Analysis of the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System and Caprini Risk Assessment Model in Predicting Venous Thromboembolic Outcomes in Plastic Surgery Patients

An In-Depth Analysis of 1370 Consecutive Abdominoplasties: Fascial Plication Increases Risk of Venous Thromboembolism, and Scoring for Plication Improves the Caprini Risk Assessment Model

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the most dangerous complication of abdominoplasty. One relatively undefined risk factor is plication, which in theory increases VTE risk.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the thromboembolic risk of plication.

METHODS

A retrospective review of 1370 consecutive abdominoplasties by one surgeon was undertaken. Two groups were considered, plicated (n= 1089) and non-plicated (n = 281), and VTE rates were compared between these groups.

RESULTS

There were 25/1089 cases of VTE (2.3%) in plicated patients and 1/281 case of VTE (0.36%) in non-plicated patients, which was statistically significant (Fisher's exact test, p=0.028) despite the non-plicated group being a higher risk population. Case-Control matching yielded 225 pairs which differed statistically only by the presence or absence of plication; there were 12/225(5.3%) VTE events in the plicated group and 0/225 in the non-plicated group (McNemar's test, p=0.0015). Logistic regression demonstrated increased VTE risk with increasing age (OR 1.08, p<0.001), BMI (OR 1.34, p=0.002), Caprini score (OR 2.17, p<0.001), and especially plication (OR 16.76, p=0.008). Adding two points for plication to Caprini scores offered better risk stratification at a level of 7, with an improved combination of sensitivity/specificity (0.31/0.98 vs 0.69/0.96) and a 27% improvement over the 2005 Caprini RAM in the area under a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve (0.826 vs 0.651, Z-value -3.596, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Plication was shown to be a powerful risk factor for the development of VTE in abdominoplasty. Abdominal wall plication should be considered in risk assessment, and scoring for plication may improve the performance of the Caprini RAM.

Evaluation of venous thromboembolism risk assessment models for hospital inpatients: the VTEAM evidence synthesis

Background

Pharmacological prophylaxis during hospital admission can reduce the risk of acquired blood clots (venous thromboembolism) but may cause complications, such as bleeding. Using a risk assessment model to predict the risk of blood clots could facilitate selection of patients for prophylaxis and optimise the balance of benefits, risks and costs.

Objectives

We aimed to identify validated risk assessment models and estimate their prognostic accuracy, evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different strategies for selecting hospitalised patients for prophylaxis, assess the feasibility of using efficient research methods and estimate key parameters for future research.

Design

We undertook a systematic review, decision-analytic modelling and observational cohort study conducted in accordance with Enhancing the QUAlity and Transparency Of health Research (EQUATOR) guidelines.

Setting

NHS hospitals, with primary data collection at four sites.

Participants

Medical and surgical hospital inpatients, excluding paediatric, critical care and pregnancy-related admissions.

Interventions

Prophylaxis for all patients, none and according to selected risk assessment models.

Main outcome measures

Model accuracy for predicting blood clots, lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years associated with alternative strategies, accuracy of efficient methods for identifying key outcomes and proportion of inpatients recommended prophylaxis using different models.

Results

We identified 24 validated risk assessment models, but low-quality heterogeneous data suggested weak accuracy for prediction of blood clots and generally high risk of bias in all studies. Decision-analytic modelling showed that pharmacological prophylaxis for all eligible is generally more cost-effective than model-based strategies for both medical and surgical inpatients, when valuing a quality-adjusted life-year at £20,000. The findings were more sensitive to uncertainties in the surgical population; strategies using risk assessment models were more cost-effective if the model was assumed to have a very high sensitivity, or the long-term risks of post-thrombotic complications were lower. Efficient methods using routine data did not accurately identify blood clots or bleeding events and several pre-specified feasibility criteria were not met. Theoretical prophylaxis rates across an inpatient cohort based on existing risk assessment models ranged from 13% to 91%.

Limitations

Existing studies may underestimate the accuracy of risk assessment models, leading to underestimation of their cost-effectiveness. The cost-effectiveness findings do not apply to patients with an increased risk of bleeding. Mechanical thromboprophylaxis options were excluded from the modelling. Primary data collection was predominately retrospective, risking case ascertainment bias.

Conclusions

Thromboprophylaxis for all patients appears to be generally more cost-effective than using a risk assessment model, in hospitalised patients at low risk of bleeding. To be cost-effective, any risk assessment model would need to be highly sensitive. Current evidence on risk assessment models is at high risk of bias and our findings should be interpreted in this context. We were unable to demonstrate the feasibility of using efficient methods to accurately detect relevant outcomes for future research.

Future work

Further research should evaluate routine prophylaxis strategies for all eligible hospitalised patients. Models that could accurately identify individuals at very low risk of blood clots (who could discontinue prophylaxis) warrant further evaluation.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42020165778 and Researchregistry5216.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR127454) and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 20. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

The prognostic value of clinical frailty and American Society of Anesthesiology score in patients with chronic limb threatening ischaemia

Background: Frailty is a complex multisystem syndrome associated with increased comorbidity and decreased physiological reserve. There are associations between frailty and adverse outcome in surgical patients. Chronic limb threatening ischemia (CLTI) is increasingly prevalent, with a typically frail patient population. Existing frailty scoring systems focus on functional measures and do not reliably assess comorbidities. The present study aims to describe the prognostic value of multimodal frailty assessment in patients with CLTI. Patients and methods: Patients >50 years old admitted as an emergency with CLTI between May 2020 to June 2021 were included. Frailty was measured using Clinical Frailty Score (CFS), and comorbidities with American Society of Anesthiologists score (ASA). A composite score combining CFS and ASA was derived and the prognostic value compared with each component score. The primary outcome was overall survival. Results: There were 249 eligible patients, 53.4% (n=133) had CFS>4. The mean (95% CI) overall survival for the CFS>4 cohort was 15.9 (13.6-18.3) months vs. 28.5 (26.1-30.9) months for CFS≤4 cohort (p<0.001). Increasing CFS-ASA score was associated with inferior survival on univariate (HR=2.84, 95% CI [1.96-4.11], p<0.001) and multivariate (HR=1.78, 95% CI [1.20-2.64], p<0.01) analyses. ROC-analysis showed comparable prognostic value of CFS and CFS-ASA to predict one-year survival. Conclusions: Frailty is highly prevalent and a poor prognostic indicator in patients with CLTI admitted as an emergency. Our results suggest that incorporating assessment of comorbidities into frailty assessment may offer prognostic value, but comparable to existing clinical frailty assessment. Further work to identify patients with inferior prognosis is required.

The Thresholds of Caprini Score Associated With Increased Risk of Venous Thromboembolism Across Different Specialties: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

Estimation of the specific thresholds of the Caprini risk score (CRS) that are associated with the increased incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) across different specialties, including identifying the highest level of risk.

BACKGROUND

Accurate risk assessment remains an important but often challenging aspect of VTE prophylaxis. One well-established risk assessment model is CRS, which has been validated in thousands of patients from many different medical and surgical specialties.

METHODS

A search of MEDLINE and the Cochrane Library was performed in March 2022. Manuscripts that reported on (1) patients admitted to medical or surgical departments and (2) had their VTE risk assessed by CRS and (3) reported on the correlation between the score and VTE incidence, were included in the analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 4562 references were identified, and the full text of 202 papers was assessed for eligibility. The correlation between CRS and VTE incidence was reported in 68 studies that enrolled 4,207,895 patients. In all specialties, a significant increase in VTE incidence was observed in patients with a CRS of ≥5. In most specialties thresholds of ≥7, ≥9, and ≥11 to 12 were associated with dramatically increased incidences of VTE. In COVID-19, cancer, trauma, vascular, general, head and neck, and thoracic surgery patients with ≥9 and ≥11 to 12 scores the VTE incidence was extremely high (ranging from 13% to 47%).

CONCLUSION

The Caprini score is being used increasingly to predict VTE in many medical and surgical specialties. In most cases, the VTE risk for individual patients increases dramatically at a threshold CRS of 7 to 11.

HOW TO STRATIFY THE RISK OF THROMBOSIS FOR AESTHETIC PLASTIC SURGERY? THE PROPOSAL OF A NEW SCALE

Scales to qualify the risk of thrombosis do not include all thrombogenic factors that are generated in esthetic plastic surgery. Methods: We performed a systematic review to assess the risk of thrombosis in plastic surgery. Thrombogenic factors in esthetic surgery were analyzed by a panel of experts. We proposed a scale with 2 versions. In the first version, factors were stratified according to their impact on the possible risk of thrombosis. The second version includes the same factors but in a simplified form. We evaluated the efficacy of the proposed scale by comparing it with the Caprini score; we scored the risk in 124 cases and controls. Results: Using the Caprini score, we found that 81.45% of the patients studied and 62.5% of the cases of thrombosis were observed in the low-risk group. Only 1 case of thrombosis was reported in the high-risk group. Using the stratified version of the scale, we found that the low-risk group comprised 25% of the patients, and there were no cases of thrombosis. The high-risk group included 14.51% of patients; 10 presented thrombosis (62.5%). The proposed scale was very effective in detecting both low-risk and high-risk patients undergoing esthetic surgery procedures.

Systematic review of the venous thromboembolism risk assessment models used in aesthetic plastic surgery

Background

A reliable venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk assessment model (RAM) can assist surgeons in identifying patients who would benefit from VTE prophylaxis. This systematic review was aimed at summarising the current available evidence on VTE RAMs used in aesthetic plastic surgery.

Methods

A comprehensive search was performed in the PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane databases to include primary studies describing VTE RAMs in aesthetic plastic surgery from 1946 to February 2019. The objective was to compare the different VTE RAMs described for aesthetic plastic surgery to recommend a reliable model to stratify patients.

Results

Of the 557 articles identified in the PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane databases, six articles were included in the final review. Five different RAMs were used in the included studies: Caprini 2005 RAM, Caprini 2010 RAM, Davison-Caprini 2004 RAM, the American Society of Anaesthesiologist's (ASA) physical status grading system and a tool developed by Wes et al. The difference in risk weightage amongst the tools along with the VTE incidences for different categories was compared. The Caprini 2005 RAM was the most widely reported tool and validated in plastic surgery patients.

Conclusion

Amongst the five different tools currently used, the Caprini 2005 RAM was the most widely reported. This tool was validated in plastic surgery patients and reported to be a sensitive and reliable tool for VTE risk stratification; therefore, current data support its use until further higher quality evidence becomes available. Because of the heterogeneity of the data and low quality of the current evidence, a definitive recommendation cannot be made on the best VTE RAM for patients undergoing aesthetic plastic surgery. This paper highlights the need for randomised controlled trials evaluating the various RAMs which are essential to support future recommendations and guidelines.

Spinal versus general anesthesia for Holmium laser enucleation of the prostate of high-risk patients - A propensity-score-matched-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To compare perioperative management and functional outcome of spinal anesthesia (SpA) to general anesthesia (GA) in high-risk patients treated for lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) with Holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP).

METHODS

In the current retrospective analysis, a propensity-score-matching of patients treated for LUTS with HoLEP (n=300) in SpA with ASA>2 (n=100), GA with ASA>2 (GA-high-risk) (n=100) or GA with ASA≤2 (GA-low-risk) (n=100) was performed. The impact of anesthesiologic mode on perioperative anesthesiologic outcome, early functional outcome and treatment related adverse events (according to Clavien Dindo), was evaluated.

RESULTS

Hypotensive episodes were significantly less frequent in the SpA-cohort (9%) compared to the GA-high-risk cohort (32%) and the GA low-risk cohort (22%) (each p<0.05 respectively). SpA-patients showed a significantly shorter median time in post anesthesia care unit (PACU-time: 135min; 120-166.5) compared to GA-high-risk patients (186min; 154-189.5), with significant less referrals to Intermediate care unit (ICU) (1% vs. 9 %); (each p<0.05). PACU-time (99min) and ICU referrals (0%) for GA-low-risk were lower than for both other cohorts. Postoperative requirement for analgesics was significantly lower in the SpA-cohort (2%), compared to both GA-cohorts (74% and 61% respectively; p<0.05). No significant difference was found regarding early functional outcome or treatment related adverse events (AE) (p-range:0.201-1.000).

CONCLUSION

For patients undergoing HoLEP, SpA provides greater hemodynamic stability and allows faster overall postoperative recovery with preferable pain management. Yielding a comparable functional outcome, it is a safe and efficient alternative to GA in high-risk patients.

Risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism in hospitalised adult patients: a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Hospital-acquired thrombosis accounts for a large proportion of all venous thromboembolism (VTE), with significant morbidity and mortality. This subset of VTE can be reduced through accurate risk assessment and tailored pharmacological thromboprophylaxis. This systematic review aimed to determine the comparative accuracy of risk assessment models (RAMs) for predicting VTE in patients admitted to hospital.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed across five electronic databases (including MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library) from inception to February 2021. All primary validation studies were eligible if they examined the accuracy of a multivariable RAM (or scoring system) for predicting the risk of developing VTE in hospitalised inpatients. Two or more reviewers independently undertook study selection, data extraction and risk of bias assessments using the PROBAST (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool) tool. We used narrative synthesis to summarise the findings.

RESULTS

Among 6355 records, we included 51 studies, comprising 24 unique validated RAMs. The majority of studies included hospital inpatients who required medical care (21 studies), were undergoing surgery (15 studies) or receiving care for trauma (4 studies). The most widely evaluated RAMs were the Caprini RAM (22 studies), Padua prediction score (16 studies), IMPROVE models (8 studies), the Geneva risk score (4 studies) and the Kucher score (4 studies). C-statistics varied markedly between studies and between models, with no one RAM performing obviously better than other models. Across all models, C-statistics were often weak (<0.7), sometimes good (0.7-0.8) and a few were excellent (>0.8). Similarly, estimates for sensitivity and specificity were highly variable. Sensitivity estimates ranged from 12.0% to 100% and specificity estimates ranged from 7.2% to 100%.

CONCLUSION

Available data suggest that RAMs have generally weak predictive accuracy for VTE. There is insufficient evidence and too much heterogeneity to recommend the use of any particular RAM.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

Steve Goodacre, Abdullah Pandor, Katie Sworn, Daniel Horner, Mark Clowes. A systematic review of venous thromboembolism RAMs for hospital inpatients. PROSPERO 2020 CRD42020165778. Available from https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=165778https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=165778.

Preoperative prevalence of deep vein thrombosis in patients scheduled to have surgery for degenerative musculoskeletal disorders

Background

Although the incidence of symptomatic pulmonary thromboembolism after elective surgery for degenerative musculoskeletal disorders is comparatively low, it is extremely detrimental to both patients and health-care providers. Therefore, its prevention is mandatory. We aimed to perform a cross-sectional analysis of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) before elective surgery for degenerative musculoskeletal disorders, including total knee arthroplasty (TKA), total hip arthroplasty (THA), and spinal surgery, and identify the factors associated with the incidence of preoperative DVT.

Methods

The clinical data of patients aged ≥ 30 years who underwent TKA or THA, and spine surgery for lumbar or cervical degenerative disorders at our institution were retrospectively collected. D-dimer levels were measured preoperatively in all the patients scheduled for surgery. For the patients with D-dimer levels ≥ 1 µg/mL or who were determined by their physicians to be at high risk of DVT, the lower extremity vein was preoperatively examined for DVT on ultrasonography.

Results

Overall, we retrospectively evaluated 1236 consecutive patients, including 701 men and 535 women. Of the patients, 431 and 805 had D-dimer levels ≥ 1 and < 1 µg/mL, respectively. Of 683 patients who underwent lower extremity ultrasonography, 92 had proximal (n = 7) and distal types (n = 85) of DVT. The preoperative prevalence of DVT was 7.4 %. No patient had the incidence of postoperative symptomatic venous thromboembolism. A multivariate analysis revealed that age ≥ 80 years (odds ratio [OR], 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 2.8, 1.1–7.3), knee surgery (2.1, 1.1–4.0), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade 2 (2.8, 1.2–6.8), ASA grades 3 or 4 (3.1, 1.0–9.4), and malignancy (1.9, 1.1–3.2) were significantly associated with DVT incidence.

Conclusions

This is the first study to conduct a cross-sectional analysis of preoperative DVT data of patients scheduled for elective surgery for degenerative musculoskeletal disorders. Although whether screening for preoperative DVT is needed to prevent postoperative symptomatic pulmonary thromboembolism remains to be clarified, our data suggested that DVT should be noted before surgery in the patients with advanced age, knee surgery, high ASA physical status, and malignancy.

Development and validation of a risk assessment nomogram for venous thromboembolism associated with hospitalized postoperative Chinese breast cancer patients

AIM

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate an individualized nomogram to predict venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk in hospitalized postoperative breast cancer patients.

DESIGN

A single-central retrospective and non-interventional trial.

METHODS

For model development, we used data from 4,755 breast cancer patients between 1 November 2016-30 June 2018 (3,310 patients in the development group and 1,445 in the validation group). Overall, 216 patients developed VTE (150 in development group and 66 in validation group). The model was validated by receiver operating characteristic curves and the calibration plot. The clinical utility of the model was determined through decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The individualized nomogram consisted of six clinical factors: age, body mass index, number of cardiovascular comorbidities, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, surgical treatment, hospital length of stay and two pre-operative biomarkers of Homocysteine and D-dimer. The model at the 3.9% optimal cut-off had the area under the curve of 0.854 (95% CI, 0.824-0.884) and 0.805 (95% CI, 0.740-0.870) in the development and validation groups. A p = 0.570 of the calibration test showed that the model was well-calibrated. The net benefit of the model was better between threshold probabilities of 5%-30% in decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram of VTE risk assessment, is applicable to hospitalized postoperative breast cancer patients. However, multi-central prospective studies are needed to improve and validate the model. Effectiveness and safety of thromboprophylaxis in high-risk patients are needed to demonstrate in interventional trials.

IMPACT

This nomogram can be used in clinical to inform practice of physicians and nurses to predict the VTE probability and maybe direct personalized decision making for thromboprophylaxis in hospitalized postoperative breast cancer patients.

Incidence of venous thromboembolism and bleeding after pulmonary lobectomy: evaluating the timing for thromboprophylaxis

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is an important postoperative complication after major lung cancer resective surgery, such as lobectomy. It is recommended to start chemical thromboprophylaxis within the first 12 h following the procedure. Postoperative bleeding is also a relevant complication in patients with predisposing conditions. However, the criterion for classifying a patient as "high risk of bleeding" is not standardized and is left to the expertise of the attending physician or surgeon. We aim to describe the incidence and risk factors for postoperative VTE and hemorrhage after pulmonary lobectomy; and to assess the impact of the timing of thromboprophylaxis on the incidence of postoperative thrombotic or hemorrhagic events. A retrospective observational study of 358 lobectomies performed in a single center was performed, analyzing the rates of postoperative thrombotic and hemorrhagic events and predisposing factors, including postoperative thromboprophylaxis management. Cumulative incidence of VTE was 3.07% (95% CI 1.54-5.43), and early postoperative bleeding was 10.05% (95% CI 7.14-13.64). Underlying pulmonary disease was associated with VTE (p = 0.001) and open approach was associated with hemorrhagic events (p = 0.01). The use of thromboprophylaxis and timing of its initiation were not associated with a higher incidence of events. VTE and postoperative hemorrhage are relevant complications following pulmonary lobectomy. Compliance with VTE prophylaxis guidelines is essential. Even so, a case-by-case risk evaluation of VTE and bleeding remains preferable and safe in order to decide on the most suitable timing of thromboprophylaxis.

Application of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for Evaluating Postoperative Deep Vein Thrombosis in Patients Undergoing Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery

BACKGROUND

The optimal approach for assessing the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients undergoing plastic surgery is yet to be established. This study aimed to determine the validity of the Caprini Risk Assessment Scale in identifying patients undergoing plastic surgery who are at a high risk of developing VTE.

METHODS

Between December 2014 and November 2015, we enrolled 90 patients. Risk factors for VTE were assessed at baseline. The Caprini Risk Assessment Model was used to stratify patients into Caprini <4, Caprini 5-6, Caprini 7-8, and Caprini >8 groups before examination. We preoperatively screened for deep vein thrombosis (DVT) using duplex ultrasound. During operation, surgical duration and blood loss were recorded. Duplex ultrasound was repeated 2 and 7 days postoperatively to evaluate for DVT. We used a univariate analysis to determine risk factors for postoperative VTE. Confounding predictors were finally tested using a multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

One patient had preoperative DVT and was excluded from the study. Eighty-nine patients were included in the final analyses. Of the 89 patients, 7 (8%) developed postoperative DVT. Mean age, body mass index, Caprini score, and surgical duration were significantly higher in patients who developed postoperative DVT. Variables associated with increased risk of postoperative DVT using univariate analysis were Caprini scores of 7-8 and >8. Multivariate logistic regression analysis finally identified Caprini scores 7-8 [odds ratio (OR) 13, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.67-101.98, P = 0.014] and >8 (OR 19.5, 95% CI 1.02-371.96, P = 0.048) to be independently associated with postoperative DVT.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the incidence of postoperative DVT is relatively low among patients undergoing plastic surgery, Caprini scores can be used to predict postoperative VTE complications.

Optimizing Patient Outcomes and Safety With Liposuction

Since its advent in the early 1980s, liposuction has made tremendous advancements, making it the most popular aesthetic surgery performed today. The goal of this Continuing Medical Education (CME) article is to provide a foundation of knowledge of the relevant anatomy, preoperative evaluation, intraoperative technique, and postoperative management for surgeons performing liposuction. Finally, the prevention and management of potential complications will be reviewed along with measures to optimize patient safety and outcomes.

Incidence and Predictors of Venous Thromboembolism in Abdominoplasty

BACKGROUND

The prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a high priority in aesthetic surgery. Abdominoplasty is the aesthetic procedure most commonly associated with VTE, yet the mechanisms for the development of VTE associated with this procedure are unclear.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to analyze the incidence and predictors of VTE in patients undergoing abdominoplasty procedures in outpatient surgery centers using data from the Internet Based Quality Assurance Program (IBQAP).

METHODS

IBQAP data from 2001 to 2011 were queried retrospectively to identify abdominoplasty cases and VTE cases. Patient- and procedure-specific variables were analyzed to identify potential predictors of VTE in abdominoplasty.

RESULTS

Among all outpatient aesthetic surgery cases entered from 2001 to 2011, 414 resulted in VTE, representing a VTE incidence of 0.02%. Of these, 240 (58%) occurred in abdominoplasty cases. Predictors of VTE were age greater than 40 years and BMI greater than 25 kg/m2. Patient sex, duration of anesthesia and surgery, type of anesthesia, type of additional procedure, and number of procedures did not appear to influence the risk of VTE. Importantly, 95.5% of the VTEs identified for this study occurred in patients whose Caprini risk assessment model score was between 2 and 8, which would not be an indication for chemoprophylaxis according to current recommendations.

CONCLUSIONS

Many factors must be considered when determining the true incidence of VTE in abdominoplasty. Research is needed to discover the reason abdominoplasty carries a greater risk compared with other aesthetic surgery procedures so that appropriate steps can be taken to prevent its occurrence and improve the safety of the procedure.