative Head and Neck Cancer and the Role of Adjuvant Chemoradiation

OBJECTIVE

Pathologic extranodal extension (ENE) is an important adverse feature for human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), but the prognostic significance of microscopic ENE (ENEmi) and role of adjuvant concurrent chemoradiation (CRT) for ENEmi remain unclear. This study evaluates (1) the prognostic significance of ENEmi in HPV-negative HNSCC and (2) whether adjuvant CRT is associated with improved overall survival (OS) for these patients.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Commission on Cancer (CoC)-accredited facilities.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients in the National Cancer Database from 2009 to 2015 with pathologic node-positive (pN+) HPV-negative HNSCC with either pathologic ENEmi or no ENE who had undergone margin-negative surgery. The association of ENEmi with OS was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard analyses. Analyses were repeated in patients with ENEmi receiving adjuvant therapy to evaluate the association of adjuvant CRT with OS.

RESULTS

We included 5483 patients with pN+ HPV-negative HNSCC, of whom 24% had ENEmi. On multivariable analysis, ENEmi was associated with decreased OS relative to no ENE (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.43; 95% CI, 1.28-1.59). Among patients with ENEmi who received ≥60 Gy of adjuvant radiation therapy (RT) (n = 617), adjuvant CRT was not associated with improved OS relative to RT (aHR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.66-1.27).

CONCLUSION

For patients with HPV-negative HNSCC, pN+ with ENEmi is associated with worse OS than pN+ without ENE. However, for patients with ENEmi, concurrent CRT is not associated with improved OS relative to RT. The optimal adjuvant paradigm for ENEmi requires additional investigation.

The addition of chemotherapy to adjuvant radiation is associated with inferior survival outcomes in intermediate-risk HPV-negative HNSCC

BACKGROUND

Only high-risk tumors with extranodal extension (ENE) and/or positive surgical margins (PSM) benefit from adjuvant therapy (AT) with concurrent chemoradiation (CRT) compared to radiation therapy (RT) in locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Optimal treatment for intermediate-risk tumors remains controversial. We categorized patients based on their surgical pathologic risk factors and described AT treatment patterns and associated survival outcomes.

METHODS

Patients were identified from CHANCE, a population-based study, and risk was classified based on surgical pathology review. High-risk patients (n = 204) required ENE and/or PSM. Intermediate-risk (n = 186) patients had pathological T3/T4 disease, perineural invasion (PNI), lymphovascular invasion (LVI), or positive lymph nodes without ENE. Low-risk patients (n = 226) had none of these features.

RESULTS

We identified 616 HPV-negative HNSCC patients who received primary surgical resection with neck dissection. High-risk patients receiving AT had favorable OS (HR 0.50, p = 0.013) which was significantly improved with the addition of chemotherapy compared to RT alone (HR 0.47, p = 0.021). When stratified by node status, the survival benefit of AT in high-risk patients persisted only among those who were node-positive (HR: 0.17, p < 0.0005). On the contrary, intermediate-risk patients did not benefit from AT (HR: 1.26, p = 0.380) and the addition of chemotherapy was associated with significantly worse OS compared to RT (HR: 1.76, p = 0.046).

CONCLUSION

In high-risk patients, adjuvant chemoradiotherapy improved OS compared to RT alone. The greatest benefit was in node-positive cases. In intermediate-risk patients, the addition of chemotherapy to RT increased mortality risk and therefore should only be used cautiously in these patients.

Nodal characteristics associated with adverse prognosis in oral cavity cancer are linked to host immune status

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Nodal metastasis is one of the strongest predictors of outcomes in oral cavity squamous cell carcinomas (OSCC). The aim was to analyze the interplay of nodal characteristics in OSCC prognosis.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study we included OSCC patients treated with primary surgery including neck dissection between 2005 and 2015 (n = 619). Disease-specific survival (DSS) was the primary endpoint. Optimal cutoffs were identified using recursive-partitioning analysis (RPA). A novel characteristic-metastatic focus-to-lymph node size ratio (MLR)-was introduced. We compared the American Joint Committee on Cancer, Eighth Edition (AJCC8) pN categories to a new categorization.

RESULTS

Patients with higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio had more adverse nodal characteristics. All nodal characteristics were significant predictors of DSS in univariable analysis. In multivariable analysis, only number of positive nodes and MLR remained significant. An RPA including all nodal covariates confirmed the results. Compared with AJCC8, our RPA categorization had better hazard discrimination (0.681 vs. 0.598), but poorer balance value (0.783 vs. 0.708).

CONCLUSION

Patients with higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio had more adverse nodal characteristics. Total number of metastatic lymph nodes is the strongest predictor of outcomes in OSCC. MLR is a more powerful predictor than metastatic lymph node size or metastatic focus size alone.

The role of adjuvant (chemo-)radiotherapy in oral cancers in the contemporary era

Squamous cell carcinoma of oral cavity (OSCC) is predominantly managed with surgery. Post-operative radiotherapy (PORT) and chemoradiotherapy (POCRT) enhance disease control in OSCC patients with adverse anatomic and pathologic primary and nodal features. Knowledge about disease behavior, surgery and radiotherapy advances, and the emergence of new systemic agents prompt refinement of PORT volumes and POCRT regimens. Traditional and emerging prognostic models that include adverse histopathological features underpin such approaches. This review summarizes research over recent decades with emphasis on the 2015 to Feb 2019 period describing: (1) Indications for PORT and/or POCRT, addressing surgical "margin status" including the definition of a "clear" margin to permit withholding PORT/POCRT; these concepts include characterizing the specimen yielding these measurements, the optimal time point to assess these findings, and the putative value of a "revised margin" performed during the same operative procedure, (2) Emerging prognostic factors including nodal burden (total number of involved lymph nodes) and perineural invasion, (3) PORT volume design, dose/fractionation and optimal surgery-to-PORT interval, (4) Chemotherapy dose, schedule, and agents, and (5) On-going clinical trials involving systemic agents and combinations of chemotherapy with immunotherapy.

Nodal grouping in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: prognostic significance, N classification, and a marker for the identification of candidates for induction chemotherapy

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the value of nodal grouping (NG), defined as the presence of at least three contiguous lymph nodes (LNs) within one LN region, in staging and management of patients with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

MR images were reviewed to evaluate LN variables, including NG. The Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate Cox regression models evaluated the association between the variables and survival. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) was used to measure the performance of prognostic models. The outcome of induction chemotherapy (IC) in patients with and without NG was compared using matched-pair analysis.

RESULTS

In 1224 patients enrolled, NG was found to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and regional recurrence-free survival. The hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) of NG for OS (3.86, 2.09-7.12) were higher than those of stage N2 (3.54, 1.89-6.70). On upgrading patients with NG from stages N1 to N2, the revised N staging yielded a higher C-index compared to the American Joint Committee on Cancer system in predicting PFS (0.664 vs. 0.658, p = 0.022) and DMFS (0.699 vs. 0.690, p = 0.005). Results of the matched-pair analysis revealed that for patients with NG in stages N1 and N2, IC was correlated with improved OS (p = 0.022), PFS (p = 0.007), and DMFS (p = 0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

NG is a significant prognostic factor for patients with NPC. Patients with NG may be upgraded from stages N1 to N2. NG was also a marker for identifying patients who would benefit from IC.

KEY POINTS

• Nodal grouping, defined as the presence of at least three contiguous LNs within one LN region on MRI, was identified as a significant prognostic factor. • In patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma, nodal grouping may influence lymph node staging. • Nodal grouping was a marker for identifying patients who may benefit from induction chemotherapy.

An integrated nomogram combining lncRNAs classifier and clinicopathologic factors to predict the recurrence of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) which have little or no protein-coding capacity, due to their potential roles in the cancer disease, caught a particular interest. Our study aims to develop an lncRNAs-based classifier and a nomogram incorporating the lncRNAs classifier and clinicopathologic factors to help to improve the accuracy of recurrence prediction for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients. The HNSCC lncRNAs profiling data and the corresponding clinicopathologic information were downloaded from TANRIC database and cBioPortal. Using univariable Cox regression and Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, we developed 15-lncRNAs-based classifier related to recurrence. On the basis of multivariable Cox regression analysis results, a nomogram integrating the genomic and clinicopathologic predictors was built. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the inclusive nomogram were confirmed by calibration curve and a concordance index (C-index), and compared with TNM stage system by C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted to evaluate clinical value of our nomogram. Consequently, fifteen recurrence-free survival (RFS) -related lncRNAs were identified, and the classifier consisting of the established 15 lncRNAs could effectively divide patients into high-risk and low-risk subgroup. The prediction ability of the 15-lncRNAs-based classifier for predicting 3- year and 5-year RFS were 0.833 and 0.771. Independent factors derived from multivariable analysis to predict recurrence were number of positive LNs, margin status, mutation count and lncRNAs classifier, which were all embedded into the nomogram. The calibration curve for the recurrence probability showed that the predictions based on the nomogram were in good coincide with practical observations. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.76 (0.72–0.79), and the area under curve (AUC) of nomogram in predicting RFS was 0.809, which were significantly higher than traditional TNM stage and 15-lncRNAs-based classifier. Decision curve analysis further demonstrated that our nomogram had larger net benefit than TNM stage and 15-lncRNAs-based classifier. The results were confirmed externally. In summary, a visually inclusive nomogram for patients with HNSCC, comprising genomic and clinicopathologic variables, generates more accurate prediction of the recurrence probability when compared TNM stage alone, but more additional data remains needed before being used in clinical practice.